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Neptunas vs Mazeikiai Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 14:50
Final 99-63
21-17 27-12 26-18 25-16
Position#7
Record6-10
FormLLLWL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game87.8
vs
Position#10
Record3-13
FormWLLWL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game94.5
LithuaniaLKL· Svyturio arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Neptunas v Mazeikiai
14 May 2025
NEP85
MAZ79
01 Feb 2025
NEP99
MAZ63
09 Oct 2024
NEP106
MAZ71
01 Apr 2024
NEP91
MAZ89
08 Nov 2023
NEP109
MAZ80
23 Oct 2023
NEP84
MAZ87
04 Jan 2015
NEP95
MAZ77
27 Sep 2014
NEP110
MAZ64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mazeikiai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#5
W
102-101
102
101
+1
98avg 80
A04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#4
L
86-102
86
102
-16
76avg 80
A07/12
LKL
Juventus
#10
W
93-82
93
82
+11
86avg 80
A12/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
75-91
75
91
-16
68avg 80
A15/12
LKL
Rytas
#7
L
67-78
67
78
-11
53avg 80
H21/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#5
L
82-86
82
86
-4
69avg 80
A28/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
76-94
76
94
-18
65avg 80
H04/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
56-63
56
63
-7
49avg 80
H11/01
LKL
Rytas
#7
W
92-77
92
77
+15
79avg 80
A18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
L
80-90
80
90
-10
71avg 80
H25/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-25
22-29
31-23
35-24
14-36
25-24
7-20
40-22
23-17
20-28
31-18
19-19
14-25
23-23
20-21
18-22
16-24
22-19
18-15
11-20
18-20
20-21
30-23
14-22
26-21
18-29
17-22
15-22
15-18
20-10
13-15
8-20
23-23
19-20
25-18
25-16
21-28
17-21
11-21
31-20
167.3Avg total
80.9Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)82.987.8170.7-4.838%
Season at home (7)74.982.7157.6-7.929%
Season away (9)89.291.7180.9-2.444%
Last 10 (10)80.986.4167.3-5.530%
Last 5 (5)77.282.0159.2-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.384.5160.7-8.236%
vs Similar (6)86.289.5175.7-3.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)93.588.6182.2+4.954%
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazeikiai
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#5
W
89-85
89
85
+4
86avg 73
H27/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
83-93
83
93
-10
68avg 73
H30/11
LKL
Juventus
#10
W
85-82
85
82
+3
75avg 73
A03/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
L
87-93
87
93
-6
87avg 73
A07/12
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
78-76
78
76
+2
71avg 73
H11/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
W
93-87
93
87
+6
89avg 73
H14/12
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
94-95
94
95
-1
85avg 73
A29/12
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
72-83
72
83
-11
61avg 73
H05/01
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
107-103 OT
107
103
+4
101avg 73
A11/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
82-88
82
88
-6
79avg 73
H26/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
19-21
21-19
28-26
19-16
23-29
20-23
21-25
23-18
18-24
16-22
28-18
18-23
16-30
21-17
32-23
10-15
19-11
15-22
34-28
22-14
22-22
19-12
30-39
19-20
23-25
23-21
29-29
19-22
13-17
19-17
21-27
24-30
18-24
21-21
31-19
17-19
24-15
21-33
20-21
175.5Avg total
87.0Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)83.294.5177.8-11.219%
Season at home (9)82.191.8173.9-9.722%
Season away (7)84.798.0182.7-13.314%
Last 10 (10)87.088.5175.5-1.550%
Last 5 (5)89.691.2180.8-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)80.392.0172.3-11.724%
vs Similar (1)81.093.0174.0-12.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +1.9+1.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +1.9+1.9
NeptunasMazeikiai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#5
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#4
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A07/12
LKL
Juventus
#10
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A12/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A15/12
LKL
Rytas
#7
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H21/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#5
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A28/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H04/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H11/01
LKL
Rytas
#7
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H25/01
LKL
85.1Avg total
39.0Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.842.585.3+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.041.483.4+0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)43.543.587.0+0.050%-
Last 10 (10)39.046.185.1-7.110%-
Last 5 (5)39.442.281.6-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.243.182.3-3.945%-
vs Similar (6)44.743.287.8+1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)45.041.886.8+3.254%-
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#5
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H27/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H30/11
LKL
Juventus
#10
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A03/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A07/12
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H11/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H14/12
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A29/12
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H05/01
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A11/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H26/01
LKL
80.1Avg total
38.7Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.644.984.5-5.327%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.642.682.2-2.938%-
Last 30 away (14)39.647.687.1-8.014%-
Last 10 (10)38.741.480.1-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)40.241.681.8-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)39.644.784.3-5.128%-
vs Similar (1)40.051.091.0-11.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.4
50.5%
55.6%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.59.2
31.2%
35.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws21.015.1
71.9%
75.0%15.1
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.316.9
52.3%
55.6%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.111.6
39.9%
35.9%34.8
🏀 Free throws24.318.0
74.1%
75.0%18.0
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LWLLLLLWLW
Mazeikiai
LWLLWWLWLW
#7
League position
#10
-8.1
Net rating
-0.9
105.1
Offensive rating
113.6
113.2
Defensive rating
114.5
48.9%
Effective FG%
55.9%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
18.0%
Turnover %
18.2%
34.5%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.40
31.2%
3-point %
39.9%
68.5%
Assist %
62.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 113.6Defence113.2 · 114.5Shooting48.9% · 55.9%3-point %31.2% · 39.9%Ball care18.0% · 18.2%Off. rebounds34.5% · 28.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Neptunas   ■ Mazeikiai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Neptunas wins
3
Mazeikiai wins
DateGameScore
06/11/24Mazeikiai v Neptunas70-91
27/10/24Mazeikiai v Neptunas107-96
09/10/24Neptunas v Mazeikiai106-71
01/04/24Neptunas v Mazeikiai91-89
17/12/23Mazeikiai v Neptunas70-68
08/11/23Neptunas v Mazeikiai109-80
23/10/23Neptunas v Mazeikiai84-87
11/10/23Mazeikiai v Neptunas86-87 OT
28/03/15Mazeikiai v Neptunas59-71
04/01/15Neptunas v Mazeikiai95-77
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25HSiauliai80-90
18/01/25ARytas92-77
11/01/25HLietkabelis56-63
04/01/25HRytas76-94
28/12/24AJonava82-86
21/12/24HRytas67-78
15/12/24AZalgiris Kaunas75-91
12/12/24AJuventus93-82
07/12/24ABC Wolves86-102
04/12/24ANevezis102-101
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/25HZalgiris Kaunas82-88
11/01/25ASiauliai107-103 OT
05/01/25HJonava72-83
29/12/24ABC Wolves94-95
14/12/24HLietkabelis93-87
11/12/24HJonava78-76
07/12/24ANevezis87-93
03/12/24AJuventus85-82
30/11/24HRytas83-93
27/11/24HNevezis89-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL38%
HomeLLLLL29%
AwayWWLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %38%29%44%
Points / game82.974.989.2
Allowed / game87.882.791.7
Point differential-4.8-7.9-2.4
Avg total170.7157.6180.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Mazeikiai
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL19%
HomeLLWLL22%
AwayLLLLW14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %19%22%14%
Points / game83.282.184.7
Allowed / game94.591.898.0
Point differential-11.2-9.7-13.3
Avg total177.8173.9182.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %12%11%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1614288%91.373.6+17.8
2 Rytas1613381%89.881.8+8.0
3 BC Wolves1511473%92.188.1+4.0
4 Lietkabelis168850%82.181.3+0.8
5 Juventus168850%83.485.6-2.2
6 Jonava167944%86.890.2-3.4
7 Siauliai156940%93.398.3-5.0
8 Neptunas1661038%82.987.8-4.8
9 Nevezis1631319%85.989.8-3.9
10 Mazeikiai1631319%83.294.5-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2127262599
Mazeikiai1712181663
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