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Virginia vs Miami (FL) Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 06 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 60-38
29-17 31-21
Position#66
Record17-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game65.4
Allowed / game57.8
vs
Position#246
Record15-8
FormLWWLW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game72.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Virginia v Miami (FL)
13 Mar 2026
VIRG84
MIAM62
21 Feb 2026
VIRG86
MIAM83
05 Feb 2024
VIRG60
MIAM38
05 Feb 2022
VIRG71
MIAM58
01 Mar 2021
VIRG62
MIAM51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami (FL) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#291
L
54-76
54
76
-22
A30/12
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
77-53
77
53
+24
H04/01
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
60-76
60
76
-16
A06/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
47-66
47
66
-19
A13/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
65-57
65
57
+8
H18/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
75-66
75
66
+9
A20/01
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
59-53 OT
59
53
+6
H25/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
69-52
69
52
+17
A27/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
65-53
65
53
+12
H01/02
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
66-65
66
65
+1
A03/02
NCAA
1H
2H
24-41
30-35
37-22
40-31
28-35
32-41
21-27
26-39
25-18
40-39
33-29
42-37
27-15
20-32
41-13
28-39
38-23
27-30
34-26
32-39
125.4Avg total
63.7Scored
61.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)65.457.8123.1+7.677%
Season at home (14)69.452.0121.4+17.4100%
Season away (8)58.267.9126.1-9.638%
Last 10 (10)63.761.7125.4+2.070%
Last 5 (5)66.857.8124.6+9.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)62.056.5118.5+5.550%
vs Similar ◀ (17)64.160.3124.4+3.865%
vs Weaker (11)66.756.9123.6+9.882%
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (FL)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#74
W
95-82
95
82
+13
H04/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
82-86 OT
82
86
-4
A06/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
L
71-80
71
80
-9
H11/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A14/01
NCAA
Florida State
#196
L
75-84
75
84
-9
H18/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A20/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
73-61
73
61
+12
A25/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H27/01
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A31/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H03/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-41
60-41
37-44
36-29
41-37
30-43
29-30
46-41
35-45
40-39
31-30
38-42
37-29
36-32
40-29
32-39
29-33
39-41
26-35
56-39
151.4Avg total
76.2Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)80.172.2152.3+7.965%
Season at home (16)83.670.6154.2+13.081%
Season away (7)72.075.9147.9-3.929%
Last 10 (10)76.275.2151.4+1.050%
Last 5 (5)72.869.8142.6+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.279.0155.2-2.850%
vs Similar ◀ (13)79.272.5151.7+6.669%
vs Weaker (7)83.962.6146.4+21.386%
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: -1.3-1.32nd half2nd half: -4.5-4.52nd half: +2.7+2.7
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: -1.3-1.32nd half2nd half: -4.5-4.52nd half: +2.7+2.7
VirginiaMiami (FL)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#291
L
24-41
24
41
-17
A30/12
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H04/01
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A06/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
21-27
21
27
-6
A13/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
25-18
25
18
+7
H18/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A20/01
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
27-15
27
15
+12
H25/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
41-13
41
13
+28
A27/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H01/02
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A03/02
NCAA
55.7Avg total
30.8Scored
24.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.225.056.2+6.170%-
Last 30 at home (20)32.922.255.0+10.790%-
Last 30 away (10)27.830.758.5-2.930%-
Last 10 (10)30.824.955.7+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)34.621.255.8+13.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.022.053.0+9.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)29.526.155.5+3.471%-
vs Weaker (11)33.824.057.8+9.873%-
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (FL)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#74
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H04/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A06/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H11/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A14/01
NCAA
Florida State
#196
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H18/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A20/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A25/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H27/01
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A31/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H03/02
NCAA
69.3Avg total
34.0Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.733.471.1+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.732.071.7+7.768%-
Last 30 away (11)34.335.770.0-1.545%-
Last 10 (10)34.035.369.3-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)32.631.263.8+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.938.273.1-3.320%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)36.331.868.1+4.569%-
vs Weaker (7)44.429.473.9+15.0100%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Virginia wins
1
Miami (FL) wins
DateGameScore
21/12/22Miami (FL) v Virginia66-64
19/02/22Miami (FL) v Virginia71-74
05/02/22Virginia v Miami (FL)71-58
01/03/21Virginia v Miami (FL)62-51
05/03/20Miami (FL) v Virginia44-46
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24AClemson66-65
01/02/24HNotre Dame65-53
27/01/24ALouisville69-52
25/01/24HNC State59-53 OT
20/01/24AGeorgia Tech75-66
18/01/24HVirginia Tech65-57
13/01/24AWake Forest47-66
06/01/24ANC State60-76
04/01/24HLouisville77-53
30/12/23ANotre Dame54-76
Miami (FL)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24HVirginia Tech82-74
31/01/24ANC State68-74
27/01/24HPittsburgh72-68
25/01/24ANotre Dame73-61
20/01/24ASyracuse69-72
18/01/24HFlorida State75-84
14/01/24AVirginia Tech75-71
11/01/24HLouisville71-80
06/01/24AWake Forest82-86 OT
04/01/24HClemson95-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW77%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22148
Win %77%100%38%
Points / game65.469.458.2
Allowed / game57.852.067.9
Point differential+7.6+17.4-9.6
Avg total123.1121.4126.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%64%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %5%7%0%
Miami (FL)
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW65%
HomeWLLWW81%
AwayLWLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23167
Win %65%81%29%
Points / game80.183.672.0
Allowed / game72.270.675.9
Point differential+7.9+13.0-3.9
Avg total152.3154.2147.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%50%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Carolina2218482%83.169.9+13.2
2 Virginia2217577%65.457.8+7.6
3 Duke2116576%81.168.4+12.7
4 SMU Mustangs2215768%75.664.2+11.4
5 NC State2215768%75.770.2+5.5
6 Wake Forest2114767%80.770.9+9.8
7 Clemson2114767%79.072.2+6.8
8 Miami (FL)2315865%80.172.2+7.9
9 Pittsburgh2214864%75.666.8+8.8
10 Syracuse2214864%75.173.6+1.5
11 Boston College2113862%76.472.5+3.9
12 Virginia Tech2213959%74.369.2+5.1
13 Florida State2112957%77.374.7+2.6
14 Stanford21111052%78.175.9+2.2
15 Georgia Tech22101245%73.076.0-3.0
16 California2291341%75.376.5-1.2
17 Notre Dame2271532%61.965.5-3.6
18 Louisville2271532%72.878.0-5.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Virginia293160
Miami (FL)172138
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