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Hermes vs KK Zagreb Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 75-79
11-18 18-21 24-21 22-19
Position#14
Record2-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game97.9
vs
Position#8
Record4-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game75.8
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 10· Kosarkaski centar Drazen Petrovic
Other2024-25
Meetings · Hermes v KK Zagreb
15 Dec 2024
HERM75
KK Z79
18 Dec 2023
HERM101
KK Z81
04 Mar 2023
HERM96
KK Z91
10 Mar 2022
HERM107
KK Z82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hermes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
KK Zagreb winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HermesCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHermes
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#12
W
90-69
90
69
+21
80avg 79
A06/04
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
84-76
84
76
+8
85avg 79
H12/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
79-83
79
83
-4
72avg 79
A22/10
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
95-91
95
91
+4
90avg 79
H27/10
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
L
80-95
80
95
-15
75avg 79
A02/11
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
70-86
70
86
-16
66avg 79
H10/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
80-129
80
129
-49
70avg 79
A17/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
L
71-93
71
93
-22
66avg 79
H23/11
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
L
80-101
80
101
-21
77avg 79
A30/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
64-127
64
127
-63
46avg 79
A07/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
25-18
21-9
21-25
27-21
24-19
18-17
15-19
26-27
10-25
22-14
21-17
33-28
19-11
17-22
26-30
18-26
25-28
24-20
13-21
25-21
14-19
12-25
19-21
8-30
16-34
23-29
33-36
22-16
16-27
15-28
18-22
20-22
12-14
33-35
15-30
19-38
12-29
11-29
22-31
174.3Avg total
79.3Scored
95.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)78.197.9176.0-19.822%
Season at home (4)80.086.5166.5-6.550%
Season away (5)76.6107.0183.6-30.40%
Last 10 (10)79.395.0174.3-15.730%
Last 5 (5)73.0107.2180.2-34.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)80.796.9177.6-16.320%
vs Similar (5)90.092.6182.6-2.640%
vs Weaker (10)94.385.4179.7+8.960%
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KK ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Kastela
#6
W
81-65
81
65
+16
75avg 71
H06/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
55-48
55
48
+7
49avg 71
H12/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
40-62
40
62
-22
30avg 71
A19/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
87-92
87
92
-5
84avg 71
H27/10
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
82-73
82
73
+9
85avg 71
A04/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
L
97-102 OT
97
102
-5
86avg 71
H09/11
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
75-91
75
91
-16
69avg 71
A16/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
83-64
83
64
+19
81avg 71
H27/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
L
76-77
76
77
-1
73avg 71
A01/12
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
93-73
93
73
+20
90avg 71
H07/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
22-17
29-9
13-15
9-7
10-14
21-9
15-18
10-21
14-14
7-11
9-16
27-19
23-25
21-29
16-19
21-12
22-28
19-11
20-22
20-20
11-20
23-21
23-16
19-25
16-16
15-37
25-13
23-9
16-21
23-14
21-20
17-11
20-20
18-33
21-13
22-17
21-15
30-19
20-22
151.6Avg total
76.9Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)76.475.8152.2+0.744%
Season at home (5)83.075.8158.8+7.260%
Season away (4)68.275.8144.0-7.525%
Last 10 (10)76.974.7151.6+2.250%
Last 5 (5)84.881.4166.2+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.583.0161.5-4.525%
vs Similar (9)71.874.6146.3-2.822%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)81.471.5152.9+9.982%
This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: +0.9+0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: +0.9+0.9
HermesKK Zagreb
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HermesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#12
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A06/04
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H12/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A22/10
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H27/10
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A02/11
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H10/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
24-64
24
64
-40
A17/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H23/11
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A30/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
31-67
31
67
-36
A07/12
Prva Liga
86.4Avg total
39.4Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.744.489.1+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.842.489.2+4.460%-
Last 30 away (15)42.746.389.0-3.740%-
Last 10 (10)39.447.086.4-7.630%-
Last 5 (5)32.850.082.8-17.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)41.549.490.9-7.920%-
vs Similar (5)44.842.287.0+2.660%-
vs Weaker (10)49.637.987.5+11.790%-
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KK ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kastela
#6
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H06/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
L
19-21
19
21
-2
H12/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A19/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H27/10
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A04/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H09/11
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A16/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H27/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A01/12
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H07/12
Prva Liga
71.5Avg total
36.0Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.336.174.4+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.236.573.7+0.753%-
Last 30 away (15)39.335.775.0+3.767%-
Last 10 (10)36.035.571.5+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.034.871.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.838.579.2+2.250%-
vs Similar (9)33.135.468.6-2.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)40.435.976.3+4.576%-
This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hermestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hermes: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.3
51.1%
52.0%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.310.4
38.1%
33.7%31.2
🏀 Free throws16.310.7
65.6%
70.4%10.7
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
KK Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KK Zagreb: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.6
53.3%
52.0%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.1
30.0%
33.7%24.3
🏀 Free throws20.812.8
61.5%
70.4%12.8
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hermes
LLLLLLWLWW
KK Zagreb
WLWLLWLLWW
#14
League position
#8
-21.0
Net rating
+2.1
102.9
Offensive rating
101.9
123.9
Defensive rating
99.8
53.7%
Effective FG%
49.8%
59.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
19.6%
Turnover %
21.3%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
36.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.33
38.1%
3-point %
30.0%
62.7%
Assist %
62.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.9 · 101.9Defence123.9 · 99.8Shooting53.7% · 49.8%3-point %38.1% · 30.0%Ball care19.6% · 21.3%Off. rebounds25.8% · 36.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Hermes   ■ KK Zagreb
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Hermes wins
2
KK Zagreb wins
DateGameScore
24/03/24KK Zagreb v Hermes82-69
18/12/23Hermes v KK Zagreb101-81
04/03/23Hermes v KK Zagreb96-91
03/12/22KK Zagreb v Hermes84-65
10/03/22Hermes v KK Zagreb107-82
24/10/21KK Zagreb v Hermes75-102
Hermeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24AKastela64-127
30/11/24ADakovo80-101
23/11/24HMarsonia71-93
17/11/24AJazine80-129
10/11/24HSkrljevo70-86
02/11/24AGorica80-95
27/10/24HBosco95-91
22/10/24ASamobor79-83
12/10/24HOmis84-76
06/04/24ACrikvenica90-69
KK Zagreblast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24HDakovo93-73
01/12/24AMarsonia76-77
27/11/24HJazine83-64
16/11/24ASkrljevo75-91
09/11/24HGorica97-102 OT
04/11/24ABosco82-73
27/10/24HSamobor87-92
19/10/24AOmis40-62
12/10/24HSonik Puntamika55-48
06/04/24HKastela81-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hermes
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL22%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%50%0%
Points / game78.180.076.6
Allowed / game97.986.5107.0
Point differential-19.8-6.5-30.4
Avg total176.0166.5183.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
KK Zagreb
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW44%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%60%25%
Points / game76.483.068.2
Allowed / game75.875.875.8
Point differential+0.7+7.2-7.5
Avg total152.2158.8144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samobor109190%86.578.5+8.0
2 Kastela108280%88.869.5+19.3
3 Skrljevo108280%89.675.4+14.2
4 Jazine108280%95.483.0+12.4
5 Mladost108280%83.176.2+6.9
6 Marsonia106460%83.178.3+4.8
7 Gorica105550%77.384.1-6.8
8 KK Zagreb94544%76.475.8+0.7
9 Omis104640%74.473.3+1.1
10 Sonik Puntamika103730%70.472.0-1.6
11 Hermes92722%78.197.9-19.8
12 Dakovo102820%78.889.3-10.5
13 Bosco101910%74.288.0-13.8
14 Crikvenica101910%66.883.6-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hermes1118242275
KK Zagreb1821211979
← all games of the day
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