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Maia vs Sampaense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 79-68
17-19 12-13 24-14 26-22
Position#4
Record5-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game74.2
Maia 🏆
Portugal
vs
Position#10
Record4-6
FormLWLWL
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game79.3
PortugalProligaRound 11· Pavilhão Mun. Nortecoope
Other2025-26
Meetings · Maia v Sampaense
24 Apr 2027
MAIA v SAMP
upcoming
13 Dec 2025
MAIA79
SAMP68
01 Feb 2025
MAIA73
SAMP79
16 Nov 2024
MAIA83
SAMP75
04 Feb 2024
MAIA91
SAMP68
18 Dec 2022
MAIA74
SAMP69
16 Dec 2021
MAIA85
SAMP62
21 Apr 2017
MAIA81
SAMP91
12 Nov 2016
MAIA79
SAMP68
24 Jan 2015
MAIA82
SAMP84
06 Apr 2014
MAIA72
SAMP81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sampaense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaia
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#7
L
81-87
81
87
-6
64avg 67
A04/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
69-91
69
91
-22
48avg 67
H11/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
88-60
88
60
+28
85avg 67
H18/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
79-67
79
67
+12
67avg 67
A25/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
65-69
65
69
-4
60avg 67
A31/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
75-84
75
84
-9
66avg 67
A08/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
110-66
110
66
+44
113avg 67
H15/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
71-64
71
64
+7
63avg 67
H22/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
88-59
88
59
+29
94avg 67
A07/12
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
77-95
77
95
-18
60avg 67
A08/12
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
21-22
26-25
16-19
15-22
11-29
23-17
20-23
22-15
23-13
21-16
22-16
23-16
15-20
22-17
19-14
14-20
17-15
15-17
19-17
19-17
18-20
19-20
19-27
26-17
29-19
30-10
25-20
18-16
14-22
12-17
27-9
25-15
18-16
25-16
20-12
20-20
21-19
16-30
20-26
154.5Avg total
80.3Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.374.2154.5+6.150%
Season at home (4)84.570.2154.8+14.275%
Season away (6)77.576.8154.3+0.733%
Last 10 (10)80.374.2154.5+6.150%
Last 5 (5)84.273.6157.8+10.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.582.2157.8-6.850%
vs Similar (14)76.379.5155.8-3.243%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)82.266.4148.6+15.988%
This opponent (Sampaense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SampaensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSampaense
Date
Competition
Lusitania
#3
W
80-74
80
74
+6
no box
H04/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
84-79
84
79
+5
79avg 71
A11/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
74-104
74
104
-30
no box
H18/10
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
67-79
67
79
-12
66avg 71
H25/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
69-76
69
76
-7
57avg 71
A01/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
84-87 OT
84
87
-3
70avg 71
H08/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
75-58
75
58
+17
69avg 71
A15/11
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
46-87
46
87
-41
33avg 71
A22/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
79-76
79
76
+3
79avg 71
H29/11
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
50-73
50
73
-23
37avg 71
A07/12
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
8-26
23-11
29-21
18-26
23-17
23-15
20-21
20-30
13-20
18-24
23-30
16-23
20-15
17-22
14-19
17-20
14-14
22-23
16-19
21-17
16-16
17-23
18-16
25-12
16-20
15-14
19-12
8-21
12-23
20-22
6-21
18-22
24-17
19-12
18-25
14-27
13-21
11-17
12-8
150.1Avg total
70.8Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)70.879.3150.1-8.540%
Season at home (5)76.884.0160.8-7.240%
Season away (5)64.874.6139.4-9.840%
Last 10 (10)70.879.3150.1-8.540%
Last 5 (5)66.876.2143.0-9.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)72.685.5158.2-12.915%
vs Similar (11)88.682.7171.4+5.964%
vs Weaker (6)78.778.3157.0+0.367%
This opponent (Maia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -1.7-1.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -1.7-1.7
MaiaSampaense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#7
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A04/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
26-51
26
51
-25
H11/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H18/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A25/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A31/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A08/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H15/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H22/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A07/12
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A08/12
Proliga
76.1Avg total
38.7Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.038.475.4-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.236.974.1+0.357%-
Last 30 away (16)36.839.876.5-3.038%-
Last 10 (10)38.737.476.1+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.636.277.8+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.641.176.8-5.538%-
vs Similar (14)35.839.975.6-4.136%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)40.433.273.6+7.175%-
This opponent (Sampaense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SampaenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lusitania
#3
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H04/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A11/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H18/10
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H25/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A01/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H08/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A15/11
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
20-44
20
44
-24
A22/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H29/11
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A07/12
Proliga
73.9Avg total
33.6Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.142.181.2-3.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.641.884.4+0.867%-
Last 30 away (15)35.642.578.1-6.920%-
Last 10 (10)33.640.373.9-6.730%-
Last 5 (5)33.439.272.6-5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)34.242.576.7-8.423%-
vs Similar (11)45.543.088.5+2.573%-
vs Weaker (6)38.239.777.8-1.533%-
This opponent (Maia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.719.3
49.9%
50.0%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.8
32.8%
30.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.514.7
71.7%
67.4%14.7
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sampaensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sampaense: 64.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.816.7
52.5%
50.0%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.36.5
33.7%
30.3%19.5
🏀 Free throws18.211.6
63.7%
67.4%11.6
They take 51.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Maia
LWWWLLWWLL
Sampaense
LWLWLLLLWW
#4
League position
#10
+7.7
Net rating
-9.2
100.8
Offensive rating
97.5
93.1
Defensive rating
106.8
49.6%
Effective FG%
51.8%
46.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
24.0%
Turnover %
20.2%
37.2%
Off. rebound %
23.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.36
32.8%
3-point %
33.7%
54.8%
Assist %
50.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.8 · 97.5Defence93.1 · 106.8Shooting49.6% · 51.8%3-point %32.8% · 33.7%Ball care24.0% · 20.2%Off. rebounds37.2% · 23.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Maia   ■ Sampaense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Maia wins
4
Sampaense wins
DateGameScore
25/10/25Sampaense v Maia67-79
22/03/25Sampaense v Maia96-72
01/02/25Maia v Sampaense73-79
11/01/25Sampaense v Maia97-84
16/11/24Maia v Sampaense83-75
04/02/24Maia v Sampaense91-68
02/12/23Sampaense v Maia77-89
18/12/22Maia v Sampaense74-69
22/10/22Sampaense v Maia91-81
16/12/21Maia v Sampaense85-62
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/25ACD Povoa77-95
07/12/25AAcademica88-59
22/11/25HIlliabum71-64
15/11/25HSangalhos110-66
08/11/25AGinasio75-84
31/10/25ALusitania65-69
25/10/25ASampaense79-67
18/10/25HAcademica88-60
11/10/25HCD Povoa69-91
04/10/25AIlliabum81-87
Sampaenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25ACD Povoa50-73
29/11/25HSangalhos79-76
22/11/25ALusitania46-87
15/11/25AAcademica75-58
08/11/25HIlliabum84-87 OT
01/11/25AGinasio69-76
25/10/25HMaia67-79
18/10/25HCD Povoa74-104
11/10/25ASangalhos84-79
04/10/25HLusitania80-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maia
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %50%75%33%
Points / game80.384.577.5
Allowed / game74.270.276.8
Point differential+6.1+14.2+0.7
Avg total154.5154.8154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sampaense
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeWLLLW40%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%40%40%
Points / game70.876.864.8
Allowed / game79.384.074.6
Point differential-8.5-7.2-9.8
Avg total150.1160.8139.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa11110100%89.764.6+25.1
2 CAB Madeira1110191%88.472.5+15.8
3 Illiabum108280%79.067.6+11.4
4 Imortal B118373%82.978.2+4.7
5 Ginasio118373%78.175.0+3.1
6 Portimonense107370%83.276.8+6.4
7 Galomar106460%85.682.5+3.1
8 Maia105550%80.374.2+6.1
9 Lusitania115645%76.671.6+5.0
10 Ginasio Olhanense115645%80.378.9+1.4
11 Sampaense104640%70.879.3-8.5
12 Benfica Lisboa B103730%70.372.6-2.3
13 Santo Andre102820%73.583.9-10.4
14 Sangalhos101910%67.985.3-17.4
15 CB Queluz9090%68.191.3-23.2
16 Academica110110%58.584.0-25.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Maia1712242679
Sampaense1913142268
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