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FMP Beograd vs Mega Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 79-86
13-25 26-18 15-22 25-21
Position#6
Record10-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game81.4
vs
Position#10
Record7-8
FormWLWWL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game80.0
EuropeABA LeagueRound 18
Domestic2021
Meetings · FMP Beograd v Mega Basket
15 Feb 2026
FBE102
MEG87
21 May 2025
FBE77
MEG73
19 Jan 2025
FBE89
MEG87
16 Oct 2023
FBE73
MEG83
07 Jun 2023
FBE96
MEG70
17 Feb 2023
FBE67
MEG86
03 Oct 2022
FBE90
MEG76
29 Jan 2022
FBE79
MEG86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Mega Basket
#10
W
89-82
89
82
+7
83avg 77
A24/10
ABA League
Zadar
#12
W
83-76
83
76
+7
75avg 77
H31/10
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
69-74
69
74
-5
59avg 77
A06/11
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#7
W
104-99
104
99
+5
104avg 77
H12/11
ABA League
Cibona
#8
W
69-66
69
66
+3
66avg 77
A20/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
87-76
87
76
+11
92avg 77
H04/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#9
W
80-77
80
77
+3
no box
A10/12
ABA League
Split
#13
W
93-77
93
77
+16
90avg 77
H14/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
74-98
74
98
-24
64avg 77
H26/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#11
L
78-82
78
82
-4
62avg 77
A22/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
27-16
18-26
23-18
24-29
20-18
22-10
17-19
13-20
17-19
18-23
21-12
31-18
24-31
18-25
31-25
15-14
14-18
22-15
18-19
23-20
31-15
15-14
18-27
14-29
28-20
21-14
17-14
27-26
16-24
26-10
24-17
18-20
19-24
16-26
21-28
20-22
26-23
19-18
13-19
163.3Avg total
82.6Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)83.081.4164.4+1.671%
Season at home (7)87.684.0171.6+3.686%
Season away (7)78.478.9157.3-0.457%
Last 10 (10)82.680.7163.3+1.970%
Last 5 (5)82.482.0164.4+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)80.589.9170.5-9.427%
vs Similar ◀ (13)83.580.5164.0+3.169%
vs Weaker (5)89.481.0170.4+8.4100%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
67-81
67
81
-14
66avg 79
A01/11
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
87-81
87
81
+6
84avg 79
H07/11
ABA League
Igokea
#5
L
63-79
63
79
-16
54avg 79
A14/11
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
W
104-75
104
75
+29
107avg 79
H21/11
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#11
L
75-79
75
79
-4
67avg 79
A04/12
ABA League
Split
#13
W
78-65
78
65
+13
78avg 79
H12/12
ABA League
Zadar
#12
L
70-72
70
72
-2
63avg 79
H19/12
ABA League
Cibona
#8
W
93-89
93
89
+4
85avg 79
H09/01
ABA League
Partizan
#2
W
93-90
93
90
+3
89avg 79
A20/01
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#9
L
85-91
85
91
-6
no box
H23/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
16-22
16-14
19-21
23-19
32-19
17-25
15-18
15-18
17-24
16-16
15-21
27-15
23-19
33-21
21-20
10-14
26-23
21-22
18-20
20-12
15-16
22-22
21-15
16-24
16-22
26-11
12-15
30-22
15-22
19-22
29-23
26-22
29-24
19-19
19-25
16-23
21-14
27-28
21-26
161.7Avg total
81.5Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.580.0161.5+1.547%
Season at home (9)85.978.0163.9+7.967%
Season away (6)75.083.0158.0-8.017%
Last 10 (10)81.580.2161.7+1.350%
Last 5 (5)83.881.4165.2+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.181.4158.6-4.344%
vs Similar ◀ (11)82.881.1163.9+1.736%
vs Weaker (5)81.073.0154.0+8.0100%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.4-1.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.4-1.4
FMP BeogradMega Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mega Basket
#10
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A24/10
ABA League
Zadar
#12
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H31/10
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A06/11
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#7
W
55-49
55
49
+6
H12/11
ABA League
Cibona
#8
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A20/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H04/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#9
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A10/12
ABA League
Split
#13
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H14/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H26/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#11
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A22/01
ABA League
85.6Avg total
42.8Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.144.886.9-2.833%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.345.589.8-1.133%-
Last 30 away (15)39.844.284.0-4.433%-
Last 10 (10)42.842.885.6+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)44.444.689.0-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)41.248.789.9-7.518%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.541.683.1-0.246%-
vs Weaker (5)47.646.093.6+1.640%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A01/11
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H07/11
ABA League
Igokea
#5
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A14/11
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H21/11
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#11
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A04/12
ABA League
Split
#13
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H12/12
ABA League
Zadar
#12
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H19/12
ABA League
Cibona
#8
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H09/01
ABA League
Partizan
#2
W
55-46
55
46
+9
A20/01
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#9
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H23/01
ABA League
80.7Avg total
40.9Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)42.039.681.7+2.456%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.037.681.6+6.475%-
Last 30 away (11)39.242.581.7-3.427%-
Last 10 (10)40.939.880.7+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.840.281.0+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)42.443.285.7-0.844%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.839.280.0+1.645%-
vs Weaker (5)43.032.475.4+10.6100%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.421.2
50.0%
52.2%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.47.3
34.1%
34.7%21.9
🏀 Free throws21.017.2
81.9%
73.4%17.2
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.821.1
49.3%
52.2%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.78.7
40.1%
34.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.112.7
74.3%
73.4%12.7
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jan 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
LLWWWWWLWW
Mega Basket
LWWLWLWLWL
#6
League position
#10
+1.9
Net rating
+2.5
105.7
Offensive rating
105.8
103.7
Defensive rating
103.4
50.4%
Effective FG%
52.9%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
19.1%
Turnover %
19.8%
34.2%
Off. rebound %
34.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.1%
3-point %
40.1%
60.4%
Assist %
63.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 105.8Defence103.7 · 103.4Shooting50.4% · 52.9%3-point %34.1% · 40.1%Ball care19.1% · 19.8%Off. rebounds34.2% · 34.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Mega Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
FMP Beograd wins
0
Mega Basket wins
DateGameScore
24/10/21Mega Basket v FMP Beograd82-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/22AMornar Bar78-82
26/12/21HCrvena zvezda74-98
14/12/21HSplit93-77
10/12/21ABorac Mozzart80-77
04/12/21HKK Krka Novo mesto87-76
20/11/21ACibona69-66
12/11/21HStudentski Centar104-99
06/11/21APartizan69-74
31/10/21HZadar83-76
24/10/21AMega Basket89-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/22HBorac Mozzart85-91
20/01/22APartizan93-90
09/01/22HCibona93-89
19/12/21HZadar70-72
12/12/21HSplit78-65
04/12/21AMornar Bar75-79
21/11/21HCedevita Olimpija104-75
14/11/21AIgokea63-79
07/11/21HBuducnost87-81
01/11/21ACrvena zvezda67-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
ABA League 2021
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL71%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayWLWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %71%86%57%
Points / game83.087.678.4
Allowed / game81.484.078.9
Point differential+1.6+3.6-0.4
Avg total164.4171.6157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Mega Basket
ABA League 2021
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL47%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %47%67%17%
Points / game81.585.975.0
Allowed / game80.078.083.0
Point differential+1.5+7.9-8.0
Avg total161.5163.9158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %13%11%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda1514193%82.667.8+14.8
2 Partizan1714382%81.668.1+13.5
3 Buducnost1411379%80.972.7+8.2
4 FMP Beograd1410471%83.081.4+1.6
5 Cedevita Olimpija159660%83.878.6+5.2
6 Igokea168850%79.476.9+2.6
7 Mega Basket157847%81.580.0+1.5
8 Mornar Bar157847%77.477.5-0.1
9 Cibona1661038%76.677.3-0.7
10 Borac Mozzart1661038%75.981.8-5.8
11 Studentski Centar1661038%80.687.9-7.4
12 Zadar1651131%71.177.1-6.1
13 KK Krka Novo mesto1631319%70.983.1-12.2
14 Split1731418%69.081.6-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd1326152579
Mega Basket2518222186
← all games of the day
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