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Manresa vs Real Madrid Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 14 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#16
Record2-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game101.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.2/10
Around normal
6.3/10
Above normal
Position#1
Record8-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game105.2
Allowed / game85.1
SpainACBRound 22· Pavelló Nou Congost
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Manresa v Real Madrid
14 Feb 2027
MAN v MAD
upcoming
29 May 2026
MAN94
MAD87
18 May 2025
MAN65
MAD67
29 Sep 2023
MAN88
MAD94
29 Jan 2023
MAN69
MAD94
28 May 2022
MAN74
MAD83
04 Jan 2022
MAN87
MAD92
27 Mar 2021
MAN76
MAD77
20 Jan 2019
MAN78
MAD83
04 May 2017
MAN80
MAD91
31 Jan 2016
MAN70
MAD102
18 Jan 2015
MAN66
MAD83
23 Feb 2014
MAN69
MAD92
18 Nov 2012
MAN84
MAD97
26 Apr 2012
MAN93
MAD96
30 Jan 2011
MAN61
MAD62
09 Jan 2010
MAN76
MAD90
09 May 2009
MAN81
MAD84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Manresa win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ManresaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormManresa
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
88-100
88
100
-12
82avg 78
A13/10
Eurocup
Unicaja
#8
L
72-84
72
84
-12
59avg 78
H17/10
ACB
BC Roma
#18
W
108-88
108
88
+20
103avg 78
H20/10
Eurocup
San Pablo Burgos
#15
L
81-99
81
99
-18
74avg 78
H24/10
ACB
Balkan
#32
W
76-65
76
65
+11
75avg 78
A27/10
Eurocup
Baskonia
#5
L
83-106
83
106
-23
79avg 78
A01/11
ACB
Lietkabelis
#21
W
80-66
80
66
+14
no box
A04/11
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#13
W
100-99 OT
100
99
+1
no box
H07/11
ACB
KK Bosna
#23
W
86-82
86
82
+4
no box
H10/11
Eurocup
Forca Lleida
#18
W
98-92
98
92
+6
no box
A15/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-32
24-21
22-23
22-24
16-22
19-26
22-16
15-20
32-21
25-25
25-24
26-18
20-34
17-18
26-29
18-18
25-17
14-19
15-14
22-15
22-30
18-20
24-33
19-23
24-14
21-14
22-17
13-21
19-19
16-17
20-12
18-25
24-20
16-22
24-25
22-15
32-25
22-21
23-25
21-21
175.3Avg total
87.2Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)88.0101.0189.0-13.025%
Season at home (4)87.095.8182.8-8.825%
Season away (4)89.0106.2195.2-17.225%
Last 10 (10)87.288.1175.3-0.960%
Last 5 (5)89.489.0178.4+0.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)87.795.9183.5-8.233%
vs Similar (9)88.188.7176.8-0.656%
vs Weaker (6)88.380.3168.7+8.083%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#9
W
119-84
119
84
+35
120avg 92
H18/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
113-99
113
99
+14
108avg 92
A22/10
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#18
W
122-86
122
86
+36
131avg 92
A25/10
ACB
Baskonia
#20
W
104-86
104
86
+18
102avg 92
A27/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
95-76
95
76
+19
90avg 92
H29/10
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
90-79
90
79
+11
82avg 92
H01/11
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
112-115 OT
112
115
-3
no box
H04/11
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
W
90-71
90
71
+19
no box
H08/11
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#6
W
105-84
105
84
+21
no box
H12/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#5
W
98-84
98
84
+14
no box
A15/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-13
26-22
27-22
30-27
23-30
28-22
30-21
32-26
31-21
23-19
27-23
41-23
30-19
26-27
26-23
22-17
22-24
25-18
23-13
25-21
14-17
25-14
25-22
26-26
18-24
30-27
25-23
28-27
22-20
25-19
16-16
27-16
38-20
18-21
26-18
23-25
24-21
23-18
29-19
22-26
191.2Avg total
104.8Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)105.285.1190.4+20.1100%
Season at home (5)101.680.8182.4+20.8100%
Season away (3)111.392.3203.7+19.0100%
Last 10 (10)104.886.4191.2+18.490%
Last 5 (5)99.086.6185.6+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)96.291.7187.8+4.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)98.588.9187.4+9.762%
This opponent (Manresa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +4.2+4.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +4.2+4.2
ManresaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ManresaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A13/10
Eurocup
Unicaja
#8
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H17/10
ACB
BC Roma
#18
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H20/10
Eurocup
San Pablo Burgos
#15
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H24/10
ACB
Balkan
#32
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A27/10
Eurocup
Baskonia
#5
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A01/11
ACB
Lietkabelis
#21
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A04/11
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#13
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H07/11
ACB
KK Bosna
#23
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H10/11
Eurocup
Forca Lleida
#18
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A15/11
ACB
86.3Avg total
42.6Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.244.487.6-1.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.544.488.9+0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)41.944.386.2-2.547%-
Last 10 (10)42.643.786.3-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)42.840.483.2+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)41.547.589.0-6.127%-
vs Similar (9)44.042.986.9+1.178%-
vs Weaker (6)46.338.785.0+7.767%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#9
W
62-35
62
35
+27
H18/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A22/10
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#18
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A25/10
ACB
Baskonia
#20
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A27/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H29/10
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H01/11
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H04/11
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H08/11
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#6
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H12/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#5
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A15/11
ACB
92.3Avg total
50.7Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.544.193.6+5.573%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.941.991.8+7.980%-
Last 30 away (15)49.246.295.4+3.067%-
Last 10 (10)50.741.692.3+9.180%-
Last 5 (5)47.440.287.6+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)50.345.395.7+5.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)49.343.893.1+5.675%-
This opponent (Manresa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Manresatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Manresa: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.121.8
60.4%
55.8%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.8
31.7%
36.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.616.5
76.4%
76.0%16.5
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 106.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.820.6
57.5%
55.8%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.815.0
41.9%
36.4%45.0
🏀 Free throws23.519.8
84.3%
76.0%19.8
They take 71.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Manresa
WWWWLWLWLL
Real Madrid
WWWLWWWWWW
#16
League position
#1
-8.7
Net rating
+23.0
94.2
Offensive rating
114.6
103.0
Defensive rating
91.6
54.8%
Effective FG%
60.2%
56.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
18.4%
Turnover %
12.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.33
31.7%
3-point %
41.9%
65.7%
Assist %
62.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence94.2 · 114.6Defence103.0 · 91.6Shooting54.8% · 60.2%3-point %31.7% · 41.9%Ball care18.4% · 12.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Manresa   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Manresa wins
8
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
11/10/26Real Madrid v Manresa120-83
29/05/26Manresa v Real Madrid94-87
26/10/25Real Madrid v Manresa87-75
18/05/25Manresa v Real Madrid65-67
14/02/25Real Madrid v Manresa92-69
27/10/24Real Madrid v Manresa86-61
31/03/24Real Madrid v Manresa72-83
29/09/23Manresa v Real Madrid88-94
29/01/23Manresa v Real Madrid69-94
11/12/22Real Madrid v Manresa103-89
Manresalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AForca Lleida98-92
10/11/26HKK Bosna86-82
07/11/26HObradoiro CAB100-99 OT
04/11/26ALietkabelis80-66
01/11/26ABaskonia83-106
27/10/26ABalkan76-65
24/10/26HSan Pablo Burgos81-99
20/10/26HBC Roma108-88
17/10/26HUnicaja72-84
13/10/26ABahcesehir Kol.88-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ABaskonia98-84
12/11/26HCrvena zvezda105-84
08/11/26HMurcia90-71
04/11/26HPanathinaikos112-115 OT
01/11/26HSan Pablo Burgos90-79
29/10/26HFenerbahce95-76
27/10/26ABaskonia104-86
25/10/26AForca Lleida122-86
22/10/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv113-99
18/10/26HBilbao119-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Manresa
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW25%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game88.087.089.0
Allowed / game101.095.8106.2
Point differential-13.0-8.8-17.2
Avg total189.0182.8195.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %12%25%0%
Real Madrid
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game105.2101.6111.3
Allowed / game85.180.892.3
Point differential+20.1+20.8+19.0
Avg total190.4182.4203.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%80%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %12%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid880100%105.285.1+20.1
2 Valencia86275%100.689.1+11.5
3 Tenerife86275%87.179.6+7.5
4 Barcelona86275%98.693.0+5.6
5 Baskonia85362%93.686.0+7.6
6 Breogan85362%104.8100.1+4.6
7 Basket Zaragoza85362%92.889.1+3.6
8 Unicaja84450%87.984.1+3.8
9 Bilbao84450%90.091.5-1.5
10 Murcia84450%89.491.1-1.8
11 Basquet Girona84450%88.195.4-7.2
12 Joventut Badalona83538%90.590.4+0.1
13 Obradoiro CAB83538%89.498.0-8.6
14 Leyma Coruna83538%92.5101.2-8.8
15 San Pablo Burgos82625%91.493.0-1.6
16 Manresa82625%88.0101.0-13.0
17 MoraBanc Andorra81712%86.496.5-10.1
18 Forca Lleida81712%92.8104.6-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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