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Maryland vs Michigan State Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 10 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 01:30
Scheduled
Position#279
Record1-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Position#26
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game66.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Maryland v Michigan State
09 Dec 2026
MARY v MICH
upcoming
26 Feb 2025
MARY55
MICH58
21 Jan 2024
MARY59
MICH61
01 Feb 2022
MARY63
MICH65
11 Mar 2021
MARY68
MICH57
28 Feb 2021
MARY73
MICH55
29 Feb 2020
MARY66
MICH78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maryland win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MarylandUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington
#218
W
64-60
64
60
+4
H21/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A26/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
L
65-69
65
69
-4
H01/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
45-78
45
78
-33
A05/03
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
72-78
72
78
-6
H08/03
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
70-60
70
60
+10
A10/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
64-75
64
75
-11
A11/03
NCAA
Bucknell
#400
W
96-67
96
67
+29
H03/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#67
L
74-86
74
86
-12
A08/11
NCAA
Virginia
#39
L
83-87
83
87
-4
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-32
30-28
27-33
34-41
20-39
45-30
21-34
24-44
34-37
38-41
33-12
37-48
26-25
38-50
44-30
52-37
28-44
46-42
47-36
36-51
142.8Avg total
69.4Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.380.0164.3+4.333%
Season at home (2)89.577.0166.5+12.550%
Season away (1)74.086.0160.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)69.473.4142.8-4.030%
Last 5 (5)77.475.0152.4+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)67.980.5148.4-12.621%
vs Similar (5)68.466.8135.2+1.640%
vs Weaker (1)96.067.0163.0+29.0100%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#267
W
91-87
91
87
+4
H06/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
80-90
80
90
-10
A08/03
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
84-88
84
88
-4
H14/03
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
92-67
92
67
+25
H19/03
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H21/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
63-67
63
67
-4
A28/03
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#270
W
96-59
96
59
+37
H03/11
NCAA
Toledo
#266
W
91-61
91
61
+30
H06/11
NCAA
Duke
#86
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A11/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#259
W
106-72
106
72
+34
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-30
60-57
41-42
39-48
33-44
51-44
45-25
47-42
36-31
41-38
27-35
36-32
52-24
44-35
48-25
43-36
34-25
45-48
59-44
47-28
159.2Avg total
85.9Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)93.066.2159.2+26.8100%
Season at home (3)97.764.0161.7+33.7100%
Season away (1)79.073.0152.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.973.3159.2+12.670%
Last 5 (5)87.066.4153.4+20.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.882.0160.8-3.250%
vs Similar (7)71.669.6141.1+2.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)85.568.1153.6+17.589%
This opponent (Maryland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -0.8-0.81st half: +8.1+8.12nd half2nd half: -3.2-3.22nd half: +4.5+4.5
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -0.8-0.81st half: +8.1+8.12nd half2nd half: -3.2-3.22nd half: +4.5+4.5
MarylandMichigan State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MarylandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington
#218
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H21/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A26/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
L
20-39
20
39
-19
H01/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
21-34
21
34
-13
A05/03
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H08/03
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
33-12
33
12
+21
A10/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
26-25
26
25
+1
A11/03
NCAA
Bucknell
#400
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H03/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#67
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A08/11
NCAA
Virginia
#39
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H14/11
NCAA
63.6Avg total
31.4Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.335.467.7-3.133%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.934.471.3+2.457%-
Last 30 away (16)28.336.264.6-7.912%-
Last 10 (10)31.432.263.6-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)35.629.465.0+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)31.837.269.0-5.529%-
vs Similar (5)32.627.660.2+5.040%-
vs Weaker (1)44.030.074.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#267
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H06/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A08/03
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H14/03
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H19/03
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H21/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A28/03
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#270
W
52-24
52
24
+28
H03/11
NCAA
Toledo
#266
W
48-25
48
25
+23
H06/11
NCAA
Duke
#86
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A11/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#259
W
59-44
59
44
+15
H14/11
NCAA
73.1Avg total
40.6Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.733.571.2+4.257%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.532.172.6+8.472%-
Last 30 away (12)33.535.669.1-2.133%-
Last 10 (10)40.632.573.1+8.170%-
Last 5 (5)44.030.674.6+13.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.037.071.0-3.025%-
vs Similar (7)33.434.367.7-0.929%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)40.132.472.5+7.674%-
This opponent (Maryland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Maryland wins
8
Michigan State wins
Marylandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HVirginia83-87
08/11/26AGeorgetown74-86
03/11/26HBucknell96-67
11/03/26AIowa64-75
10/03/26AOregon70-60
08/03/26HIllinois72-78
05/03/26AWisconsin45-78
01/03/26HRutgers65-69
26/02/26ANebraska61-74
21/02/26HWashington64-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HNorthern Iowa106-72
11/11/26ADuke79-73
06/11/26HToledo91-61
03/11/26HQuinnipiac96-59
28/03/26AUconn63-67
21/03/26HLouisville77-69
19/03/26HNorth Dakota St92-67
14/03/26HUCLA84-88
08/03/26AMichigan80-90
06/03/26HRutgers91-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maryland
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game84.389.574.0
Allowed / game80.077.086.0
Point differential+4.3+12.5-12.0
Avg total164.3166.5160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Michigan State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.097.779.0
Allowed / game66.264.073.0
Point differential+26.8+33.7+6.0
Avg total159.2161.7152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA330100%101.358.3+43.0
2 Rutgers330100%84.756.3+28.3
3 Nebraska440100%92.264.2+28.0
4 Michigan State440100%93.066.2+26.8
5 Oregon330100%95.068.7+26.3
6 Indiana440100%89.068.0+21.0
7 Wisconsin330100%79.058.0+21.0
8 Minnesota440100%78.858.5+20.2
9 USC330100%88.371.3+17.0
10 Washington220100%83.570.0+13.5
11 Illinois43175%104.571.2+33.2
12 Michigan43175%92.075.5+16.5
13 Purdue43175%78.569.0+9.5
14 Northwestern43175%70.861.8+9.0
15 Iowa32167%85.064.7+20.3
16 Penn State53260%77.675.6+2.0
17 Ohio State42250%81.079.2+1.8
18 Maryland31233%84.380.0+4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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