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Mega Basket vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 70-83
10-27 23-13 18-20 19-23
Position#10
Record8-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game80.8
vs
Position#11
Record7-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game78.2
EuropeABA LeagueRound 23
Domestic2021
Meetings · Mega Basket v Mornar Bar
13 Oct 2024
MEG84
MBA59
11 Feb 2024
MEG101
MBA87
06 Mar 2023
MEG89
MBA78
20 Mar 2022
MEG70
MBA83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mornar Bar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Partizan
#2
W
93-90
93
90
+3
89avg 76
A20/01
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#9
L
85-91
85
91
-6
no box
H23/01
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#6
W
86-79
86
79
+7
84avg 76
A29/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
69-76
69
76
-7
67avg 76
H07/02
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#7
L
62-83
62
83
-21
55avg 76
A10/02
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
69-86
69
86
-17
no box
A13/02
ABA League
Zlatibor
#6
W
84-57
84
57
+27
no box
H17/02
Korac cup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
53-72
53
72
-19
no box
A19/02
Korac cup
Igokea
#5
L
71-81
71
81
-10
69avg 76
H06/03
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
81-92
81
92
-11
71avg 76
A13/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
29-24
19-19
19-25
16-23
21-14
27-28
21-26
25-13
18-26
22-15
21-25
25-20
15-25
12-18
17-13
16-22
14-15
22-23
10-23
16-27
21-22
13-23
19-14
19-20
22-9
21-18
22-10
21-15
12-24
14-17
6-16
15-14
22-18
13-28
21-21
24-31
17-18
18-17
22-26
156.0Avg total
75.3Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)79.180.8159.9-1.738%
Season at home (11)83.078.1161.1+4.955%
Season away (10)74.883.8158.6-9.020%
Last 10 (10)75.380.7156.0-5.430%
Last 5 (5)71.677.6149.2-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)75.282.1157.2-6.931%
vs Similar ◀ (13)81.581.1162.5+0.438%
vs Weaker (3)82.074.7156.7+7.3100%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Cibona
#8
W
82-65
82
65
+17
84avg 70
A03/01
ABA League
Primorje
#8
W
98-66
98
66
+32
no box
A18/01
Montenegrin Cup
FMP Beograd
#6
W
82-78
82
78
+4
76avg 70
H22/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
74-81
74
81
-7
68avg 70
A30/01
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
62-73
62
73
-11
57avg 70
H05/02
ABA League
Igokea
#5
L
57-70
57
70
-13
45avg 70
A12/02
ABA League
Lovcen Cetinje
#4
W
95-65
95
65
+30
no box
H16/02
Montenegrin Cup
Buducnost
#1
L
77-89
77
89
-12
no box
A17/02
Montenegrin Cup
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
79-101
79
101
-22
67avg 70
H05/03
ABA League
Split
#13
L
67-76
67
76
-9
61avg 70
A11/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
21-25
18-13
16-8
27-18
28-14
19-19
24-15
22-20
23-26
18-19
19-13
19-22
19-19
12-20
24-20
21-14
21-22
9-17
11-20
10-13
21-18
16-20
10-19
34-13
26-14
16-21
19-17
30-21
14-16
16-29
17-23
23-29
21-19
19-28
16-25
17-23
13-25
14-13
23-15
153.7Avg total
77.3Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)75.078.2153.2-3.235%
Season at home (10)76.078.8154.8-2.840%
Season away (10)74.077.5151.5-3.530%
Last 10 (10)77.376.4153.7+0.940%
Last 5 (5)75.080.2155.2-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)69.979.8149.7-9.99%
vs Similar ◀ (11)81.378.7160.0+2.555%
vs Weaker (6)82.273.8156.0+8.350%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +0.4+0.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +0.4+0.4
Mega BasketMornar Bar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#2
W
55-46
55
46
+9
A20/01
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#9
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H23/01
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#6
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A29/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H07/02
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#7
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A10/02
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A13/02
ABA League
Zlatibor
#6
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H17/02
Korac cup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A19/02
Korac cup
Igokea
#5
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H06/03
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A13/03
ABA League
79.6Avg total
39.4Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.640.080.5+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.337.679.9+4.767%-
Last 30 away (15)38.842.381.1-3.527%-
Last 10 (10)39.440.279.6-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)37.839.677.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.843.684.4-2.831%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.239.079.2+1.246%-
vs Weaker (3)41.332.073.3+9.3100%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#8
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A03/01
ABA League
Primorje
#8
W
55-32
55
32
+23
A18/01
Montenegrin Cup
FMP Beograd
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H22/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A30/01
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H05/02
ABA League
Igokea
#5
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A12/02
ABA League
Lovcen Cetinje
#4
W
60-27
60
27
+33
H16/02
Montenegrin Cup
Buducnost
#1
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A17/02
Montenegrin Cup
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H05/03
ABA League
Split
#13
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A11/03
ABA League
82.7Avg total
43.7Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.780.9-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.842.183.9-0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)38.639.377.9-0.740%-
Last 10 (10)43.739.082.7+4.750%-
Last 5 (5)41.838.280.0+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.140.978.0-3.818%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.641.081.6-0.464%-
vs Weaker (6)43.039.282.2+3.850%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.020.1
51.5%
52.2%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.9
32.4%
34.7%23.7
🏀 Free throws17.813.0
73.0%
73.4%13.0
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.218.4
57.1%
52.2%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.8
31.0%
34.7%23.4
🏀 Free throws17.813.0
73.0%
73.4%13.0
They take 57.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega Basket
LLLWLLLWLW
Mornar Bar
LLLWLLLWWW
#10
League position
#11
-7.7
Net rating
-3.0
100.8
Offensive rating
104.3
108.6
Defensive rating
107.3
50.4%
Effective FG%
52.4%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
19.7%
Turnover %
18.7%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.4%
3-point %
31.0%
62.9%
Assist %
63.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.8 · 104.3Defence108.6 · 107.3Shooting50.4% · 52.4%3-point %32.4% · 31.0%Ball care19.7% · 18.7%Off. rebounds31.3% · 30.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Mega Basket   ■ Mornar Bar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mega Basket wins
1
Mornar Bar wins
DateGameScore
04/12/21Mornar Bar v Mega Basket79-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/22ACedevita Olimpija81-92
06/03/22HIgokea71-81
19/02/22ACrvena zvezda53-72
17/02/22HZlatibor84-57
13/02/22ABuducnost69-86
10/02/22AStudentski Centar62-83
07/02/22HCrvena zvezda69-76
29/01/22AFMP Beograd86-79
23/01/22HBorac Mozzart85-91
20/01/22APartizan93-90
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/22ASplit67-76
05/03/22HCedevita Olimpija79-101
17/02/22ABuducnost77-89
16/02/22HLovcen Cetinje95-65
12/02/22AIgokea57-70
05/02/22HBuducnost62-73
30/01/22ACrvena zvezda74-81
22/01/22HFMP Beograd82-78
18/01/22APrimorje98-66
03/01/22ACibona82-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Basket
ABA League 2021
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL38%
HomeLWLLL55%
AwayWWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %38%55%20%
Points / game79.183.074.8
Allowed / game80.878.183.8
Point differential-1.7+4.9-9.0
Avg total159.9161.1158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %10%9%10%
Mornar Bar
ABA League 2021
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL35%
HomeWLWLL40%
AwayWWLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %35%40%30%
Points / game75.076.074.0
Allowed / game78.278.877.5
Point differential-3.1-2.8-3.5
Avg total153.2154.8151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%10%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda2018290%83.270.5+12.7
2 Partizan2219386%82.269.6+12.6
3 Buducnost2014670%80.273.7+6.5
4 Cedevita Olimpija2114767%85.579.0+6.6
5 FMP Beograd2011955%80.781.2-0.5
6 Igokea22121055%77.975.0+3.0
7 Studentski Centar22101245%81.685.8-4.2
8 Cibona2091145%77.875.2+2.6
9 Borac Mozzart2081240%76.281.0-4.8
10 Mega Basket2181338%79.180.8-1.7
11 Mornar Bar2071335%75.078.2-3.1
12 Zadar2171433%71.378.0-6.7
13 KK Krka Novo mesto2041620%70.883.2-12.3
14 Split2141719%70.381.4-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mega Basket1023181970
Mornar Bar2713202383
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