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Neptunas vs Jonava Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 13 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 111-110 (OT)
24-23 21-20 13-19 27-23 26-25
Position#2
Record3-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game92.3
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Position#4
Record4-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game83.8
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas Cup· Svyturio arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Neptunas v Jonava
21 Mar 2027
NEP v JON
upcoming
21 Nov 2026
NEP v JON
upcoming
17 May 2026
NEP95
JON89
26 Oct 2025
NEP117
JON113
05 Apr 2025
NEP97
JON98
13 Nov 2024
NEP111
JON110
29 Sep 2024
NEP90
JON87
10 Dec 2023
NEP69
JON64
26 Mar 2023
NEP76
JON70
04 Jan 2023
NEP80
JON85
31 Oct 2022
NEP77
JON93
26 Mar 2022
NEP75
JON78
24 Jan 2022
NEP75
JON87
29 Sep 2021
NEP89
JON74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jonava winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#9
W
106-71
106
71
+35
114avg 81
H09/10
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#4
W
89-74
89
74
+15
84avg 81
H12/10
LKL
Jonava
#4
L
84-88
84
88
-4
79avg 81
A15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
L
103-108 OT
103
108
-5
100avg 81
A19/10
LKL
Nevezis
#5
L
86-88
86
88
-2
86avg 81
H23/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#10
L
96-107
96
107
-11
92avg 81
A27/10
LKL
Juventus
#10
W
105-74
105
74
+31
107avg 81
H30/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
W
89-81
89
81
+8
84avg 81
A02/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
W
91-70
91
70
+21
92avg 81
A06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
70-97
70
97
-27
62avg 81
H10/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
27-15
32-24
22-13
25-23
18-19
29-15
17-17
27-25
24-19
11-28
22-16
19-26
34-14
19-22
22-32
22-17
23-22
25-25
16-24
22-28
20-20
25-29
29-30
22-19
30-15
23-20
30-20
23-18
20-14
21-21
25-28
27-13
25-20
16-20
23-17
19-28
19-25
12-23
20-21
177.7Avg total
91.9Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)92.382.2174.5+10.250%
Season at home (3)99.077.7176.7+21.367%
Season away (3)85.786.7172.3-1.033%
Last 10 (10)91.985.8177.7+6.150%
Last 5 (5)90.285.8176.0+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)84.786.7171.4-2.054%
vs Similar (5)92.289.8182.0+2.480%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)90.087.4177.4+2.642%
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#8
W
104-93
104
93
+11
93avg 76
H05/10
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
87-84
87
84
+3
80avg 76
H10/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#2
W
88-84
88
84
+4
87avg 76
H15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#10
W
103-83
103
83
+20
94avg 76
H19/10
LKL
Juventus
#10
L
91-94
91
94
-3
66avg 76
A23/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
105-93
105
93
+12
111avg 76
A28/10
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
W
89-74
89
74
+15
82avg 76
H31/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
74-94
74
94
-20
51avg 76
H03/11
LKL
Nevezis
#5
L
84-87
84
87
-3
78avg 76
A06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
W
80-79
80
79
+1
71avg 76
A10/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
29-27
28-13
24-28
21-22
22-18
21-24
23-20
25-27
19-24
28-11
16-22
26-17
19-23
31-13
27-30
21-22
18-29
19-19
33-24
30-22
21-22
28-19
26-30
31-19
16-15
24-24
18-16
21-16
25-36
12-23
16-19
27-20
26-23
13-23
18-21
22-24
19-27
23-17
16-11
177.0Avg total
90.5Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)88.783.8172.5+4.867%
Season at home (4)89.280.5169.8+8.8100%
Season away (2)87.590.5178.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)90.586.5177.0+4.070%
Last 5 (5)86.485.4171.8+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)79.893.7173.5-13.823%
vs Similar (13)87.587.5174.9+0.054%
vs Weaker (4)99.882.0181.8+17.875%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -0.4-0.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -0.4-0.4
NeptunasJonava
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#9
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H09/10
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H12/10
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A19/10
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H23/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#10
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A27/10
LKL
Juventus
#10
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H30/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A02/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H10/11
LKL
87.0Avg total
47.1Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.240.084.2+4.270%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.140.684.7+3.573%-
Last 30 away (15)44.439.483.8+5.067%-
Last 10 (10)47.139.987.0+7.280%-
Last 5 (5)45.440.085.4+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)41.039.180.1+1.954%-
vs Similar (5)47.242.289.4+5.080%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)46.540.186.6+6.483%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#8
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H05/10
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H10/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#2
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#10
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H19/10
LKL
Juventus
#10
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A23/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A28/10
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H31/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H03/11
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A10/11
LKL
91.9Avg total
46.1Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.445.388.7-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.842.886.6+1.050%-
Last 30 away (16)43.147.590.6-4.425%-
Last 10 (10)46.145.891.9+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)47.644.892.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)41.546.287.7-4.815%-
vs Similar (13)44.145.889.9-1.846%-
vs Weaker (4)47.840.588.2+7.275%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 90.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
44%
35%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.721.2
61.1%
55.0%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.610.6
38.4%
36.6%31.8
🏀 Free throws22.616.7
73.9%
74.4%16.7
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 89.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
44%
35%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.821.9
56.4%
55.0%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.9
35.6%
36.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws26.419.2
72.7%
74.4%19.2
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LWWWLLLLWW
Jonava
WLLWWLWWWW
#2
League position
#4
+8.1
Net rating
+5.6
120.8
Offensive rating
119.0
112.7
Defensive rating
113.4
59.6%
Effective FG%
55.3%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
17.6%
Turnover %
16.4%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
35.4%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.41
38.4%
3-point %
35.6%
69.5%
Assist %
53.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence120.8 · 119.0Defence112.7 · 113.4Shooting59.6% · 55.3%3-point %38.4% · 35.6%Ball care17.6% · 16.4%Off. rebounds32.0% · 35.4%Free throws0.36 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Neptunas   ■ Jonava
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Neptunas wins
6
Jonava wins
DateGameScore
15/10/24Jonava v Neptunas88-84
29/09/24Neptunas v Jonava90-87
08/04/24Jonava v Neptunas78-81
10/12/23Neptunas v Jonava69-64
29/10/23Jonava v Neptunas88-77
26/03/23Neptunas v Jonava76-70
01/02/23Jonava v Neptunas83-66
21/01/23Jonava v Neptunas76-75
04/01/23Neptunas v Jonava80-85
31/10/22Neptunas v Jonava77-93
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/24HZalgiris Kaunas70-97
06/11/24AMazeikiai91-70
02/11/24ALietkabelis89-81
30/10/24HJuventus105-74
27/10/24AMazeikiai96-107
23/10/24HNevezis86-88
19/10/24ASiauliai103-108 OT
15/10/24AJonava84-88
12/10/24HBC Wolves89-74
09/10/24HMazeikiai106-71
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/24AJuventus80-79
06/11/24ANevezis84-87
03/11/24HRytas74-94
31/10/24HMazeikiai89-74
28/10/24ANevezis105-93
23/10/24AJuventus91-94
19/10/24HMazeikiai103-83
15/10/24HNeptunas88-84
10/10/24HSiauliai87-84
05/10/24HSiauliai104-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
King Mindaugas Cup 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game92.399.085.7
Allowed / game82.277.786.7
Point differential+10.2+21.3-1.0
Avg total174.5176.7172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Jonava
King Mindaugas Cup 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL67%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game88.789.287.5
Allowed / game83.880.590.5
Point differential+4.8+8.8-3.0
Avg total172.5169.8178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siauliai75271%97.993.0+4.9
2 Jonava64267%88.783.8+4.8
3 Nevezis74357%87.988.3-0.4
4 Neptunas63350%92.382.2+10.2
5 Juventus73443%89.091.0-2.0
6 Mazeikiai71614%77.793.0-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Neptunas2421132726111
Jonava2320192325110
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