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Mornar Bar vs Mega Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 79-75
14-10 23-26 22-21 20-18
Position#11
Record2-7
FormWLLLW
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#10
Record4-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game79.3
EuropeABA LeagueRound 10
Domestic2021
Meetings · Mornar Bar v Mega Basket
01 Feb 2025
MBA83
MEG113
12 Nov 2023
MBA65
MEG99
20 Nov 2022
MBA85
MEG101
04 Dec 2021
MBA79
MEG75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Leiden
#10
W
87-74
87
74
+13
no box
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
69-77
69
77
-8
58avg 71
H24/10
ABA League
Iraklis
#25
W
88-65
88
65
+23
no box
H27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Buducnost
#3
L
69-85
69
85
-16
61avg 71
A31/10
ABA League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#1
L
86-95
86
95
-9
no box
H03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Igokea
#5
W
82-76 OT
82
76
+6
no box
H06/11
ABA League
Leiden
#10
L
73-78
73
78
-5
no box
A10/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
59-79
59
79
-20
37avg 71
A13/11
ABA League
Iraklis
#25
L
82-83
82
83
-1
no box
A17/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Split
#13
W
81-65
81
65
+16
75avg 71
H21/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-28
20-13
17-23
25-10
25-20
13-23
14-15
17-19
25-24
22-13
22-15
19-13
18-18
18-20
18-26
15-21
23-34
25-18
20-14
18-29
26-20
16-19
22-20
8-13
16-17
23-21
12-17
22-23
21-24
15-18
18-14
5-23
17-21
23-22
24-21
18-19
15-17
28-18
24-15
14-15
155.3Avg total
77.6Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)75.981.2157.1-5.322%
Season at home (5)78.879.0157.8-0.240%
Season away (4)72.284.0156.2-11.80%
Last 10 (10)77.677.7155.3-0.140%
Last 5 (5)75.476.2151.6-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)79.184.5163.5-5.431%
vs Similar ◀ (10)83.185.3168.4-2.230%
vs Weaker (5)84.679.2163.8+5.440%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
65-77
65
77
-12
no box
A13/06
Super League
Studentski Centar
#7
W
101-68
101
68
+33
111avg 81
H26/09
ABA League
Cibona
#8
L
84-89 OT
84
89
-5
no box
A04/10
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
73-72 OT
73
72
+1
no box
H10/10
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#9
L
68-80
68
80
-12
no box
A17/10
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#6
L
82-89
82
89
-7
66avg 81
H24/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
67-81
67
81
-14
66avg 81
A01/11
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
87-81
87
81
+6
84avg 81
H07/11
ABA League
Igokea
#5
L
63-79
63
79
-16
54avg 81
A14/11
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
W
104-75
104
75
+29
107avg 81
H21/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
12-23
14-13
15-20
23-21
28-6
28-20
22-21
22-19
25-14
14-26
17-19
20-17
16-16
18-16
13-18
18-13
14-29
24-18
12-20
22-21
16-27
26-18
18-23
16-24
16-22
16-14
19-21
23-19
32-19
17-25
15-18
15-18
17-24
16-16
15-21
27-15
23-19
33-21
21-20
158.5Avg total
79.4Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.079.3160.3+1.744%
Season at home (5)89.477.0166.4+12.480%
Season away (4)70.582.2152.8-11.80%
Last 10 (10)79.479.1158.5+0.340%
Last 5 (5)80.681.0161.6-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.180.4155.5-5.238%
vs Similar ◀ (7)84.080.1164.1+3.943%
vs Weaker (4)81.875.0156.8+6.8100%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -3.4-3.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -3.4-3.4
Mornar BarMega Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leiden
#10
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H24/10
ABA League
Iraklis
#25
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Buducnost
#3
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A31/10
ABA League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#1
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Igokea
#5
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H06/11
ABA League
Leiden
#10
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A10/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A13/11
ABA League
Iraklis
#25
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A17/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Split
#13
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H21/11
ABA League
82.2Avg total
41.4Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.444.185.5-2.733%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.144.587.6-1.443%-
Last 30 away (16)39.943.883.7-3.925%-
Last 10 (10)41.440.882.2+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)40.039.479.4+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)39.543.482.9-3.823%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)44.345.790.0-1.440%-
vs Weaker (5)42.644.086.6-1.440%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A13/06
Super League
Studentski Centar
#7
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H26/09
ABA League
Cibona
#8
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A04/10
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H10/10
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#9
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A17/10
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#6
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H24/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A01/11
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H07/11
ABA League
Igokea
#5
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A14/11
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H21/11
ABA League
79.6Avg total
40.9Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)42.639.682.2+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (12)46.237.283.5+9.083%-
Last 30 away (9)37.842.880.6-5.022%-
Last 10 (10)40.938.779.6+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)41.441.683.0-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.942.983.8-2.038%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)42.738.180.9+4.657%-
vs Weaker (4)45.033.578.5+11.5100%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.117.4
54.2%
52.2%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.3
37.2%
34.7%30.9
🏀 Free throws15.310.8
70.6%
73.4%10.8
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.7 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.920.9
48.7%
52.2%41.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.99.1
43.8%
34.7%27.4
🏀 Free throws16.611.9
71.6%
73.4%11.9
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/7 games with a box score before 04 Dec 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
WLLLWLLWLW
Mega Basket
WLWLLLWLWL
#11
League position
#10
-10.6
Net rating
+4.0
107.0
Offensive rating
104.4
117.6
Defensive rating
100.3
54.9%
Effective FG%
54.3%
57.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
14.9%
Turnover %
20.9%
20.1%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.26
37.2%
3-point %
43.8%
56.3%
Assist %
70.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.0 · 104.4Defence117.6 · 100.3Shooting54.9% · 54.3%3-point %37.2% · 43.8%Ball care14.9% · 20.9%Off. rebounds20.1% · 30.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ Mega Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mornar Bar wins
0
Mega Basket wins
No previous meetings.
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/21HSplit81-65
17/11/21AIraklis82-83
13/11/21ACedevita Olimpija59-79
10/11/21ALeiden73-78
06/11/21HIgokea82-76 OT
03/11/21HBahcesehir Kol.86-95
31/10/21ABuducnost69-85
27/10/21HIraklis88-65
24/10/21HCrvena zvezda69-77
20/10/21HLeiden87-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/21HCedevita Olimpija104-75
14/11/21AIgokea63-79
07/11/21HBuducnost87-81
01/11/21ACrvena zvezda67-81
24/10/21HFMP Beograd82-89
17/10/21ABorac Mozzart68-80
10/10/21HKK Krka Novo mesto73-72 OT
04/10/21ACibona84-89 OT
26/09/21HStudentski Centar101-68
13/06/21ACrvena zvezda65-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
ABA League 2021
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW22%
HomeLLLWW40%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %22%40%0%
Points / game75.978.872.2
Allowed / game81.279.084.0
Point differential-5.3-0.2-11.8
Avg total157.1157.8156.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %11%20%0%
Mega Basket
ABA League 2021
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW44%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%80%0%
Points / game81.089.470.5
Allowed / game79.377.082.2
Point differential+1.7+12.4-11.8
Avg total160.3166.4152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %22%20%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda98189%80.766.1+14.6
2 Partizan98189%76.463.2+13.2
3 FMP Beograd97278%83.381.1+2.2
4 Buducnost96367%77.972.9+5.0
5 Cedevita Olimpija95456%82.977.0+5.9
6 Cibona95456%76.273.0+3.2
7 Igokea95456%79.478.2+1.2
8 Mega Basket94544%81.079.3+1.7
9 Studentski Centar94544%81.989.2-7.3
10 Borac Mozzart104640%76.979.1-2.2
11 KK Krka Novo mesto93633%72.082.6-10.6
12 Mornar Bar92722%75.981.2-5.3
13 Split102820%70.282.7-12.5
14 Zadar91811%70.778.1-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mornar Bar1423222079
Mega Basket1026211875
← all games of the day
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