PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Marquette vs Providence Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 06 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#146
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game53.0
vs
Position#112
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game57.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Marquette v Providence
05 Jan 2027
MARQ v PROV
upcoming
19 Jan 2026
MARQ105
PROV104
25 Feb 2025
MARQ82
PROV52
15 Mar 2024
MARQ79
PROV68
28 Feb 2024
MARQ91
PROV69
18 Jan 2023
MARQ83
PROV75
04 Jan 2022
MARQ88
PROV56
12 Jan 2021
MARQ79
PROV69
07 Jan 2020
MARQ80
PROV81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Marquette win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Providence win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MarquetteUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xavier
#248
L
88-96
88
96
-8
A14/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
70-76
70
76
-6
H19/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
76-60
76
60
+16
A25/02
NCAA
DePaul
#213
L
51-62
51
62
-11
H01/03
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
78-56
78
56
+22
A05/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
W
68-62
68
62
+6
H07/03
NCAA
Xavier
#248
L
87-89
87
89
-2
H11/03
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#317
W
78-43
78
43
+35
H03/11
NCAA
Detroit
#453
W
93-32
93
32
+61
H07/11
NCAA
Michigan
#163
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-51
53-45
35-44
35-32
40-35
36-25
14-32
37-30
37-23
41-33
33-35
35-27
38-38
49-51
36-14
42-29
41-19
52-13
27-35
43-49
141.9Avg total
75.9Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.353.0133.3+27.367%
Season at home (2)85.537.5123.0+48.0100%
Season away (1)70.084.0154.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)75.966.0141.9+9.950%
Last 5 (5)79.262.0141.2+17.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)68.977.6146.5-8.78%
vs Similar (15)76.774.7151.4+1.953%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)80.353.0133.3+27.367%
This opponent (Providence) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ProvidenceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xavier
#248
W
94-84
94
84
+10
H26/02
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
79-76
79
76
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
56-78
56
78
-22
H05/03
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
79-80
79
80
-1
A08/03
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
91-81
91
81
+10
A11/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
72-85
72
85
-13
A12/03
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#337
W
83-56
83
56
+27
H03/11
NCAA
Nebraska
#20
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A08/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#340
W
78-55
78
55
+23
H11/11
NCAA
Colorado
#213
W
67-53
67
53
+14
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
47-34
47-50
39-37
40-39
23-37
33-41
34-43
45-37
40-42
51-39
27-48
45-37
34-26
49-30
25-30
33-37
38-25
40-30
34-26
33-27
147.2Avg total
75.7Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)71.557.8129.2+13.875%
Season at home (3)76.054.7130.7+21.3100%
Season away (1)58.067.0125.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)75.771.5147.2+4.260%
Last 5 (5)71.663.2134.8+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)76.484.1160.6-7.711%
vs Similar (17)85.283.5168.7+1.853%
vs Weaker (4)80.557.0137.5+23.5100%
This opponent (Marquette) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: +8.9+8.92nd half: +4.9+4.9
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: +8.9+8.92nd half: +4.9+4.9
MarquetteProvidence
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MarquetteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xavier
#248
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A14/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H19/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A25/02
NCAA
DePaul
#213
L
14-32
14
32
-18
H01/03
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
37-23
37
23
+14
A05/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H07/03
NCAA
Xavier
#248
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H11/03
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#317
W
36-14
36
14
+22
H03/11
NCAA
Detroit
#453
W
41-19
41
19
+22
H07/11
NCAA
Michigan
#163
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A12/11
NCAA
66.2Avg total
33.6Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.235.170.2+0.140%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.232.969.1+3.447%-
Last 30 away (13)33.837.971.7-4.231%-
Last 10 (10)33.632.666.2+1.040%-
Last 5 (5)35.028.263.2+6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)33.638.371.9-4.817%-
vs Similar (15)36.534.971.5+1.653%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)34.722.757.3+12.067%-
This opponent (Providence) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ProvidenceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xavier
#248
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H26/02
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A28/02
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
23-37
23
37
-14
H05/03
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A08/03
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A11/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A12/03
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#337
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H03/11
NCAA
Nebraska
#20
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A08/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#340
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H11/11
NCAA
Colorado
#213
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H14/11
NCAA
68.9Avg total
34.1Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.236.974.2+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.232.971.1+5.462%-
Last 30 away (14)36.141.677.6-5.529%-
Last 10 (10)34.134.868.9-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)31.631.062.6+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)33.040.473.4-7.411%-
vs Similar (17)38.938.076.9+0.953%-
vs Weaker (4)39.524.564.0+15.0100%-
This opponent (Marquette) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Marquette wins
3
Providence wins
DateGameScore
05/03/26Providence v Marquette56-78
19/01/26Marquette v Providence105-104 OT
26/02/25Marquette v Providence82-52
31/12/24Providence v Marquette50-78
16/03/24Marquette v Providence79-68
29/02/24Marquette v Providence91-69
20/12/23Providence v Marquette72-57
19/01/23Marquette v Providence83-75
21/12/22Providence v Marquette103-98 OT
30/01/22Providence v Marquette65-63
Marquettelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AMichigan70-84
07/11/26HDetroit93-32
03/11/26HMercyhurst Lakers78-43
11/03/26HXavier87-89
07/03/26HUconn68-62
05/03/26AProvidence78-56
01/03/26HDePaul51-62
25/02/26AGeorgetown76-60
19/02/26HSt. John's (N.Y.)70-76
14/02/26AXavier88-96
Providencelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HColorado67-53
11/11/26HBryant University78-55
08/11/26ANebraska58-67
03/11/26HMaine Black Bears83-56
12/03/26ASt. John's (N.Y.)72-85
11/03/26AButler91-81
08/03/26AGeorgetown79-80
05/03/26HMarquette56-78
28/02/26ACreighton79-76
26/02/26HXavier94-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Marquette
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game80.385.570.0
Allowed / game53.037.584.0
Point differential+27.3+48.0-14.0
Avg total133.3123.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Providence
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game71.576.058.0
Allowed / game57.854.767.0
Point differential+13.8+21.3-9.0
Avg total129.2130.7125.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Xavier440100%88.555.8+32.8
2 St. John's (N.Y.)330100%90.762.3+28.3
3 Uconn440100%84.558.0+26.5
4 DePaul440100%77.058.0+19.0
5 Georgetown440100%83.572.0+11.5
6 Villanova43175%86.565.2+21.2
7 Providence43175%71.557.8+13.8
8 Seton Hall43175%69.261.5+7.8
9 Marquette32167%80.353.0+27.3
10 Creighton32167%80.368.3+12.0
11 Butler42250%85.075.2+9.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.