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Lusitania vs Sampaense Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 87-60
25-10 20-16 23-18 19-16
Position#3
Record15-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game75.7
Lusitania 🏆
Portugal
vs
Sampaense
Portugal
Position#10
Record9-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game77.0
PortugalProligaRound 10· Pavilhão Municipal de Angra do Heroísmo
Other2025-26
Meetings · Lusitania v Sampaense
09 Jan 2027
LUSI v SAMP
upcoming
29 Mar 2026
LUSI87
SAMP60
22 Nov 2025
LUSI87
SAMP46
22 Feb 2025
LUSI100
SAMP80
02 Apr 2017
LUSI88
SAMP87
10 Dec 2016
LUSI88
SAMP83
10 Jan 2015
LUSI68
SAMP60
08 Mar 2014
LUSI78
SAMP77
06 Apr 2013
LUSI87
SAMP85
07 Jan 2012
LUSI69
SAMP79
13 Nov 2010
LUSI68
SAMP64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sampaense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#1
L
72-82
72
82
-10
63avg 77
A10/01
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
89-72
89
72
+17
94avg 77
H24/01
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
109-103 OT
109
103
+6
112avg 77
A31/01
Proliga
Santo Andre
#13
W
76-73
76
73
+3
73avg 77
H12/02
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
85-77
85
77
+8
79avg 77
A22/02
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
91-85
91
85
+6
78avg 77
H28/02
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
83-76
83
76
+7
70avg 77
A07/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
88-86
88
86
+2
78avg 77
A14/03
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
99-71
99
71
+28
78avg 77
A15/03
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
89-69
89
69
+20
93avg 77
H22/03
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
16-23
14-16
19-20
22-8
28-24
25-20
14-20
17-23
24-23
22-24
28-21
16-19
17-20
22-12
21-22
24-20
20-25
23-21
18-11
26-16
9-25
27-10
29-34
28-18
16-21
18-20
21-17
32-18
19-20
22-25
15-23
30-20
17-25
27-8
25-18
20-16
23-22
25-8
21-23
167.5Avg total
88.1Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)82.375.7158.0+6.665%
Season at home (11)78.770.4149.1+8.473%
Season away (12)85.680.6166.2+5.058%
Last 10 (10)88.179.4167.5+8.790%
Last 5 (5)90.077.4167.4+12.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.585.0157.5-12.50%
vs Similar (6)72.773.8146.5-1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)87.977.0164.9+11.082%
This opponent (Sampaense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SampaensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSampaense
Date
Competition
Academica
#16
W
81-60
81
60
+21
77avg 61
H10/01
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
78-77
78
77
+1
72avg 61
H24/01
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
64-61
64
61
+3
51avg 61
A01/02
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
75-66
75
66
+9
no box
H14/02
Proliga
Santo Andre
#13
L
51-78
51
78
-27
34avg 61
A22/02
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
52-78
52
78
-26
no box
H28/02
Proliga
Academica
#16
L
54-67
54
67
-13
40avg 61
A07/03
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
L
59-76
59
76
-17
45avg 61
A14/03
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
71-99
71
99
-28
62avg 61
H15/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
67-77
67
77
-10
60avg 61
H21/03
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
22-14
13-11
25-20
21-17
21-23
21-20
15-17
9-20
18-16
22-12
15-13
13-17
29-12
17-19
16-18
19-24
9-16
7-25
16-13
13-22
14-21
7-22
18-13
16-10
18-14
4-18
16-25
14-22
17-12
6-21
22-21
20-30
25-17
8-27
18-25
23-21
22-17
9-17
13-22
139.1Avg total
65.2Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)68.877.0145.7-8.239%
Season at home (12)74.479.4153.8-5.050%
Season away (11)62.674.3136.9-11.627%
Last 10 (10)65.273.9139.1-8.740%
Last 5 (5)60.679.4140.0-18.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)68.481.8150.2-13.424%
vs Similar (6)80.778.0158.7+2.750%
vs Weaker (7)75.069.6144.6+5.471%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: -7.8-7.8Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.3-1.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: -7.8-7.8Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.3-1.3
LusitaniaSampaense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#1
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A10/01
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H24/01
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A31/01
Proliga
Santo Andre
#13
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H12/02
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A22/02
Proliga
Academica
#16
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H28/02
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A07/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A14/03
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A15/03
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H22/03
Proliga
83.6Avg total
42.7Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.339.080.3+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.435.675.0+3.957%-
Last 30 away (16)42.942.185.0+0.950%-
Last 10 (10)42.740.983.6+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)44.040.284.2+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.542.579.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (6)35.336.872.2-1.533%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)43.439.382.7+4.064%-
This opponent (Sampaense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SampaenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Academica
#16
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H10/01
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H24/01
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A01/02
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H14/02
Proliga
Santo Andre
#13
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A22/02
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H28/02
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
34-24
34
24
+10
A07/03
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A14/03
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H15/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H21/03
Proliga
72.4Avg total
36.4Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.239.075.3-2.840%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.539.178.6+0.456%-
Last 30 away (14)32.538.971.4-6.421%-
Last 10 (10)36.436.072.4+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)36.437.273.6-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)33.140.573.6-7.424%-
vs Similar (6)41.342.283.5-0.850%-
vs Weaker (7)39.432.972.3+6.671%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀64%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.0 pts a game · 64% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.727.5
57.7%
50.0%55.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.25.9
30.7%
30.3%17.7
🏀 Free throws21.013.8
65.7%
67.4%13.8
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sampaensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sampaense: 68.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.3
49.3%
50.0%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.66.1
29.6%
30.3%18.3
🏀 Free throws19.213.5
70.3%
67.4%13.5
They take 57.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lusitania
WWWWWWWWWL
Sampaense
LLLLLLWWWW
#3
League position
#10
+7.9
Net rating
-7.5
96.3
Offensive rating
87.2
88.4
Defensive rating
94.7
54.3%
Effective FG%
47.6%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
17.3%
Turnover %
16.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
30.7%
3-point %
29.6%
54.8%
Assist %
42.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence96.3 · 87.2Defence88.4 · 94.7Shooting54.3% · 47.6%3-point %30.7% · 29.6%Ball care17.3% · 16.0%Off. rebounds- · 25.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Lusitania   ■ Sampaense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Lusitania wins
2
Sampaense wins
DateGameScore
15/03/26Sampaense v Lusitania71-99
22/11/25Lusitania v Sampaense87-46
04/10/25Sampaense v Lusitania80-74
19/04/25Sampaense v Lusitania84-103
22/02/25Lusitania v Sampaense100-80
29/04/17Sampaense v Lusitania109-97
02/04/17Lusitania v Sampaense88-87
25/02/17Sampaense v Lusitania65-96
10/12/16Lusitania v Sampaense88-83
18/04/15Sampaense v Lusitania66-78
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/26HSangalhos89-69
15/03/26ASampaense99-71
14/03/26ABenfica Lisboa B88-86
07/03/26ACB Queluz83-76
28/02/26HAcademica91-85
22/02/26AGalomar85-77
12/02/26HSanto Andre76-73
31/01/26ASangalhos109-103 OT
24/01/26HBenfica Lisboa B89-72
10/01/26ACD Povoa72-82
Sampaenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26HBenfica Lisboa B67-77
15/03/26HLusitania71-99
14/03/26ACB Queluz59-76
07/03/26AAcademica54-67
28/02/26HGalomar52-78
22/02/26ASanto Andre51-78
14/02/26HSangalhos75-66
01/02/26ABenfica Lisboa B64-61
24/01/26HCB Queluz78-77
10/01/26HAcademica81-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW65%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayWWWWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %65%73%58%
Points / game82.378.785.6
Allowed / game75.770.480.6
Point differential+6.6+8.4+5.0
Avg total158.0149.1166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%45%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Sampaense
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL39%
HomeWWLLL50%
AwayLWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %39%50%27%
Points / game68.874.462.6
Allowed / game77.079.474.3
Point differential-8.2-5.0-11.6
Avg total145.7153.8136.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%8%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa2422292%85.266.6+18.7
2 CAB Madeira2320387%83.773.3+10.4
3 Portimonense2416867%81.076.1+4.9
4 Lusitania2315865%82.375.7+6.6
5 Galomar2415962%84.178.4+5.7
6 Illiabum2415962%75.970.8+5.1
7 Maia24141058%82.973.7+9.2
8 Imortal B24131154%77.880.4-2.6
9 Ginasio24111346%77.881.2-3.4
10 Ginasio Olhanense23101343%78.578.6-0.1
11 Sampaense2391439%68.877.0-8.2
12 Benfica Lisboa B2481633%70.873.0-2.2
13 Santo Andre2481633%73.276.8-3.6
14 CB Queluz2461825%69.280.5-11.4
15 Sangalhos2451921%71.285.6-14.3
16 Academica2432112%64.078.5-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lusitania2520231987
Sampaense1016181660
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