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Neptunas vs Siauliai Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 14:50
Final 80-90
21-28 17-21 11-21 31-20
Position#7
Record6-9
FormLLLLW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game87.6
vs
Position#8
Record5-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game93.6
Allowed / game99.6
LithuaniaLKL· Svyturio arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Neptunas v Siauliai
03 Apr 2027
NEP v SIA
upcoming
25 Oct 2026
NEP110
SIA88
19 Apr 2026
NEP98
SIA83
28 Dec 2025
NEP101
SIA103
27 Apr 2025
NEP90
SIA95
25 Jan 2025
NEP80
SIA90
27 Nov 2024
NEP101
SIA104
11 Mar 2024
NEP85
SIA76
06 Mar 2023
NEP93
SIA79
31 Oct 2021
NEP86
SIA94
07 May 2021
NEP107
SIA106
17 Jan 2021
NEP77
SIA88
10 Jan 2021
NEP88
SIA94
08 Mar 2020
NEP90
SIA70
05 Oct 2019
NEP90
SIA94
05 May 2019
NEP96
SIA75
23 Dec 2018
NEP80
SIA76
01 Mar 2018
NEP71
SIA78
04 Jan 2018
NEP84
SIA79
26 Apr 2017
NEP85
SIA78
12 Oct 2016
NEP95
SIA67
03 May 2016
NEP90
SIA85
27 Apr 2016
NEP83
SIA77
23 Jan 2016
NEP68
SIA73
29 Nov 2015
NEP74
SIA83
08 Apr 2015
NEP90
SIA77
28 Oct 2014
NEP70
SIA68
11 May 2014
NEP89
SIA88
01 May 2014
NEP86
SIA83
01 Oct 2013
NEP91
SIA69
27 Nov 2012
NEP91
SIA83
19 Apr 2012
NEP101
SIA84
20 Jan 2012
NEP89
SIA93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Siauliai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Juventus
#6
L
63-74
63
74
-11
59avg 80
H30/11
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
102-101
102
101
+1
98avg 80
A04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#4
L
86-102
86
102
-16
76avg 80
A07/12
LKL
Juventus
#10
W
93-82
93
82
+11
86avg 80
A12/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
75-91
75
91
-16
68avg 80
A15/12
LKL
Rytas
#7
L
67-78
67
78
-11
53avg 80
H21/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#5
L
82-86
82
86
-4
69avg 80
A28/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
76-94
76
94
-18
65avg 80
H04/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
56-63
56
63
-7
49avg 80
H11/01
LKL
Rytas
#7
W
92-77
92
77
+15
79avg 80
A18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
13-22
20-16
11-21
14-25
22-29
31-23
35-24
14-36
25-24
7-20
40-22
23-17
20-28
31-18
19-19
14-25
23-23
20-21
18-22
16-24
22-19
18-15
11-20
18-20
20-21
30-23
14-22
26-21
18-29
17-22
15-22
15-18
20-10
13-15
8-20
23-23
19-20
25-18
25-16
164.0Avg total
79.2Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)83.187.6170.7-4.540%
Season at home (6)74.081.5155.5-7.533%
Season away (9)89.291.7180.9-2.444%
Last 10 (10)79.284.8164.0-5.630%
Last 5 (5)74.679.6154.2-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)76.685.0161.6-8.433%
vs Similar ◀ (5)87.489.4176.8-2.040%
vs Weaker (13)93.588.6182.2+4.954%
This opponent (Siauliai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SiauliaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSiauliai
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#2
W
104-101 OT
104
101
+3
96avg 84
A27/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#4
L
90-104
90
104
-14
89avg 84
H04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
76-93
76
93
-17
70avg 84
A07/12
LKL
Nevezis
#5
L
88-109
88
109
-21
84avg 84
H11/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#5
W
103-93
103
93
+10
102avg 84
H16/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
88-107
88
107
-19
86avg 84
H23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
L
90-106
90
106
-16
76avg 84
A29/12
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
98-100
98
100
-2
91avg 84
H04/01
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
L
103-107 OT
103
107
-4
98avg 84
H11/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
85-92
85
92
-7
86avg 84
A20/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
23-22
24-30
22-17
29-17
26-28
19-24
16-35
13-21
17-31
12-17
34-24
22-24
24-24
23-34
19-27
30-25
13-16
32-20
28-32
19-34
26-23
22-21
21-29
22-24
25-30
10-23
33-29
23-18
19-35
27-21
29-26
30-24
24-18
21-21
19-31
19-21
22-29
22-18
22-24
193.7Avg total
92.5Scored
101.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)93.699.6193.2-6.136%
Season at home (7)95.196.7191.9-1.657%
Season away (7)92.0102.6194.6-10.614%
Last 10 (10)92.5101.2193.7-8.720%
Last 5 (5)92.8102.4195.2-9.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)89.596.5186.0-7.133%
vs Similar ◀ (11)96.599.8196.3-3.445%
vs Weaker (4)97.096.2193.2+0.850%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -3.1-3.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -3.1-3.1
NeptunasSiauliai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#6
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H30/11
LKL
Nevezis
#5
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#4
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A07/12
LKL
Juventus
#10
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A12/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A15/12
LKL
Rytas
#7
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H21/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#5
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A28/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H04/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H11/01
LKL
Rytas
#7
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
83.3Avg total
38.4Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.642.284.8+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.340.883.2+1.554%-
Last 30 away (17)42.843.386.1-0.547%-
Last 10 (10)38.444.983.3-6.510%-
Last 5 (5)39.441.080.4-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.542.881.3-4.342%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)46.042.088.0+4.060%-
vs Weaker (13)45.041.886.8+3.254%-
This opponent (Siauliai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SiauliaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#2
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A27/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#4
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A07/12
LKL
Nevezis
#5
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H11/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#5
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H16/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A29/12
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H04/01
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H11/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A20/01
King Mindaugas Cup
93.4Avg total
44.8Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.047.992.9-2.937%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.546.891.2-2.238%-
Last 30 away (14)45.649.294.8-3.636%-
Last 10 (10)44.848.693.4-3.840%-
Last 5 (5)45.851.297.0-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)43.948.992.8-5.133%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)45.848.193.9-2.336%-
vs Weaker (4)47.043.590.5+3.550%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.2
50.0%
55.6%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.88.9
30.9%
35.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws20.614.7
71.4%
75.0%14.7
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Siauliaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Siauliai: 92.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.623.1
56.9%
55.6%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.28.7
39.2%
35.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws25.919.7
76.1%
75.0%19.7
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
WLLLLLWLWL
Siauliai
LLLLLWLLLW
#7
League position
#8
-8.2
Net rating
-9.9
103.1
Offensive rating
114.1
111.3
Defensive rating
124.0
48.4%
Effective FG%
57.6%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
62.2%
18.9%
Turnover %
20.4%
34.9%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.41
30.9%
3-point %
39.2%
68.6%
Assist %
64.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence103.1 · 114.1Defence111.3 · 124.0Shooting48.4% · 57.6%3-point %30.9% · 39.2%Ball care18.9% · 20.4%Off. rebounds34.9% · 30.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Neptunas   ■ Siauliai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Neptunas wins
6
Siauliai wins
DateGameScore
27/11/24Neptunas v Siauliai101-104 OT
19/10/24Siauliai v Neptunas108-103 OT
02/10/24Siauliai v Neptunas102-82
05/05/24Siauliai v Neptunas104-98
11/03/24Neptunas v Siauliai85-76
24/09/23Siauliai v Neptunas90-82
15/04/23Siauliai v Neptunas87-89
06/03/23Neptunas v Siauliai93-79
06/12/22Siauliai v Neptunas61-60
21/03/22Siauliai v Neptunas84-87
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25ARytas92-77
11/01/25HLietkabelis56-63
04/01/25HRytas76-94
28/12/24AJonava82-86
21/12/24HRytas67-78
15/12/24AZalgiris Kaunas75-91
12/12/24AJuventus93-82
07/12/24ABC Wolves86-102
04/12/24ANevezis102-101
30/11/24HJuventus63-74
Siauliailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/25AZalgiris Kaunas85-92
11/01/25HMazeikiai103-107 OT
04/01/25HJuventus98-100
29/12/24ANevezis90-106
23/12/24HZalgiris Kaunas88-107
16/12/24HJonava103-93
11/12/24HNevezis88-109
07/12/24ALietkabelis76-93
04/12/24HJonava90-104
27/11/24ANeptunas104-101 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL40%
HomeWLLLL33%
AwayWWLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %40%33%44%
Points / game83.174.089.2
Allowed / game87.681.591.7
Point differential-4.5-7.5-2.4
Avg total170.7155.5180.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %7%0%11%
Siauliai
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL36%
HomeWWWLL57%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %36%57%14%
Points / game93.695.192.0
Allowed / game99.696.7102.6
Point differential-6.1-1.6-10.6
Avg total193.2191.9194.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)60% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %21%29%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1513287%91.573.0+18.5
2 Rytas1512380%90.281.9+8.3
3 BC Wolves1411379%92.887.4+5.4
4 Lietkabelis157847%81.181.3-0.2
5 Juventus157847%82.985.7-2.8
6 Jonava157847%87.390.7-3.4
7 Neptunas156940%83.187.6-4.5
8 Siauliai145936%93.699.6-6.1
9 Nevezis1531220%86.089.7-3.7
10 Mazeikiai1531220%83.394.9-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2117113180
Siauliai2821212090
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