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Luiss Roma vs Forli Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 79-81
20-22 15-23 27-22 17-14
Position#22
Record9-15
FormWLWWL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game85.1
vs
Forli 🏆
Italy
Position#2
Record21-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game72.4
ItalySerie A2Round 26· Palazzetto dello Sport
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Luiss Roma winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Luiss RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRoma
Date
Competition
Cantu
#4
L
93-101 OT
93
101
-8
no box
H17/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
98-105
98
105
-7
87avg 72
A22/12
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
83-80
83
80
+3
129avg 72
H30/12
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
94-88
94
88
+6
88avg 72
A06/01
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
72-81
72
81
-9
67avg 72
A14/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
84-80
84
80
+4
77avg 72
H20/01
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
78-82
78
82
-4
72avg 72
A28/01
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
W
67-61
67
61
+6
64avg 72
H04/02
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
88-85
88
85
+3
76avg 72
A10/02
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
L
72-74 OT
72
74
-2
no box
H17/02
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
22-24
18-20
26-22
26-29
17-26
25-22
30-28
17-18
17-20
24-25
25-17
28-26
17-18
24-18
25-26
19-18
23-23
13-17
17-23
23-21
20-25
13-18
28-16
21-15
14-23
26-25
17-19
29-24
9-12
11-7
18-18
20-26
15-26
24-18
29-15
19-10
15-18
17-21
12-14
166.6Avg total
82.9Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)79.085.1164.1-6.138%
Season at home (12)78.582.8161.3-4.342%
Season away (12)79.587.3166.8-7.833%
Last 10 (10)82.983.7166.6-0.850%
Last 5 (5)77.876.4154.2+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)79.188.6167.7-9.621%
vs Similar (10)78.980.1159.0-1.260%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Forli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Rimini
#10
W
80-68
80
68
+12
73avg 70
A23/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
63-58
63
58
+5
53avg 70
H30/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
77-86
77
86
-9
70avg 70
A06/01
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
76-68
76
68
+8
64avg 70
H13/01
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
82-74
82
74
+8
80avg 70
H21/01
Serie A2
Udine
#6
W
73-61
73
61
+12
62avg 70
A28/01
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
92-64
92
64
+28
83avg 70
H04/02
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
83-73
83
73
+10
79avg 70
H11/02
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
80-69
80
69
+11
75avg 70
A18/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
73-59
73
59
+14
69avg 70
H24/02
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
17-24
19-8
21-10
14-10
15-11
18-21
16-16
20-13
19-25
17-28
21-20
21-12
14-22
20-21
21-13
19-9
23-26
19-27
21-12
9-20
22-14
19-14
23-13
25-18
21-16
18-16
28-14
24-16
17-22
22-18
20-17
17-20
25-22
19-13
19-14
20-19
17-14
21-15
15-11
145.9Avg total
77.9Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)79.772.4152.1+7.284%
Season at home (13)81.569.3150.8+12.2100%
Season away (12)77.775.8153.5+1.867%
Last 10 (10)77.968.0145.9+9.990%
Last 5 (5)80.265.2145.4+15.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)75.273.6148.9+1.662%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)83.170.8153.9+12.493%
This opponent (Luiss Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +6.5+6.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +6.5+6.5
Luiss RomaForli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Luiss RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#4
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H17/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A22/12
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H30/12
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A06/01
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A14/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H20/01
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A28/01
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H04/02
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A10/02
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H17/02
Serie A2
81.9Avg total
39.4Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)41.342.583.8-1.250%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.239.780.9+1.650%-
Last 30 away (12)41.345.286.6-3.950%-
Last 10 (10)39.442.581.9-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)37.040.077.0-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)41.044.585.5-3.536%-
vs Similar (10)41.739.681.3+2.170%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Forli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#10
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A23/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
29-21
29
21
+8
H30/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A06/01
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H13/01
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H21/01
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A28/01
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H04/02
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H11/02
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A18/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H24/02
Serie A2
74.1Avg total
38.2Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.336.275.5+3.167%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.433.672.9+5.888%-
Last 30 away (14)39.339.278.5+0.143%-
Last 10 (10)38.235.974.1+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)39.436.275.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)36.437.874.2-1.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)42.634.477.0+8.386%-
This opponent (Luiss Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Luiss Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Luiss Roma: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.915.7
52.5%
50.3%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.811.2
33.1%
34.1%33.6
🏀 Free throws21.016.6
79.0%
74.2%16.6
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.116.9
46.8%
50.3%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.7
37.5%
34.1%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.114.2
74.3%
74.2%14.2
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Luiss Roma
LWWLWLWWLL
Forli
WWWWWWWLWW
#22
League position
#2
+0.7
Net rating
+13.9
109.9
Offensive rating
108.5
109.3
Defensive rating
94.5
51.0%
Effective FG%
50.7%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
44.7%
15.9%
Turnover %
16.4%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.1%
3-point %
37.5%
59.9%
Assist %
51.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence109.9 · 108.5Defence109.3 · 94.5Shooting51.0% · 50.7%3-point %33.1% · 37.5%Ball care15.9% · 16.4%Off. rebounds29.1% · 29.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Luiss Roma   ■ Forli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Luiss Roma wins
0
Forli wins
No previous meetings.
Luiss Romalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24HOrzinuovi72-74 OT
10/02/24ATrieste88-85
04/02/24HTreviglio67-61
28/01/24ATrapani78-82
20/01/24HUrania Milano84-80
14/01/24ASebastiani Rieti72-81
06/01/24ALatina94-88
30/12/23HAgrigento83-80
22/12/23ABasket Torino98-105
17/12/23HCantu93-101 OT
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/24HUrania Milano73-59
18/02/24AAgrigento80-69
11/02/24HSebastiani Rieti83-73
04/02/24HTrieste92-64
28/01/24AUdine73-61
21/01/24HChiusi82-74
13/01/24HVerona76-68
06/01/24ACividale77-86
30/12/23HAssigeco Piacenza63-58
23/12/23ARimini80-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Luiss Roma
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL38%
HomeLWWWL42%
AwayLWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %38%42%33%
Points / game79.078.579.5
Allowed / game85.182.887.3
Point differential-6.1-4.3-7.8
Avg total164.1161.3166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%0%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)60% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Forli
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW84%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %84%100%67%
Points / game79.781.577.7
Allowed / game72.469.375.8
Point differential+7.2+12.2+1.8
Avg total152.1150.8153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%46%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %20%31%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2422292%90.277.0+13.2
2 Forli2521484%79.772.4+7.2
3 Cantu2519676%88.580.2+8.2
4 Fortitudo Bologna2418675%76.871.8+5.0
5 Udine2417771%79.370.0+9.4
6 Basket Torino2417771%85.581.8+3.7
7 Verona2516964%75.872.8+3.0
8 Sebastiani Rieti26161062%81.378.1+3.2
9 Trieste25151060%80.078.2+1.8
10 JuVi Cremona24121250%86.486.0+0.4
11 Urania Milano26131350%82.083.3-1.2
12 Treviglio24111346%80.280.6-0.4
13 Cento24111346%74.478.3-3.9
14 Assigeco Piacenza25111444%76.875.8+1.0
15 Rimini24101442%77.376.8+0.5
16 Vigevano25101540%78.281.3-3.2
17 Nardo26101638%74.380.8-6.5
18 Cividale2491538%74.277.2-3.0
19 Luiss Roma2491538%79.085.1-6.1
20 Orzinuovi2681831%74.176.9-2.8
21 Monferrato2561924%79.684.4-4.8
22 Agrigento2662023%73.880.5-6.7
23 Chiusi2451921%65.174.2-9.0
24 Latina2341917%78.487.0-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Luiss Roma2015271779
Forli2223221481
← all games of the day
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