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Maryland vs Michigan State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 59-61
32-44 27-17
Position#215
Record11-7
FormLLWWL
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game64.0
Maryland
USA
vs
Michigan State 🏆
USA
Position#154
Record11-7
FormWLLWW
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game65.6
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Maryland v Michigan State
09 Dec 2026
MARY v MICH
upcoming
26 Feb 2025
MARY55
MICH58
21 Jan 2024
MARY59
MICH61
01 Feb 2022
MARY63
MICH65
11 Mar 2021
MARY68
MICH57
28 Feb 2021
MARY73
MICH55
29 Feb 2020
MARY66
MICH78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maryland winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MarylandUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State
#216
W
81-75 OT
81
75
+6
H07/12
NCAA
Alcorn State
#268
W
105-65
105
65
+40
H13/12
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
W
73-67
73
67
+6
H20/12
NCAA
UCLA
#219
W
69-60
69
60
+9
A23/12
NCAA
Coppin State
#368
W
75-53
75
53
+22
H29/12
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
53-67
53
67
-14
H03/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
L
62-65
62
65
-3
A07/01
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
64-57
64
57
+7
H12/01
NCAA
Illinois
#27
W
76-67
76
67
+9
A14/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-30
43-41
47-33
58-32
28-27
45-40
43-28
26-32
38-18
37-35
19-32
34-35
29-22
33-43
21-33
43-24
37-39
39-28
28-32
41-40
137.5Avg total
72.7Scored
64.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)70.864.0134.8+6.861%
Season at home (11)76.663.6140.3+13.082%
Season away (7)61.764.6126.3-2.929%
Last 10 (10)72.764.8137.5+7.970%
Last 5 (5)64.865.6130.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)60.069.0129.0-9.033%
vs Similar ◀ (18)67.665.1132.7+2.550%
vs Weaker (9)75.761.9137.6+13.878%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#62
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A10/12
NCAA
Baylor
#58
W
88-64
88
64
+24
H16/12
NCAA
Oakland
#76
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H19/12
NCAA
Stony Brook
#155
W
99-55
99
55
+44
H21/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
W
87-75
87
75
+12
H30/12
NCAA
Penn State
#216
W
92-61
92
61
+31
H05/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
74-88
74
88
-14
A08/01
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A12/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
73-55
73
55
+18
H14/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-31
36-46
45-17
43-47
30-22
49-40
48-12
51-43
44-34
43-41
51-26
41-35
31-46
43-42
34-37
34-34
28-22
45-33
37-32
39-34
148.0Avg total
80.6Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)77.165.6142.6+11.561%
Season at home (15)78.362.9141.3+15.473%
Season away (3)70.778.7149.3-8.00%
Last 10 (10)80.667.4148.0+13.270%
Last 5 (5)76.668.2144.8+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.070.5140.5-0.533%
vs Similar ◀ (17)75.171.6146.7+3.453%
vs Weaker (7)83.656.1139.7+27.4100%
This opponent (Maryland) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: +10.3+10.32nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: +2.9+2.9
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: +10.3+10.32nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: +2.9+2.9
MarylandMichigan State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MarylandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State
#216
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H07/12
NCAA
Alcorn State
#268
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H13/12
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H20/12
NCAA
UCLA
#219
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A23/12
NCAA
Coppin State
#368
W
38-18
38
18
+20
H29/12
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
19-32
19
32
-13
H03/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
29-22
29
22
+7
A07/01
NCAA
Michigan
#347
L
21-33
21
33
-12
H12/01
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A14/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A18/01
NCAA
61.2Avg total
31.8Scored
29.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.329.561.8+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.928.363.2+6.671%-
Last 30 away (13)29.031.060.0-2.038%-
Last 10 (10)31.829.461.2+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)26.831.658.4-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)26.333.059.3-6.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)31.629.260.8+2.461%-
vs Weaker (9)35.828.864.6+7.067%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#62
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A10/12
NCAA
Baylor
#58
W
45-17
45
17
+28
H16/12
NCAA
Oakland
#76
W
30-22
30
22
+8
H19/12
NCAA
Stony Brook
#155
W
48-12
48
12
+36
H21/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H30/12
NCAA
Penn State
#216
W
51-26
51
26
+25
H05/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A08/01
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A12/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
28-22
28
22
+6
H14/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H18/01
NCAA
66.1Avg total
38.2Scored
27.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.628.563.1+6.163%-
Last 30 at home (20)35.626.261.9+9.470%-
Last 30 away (10)32.633.165.7-0.550%-
Last 10 (10)38.227.966.1+10.380%-
Last 5 (5)36.232.668.8+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)30.831.562.3-0.750%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)34.231.165.2+3.159%-
vs Weaker (7)38.919.958.7+19.086%-
This opponent (Maryland) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Maryland wins
5
Michigan State wins
DateGameScore
08/02/23Michigan State v Maryland63-58
10/03/22Michigan State v Maryland76-72
06/03/22Michigan State v Maryland77-67
02/02/22Maryland v Michigan State63-65
11/03/21Maryland v Michigan State68-57
28/02/21Maryland v Michigan State73-55
01/03/20Maryland v Michigan State66-78
15/02/20Michigan State v Maryland60-67
Marylandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/24ANorthwestern69-72
14/01/24AIllinois76-67
12/01/24HMichigan64-57
07/01/24AMinnesota62-65
03/01/24HPurdue53-67
29/12/23HCoppin State75-53
23/12/23AUCLA69-60
20/12/23HNicholls State73-67
13/12/23HAlcorn State105-65
07/12/23HPenn State81-75 OT
Michigan Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/24HMinnesota76-66
14/01/24HRutgers73-55
12/01/24AIllinois68-71
08/01/24ANorthwestern74-88
05/01/24HPenn State92-61
30/12/23HIndiana State87-75
21/12/23HStony Brook99-55
19/12/23HOakland79-62
16/12/23HBaylor88-64
10/12/23ANebraska70-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maryland
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL61%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayLWLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %61%82%29%
Points / game70.876.661.7
Allowed / game64.063.664.6
Point differential+6.8+13.0-2.9
Avg total134.8140.3126.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%55%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %6%9%0%
Michigan State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW61%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18153
Win %61%73%0%
Points / game77.178.370.7
Allowed / game65.662.978.7
Point differential+11.5+15.4-8.0
Avg total142.6141.3149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%73%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %6%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue1917289%85.169.4+15.7
2 Wisconsin1814478%76.567.3+9.2
3 Illinois1713476%82.167.8+14.3
4 Oregon1713476%78.272.4+5.9
5 Nebraska1914574%78.370.1+8.3
6 Ohio State1813572%76.466.6+9.9
7 Northwestern1813572%72.767.4+5.3
8 Minnesota1812667%77.268.4+8.8
9 Indiana1912763%74.274.3-0.1
10 Michigan State1811761%77.165.6+11.5
11 Iowa1811761%86.177.9+8.2
12 Maryland1811761%70.864.0+6.8
13 Rutgers1710759%68.665.4+3.3
14 Washington1911858%80.375.8+4.5
15 Penn State1991047%76.474.3+2.1
16 UCLA1981142%65.264.6+0.6
17 USC1981142%75.775.2+0.5
18 Michigan1871139%79.377.6+1.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Maryland322759
Michigan State441761
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