Lusitania vs Maia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Apr 2016

Tip-off: 16:30

Final 59-58

14-10 19-22 13-14 13-12

Position#7

Record12-13

FormWWWLL

Points / game75.9

Allowed / game77.6

Lusitania 🏆

Maia

Position#11

Record4-22

FormLLWLL

Points / game65.4

Allowed / game79.2

LPBRound 7

Other2015-16

Meetings · Lusitania v Maia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Maia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lusitania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ovarense

78-94

-16

H23/01

LPB

Benfica

65-83

-18

A30/01

LPB

Vitoria

91-74

+17

H06/02

LPB

Maia

#11

79-72

A20/02

LPB

FC Porto

65-75

-10

A21/02

LPB

Electrico FC

#10

92-85 OT

H27/02

LPB

Maia

#11

89-67

+22

A05/03

LPB

CAB Madeira

92-88

A06/03

LPB

Vitoria

84-89

-5

A25/03

LPB

Electrico FC

#10

82-84

-2

A27/03

LPB

–

14-22

12-20

21-21

18-20

27-16

21-26

20-13

23-19

13-19

27-17

13-16

26-20

9-17

24-12

17-25

15-21

14-21

17-18

15-20

29-16

16-18

28-17

28-15

17-17

19-26

18-22

28-20

27-20

15-27

17-28

23-20

29-14

19-27

26-18

17-18

20-21

162.8Avg total

81.7Scored

81.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	75.9	77.6	153.4	-1.7	48%
Season at home (11)	74.9	77.8	152.7	-2.9	45%
Season away (14)	76.6	77.4	154.0	-0.7	50%
Last 10 (10)	81.7	81.1	162.8	+0.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	87.8	82.6	170.4	+5.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	69.6	79.9	149.5	-10.2	21%
vs Similar (9)	74.4	73.3	147.8	+1.1	56%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	81.1	76.4	157.6	+4.7	71%

This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Maia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Galitos

52-68

-16

H30/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

76-80

-4

A06/02

LPB

Lusitania

72-79

-7

H20/02

LPB

Electrico FC

#10

57-67

-10

A21/02

LPB

CAB Madeira

64-76

-12

A27/02

LPB

Lusitania

67-89

-22

H05/03

LPB

Vitoria

62-77

-15

A09/03

LPB

Electrico FC

#10

93-79

+14

H12/03

LPB

CAB Madeira

69-86

-17

H26/03

LPB

Vitoria

64-76

-12

H06/04

LPB

10-18

13-19

14-11

15-20

20-23

12-23

18-15

26-19

19-13

17-27

16-13

20-26

9-25

22-7

12-16

14-19

14-22

15-23

21-13

14-18

18-16

17-28

15-28

17-17

17-22

13-26

20-16

12-13

23-18

22-19

18-21

30-21

18-21

22-18

11-32

18-15

13-25

20-16

15-14

16-21

145.3Avg total

67.6Scored

77.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	65.4	79.2	144.6	-13.7	15%
Season at home (14)	67.1	78.1	145.2	-11.1	29%
Season away (12)	63.5	80.3	143.8	-16.8	0%
Last 10 (10)	67.6	77.7	145.3	-10.1	10%
Last 5 (5)	71.0	81.4	152.4	-10.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	65.7	82.1	147.8	-16.5	12%
vs Similar (4)	71.0	72.8	143.8	-1.8	50%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LusitaniaMaia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	16.2	19.3	35.6	-3.1	31%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	15.3	19.3	34.7	-4.0	25%	-
Last 30 away (17)	16.9	19.4	36.2	-2.5	35%	-
Last 10 (9)	16.2	21.4	37.7	-5.2	11%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	23.8	40.4	-7.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	14.5	19.5	34.0	-5.1	23%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.9	18.8	36.7	-0.9	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	17.4	19.7	37.1	-2.3	14%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.1	21.4	37.5	-5.3	23%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	15.5	20.4	35.9	-4.9	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.8	22.6	39.4	-5.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.1	20.3	36.4	-4.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	20.4	38.2	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	16.5	21.5	38.0	-5.0	23%	-
vs Similar (4)	13.5	21.2	34.8	-7.8	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.0	19.3	38.2	-0.3	41%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.7	19.7	39.3	+0.0	33%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.5	19.0	37.5	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.1	19.8	40.9	+1.3	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	20.6	41.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	16.8	21.3	38.1	-4.5	15%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.0	17.0	35.0	+1.0	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	24.3	18.4	42.7	+5.9	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.1	20.3	36.4	-4.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.6	19.4	35.9	-2.8	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.5	21.4	36.9	-5.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	20.6	37.9	-3.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	21.4	40.2	-2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	15.4	21.0	36.4	-5.5	27%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.2	16.0	36.2	+4.2	75%	-
vs Weaker	no games

LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Benfica

26-42

-16

A30/01

LPB

Vitoria

48-42

H06/02

LPB

Maia

#11

40-36

A20/02

LPB

FC Porto

33-29

A21/02

LPB

Electrico FC

#10

31-39

-8

H27/02

LPB

Maia

#11

44-35

A05/03

LPB

CAB Madeira

37-48

-11

A06/03

LPB

Vitoria

32-55

-23

A25/03

LPB

Electrico FC

#10

45-45

A27/03

LPB

78.6Avg total

37.3Scored

41.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	35.2	38.6	73.8	-3.4	34%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	35.0	39.0	74.0	-4.0	33%	-
Last 30 away (17)	35.4	38.4	73.7	-3.0	35%	-
Last 10 (9)	37.3	41.2	78.6	-3.9	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	44.4	82.2	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	31.2	40.8	72.1	-9.6	15%	-
vs Similar (9)	35.9	35.8	71.7	+0.1	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	41.7	38.1	79.9	+3.6	57%	-

This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Galitos

23-37

-14

H30/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

32-46

-14

A06/02

LPB

Lusitania

36-40

-4

H20/02

LPB

Electrico FC

#10

31-32

-1

A21/02

LPB

CAB Madeira

29-45

-16

A27/02

LPB

Lusitania

35-44

-9

H05/03

LPB

Vitoria

30-48

-18

A09/03

LPB

Electrico FC

#10

45-37

H12/03

LPB

CAB Madeira

40-39

H26/03

LPB

Vitoria

33-41

-8

H06/04

LPB

74.3Avg total

33.4Scored

40.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	32.2	41.7	73.9	-9.6	10%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	32.1	39.8	71.8	-7.7	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	32.3	44.0	76.3	-11.7	0%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.4	40.9	74.3	-7.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	41.8	78.4	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	31.9	42.4	74.3	-10.5	8%	-
vs Similar (4)	33.8	37.2	71.0	-3.5	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.1	18.7	37.7	+0.4	52%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	18.4	16.5	34.9	+1.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.5	20.2	39.7	-0.6	41%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.2	18.7	38.9	+1.6	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	18.6	40.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	19.5	19.6	39.1	-0.2	46%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.4	18.2	37.7	+1.2	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	17.9	17.4	35.3	+0.4	43%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.1	19.3	35.4	-3.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	15.8	18.9	34.6	-3.1	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.5	19.9	36.4	-3.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.0	17.9	33.9	-1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	22.2	38.0	-6.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	16.3	19.7	36.0	-3.3	38%	-
vs Similar (4)	14.5	17.2	31.8	-2.8	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.8	18.9	37.7	-0.1	41%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	18.9	20.7	39.6	-1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.6	17.6	36.3	+1.0	35%	-
Last 10 (9)	22.7	18.7	41.3	+4.0	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	17.6	42.0	+6.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	18.3	18.3	36.6	+0.0	46%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.1	19.3	38.4	-0.2	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	19.1	19.4	38.6	-0.3	29%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	19.8	37.9	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	19.1	38.9	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.1	20.6	36.7	-4.4	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	18.9	37.1	-0.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	17.4	36.0	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	17.4	20.0	37.4	-2.7	27%	-
vs Similar (4)	22.8	18.2	41.0	+4.5	75%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.8	37.6	75.4	+0.3	55%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	37.3	37.2	74.5	+0.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (17)	38.2	37.8	76.0	+0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (9)	42.9	37.3	80.2	+5.6	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.6	36.2	82.8	+10.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	37.8	37.9	75.7	-0.2	54%	-
vs Similar (9)	38.6	37.6	76.1	+1.0	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	37.0	36.9	73.9	+0.1	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.2	39.1	73.3	-4.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	35.6	38.0	73.6	-2.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	32.6	40.4	73.1	-7.8	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.2	36.8	71.0	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.4	39.6	74.0	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	33.7	39.7	73.4	-6.0	23%	-
vs Similar (4)	37.2	35.5	72.8	+1.8	75%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Lusitania wins

Maia wins

Date	Game	Score
05/03/16	Maia v Lusitania	67-89
20/02/16	Maia v Lusitania	72-79
28/11/15	Lusitania v Maia	75-63
17/01/15	Lusitania v Maia	75-60
26/10/14	Maia v Lusitania	70-64
23/03/14	Maia v Lusitania	60-71
14/12/13	Lusitania v Maia	67-53

Lusitanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/03/16	A	Electrico FC	82-84
25/03/16	A	Vitoria	84-89
06/03/16	A	CAB Madeira	92-88
05/03/16	A	Maia	89-67
27/02/16	H	Electrico FC	92-85 OT
21/02/16	A	FC Porto	65-75
20/02/16	A	Maia	79-72
06/02/16	H	Vitoria	91-74
30/01/16	A	Benfica	65-83
23/01/16	H	Ovarense	78-94

Maialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/04/16	H	Vitoria	64-76
26/03/16	H	CAB Madeira	69-86
12/03/16	H	Electrico FC	93-79
09/03/16	A	Vitoria	62-77
05/03/16	H	Lusitania	67-89
27/02/16	A	CAB Madeira	64-76
21/02/16	A	Electrico FC	57-67
20/02/16	H	Lusitania	72-79
06/02/16	A	CAB Madeira	76-80
30/01/16	H	Galitos	52-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania

LPB 2015-16

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	48%
Home	WLLWW	45%
Away	LWWLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	11	14
Win %	48%	45%	50%
Points / game	75.9	74.9	76.6
Allowed / game	77.6	77.8	77.4
Point differential	-1.7	-2.9	-0.7
Avg total	153.4	152.7	154.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	16%	18%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	0% (2)	60% (5)
Overtime %	4%	9%	0%

Maia

LPB 2015-16

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	15%
Home	LLWLL	29%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	14	12
Win %	15%	29%	0%
Points / game	65.4	67.1	63.5
Allowed / game	79.2	78.1	80.3
Point differential	-13.7	-11.1	-16.8
Avg total	144.6	145.2	143.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	4%	7%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (3)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Benfica	27	24	3	89%	82.1	68.1	+14.0
2	FC Porto	27	22	5	81%	77.3	66.0	+11.4
3	Galitos	26	15	11	58%	72.0	69.2	+2.8
4	Ovarense	27	15	12	56%	76.4	73.1	+3.3
5	Vitoria	26	13	13	50%	75.4	73.5	+1.9
6	Oliveirense	27	13	14	48%	71.5	72.3	-0.8
7	Lusitania	25	12	13	48%	75.9	77.6	-1.7
8	Barcelos	26	12	14	46%	67.8	70.5	-2.6
9	CAB Madeira	25	9	16	36%	72.3	76.8	-4.5
10	Electrico FC	26	5	21	19%	70.5	81.8	-11.4
11	Maia	26	4	22	15%	65.4	79.2	-13.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Lusitania	14	19	13	13	59
Maia	10	22	14	12	58

← all games of the day

Lusitania vs Maia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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