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Mazeikiai vs Siauliai Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 74-102
21-21 17-24 16-30 20-27
Position#10
Record3-15
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game94.6
Mazeikiai
Lithuania
vs
Siauliai 🏆
Lithuania
Position#8
Record6-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game98.5
LithuaniaLKL· Telsiu sporto arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Mazeikiai v Siauliai
02 Mar 2025
MAZ74
SIA102
22 Oct 2024
MAZ85
SIA91
29 Sep 2024
MAZ93
SIA95
30 Dec 2023
MAZ73
SIA78
17 Mar 2015
MAZ81
SIA90
29 Nov 2014
MAZ60
SIA69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mazeikiai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Siauliai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazeikiai
Date
Competition
Juventus
#10
W
85-82
85
82
+3
75avg 71
A03/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
L
87-93
87
93
-6
87avg 71
A07/12
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
78-76
78
76
+2
71avg 71
H11/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
W
93-87
93
87
+6
89avg 71
H14/12
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
94-95
94
95
-1
85avg 71
A29/12
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
72-83
72
83
-11
61avg 71
H05/01
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
107-103 OT
107
103
+4
101avg 71
A11/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
82-88
82
88
-6
79avg 71
H26/01
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
63-99
63
99
-36
48avg 71
A01/02
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
72-92
72
92
-20
63avg 71
A10/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
18-24
16-22
28-18
18-23
16-30
21-17
32-23
10-15
19-11
15-22
34-28
22-14
22-22
19-12
30-39
19-20
23-25
23-21
29-29
19-22
13-17
19-17
21-27
24-30
18-24
21-21
31-19
17-19
24-15
21-33
20-21
17-21
12-27
18-26
16-25
20-14
19-23
15-29
18-26
173.1Avg total
83.3Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)81.594.6176.1-13.117%
Season at home (9)82.191.8173.9-9.722%
Season away (9)80.997.4178.3-16.611%
Last 10 (10)83.389.8173.1-6.540%
Last 5 (5)79.293.0172.2-13.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)79.492.3171.7-12.923%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Siauliai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SiauliaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSiauliai
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#5
L
88-109
88
109
-21
84avg 85
H11/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#5
W
103-93
103
93
+10
102avg 85
H16/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
88-107
88
107
-19
86avg 85
H23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
L
90-106
90
106
-16
76avg 85
A29/12
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
98-100
98
100
-2
91avg 85
H04/01
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
L
103-107 OT
103
107
-4
98avg 85
H11/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
85-92
85
92
-7
86avg 85
A20/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
W
90-80
90
80
+10
91avg 85
A25/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
79-89
79
89
-10
64avg 85
H01/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
81-111
81
111
-30
73avg 85
A09/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
24-24
23-34
19-27
30-25
13-16
32-20
28-32
19-34
26-23
22-21
21-29
22-24
25-30
10-23
33-29
23-18
19-35
27-21
29-26
30-24
24-18
21-21
19-31
19-21
22-29
22-18
22-24
28-21
21-17
21-11
20-31
20-17
32-23
14-28
13-21
25-29
20-30
20-24
16-28
189.9Avg total
90.5Scored
99.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)91.898.5190.3-6.835%
Season at home (8)93.195.8188.9-2.650%
Season away (9)90.6101.0191.6-10.422%
Last 10 (10)90.599.4189.9-8.920%
Last 5 (5)87.695.8183.4-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)88.697.4185.9-8.829%
vs Similar (12)95.998.2194.1-2.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)97.096.2193.2+0.850%
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -5.8-5.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -5.8-5.8
MazeikiaiSiauliai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#10
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A03/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A07/12
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H11/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H14/12
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A29/12
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H05/01
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A11/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H26/01
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A01/02
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A10/02
LKL
78.7Avg total
37.3Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.044.583.5-5.527%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.642.081.6-2.440%-
Last 30 away (15)38.447.185.5-8.713%-
Last 10 (10)37.341.478.7-4.140%-
Last 5 (5)36.642.479.0-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)39.044.583.5-5.527%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Siauliai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SiauliaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#5
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H11/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#5
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H16/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A29/12
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H04/01
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H11/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A20/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A25/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H01/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
45-59
45
59
-14
A09/02
LKL
94.6Avg total
46.4Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.447.392.7-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.545.591.0-0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)45.349.094.3-3.733%-
Last 10 (10)46.448.294.6-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)48.245.894.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)44.448.492.7-4.036%-
vs Similar (12)46.147.293.3-1.242%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)47.043.590.5+3.550%-
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.116.6
51.7%
55.6%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.610.7
37.4%
35.9%32.1
🏀 Free throws23.117.2
74.5%
75.0%17.2
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Siauliaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Siauliai: 90.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.521.8
53.8%
55.6%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.19.2
41.6%
35.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws24.118.8
78.0%
75.0%18.8
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mazeikiai
LLLWLLWWLW
Siauliai
LLWLLLLLWL
#10
League position
#8
-8.6
Net rating
-10.8
108.7
Offensive rating
115.4
117.3
Defensive rating
126.2
53.8%
Effective FG%
56.9%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
63.3%
19.3%
Turnover %
19.2%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.38
37.4%
3-point %
41.6%
61.5%
Assist %
63.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence108.7 · 115.4Defence117.3 · 126.2Shooting53.8% · 56.9%3-point %37.4% · 41.6%Ball care19.3% · 19.2%Off. rebounds27.7% · 30.0%Free throws0.38 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Mazeikiai   ■ Siauliai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Mazeikiai wins
6
Siauliai wins
DateGameScore
11/01/25Siauliai v Mazeikiai103-107 OT
13/11/24Siauliai v Mazeikiai99-100
22/10/24Mazeikiai v Siauliai85-91
29/09/24Mazeikiai v Siauliai93-95 OT
17/03/24Siauliai v Mazeikiai91-94
30/12/23Mazeikiai v Siauliai73-78
29/10/23Siauliai v Mazeikiai81-90
17/03/15Mazeikiai v Siauliai81-90
22/01/15Siauliai v Mazeikiai86-61
29/11/14Mazeikiai v Siauliai60-69
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/25AJuventus72-92
01/02/25ANeptunas63-99
26/01/25HZalgiris Kaunas82-88
11/01/25ASiauliai107-103 OT
05/01/25HJonava72-83
29/12/24ABC Wolves94-95
14/12/24HLietkabelis93-87
11/12/24HJonava78-76
07/12/24ANevezis87-93
03/12/24AJuventus85-82
Siauliailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/25AZalgiris Kaunas81-111
01/02/25HRytas79-89
25/01/25ANeptunas90-80
20/01/25AZalgiris Kaunas85-92
11/01/25HMazeikiai103-107 OT
04/01/25HJuventus98-100
29/12/24ANevezis90-106
23/12/24HZalgiris Kaunas88-107
16/12/24HJonava103-93
11/12/24HNevezis88-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mazeikiai
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL17%
HomeLLWLL22%
AwayLLWLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %17%22%11%
Points / game81.582.180.9
Allowed / game94.691.897.4
Point differential-13.1-9.7-16.6
Avg total176.1173.9178.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %11%11%11%
Siauliai
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL35%
HomeWWLLL50%
AwayLLLWL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %35%50%22%
Points / game91.893.190.6
Allowed / game98.595.8101.0
Point differential-6.8-2.6-10.4
Avg total190.3188.9191.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)60% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %18%25%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1917289%92.374.9+17.4
2 Rytas1916384%90.282.6+7.5
3 BC Wolves1811761%90.388.2+2.2
4 Juventus1910953%84.585.0-0.5
5 Lietkabelis1991047%83.282.1+1.1
6 Jonava1991047%86.690.4-3.8
7 Neptunas1971237%83.887.6-3.8
8 Siauliai1761135%91.898.5-6.8
9 Nevezis1951426%88.990.3-1.4
10 Mazeikiai1831517%81.594.6-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mazeikiai2117162074
Siauliai21243027102
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