Baskonia vs Real Madrid Prediction & Stats

Baskonia will host Real Madrid in the Liga ACB on 15 November 2026, a clash the Pythia model predicts will be high-scoring with a projected total of 191.9 points driven by Real Madrid's 106.3 points per game and Baskonia's 95.0. Baskonia enter the game 5-2, averaging 95.0 points and allowing 84.3, while Real Madrid are undefeated 7-0, scoring 106.3 and conceding 85.3. Baskonia have won all three of their home games, posting 105.7 points and 78.0 allowed, but have lost two of their last five, including a 65-84 defeat to Fenerbahce; Real Madrid have won four of their last five, with a recent 112-115 loss to Panathinaikos at home. Historically, Real Madrid leads the series 7-3 and last met Baskonia on 27 October 2026, winning 104-86. Pythia gives Real Madrid a 72% chance to win, Baskonia 28%, and projects a 93-99 scoreline; the home team's 3.5-point line has a 37% chance of covering, while the 183.5-point total has a 69% over probability, with a 4% chance of overtime. The game will hinge on whether Baskonia can sustain their home dominance against a flawless Real Madrid side.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia win

27.2%fair 3.67

Best odds3.55

Implied28.4%

Edge-1.2pp

Real Madrid win

72.8%fair 1.37

Best odds1.38

Implied71.6%

Edge+1.2pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 18:31 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Baskonia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBaskonia

Date

Competition

Virtus Bologna

#16

78-86

-8

66avg 83

A16/10

Euroleague

Tenerife

77-82

-5

68avg 83

A18/10

ACB

Panathinaikos

79-85

-6

78avg 83

A22/10

Euroleague

Valencia

75-84

-9

68avg 83

A25/10

ACB

Real Madrid

86-104

104

-18

78avg 83

H27/10

Euroleague

Lyon-Villeurbanne

#15

79-94

-15

67avg 83

A30/10

Euroleague

Manresa

#16

106-83

106

+23

104avg 83

H01/11

ACB

Fenerbahce

65-84

-19

no box

A05/11

Euroleague

Forca Lleida

#18

98-93

no box

A07/11

ACB

Partizan

#11

66-80

-14

no box

A11/11

Euroleague

12-24

22-22

19-22

25-18

18-25

18-14

24-15

17-28

21-20

19-23

14-20

25-22

19-27

16-14

18-18

22-25

19-30

27-26

23-26

17-22

16-26

23-23

20-26

20-19

30-22

20-18

33-24

23-19

18-33

14-19

9-11

24-21

27-20

27-19

24-23

20-31

18-23

20-19

22-23

6-15

168.4Avg total

80.9Scored

87.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	95.0	84.3	179.3	+10.7	71%
Season at home (3)	105.7	78.0	183.7	+27.7	100%
Season away (4)	87.0	89.0	176.0	-2.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	80.9	87.5	168.4	-6.6	20%
Last 5 (5)	82.8	86.8	169.6	-4.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	80.1	92.8	172.9	-12.7	9%
vs Similar (11)	80.8	83.7	164.5	-2.9	36%
vs Weaker (8)	104.8	85.2	190.0	+19.5	100%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real Madrid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMadrid

Date

Competition

Lyon-Villeurbanne

#15

111-92

111

+19

109avg 90

H15/10

Euroleague

Bilbao

119-84

119

+35

120avg 90

H18/10

ACB

Maccabi Tel Aviv

#17

113-99

113

+14

108avg 90

A22/10

Euroleague

Forca Lleida

#18

122-86

122

+36

131avg 90

A25/10

ACB

Baskonia

#20

104-86

104

+18

102avg 90

A27/10

Euroleague

Fenerbahce

95-76

+19

90avg 90

H29/10

Euroleague

San Pablo Burgos

#15

90-79

+11

82avg 90

H01/11

ACB

Panathinaikos

112-115 OT

112

115

-3

no box

H04/11

Euroleague

Murcia

#11

90-71

+19

no box

H08/11

ACB

Crvena zvezda

105-84

105

+21

no box

H12/11

Euroleague

27-25

34-23

16-23

34-21

36-13

26-22

27-22

30-27

23-30

28-22

30-21

32-26

31-21

23-19

27-23

41-23

30-19

26-27

26-23

22-17

22-24

25-18

23-13

25-21

14-17

25-14

25-22

26-26

18-24

30-27

25-23

28-27

22-20

25-19

16-16

27-16

38-20

18-21

26-18

23-25

193.3Avg total

106.1Scored

87.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	106.3	85.3	191.6	+21.0	100%
Season at home (5)	101.6	80.8	182.4	+20.8	100%
Season away (2)	118.0	96.5	214.5	+21.5	100%
Last 10 (10)	106.1	87.2	193.3	+18.9	90%
Last 5 (5)	98.4	85.0	183.4	+13.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	92.3	89.4	181.7	+2.9	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	98.6	89.1	187.7	+9.5	61%

This opponent (Baskonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

Pythia expects about 189 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 185-189 (12%). The market's main line is 185.5.

Over/Under 180.5

Over 180.5

68.7%

@ 1.53+7.1pp

Under 180.5

31.3%

@ 2.50-7.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.53

Marathon Be

1.53

Betano

1.50

Bet365

1.50

WilliamHill

1.50

Under

Bet365

2.50

WilliamHill

2.50

Betano

2.40

1xBet

2.25

Marathon Be

2.25

Over/Under 185.5 · main line

Over 185.5

57.3%

@ 1.94+7.7pp

Under 185.5

42.7%

@ 2.00-7.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.94

Pinnacle

1.93

Marathon Be

1.92

SBO

1.85

WilliamHill

1.84

Under

WilliamHill

2.00

Bet365

1.95

BetVictor

1.95

Betano

1.91

1xBet

1.90

Over/Under 190.5

Over 190.5

45.3%

@ 2.30+4.7pp

Under 190.5

54.7%

@ 1.58-4.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

WilliamHill

2.30

Betano

2.27

Bet365

2.22

Under

Bet365

1.58

WilliamHill

1.57

Betano

1.55

Marathon Be

1.50

📊 3. Team Totals

Baskonia total 86.5

Over 86.5

65.8%

@ 1.68+6.7pp

Under 86.5

34.2%

@ 2.35-6.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.68

Bet365

1.57

WilliamHill

1.57

Betano

1.47

Under

Betano

2.35

WilliamHill

2.30

Bet365

2.25

1xBet

2.14

Baskonia total 90.5 · main line

Over 90.5

51.0%

@ 2.00+3.0pp

Under 90.5

49.0%

@ 1.83-3.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.00

Marathon Be

2.00

Betano

1.93

BetVictor

1.93

WilliamHill

1.91

Under

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.83

WilliamHill

1.80

Betano

1.75

1xBet

1.72

Baskonia total 94.5

Over 94.5

36.3%

@ 2.75+2.4pp

Under 94.5

63.7%

@ 1.40-2.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.75

Betano

2.65

Under

Bet365

1.40

Betano

1.37

Real Madrid total 90.5

Over 90.5

76.7%

@ 1.55+12.3pp

Under 90.5

23.3%

@ 2.92-12.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.55

Betano

1.31

Under

Betano

2.92

Bet365

2.30

Real Madrid total 94.5 · main line

Over 94.5

63.2%

@ 1.83+9.5pp

Under 94.5

36.8%

@ 2.12-9.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.83

1xBet

1.75

Marathon Be

1.72

WilliamHill

1.67

Under

Betano

2.12

WilliamHill

2.10

1xBet

2.03

Marathon Be

2.00

BetVictor

1.93

Real Madrid total 98.5

Over 98.5

47.7%

@ 2.70+6.2pp

Under 98.5

52.3%

@ 1.60-6.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.70

WilliamHill

2.25

Betano

2.15

Under

Betano

1.60

WilliamHill

1.60

Bet365

1.41

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

Margin from Baskonia's side (positive = Baskonia win). Pythia's expected margin is -6.9; Baskonia win by 1+ in 24% of simulations.

Spread Baskonia +4

BAS +4

38.0%

@ 2.29-3.2pp

MAD -4

62.0%

@ 1.62+3.2pp

Best 5 market prices

BAS

Pinnacle

2.29

Marathon Be

2.19

1xBet

2.19

Bet365

2.15

MAD

Bet365

1.62

Pinnacle

1.61

Marathon Be

1.60

1xBet

1.60

Spread Baskonia +7 · main line

BAS +7

49.6%

@ 1.88-1.3pp

MAD -7

50.4%

@ 1.97+1.3pp

Best 5 market prices

BAS

Pinnacle

1.88

Marathon Be

1.82

1xBet

1.82

SBO

1.81

Bet365

1.74

MAD

Marathon Be

1.97

1xBet

1.97

Bet365

1.95

Pinnacle

1.95

SBO

1.87

Spread Baskonia +10

BAS +10

60.8%

@ 1.49-0.7pp

MAD -10

39.2%

@ 2.55+0.7pp

Best 5 market prices

BAS

Marathon Be

1.49

1xBet

1.49

Bet365

1.47

MAD

Bet365

2.55

Marathon Be

2.38

1xBet

2.38

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BaskoniaReal Madrid

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 44.5
Last 30 (30)	21.0	23.8	44.8	-2.8	37%	57%
Last 30 at home (15)	23.0	22.9	45.9	+0.1	53%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	19.0	24.7	43.7	-5.7	20%	47%
Last 10 (10)	19.8	25.0	44.8	-5.2	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	21.8	24.8	46.6	-3.0	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	19.0	27.0	46.0	-8.0	9%	55%
vs Similar (11)	19.8	22.6	42.5	-2.8	27%	45%
vs Weaker (8)	25.4	20.9	46.2	+4.5	88%	75%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 44.5
Last 30 (30)	24.3	22.0	46.2	+2.3	60%	70%
Last 30 at home (15)	25.2	20.4	45.6	+4.8	80%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	23.3	23.5	46.9	-0.2	40%	73%
Last 10 (10)	26.1	21.3	47.4	+4.8	60%	70%
Last 5 (5)	22.8	21.0	43.8	+1.8	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	25.9	22.3	48.1	+3.6	71%	57%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	23.8	21.9	45.7	+1.9	57%	74%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 44
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.4	40.6	+1.8	60%	30%
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	19.3	42.6	+3.9	80%	40%
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	19.4	38.5	-0.3	40%	20%
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.7	40.3	+0.9	60%	30%
Last 5 (5)	20.8	19.6	40.4	+1.2	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	21.3	21.2	42.5	+0.1	45%	36%
vs Similar (11)	18.4	17.9	36.3	+0.5	55%	9%
vs Weaker (8)	25.0	18.9	43.9	+6.1	88%	50%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 44
Last 30 (30)	24.9	21.9	46.8	+3.0	60%	57%
Last 30 at home (15)	24.7	21.5	46.2	+3.1	60%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	25.1	22.3	47.5	+2.8	60%	67%
Last 10 (10)	26.0	21.2	47.2	+4.8	80%	50%
Last 5 (5)	24.6	19.8	44.4	+4.8	80%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	22.4	21.4	43.9	+1.0	57%	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	25.7	22.1	47.7	+3.6	61%	61%

BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Bologna

#16

34-46

-12

A16/10

Euroleague

Tenerife

36-39

-3

A18/10

ACB

Panathinaikos

40-43

-3

A22/10

Euroleague

Valencia

35-41

-6

A25/10

ACB

Real Madrid

46-56

-10

H27/10

Euroleague

Lyon-Villeurbanne

#15

39-49

-10

A30/10

Euroleague

Manresa

#16

50-40

+10

H01/11

ACB

Fenerbahce

32-52

-20

A05/11

Euroleague

Forca Lleida

#18

54-39

+15

A07/11

ACB

Partizan

#11

38-42

-4

A11/11

Euroleague

85.1Avg total

40.4Scored

44.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 90.5
Last 30 (30)	42.2	43.1	85.3	-0.9	40%	27%
Last 30 at home (15)	46.3	42.2	88.5	+4.1	67%	40%
Last 30 away (15)	38.1	44.1	82.2	-5.9	13%	13%
Last 10 (10)	40.4	44.7	85.1	-4.3	20%	20%
Last 5 (5)	42.6	44.4	87.0	-1.8	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	40.3	48.2	88.5	-7.9	9%	27%
vs Similar (11)	38.2	40.5	78.7	-2.4	27%	9%
vs Weaker (8)	50.4	39.8	90.1	+10.6	100%	50%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lyon-Villeurbanne

#15

61-48

+13

H15/10

Euroleague

Bilbao

62-35

+27

H18/10

ACB

Maccabi Tel Aviv

#17

51-52

-1

A22/10

Euroleague

Forca Lleida

#18

54-40

+14

A25/10

ACB

Baskonia

#20

56-46

+10

A27/10

Euroleague

Fenerbahce

47-42

H29/10

Euroleague

San Pablo Burgos

#15

39-31

H01/11

ACB

Panathinaikos

48-51

-3

H04/11

Euroleague

Murcia

#11

47-39

H08/11

ACB

Crvena zvezda

56-41

+15

H12/11

Euroleague

94.6Avg total

52.1Scored

42.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 90.5
Last 30 (30)	49.2	43.9	93.1	+5.3	73%	60%
Last 30 at home (15)	49.9	41.9	91.8	+7.9	80%	53%
Last 30 away (15)	48.5	45.9	94.3	+2.6	67%	67%
Last 10 (10)	52.1	42.5	94.6	+9.6	80%	70%
Last 5 (5)	47.4	40.8	88.2	+6.6	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	48.3	43.7	92.0	+4.6	71%	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	49.4	44.0	93.4	+5.5	74%	65%

This opponent (Baskonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winner

BAS win

36.9%

@ 2.88+3.7pp

MAD win

63.1%

@ 1.50-3.7pp

1st half Spread Baskonia +3.5 · main line

BAS +3.5

51.9%

@ 1.94+2.5pp

MAD -3.5

48.1%

@ 2.15-2.5pp

1st half Over/Under 90.5 · main line

Over

63.6%

@ 1.95+13.9pp

Under

36.4%

@ 1.91-13.9pp

Baskonia 1st half total 43.5 · main line

Over

61.4%

@ 1.92+12.5pp

Under

38.6%

@ 1.83-12.5pp

Real Madrid 1st half total 46.5 · main line

Over

61.6%

@ 1.86+11.3pp

Under

38.4%

@ 1.98-11.3pp

1st half: BAS + total 90.5

BAS & over

22.9%

@ 5.00+5.7pp

BAS & under

12.5%

@ 4.90-5.1pp

1st half: Draw + total 90.5

Draw & over

2.5%

@ 26.00-0.8pp

Draw & under

1.4%

@ 26.00-1.9pp

1st half: MAD + total 90.5

MAD & over

38.2%

@ 3.00+9.4pp

MAD & under

22.4%

@ 2.90-7.3pp

1st half Over/Under 89

Over

69.4%

@ 1.81+15.5pp

Under

30.6%

@ 2.06-15.5pp

1st half Spread Baskonia +2.5

BAS +2.5

47.9%

@ 2.13+3.0pp

MAD -2.5

52.1%

@ 1.80-3.0pp

1st half Spread Baskonia +4.5

BAS +4.5

56.0%

@ 1.79+2.8pp

MAD -4.5

44.0%

@ 2.10-2.8pp

1st half Over/Under 92.5

Over

56.4%

@ 2.20+13.4pp

Under

43.6%

@ 1.73-13.4pp

1st half Over/Under 87.5

Over

73.6%

@ 1.73+17.3pp

Under

26.4%

@ 2.38-17.3pp

1st half Spread Baskonia +1.5

BAS +1.5

43.6%

@ 2.25+0.1pp

MAD -1.5

56.4%

@ 1.86-0.1pp

1st half Spread Baskonia +5.5

BAS +5.5

60.1%

@ 1.62-0.7pp

MAD -5.5

40.0%

@ 2.65+0.7pp

1st half 3-way (draw possible)

BAS

35.4%

@ 2.90+1.6pp

Draw

4.0%

@ 21.00-1.6pp

MAD

60.6%

@ 1.52-0.1pp

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 47
Last 30 (30)	21.9	22.1	44.0	-0.2	40%	27%
Last 30 at home (15)	24.3	23.5	47.8	+0.7	47%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	20.7	40.2	-1.1	33%	7%
Last 10 (10)	20.6	20.8	41.4	-0.2	30%	20%
Last 5 (5)	21.6	21.4	43.0	+0.2	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	19.0	22.8	41.8	-3.8	9%	18%
vs Similar (11)	21.4	20.5	41.8	+0.9	45%	9%
vs Weaker (8)	26.6	23.4	50.0	+3.2	75%	62%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 47
Last 30 (30)	23.2	20.6	43.8	+2.6	67%	33%
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	20.9	43.3	+1.4	60%	33%
Last 30 away (15)	24.1	20.3	44.4	+3.9	73%	33%
Last 10 (10)	24.1	20.4	44.5	+3.7	80%	50%
Last 5 (5)	23.0	18.4	41.4	+4.6	80%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	20.4	19.0	39.4	+1.4	57%	14%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	24.1	21.1	45.2	+3.0	70%	39%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 47.5
Last 30 (30)	22.8	22.2	45.1	+0.6	50%	33%
Last 30 at home (15)	24.0	21.3	45.3	+2.7	60%	40%
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	23.2	44.9	-1.5	40%	27%
Last 10 (10)	19.9	22.0	41.9	-2.1	50%	10%
Last 5 (5)	18.6	21.0	39.6	-2.4	60%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	20.8	21.8	42.6	-1.0	45%	27%
vs Similar (11)	21.3	22.7	44.0	-1.5	27%	18%
vs Weaker (8)	27.8	22.1	49.9	+5.6	88%	62%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 47.5
Last 30 (30)	23.8	23.9	47.8	-0.1	43%	57%
Last 30 at home (15)	25.1	24.9	49.9	+0.2	47%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	22.6	23.0	45.6	-0.4	40%	47%
Last 10 (10)	28.8	22.9	51.7	+5.9	80%	70%
Last 5 (5)	25.8	23.0	48.8	+2.8	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	22.0	24.7	46.7	-2.7	43%	57%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	24.4	23.7	48.1	+0.7	43%	57%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 94.5
Last 30 (30)	44.7	44.3	89.1	+0.4	37%	33%
Last 30 at home (15)	48.3	44.8	93.1	+3.5	47%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	41.2	43.9	85.1	-2.7	27%	20%
Last 10 (10)	40.5	42.8	83.3	-2.3	30%	20%
Last 5 (5)	40.2	42.4	82.6	-2.2	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	39.8	44.6	84.5	-4.8	27%	9%
vs Similar (11)	42.6	43.2	85.8	-0.5	27%	18%
vs Weaker (8)	54.4	45.5	99.9	+8.9	62%	88%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 94.5
Last 30 (30)	47.1	44.5	91.6	+2.5	57%	37%
Last 30 at home (15)	47.4	45.8	93.2	+1.6	60%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	46.7	43.3	90.0	+3.5	53%	27%
Last 10 (10)	52.9	43.3	96.2	+9.6	100%	50%
Last 5 (5)	48.8	41.4	90.2	+7.4	100%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	42.4	43.7	86.1	-1.3	43%	14%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	48.5	44.8	93.3	+3.7	61%	43%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

BAS win + total 185.5

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MAD win + total 185.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

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Half-time / full-time: BAS leads at half

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Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: MAD leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

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Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

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Double chance (regulation)

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Quarters won (BAS:MAD): BAS wins more

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🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds PRO1.20

Edge PRO

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge
Q2: Over 42.5	73.7%	1.81	Marathon Bet 1.81	-	-	-	-	+22.1pp
Q2: Real Madrid over 21.5	70.9%	1.74	Marathon Bet 1.74	-	-	-	-	+17.1pp
Q2: Baskonia over 20	71.6%	1.70	Marathon Bet 1.70	-	-	-	-	+16.6pp
Real Madrid +4	82.3%	1.23	Bet365 1.30	Marathon Bet 1.17	-	-	-	+10.5pp
Real Madrid (regulation)	70.3%	1.40	1xBet 1.45	Marathon Bet 1.39	Betano 1.36	-	-	+4.1pp
■■■■■■ ■■■	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%

🔒 231 more picks for this game · Unlock all Best Picks & everything else with Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 83.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀23%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 23% of the points

League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game

47%

34%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.2	20.0	52.4%	55.8%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.7	8.2	33.2%	36.4%	24.6
🏀 Free throws	24.7	18.8	76.1%	76.0%	18.8

They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 106.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀39%

🏀🏀🏀42%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 39% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.0 pts a game · 42% of the points

🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game

47%

34%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.8	20.6	57.5%	55.8%	41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	35.8	15.0	41.9%	36.4%	45.0
🏀 Free throws	23.5	19.8	84.3%	76.0%	19.8

They take 71.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	23.2	57.3%	55.8%	46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	9.1	35.1%	36.4%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	18.6	14.1	75.8%	76.0%	14.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.9	22.3	50.8%	55.8%	44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.4	8.5	33.5%	36.4%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	20.2	14.6	72.3%	76.0%	14.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.9	19.4	57.2%	55.8%	38.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.3	9.4	34.3%	36.4%	28.1
🏀 Free throws	21.2	16.9	79.9%	76.0%	16.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.3	20.0	61.9%	55.8%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.9	11.5	37.3%	36.4%	34.5
🏀 Free throws	19.7	15.8	80.2%	76.0%	15.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	22.5	55.6%	55.8%	45.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.1	8.4	33.5%	36.4%	25.2
🏀 Free throws	17.4	13.1	75.4%	76.0%	13.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	20.5	55.9%	55.8%	41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.8	9.6	35.9%	36.4%	28.9
🏀 Free throws	17.7	13.3	75.3%	76.0%	13.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Baskonia

LWLWLLLLLL

Real Madrid

WWLWWWWWWW

League position

-5.0

Net rating

+23.0

94.9

Offensive rating

114.6

99.9

Defensive rating

91.6

51.4%

Effective FG%

60.2%

55.5%

Opp. effective FG%

50.6%

16.2%

Turnover %

12.7%

0.39

Free-throw rate

0.33

33.2%

3-point %

41.9%

65.6%

Assist %

62.4%

20%

Form (last 10/10)

90%

Profile

■ Baskonia ■ Real Madrid

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Baskonia wins

Real Madrid wins

Date	Game	Score
27/10/26	Baskonia v Real Madrid	86-104
27/05/26	Real Madrid v Baskonia	83-88
03/04/26	Baskonia v Real Madrid	98-96
11/12/25	Real Madrid v Baskonia	94-87
12/10/25	Baskonia v Real Madrid	105-100
06/06/25	Baskonia v Real Madrid	103-112
03/06/25	Real Madrid v Baskonia	82-76
16/03/25	Real Madrid v Baskonia	83-78
23/01/25	Real Madrid v Baskonia	90-89
06/01/25	Baskonia v Real Madrid	82-89

Baskonialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/11/26	A	Partizan	66-80
07/11/26	A	Forca Lleida	98-93
05/11/26	A	Fenerbahce	65-84
01/11/26	H	Manresa	106-83
30/10/26	A	Lyon-Villeurbanne	79-94
27/10/26	H	Real Madrid	86-104
25/10/26	A	Valencia	75-84
22/10/26	A	Panathinaikos	79-85
18/10/26	A	Tenerife	77-82
16/10/26	A	Virtus Bologna	78-86

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/11/26	H	Crvena zvezda	105-84
08/11/26	H	Murcia	90-71
04/11/26	H	Panathinaikos	112-115 OT
01/11/26	H	San Pablo Burgos	90-79
29/10/26	H	Fenerbahce	95-76
27/10/26	A	Baskonia	104-86
25/10/26	A	Forca Lleida	122-86
22/10/26	A	Maccabi Tel Aviv	113-99
18/10/26	H	Bilbao	119-84
15/10/26	H	Lyon-Villeurbanne	111-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia

ACB 2026-27

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	71%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	WLLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	3	4
Win %	71%	100%	50%
Points / game	95.0	105.7	87.0
Allowed / game	84.3	78.0	89.0
Point differential	+10.7	+27.7	-2.0
Avg total	179.3	183.7	176.0
Over 185.5	57%	67%	50%
Win by 10+	43%	100%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	-	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Real Madrid

ACB 2026-27

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	5	2
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	106.3	101.6	118.0
Allowed / game	85.3	80.8	96.5
Point differential	+21.0	+20.8	+21.5
Avg total	191.6	182.4	214.5
Over 185.5	57%	40%	100%
Win by 10+	71%	80%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	14%	0%	50%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Madrid	7	7	0	100%	106.3	85.3	+21.0
2	Valencia	8	6	2	75%	100.6	89.1	+11.5
3	Tenerife	8	6	2	75%	87.1	79.6	+7.5
4	Baskonia	7	5	2	71%	95.0	84.3	+10.7
5	Barcelona	7	5	2	71%	97.3	94.4	+2.9
6	Breogan	8	5	3	62%	104.8	100.1	+4.6
7	Basket Zaragoza	8	5	3	62%	92.8	89.1	+3.6
8	Bilbao	7	4	3	57%	92.0	92.6	-0.6
9	Basquet Girona	7	4	3	57%	90.7	97.3	-6.6
10	Unicaja	7	3	4	43%	88.7	86.1	+2.6
11	Murcia	7	3	4	43%	90.1	93.3	-3.1
12	Obradoiro CAB	7	3	4	43%	90.3	96.6	-6.3
13	Joventut Badalona	8	3	5	38%	90.5	90.4	+0.1
14	Leyma Coruna	8	3	5	38%	92.5	101.2	-8.8
15	San Pablo Burgos	8	2	6	25%	91.4	93.0	-1.6
16	Manresa	8	2	6	25%	88.0	101.0	-13.0
17	MoraBanc Andorra	8	1	7	12%	86.4	96.5	-10.1
18	Forca Lleida	8	1	7	12%	92.8	104.6	-11.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

← all games of the day

Baskonia vs Real Madrid Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Total points distribution

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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