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Marsonia vs Hermes Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 80-66
12-14 17-27 30-15 21-10
Position#6
Record11-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game84.3
vs
Position#14
Record3-16
FormLLWLL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game90.4
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 20· Sports Hall Viju
Other2024-25
Meetings · Marsonia v Hermes
09 Mar 2025
MARS80
HERM66
10 Dec 2023
MARS95
HERM91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Marsonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hermes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MarsoniaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMarsonia
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
W
98-71
98
71
+27
92avg 75
H12/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
91-86
91
86
+5
82avg 75
A16/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
80-100
80
100
-20
71avg 75
A19/01
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
108-92
108
92
+16
99avg 75
A25/01
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
W
106-98 OT
106
98
+8
93avg 75
H01/02
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
84-107
84
107
-23
61avg 75
A08/02
Prva Liga
Cibona
#4
L
85-90
85
90
-5
77avg 75
A11/02
Croatian Cup
Jazine
#5
W
89-86
89
86
+3
78avg 75
H16/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
70-86
70
86
-16
49avg 75
A23/02
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
L
75-93
75
93
-18
61avg 75
A02/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-15
25-15
23-21
24-20
25-25
24-18
20-19
22-24
24-22
24-25
7-28
25-25
28-23
23-25
34-19
23-25
26-23
24-28
16-11
19-23
14-32
24-23
22-32
24-20
24-26
29-21
9-18
23-25
27-22
27-17
16-29
19-18
12-21
12-18
22-24
24-23
15-28
25-24
15-15
20-26
179.5Avg total
88.6Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)85.984.3170.2+1.658%
Season at home (9)87.876.6164.3+11.289%
Season away (10)84.291.3175.5-7.130%
Last 10 (10)88.690.9179.5-2.350%
Last 5 (5)80.692.4173.0-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)80.288.8169.1-8.631%
vs Similar (8)87.184.6171.8+2.562%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)91.679.9171.5+11.875%
This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HermesCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHermes
Date
Competition
KK Zagreb
#8
L
75-79
75
79
-4
70avg 73
H15/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
L
80-89
80
89
-9
70avg 73
A22/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
L
68-74
68
74
-6
64avg 73
H11/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
L
80-94
80
94
-14
74avg 73
A19/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
65-79
65
79
-14
65avg 73
A25/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
94-100
94
100
-6
86avg 73
H01/02
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
L
71-74
71
74
-3
61avg 73
A08/02
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
W
68-63
68
63
+5
58avg 73
H16/02
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
85-88
85
88
-3
79avg 73
A22/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
78-97
78
97
-19
75avg 73
H02/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-18
18-21
24-21
22-19
23-21
15-26
22-14
20-28
17-22
20-13
15-20
16-19
20-32
21-13
19-29
20-20
19-22
15-20
18-19
13-18
24-23
17-26
23-23
30-28
17-15
18-16
19-21
17-22
15-26
18-20
15-5
20-12
25-20
16-26
19-21
25-21
17-25
12-28
26-25
23-19
160.1Avg total
76.4Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)77.290.4167.6-13.216%
Season at home (9)78.184.3162.4-6.233%
Season away (10)76.495.9172.3-19.50%
Last 10 (10)76.483.7160.1-7.310%
Last 5 (5)79.284.4163.6-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)76.491.8168.2-15.416%
vs Similar (5)82.485.0167.4-2.640%
vs Weaker (6)92.287.2179.3+5.050%
This opponent (Marsonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.0+0.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.0+0.0
MarsoniaHermes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MarsoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H12/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A16/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A19/01
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A25/01
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H01/02
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A08/02
Prva Liga
Cibona
#4
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A11/02
Croatian Cup
Jazine
#5
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H16/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A23/02
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A02/03
Prva Liga
90.9Avg total
45.8Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.242.986.1+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.339.582.8+3.850%-
Last 30 away (16)43.145.988.9-2.850%-
Last 10 (10)45.845.190.9+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)41.846.488.2-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.544.883.2-6.331%-
vs Similar (8)45.241.686.9+3.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)48.440.689.0+7.888%-
This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HermesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Zagreb
#8
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H15/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A22/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H11/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A19/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A25/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H01/02
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A08/02
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H16/02
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A22/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
29-53
29
53
-24
H02/03
Prva Liga
79.1Avg total
35.8Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.244.985.1-4.733%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.844.284.9-3.438%-
Last 30 away (17)39.845.485.2-5.629%-
Last 10 (10)35.843.379.1-7.520%-
Last 5 (5)35.845.080.8-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)37.848.386.1-10.511%-
vs Similar (5)41.038.279.2+2.860%-
vs Weaker (6)47.239.586.7+7.783%-
This opponent (Marsonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Marsoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Marsonia: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.120.5
51.1%
52.0%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.9
36.3%
33.7%32.7
🏀 Free throws18.813.7
72.9%
70.4%13.7
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hermestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hermes: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.1 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.216.7
50.3%
52.0%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.911.3
34.3%
33.7%33.9
🏀 Free throws11.58.1
70.4%
70.4%8.1
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Marsonia
LLWLLWWLWW
Hermes
LLWLLLLLLL
#6
League position
#14
-3.8
Net rating
-10.2
110.0
Offensive rating
102.0
113.8
Defensive rating
112.2
52.6%
Effective FG%
50.9%
57.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
16.6%
Turnover %
18.3%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.17
36.3%
3-point %
34.3%
48.4%
Assist %
69.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 102.0Defence113.8 · 112.2Shooting52.6% · 50.9%3-point %36.3% · 34.3%Ball care16.6% · 18.3%Off. rebounds30.2% · 28.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.17Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Marsonia   ■ Hermes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Marsonia wins
0
Hermes wins
DateGameScore
23/11/24Hermes v Marsonia71-93
19/03/24Hermes v Marsonia103-109 OT
10/12/23Marsonia v Hermes95-91
Marsonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25ADakovo75-93
23/02/25AKastela70-86
16/02/25HJazine89-86
11/02/25ACibona85-90
08/02/25ASkrljevo84-107
01/02/25HGorica106-98 OT
25/01/25ABosco108-92
19/01/25ASamobor80-100
16/01/25ASonik Puntamika91-86
12/01/25HOmis98-71
Hermeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25HJazine78-97
22/02/25ASkrljevo85-88
16/02/25HGorica68-63
08/02/25ABosco71-74
01/02/25HSamobor94-100
25/01/25AOmis65-79
19/01/25ASonik Puntamika80-94
11/01/25HCrikvenica68-74
22/12/24AMladost80-89
15/12/24HKK Zagreb75-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Marsonia
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL58%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLWLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %58%89%30%
Points / game85.987.884.2
Allowed / game84.376.691.3
Point differential+1.6+11.2-7.1
Avg total170.2164.3175.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%56%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Hermes
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL16%
HomeLLLWL33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %16%33%0%
Points / game77.278.176.4
Allowed / game90.484.395.9
Point differential-13.2-6.2-19.5
Avg total167.6162.4172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)67% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samobor2017385%88.480.5+8.0
2 Jazine1914574%94.082.3+11.7
3 Kastela2014670%86.272.5+13.8
4 Skrljevo2014670%91.381.4+9.9
5 Mladost2014670%82.877.8+5.1
6 Marsonia1911858%85.984.3+1.6
7 Gorica20101050%80.082.3-2.3
8 KK Zagreb1991047%77.177.3-0.2
9 Sonik Puntamika2081240%72.773.9-1.2
10 Omis2081240%77.079.2-2.1
11 Crikvenica2061430%66.677.3-10.8
12 Dakovo2051525%77.386.8-9.4
13 Bosco2051525%73.784.5-10.8
14 Hermes1931616%77.290.4-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Marsonia1217302180
Hermes1427151066
← all games of the day
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