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Marshall vs Arkansas State Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 02 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#301
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#228
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game79.5
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Marshall v Arkansas State
02 Jan 2027
MARS v ARKA
upcoming
05 Feb 2025
MARS77
ARKA72
27 Nov 2020
MARS70
ARKA56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Marshall win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MarshallUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#120
W
84-80
84
80
+4
H17/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
94-93
94
93
+1
A19/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A21/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
97-88
97
88
+9
H25/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
82-99
82
99
-17
H28/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
78-82
78
82
-4
H09/03
NCAA
Buffalo
#279
W
92-65
92
65
+27
H03/11
NCAA
Toledo
#262
L
76-81
76
81
-5
H07/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#224
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A09/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#242
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
48-35
36-45
41-52
53-41
24-36
51-43
49-42
48-46
40-38
42-61
35-42
43-40
45-24
47-41
38-27
38-54
27-45
47-39
34-28
37-46
164.8Avg total
82.3Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.276.0154.2+2.225%
Season at home (2)84.073.0157.0+11.050%
Season away (2)72.579.0151.5-6.50%
Last 10 (10)82.382.5164.8-0.240%
Last 5 (5)78.277.2155.4+1.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.580.0151.5-8.50%
vs Similar ◀ (20)78.278.9157.1-0.850%
vs Weaker (7)85.377.6162.9+7.757%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#120
L
88-92 OT
88
92
-4
H14/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
79-62
79
62
+17
A20/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
102-94
102
94
+8
A21/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
89-84
89
84
+5
H25/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
81-58
81
58
+23
H28/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
77-80
77
80
-3
H06/03
NCAA
Toledo
#262
W
71-70
71
70
+1
H03/11
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
86-101
86
101
-15
A07/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#198
L
65-82
65
82
-17
H11/11
NCAA
Dillard
#430
W
99-65
99
65
+34
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
41-32
42-51
36-33
43-29
56-49
46-45
53-44
36-40
37-22
44-36
34-42
43-38
36-35
35-35
34-51
52-50
34-54
31-28
48-33
51-32
162.5Avg total
83.7Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.279.5159.8+0.850%
Season at home (3)78.372.3150.7+6.067%
Season away (1)86.0101.0187.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)83.778.8162.5+4.960%
Last 5 (5)79.679.6159.2+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.787.7166.3-9.033%
vs Similar ◀ (10)81.675.8157.4+5.860%
vs Weaker (15)82.875.2158.0+7.667%
This opponent (Marshall) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: +3.9+3.9
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: +3.9+3.9
MarshallArkansas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MarshallLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#120
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H17/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A19/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A21/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H25/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H28/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H09/03
NCAA
Buffalo
#279
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H03/11
NCAA
Toledo
#262
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H07/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#224
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A09/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#242
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A14/11
NCAA
75.0Avg total
38.1Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.837.374.1-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.135.674.6+3.559%-
Last 30 away (13)33.939.573.5-5.623%-
Last 10 (10)38.136.975.0+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)35.833.269.0+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.040.070.0-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)35.438.073.4-2.640%-
vs Weaker (7)41.636.177.7+5.457%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#120
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H14/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A20/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A21/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H25/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H28/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H06/03
NCAA
Toledo
#262
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H03/11
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A07/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#198
L
34-54
34
54
-20
H11/11
NCAA
Dillard
#430
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H15/11
NCAA
80.4Avg total
40.9Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.735.375.1+4.470%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.734.174.7+6.672%-
Last 30 away (12)38.337.275.6+1.167%-
Last 10 (10)40.939.580.4+1.470%-
Last 5 (5)37.243.080.2-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.746.782.3-11.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.631.771.3+7.980%-
vs Weaker (15)39.336.375.7+3.067%-
This opponent (Marshall) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Marshall wins
1
Arkansas State wins
Marshalllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AYoungstown State71-74
09/11/26AOhio State74-84
07/11/26HToledo76-81
03/11/26HBuffalo92-65
09/03/26HGeorgia Southern78-82
28/02/26HGeorgia Southern82-99
25/02/26HOld Dominion97-88
21/02/26ACoastal Carolina75-79
19/02/26AAppalachian State94-93
17/02/26HSouth Alabama84-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HDillard99-65
11/11/26HUT Martin65-82
07/11/26AAlabama86-101
03/11/26HToledo71-70
06/03/26HGeorgia Southern77-80
28/02/26HLouisiana Lafayette81-58
25/02/26HSouthern Miss89-84
21/02/26ALouisiana Monroe102-94
20/02/26ALouisiana Lafayette79-62
14/02/26HSouth Alabama88-92 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Marshall
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game78.284.072.5
Allowed / game76.073.079.0
Point differential+2.2+11.0-6.5
Avg total154.2157.0151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Arkansas State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game80.278.386.0
Allowed / game79.572.3101.0
Point differential+0.8+6.0-15.0
Avg total159.8150.7187.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas State440100%89.862.8+27.0
2 Old Dominion550100%77.058.4+18.6
3 Appalachian State42250%69.060.2+8.8
4 Southern Miss42250%72.070.8+1.2
5 Arkansas State42250%80.279.5+0.8
6 Coastal Carolina42250%72.573.5-1.0
7 South Alabama52340%74.676.0-1.4
8 Louisiana Lafayette31233%59.060.3-1.3
9 James Madison31233%76.078.7-2.7
10 Georgia State41325%85.877.2+8.5
11 Marshall41325%78.276.0+2.2
12 Georgia Southern41325%77.882.8-5.0
13 Troy41325%66.078.0-12.0
14 Louisiana Monroe61517%75.087.7-12.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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