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Mega Basket vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 101-87
26-27 24-21 22-17 29-22
Position#4
Record9-10
FormWWLLL
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Position#13
Record4-15
FormLWWLW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game88.5
EuropeABA LeagueRound 20· Hala sportova Ranko
Domestic2023
Meetings · Mega Basket v Mornar Bar
13 Oct 2024
MEG84
MBA59
11 Feb 2024
MEG101
MBA87
06 Mar 2023
MEG89
MBA78
20 Mar 2022
MEG70
MBA83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#9
L
82-89
82
89
-7
65avg 79
A04/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
88-98
88
98
-10
81avg 79
H11/12
ABA League
Split
#8
L
73-88
73
88
-15
62avg 79
A18/12
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
92-76
92
76
+16
98avg 79
H25/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
97-86
97
86
+11
94avg 79
H31/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
94-78
94
78
+16
103avg 79
A08/01
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
86-72
86
72
+14
80avg 79
H14/01
ABA League
Partizan
#3
L
80-112
80
112
-32
76avg 79
A22/01
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
72-92
72
92
-20
62avg 79
H28/01
ABA League
Zadar
#6
L
71-74
71
74
-3
55avg 79
A06/02
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
19-29
24-13
22-30
27-22
13-26
30-20
18-30
20-24
27-21
10-17
16-26
19-24
22-13
30-16
21-23
14-23
24-18
27-21
32-24
30-18
13-20
25-21
26-19
23-18
23-14
22-18
18-22
26-25
13-34
23-26
18-27
20-19
14-31
18-18
20-24
17-17
14-23
21-16
19-18
170.0Avg total
83.5Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)84.182.5166.6+1.647%
Season at home (9)86.184.2170.3+1.956%
Season away (10)82.381.0163.3+1.340%
Last 10 (10)83.586.5170.0-3.040%
Last 5 (5)80.685.6166.2-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.290.2168.5-12.012%
vs Similar (8)82.883.2166.0-0.538%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)86.476.4162.9+10.071%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Igokea
#7
L
64-84
64
84
-20
48avg 65
A02/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
74-86
74
86
-12
62avg 65
H09/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
L
71-79
71
79
-8
58avg 65
A16/12
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
L
75-77
75
77
-2
68avg 65
H23/12
ABA League
Partizan
#3
L
76-98
76
98
-22
65avg 65
H30/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
100-103 OT
100
103
-3
92avg 65
A05/01
ABA League
Zadar
#6
W
86-78
86
78
+8
81avg 65
H13/01
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
W
91-86
91
86
+5
84avg 65
H20/01
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
72-79
72
79
-7
63avg 65
A27/01
ABA League
Cibona
#12
W
88-85
88
85
+3
79avg 65
H05/02
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-22
17-25
13-18
21-19
16-18
20-22
23-22
15-24
16-28
14-16
21-16
20-19
19-19
22-22
11-20
23-16
18-22
14-22
24-23
20-31
20-23
26-25
22-20
18-18
25-21
19-21
18-14
24-22
26-22
36-21
13-23
16-20
15-21
22-17
22-18
13-23
21-17
25-23
20-19
22-26
165.2Avg total
79.7Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)76.188.5164.6-12.421%
Season at home (10)77.887.2165.0-9.440%
Season away (9)74.289.9164.1-15.70%
Last 10 (10)79.785.5165.2-5.830%
Last 5 (5)87.486.2173.6+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)76.489.6166.0-13.219%
vs Similar (2)79.081.0160.0-2.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -2.6-2.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -2.6-2.6
Mega BasketMornar Bar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#9
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A04/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H11/12
ABA League
Split
#8
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A18/12
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H25/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H31/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A08/01
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H14/01
ABA League
Partizan
#3
L
39-59
39
59
-20
A22/01
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H28/01
ABA League
Zadar
#6
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A06/02
ABA League
83.1Avg total
39.5Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.740.382.0+1.463%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.037.581.5+6.579%-
Last 30 away (16)39.742.882.5-3.150%-
Last 10 (10)39.543.683.1-4.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.643.882.4-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.643.581.1-5.925%-
vs Similar (8)41.142.283.4-1.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)44.437.481.8+6.993%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#7
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A02/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H09/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A16/12
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H23/12
ABA League
Partizan
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H30/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A05/01
ABA League
Zadar
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H13/01
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
W
62-43
62
43
+19
H20/01
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A27/01
ABA League
Cibona
#12
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H05/02
ABA League
83.1Avg total
40.4Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.043.882.9-4.837%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.843.684.4-2.844%-
Last 30 away (14)37.044.181.1-7.129%-
Last 10 (10)40.442.783.1-2.330%-
Last 5 (5)47.042.289.2+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)39.643.483.0-3.841%-
vs Similar (2)39.544.083.5-4.50%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.623.2
57.1%
54.3%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.3
33.6%
34.1%21.9
🏀 Free throws21.014.4
68.6%
73.8%14.4
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.519.6
53.7%
54.3%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.0
31.4%
34.1%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.415.7
73.4%
73.8%15.7
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega Basket
LLLWWWWLLL
Mornar Bar
WLWWLLLLLL
#4
League position
#13
-4.4
Net rating
-7.5
107.3
Offensive rating
102.5
111.7
Defensive rating
110.1
54.8%
Effective FG%
51.0%
57.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
18.4%
Turnover %
15.2%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
21.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.35
33.6%
3-point %
31.4%
64.9%
Assist %
54.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.3 · 102.5Defence111.7 · 110.1Shooting54.8% · 51.0%3-point %33.6% · 31.4%Ball care18.4% · 15.2%Off. rebounds26.6% · 21.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Mega Basket   ■ Mornar Bar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Mega Basket wins
2
Mornar Bar wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/24AZadar71-74
28/01/24HBuducnost72-92
22/01/24APartizan80-112
14/01/24HFMP Beograd86-72
08/01/24ABorac Mozzart94-78
31/12/23HCedevita Olimpija97-86
25/12/23HIgokea92-76
18/12/23ASplit73-88
11/12/23HCrvena zvezda88-98
04/12/23AStudentski Centar82-89
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/24HCibona88-85
27/01/24AKK Krka Novo mesto72-79
20/01/24HStudentski Centar91-86
13/01/24HZadar86-78
05/01/24ABuducnost100-103 OT
30/12/23HPartizan76-98
23/12/23HFMP Beograd75-77
16/12/23ABorac Mozzart71-79
09/12/23HCedevita Olimpija74-86
02/12/23AIgokea64-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Basket
ABA League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL47%
HomeLWWWL56%
AwayLLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %47%56%40%
Points / game84.186.182.3
Allowed / game82.584.281.0
Point differential+1.6+1.9+1.3
Avg total166.6170.3163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%44%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)33% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mornar Bar
ABA League 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW21%
HomeLLWWW40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %21%40%0%
Points / game76.177.874.2
Allowed / game88.587.289.9
Point differential-12.4-9.4-15.7
Avg total164.6165.0164.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)75% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda1916384%87.173.8+13.2
2 Buducnost2015575%84.876.1+8.7
3 Cedevita Olimpija2014670%85.882.7+3.1
4 Partizan1913668%92.575.9+16.5
5 Zadar1911858%80.576.5+4.1
6 Igokea1911858%80.280.7-0.5
7 Mega Basket1991047%84.182.5+1.6
8 Studentski Centar1991047%85.885.2+0.6
9 Split2091145%76.579.8-3.2
10 Borac Mozzart1981142%78.183.2-5.1
11 Cibona2071335%79.084.8-5.8
12 FMP Beograd2061430%76.785.0-8.2
13 Mornar Bar1941521%76.188.5-12.4
14 KK Krka Novo mesto2041620%73.885.5-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mega Basket26242229101
Mornar Bar2721172287
← all games of the day
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