Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2026

Tip-off: 01:00

Projected 121-122

Projected total 242.4

Final 133-121

29-27 25-30 38-34 41-30

Position#15

Record5-6

FormLWLWW

Points / game115.7

Allowed / game120.0

Miami Heat 🏆

47%

53%

■ MIA 47%■ CLE 53%

Pythia win probability

Cleveland Cavaliers

Position#17

Record6-6

FormLWLLW

Points / game116.4

Allowed / game114.3

NBA· Kaseya Center

NBA2026-27

Meetings · Miami Heat v Cleveland Cavaliers

Sections

Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

The Miami Heat will host the Cleveland Cavaliers on 13 November 2026 in a match that feels almost evenly matched, with the two teams hovering near the bottom of the standings and no clear favourite. Miami's 5-6 record over 11 games has seen them average 115.7 points while conceding 120.0, and they have struggled at home, going 1-3 in four home games with 117.8 points for and 124.2 against; their last five games include wins over Utah and Sacramento and a loss to Golden State. Cleveland, meanwhile, is 6-6 across 12 games, scoring 116.4 and allowing 114.3, and on the road they are 2-4 with 116.0 points for and 115.7 against; their recent five include a win over the Knicks and losses to the Hornets and Knicks. Historically the Cavaliers have dominated the series, winning eight of ten meetings and most recently defeating Miami 149-128 in March 2026. Pythia rates Cleveland as the favourite with a 53% chance of winning versus Miami's 47%, projecting a 121-122 score for a total of 242.4 points; the home line is -2.5 with a 42% chance of Miami covering, while the over line of 235.5 carries a 63% probability, and there is a 7% chance the game will go into overtime. The Cavaliers' recent win over the Knicks suggests they may carry momentum into this encounter.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon

47.2%fair 2.12

Best odds1.76

Implied55.2%

Edge-8.0pp

Cleveland Cavaliers winLost

52.8%fair 1.89

Best odds2.18

Implied44.8%

Edge+8.0pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:44 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami Heat USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormHeat

Date

Competition

Detroit Pistons

111-128

111

128

-17

92avg 112

H24/10

NBA

Charlotte Hornets

#22

110-115

110

115

-5

95avg 112

A24/10

NBA

Dallas Mavericks

#14

109-113

109

113

-4

96avg 112

H26/10

NBA

Atlanta Hawks

#13

129-117

129

117

+12

131avg 112

A28/10

NBA

Indiana Pacers

#21

145-125

145

125

+20

148avg 112

H31/10

NBA

Los Angeles Lakers

117-138

117

138

-21

108avg 112

A03/11

NBA

Los Angeles Clippers

#25

117-116 OT

117

116

112avg 112

A05/11

NBA

Golden State Warriors

#11

100-120

100

120

-20

90avg 112

A06/11

NBA

Sacramento Kings

#28

114-108

114

108

104avg 112

A09/11

NBA

Utah Jazz

#29

115-109

115

109

99avg 112

A11/11

NBA

26-41

27-24

27-38

31-25

31-31

27-35

17-30

35-19

27-23

25-30

32-30

25-30

34-25

35-31

28-29

32-32

36-42

32-19

35-27

42-37

30-37

42-42

21-32

24-27

33-24

19-43

26-20

29-20

29-26

24-27

23-38

24-29

34-30

34-29

23-22

23-27

29-25

35-29

28-18

23-37

235.6Avg total

116.7Scored

118.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	115.7	120.0	235.7	-4.3	45%
Season at home (4)	117.8	124.2	242.0	-6.5	25%
Season away (7)	114.6	117.6	232.1	-3.0	57%
Last 10 (10)	116.7	118.9	235.6	-2.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	112.6	118.2	230.8	-5.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	113.6	130.0	243.6	-16.4	14%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	121.4	123.1	244.4	-1.7	36%
vs Weaker (9)	125.3	118.9	244.2	+6.4	78%

This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Cleveland Cavaliers USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormCavaliers

Date

Competition

Minnesota Timberwolves

127-125 OT

127

125

103avg 108

H26/10

NBA

Washington Wizards

#23

121-111

121

111

+10

101avg 108

H28/10

NBA

Atlanta Hawks

#13

111-114

111

114

-3

91avg 108

A30/10

NBA

Milwaukee Bucks

#30

136-111

136

111

+25

120avg 108

A01/11

NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder

#12

112-117

112

117

-5

81avg 108

H03/11

NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder

#12

116-124

116

124

-8

86avg 108

A05/11

NBA

Philadelphia 76ers

119-95

119

+24

91avg 108

H07/11

NBA

New York Knicks

#16

97-109

109

-12

82avg 108

H08/11

NBA

Charlotte Hornets

#22

112-124

112

124

-12

83avg 108

A10/11

NBA

New York Knicks

#16

115-107

115

107

95avg 108

A12/11

NBA

24-31

26-29

36-26

27-27

34-42

25-27

33-23

29-19

28-16

16-30

38-43

29-25

24-25

48-21

37-30

27-35

30-26

18-33

36-31

28-27

20-37

24-23

30-28

42-36

33-22

29-32

29-20

28-21

27-26

26-37

17-25

27-21

28-29

25-40

27-38

32-17

33-23

26-30

23-23

33-31

230.3Avg total

116.6Scored

113.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	116.4	114.3	230.8	+2.1	50%
Season at home (6)	116.8	113.0	229.8	+3.8	67%
Season away (6)	116.0	115.7	231.7	+0.3	33%
Last 10 (10)	116.6	113.7	230.3	+2.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	111.8	111.8	223.6	+0.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	107.1	112.0	219.1	-4.9	43%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	112.2	111.2	223.5	+1.0	42%
vs Weaker (4)	123.5	116.8	240.2	+6.8	75%

This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

Pythia expects about 242 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 235-239 (11%). The market's main line is 235.5.

Over/Under 230.5Actual: Over 230.5

Over 230.5

73.0%

@ 1.60+12.0pp

Under 230.5

27.0%

@ 2.47-12.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

1.60

1xBet

1.54

WilliamHill

1.53

Bet365

1.52

Marathon Be

1.52

Under

1xBet

2.47

Bet365

2.40

BetVictor

2.40

WilliamHill

2.38

Betano

2.35

Over/Under 235.5 · main lineActual: Over 235.5

Over 235.5

63.3%

@ 1.93+13.3pp

Under 235.5

36.7%

@ 1.99-13.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.93

Bet365

1.90

Betfair

1.90

BetVictor

1.90

Marathon Be

1.88

Under

1xBet

1.99

Betano

1.93

Pinnacle

1.93

Marathon Be

1.92

Bet365

1.90

Over/Under 240.5Actual: Over 240.5

Over 240.5

52.8%

@ 2.40+12.1pp

Under 240.5

47.2%

@ 1.61-12.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.40

Betfair

2.38

WilliamHill

2.30

1xBet

2.29

Betano

2.25

Under

1xBet

1.61

Betfair

1.58

Betano

1.57

WilliamHill

1.57

Marathon Be

1.56

📊 3. Team Totals

Miami Heat total 115Actual: Miami Heat over 115

Over 115

68.5%

Under 115

31.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Miami Heat total 119 · main lineActual: Miami Heat over 119

Over 119

55.4%

@ 1.89+5.1pp

Under 119

44.6%

@ 1.91-5.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.89

Marathon Be

1.86

Under

1xBet

1.91

Marathon Be

1.88

Miami Heat total 123Actual: Miami Heat over 123

Over 123

41.8%

Under 123

58.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Cleveland Cavaliers total 113Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers over 113

Over 113

77.1%

Under 113

22.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Cleveland Cavaliers total 117 · main lineActual: Cleveland Cavaliers over 117

Over 117

65.4%

@ 1.92+15.8pp

Under 117

34.6%

@ 1.88-15.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.92

Marathon Be

1.88

Under

1xBet

1.88

Marathon Be

1.86

Cleveland Cavaliers total 121Push

Over 121

52.0%

Under 121

48.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

Margin from Miami Heat's side (positive = Miami Heat win). Pythia's expected margin is -0.9; Miami Heat win by 1+ in 41% of simulations.

Spread Miami Heat -5.5Actual: Miami Heat -5.5

MIA -5.5

33.2%

@ 2.36-7.5pp

CLE +5.5

66.8%

@ 1.60+7.5pp

Best 5 market prices

MIA

1xBet

2.36

Betano

2.35

Bet365

2.30

Betfair

2.25

BetVictor

2.25

CLE

1xBet

1.60

Betano

1.60

Marathon Be

1.58

Betfair

1.57

Bet365

1.55

Spread Miami Heat -2.5 · main lineActual: Miami Heat -2.5

MIA -2.5

42.4%

@ 1.98-6.7pp

CLE +2.5

57.6%

@ 1.92+6.7pp

Best 5 market prices

MIA

Pinnacle

1.98

1xBet

1.94

Bet365

1.94

Betano

1.93

Marathon Be

1.90

CLE

1xBet

1.92

Pinnacle

1.91

Marathon Be

1.90

Betfair

1.90

BetVictor

1.90

Spread Miami Heat +0.5Actual: Miami Heat +0.5

MIA +0.5

47.2%

CLE -0.5

52.8%

Best 5 market prices

MIA

No market prices yet.

CLE

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Miami HeatCleveland Cavaliers

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 57.5
Last 30 (30)	31.4	30.6	62.0	+0.7	53%	63%
Last 30 at home (14)	33.3	32.6	65.9	+0.6	57%	71%
Last 30 away (16)	29.7	28.9	58.6	+0.8	50%	56%
Last 10 (10)	30.9	30.4	61.3	+0.5	60%	60%
Last 5 (5)	31.0	28.4	59.4	+2.6	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	30.7	35.0	65.7	-4.3	29%	71%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	30.1	30.4	60.5	-0.2	43%	64%
vs Weaker (9)	33.8	27.7	61.4	+6.1	89%	56%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 57.5
Last 30 (30)	27.3	27.6	54.9	-0.3	47%	30%
Last 30 at home (15)	29.1	29.5	58.7	-0.4	53%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	25.5	25.7	51.1	-0.2	40%	13%
Last 10 (10)	28.1	27.7	55.8	+0.4	50%	10%
Last 5 (5)	28.2	27.4	55.6	+0.8	60%	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	25.4	28.3	53.6	-2.9	36%	29%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	28.6	25.5	54.1	+3.1	67%	25%
vs Weaker (4)	30.2	31.5	61.8	-1.2	25%	50%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 56.5
Last 30 (30)	30.0	31.8	61.8	-1.8	40%	70%
Last 30 at home (14)	29.1	29.8	58.9	-0.6	36%	57%
Last 30 away (16)	30.8	33.6	64.4	-2.9	44%	81%
Last 10 (10)	30.0	30.9	60.9	-0.9	50%	60%
Last 5 (5)	30.8	34.0	64.8	-3.2	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	29.1	32.1	61.3	-3.0	29%	57%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	28.5	30.9	59.4	-2.4	36%	57%
vs Weaker (9)	33.0	33.1	66.1	-0.1	56%	100%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 56.5
Last 30 (30)	26.9	27.8	54.6	-0.9	40%	33%
Last 30 at home (15)	26.9	28.5	55.4	-1.5	33%	40%
Last 30 away (15)	26.8	27.1	53.9	-0.3	47%	27%
Last 10 (10)	26.3	30.2	56.5	-3.9	20%	40%
Last 5 (5)	26.0	32.4	58.4	-6.4	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	27.1	27.5	54.6	-0.4	36%	21%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	24.7	28.0	52.7	-3.3	42%	33%
vs Weaker (4)	32.8	28.0	60.8	+4.8	50%	75%

Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Detroit Pistons

53-65

-12

H24/10

NBA

Charlotte Hornets

#22

58-66

-8

A24/10

NBA

Dallas Mavericks

#14

52-53

-1

H26/10

NBA

Atlanta Hawks

#13

69-56

+13

A28/10

NBA

Indiana Pacers

#21

68-61

H31/10

NBA

Los Angeles Lakers

72-79

-7

A03/11

NBA

Los Angeles Clippers

#25

52-67

-15

A05/11

NBA

Golden State Warriors

#11

53-53

A06/11

NBA

Sacramento Kings

#28

68-59

A09/11

NBA

Utah Jazz

#29

64-54

+10

A11/11

NBA

122.2Avg total

60.9Scored

61.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 114.5
Last 30 (30)	61.4	62.5	123.8	-1.1	43%	83%
Last 30 at home (14)	62.4	62.4	124.9	+0.0	50%	86%
Last 30 away (16)	60.4	62.5	122.9	-2.1	38%	81%
Last 10 (10)	60.9	61.3	122.2	-0.4	40%	80%
Last 5 (5)	61.8	62.4	124.2	-0.6	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	59.9	67.1	127.0	-7.3	14%	86%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	58.6	61.2	119.9	-2.6	43%	79%
vs Weaker (9)	66.8	60.8	127.6	+6.0	67%	89%

This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Cleveland CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Minnesota Timberwolves

50-60

-10

H26/10

NBA

Washington Wizards

#23

59-69

-10

H28/10

NBA

Atlanta Hawks

#13

44-46

-2

A30/10

NBA

Milwaukee Bucks

#30

72-46

+26

A01/11

NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder

#12

48-59

-11

H03/11

NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder

#12

44-60

-16

A05/11

NBA

Philadelphia 76ers

62-54

H07/11

NBA

New York Knicks

#16

53-63

-10

H08/11

NBA

Charlotte Hornets

#22

53-69

-16

A10/11

NBA

New York Knicks

#16

59-53

A12/11

NBA

112.3Avg total

54.4Scored

57.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 114.5
Last 30 (30)	54.2	55.4	109.5	-1.2	33%	30%
Last 30 at home (15)	56.1	58.0	114.1	-1.9	33%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	52.3	52.7	105.0	-0.5	33%	13%
Last 10 (10)	54.4	57.9	112.3	-3.5	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	54.2	59.8	114.0	-5.6	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	52.4	55.8	108.2	-3.4	29%	14%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	53.2	53.5	106.8	-0.2	33%	25%
vs Weaker (4)	63.0	59.5	122.5	+3.5	50%	100%

This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Cleveland Cavaliers win

MIA win

48.7%

@ 1.80-4.9pp

CLE win

51.3%

@ 2.05+4.9pp

1st half Spread Miami Heat -1 · main lineActual: Cleveland Cavaliers +1

MIA -1

44.9%

@ 1.86-5.4pp

CLE +1

55.1%

@ 1.88+5.4pp

1st half Over/Under 114.5 · main lineActual: Under 114.5

Over

71.9%

@ 1.91+22.8pp

Under

28.1%

@ 1.87-22.8pp

Miami Heat 1st half total 58 · main lineActual: Miami Heat under 58

Over

63.3%

@ 1.90+14.1pp

Under

36.7%

@ 1.84-14.1pp

Cleveland Cavaliers 1st half total 56.5 · main lineActual: Cleveland Cavaliers over 56.5

Over

71.0%

@ 1.85+20.5pp

Under

29.0%

@ 1.89-20.5pp

1st half Spread Miami Heat 0Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers 0

MIA 0

48.7%

@ 1.73-5.4pp

CLE 0

51.3%

@ 2.04+5.4pp

1st half Over/Under 112.5Actual: Under 112.5

Over

77.0%

@ 1.67+20.8pp

Under

23.0%

@ 2.13-20.8pp

1st half Over/Under 116.5Actual: Under 116.5

Over

66.1%

@ 2.20+22.6pp

Under

33.9%

@ 1.67-22.6pp

1st half Spread Miami Heat -2.5Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +2.5

MIA -2.5

39.9%

@ 2.07-4.8pp

CLE +2.5

60.1%

@ 1.67+4.8pp

1st half Over/Under 110.5Actual: Over 110.5

Over

81.7%

@ 1.53+20.9pp

Under

18.3%

@ 2.38-20.9pp

1st half Over/Under 118.5Actual: Under 118.5

Over

60.1%

@ 2.50+22.6pp

Under

39.9%

@ 1.50-22.6pp

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Miami Heat (regulation)

MIA

46.8%

@ 1.78-4.7pp

Draw

3.8%

@ 23.00-1.5pp

CLE

49.4%

@ 2.12+6.2pp

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 62
Last 30 (30)	29.7	30.2	59.9	-0.5	53%	33%
Last 30 at home (14)	31.5	30.7	62.2	+0.8	64%	36%
Last 30 away (16)	28.1	29.8	57.9	-1.6	44%	31%
Last 10 (10)	26.0	28.4	54.4	-2.4	50%	10%
Last 5 (5)	24.2	26.0	50.2	-1.8	60%	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	28.1	33.4	61.6	-5.3	29%	43%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	30.5	30.4	60.9	+0.1	57%	29%
vs Weaker (9)	29.7	27.4	57.1	+2.2	67%	33%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 62
Last 30 (30)	29.4	27.5	56.9	+1.9	57%	13%
Last 30 at home (15)	29.5	26.3	55.8	+3.1	67%	7%
Last 30 away (15)	29.3	28.7	58.1	+0.6	47%	20%
Last 10 (10)	30.6	28.7	59.3	+1.9	60%	40%
Last 5 (5)	25.2	26.8	52.0	-1.6	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	27.6	26.4	54.0	+1.3	50%	0%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	30.8	28.3	59.2	+2.5	58%	17%
vs Weaker (4)	31.2	29.2	60.5	+2.0	75%	50%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 58
Last 30 (30)	28.9	30.0	59.0	-1.1	47%	37%
Last 30 at home (14)	31.1	31.2	62.4	-0.1	57%	43%
Last 30 away (16)	27.0	29.0	56.0	-2.0	38%	31%
Last 10 (10)	28.8	28.3	57.1	+0.5	40%	30%
Last 5 (5)	24.6	28.0	52.6	-3.4	20%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	25.6	29.4	55.0	-3.9	29%	14%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	31.4	30.6	61.9	+0.8	57%	43%
vs Weaker (9)	27.8	29.7	57.4	-1.9	44%	44%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 58
Last 30 (30)	26.5	28.0	54.5	-1.4	43%	33%
Last 30 at home (15)	27.1	27.9	55.1	-0.8	47%	33%
Last 30 away (15)	25.9	28.0	53.9	-2.1	40%	33%
Last 10 (10)	30.2	25.9	56.1	+4.3	80%	30%
Last 5 (5)	32.4	25.2	57.6	+7.2	100%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	24.8	27.3	52.1	-2.5	29%	14%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	27.7	28.8	56.4	-1.1	58%	50%
vs Weaker (4)	29.2	28.0	57.2	+1.2	50%	50%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 120.5
Last 30 (30)	58.6	60.2	118.9	-1.6	37%	43%
Last 30 at home (14)	62.6	61.9	124.6	+0.7	43%	50%
Last 30 away (16)	55.1	58.8	113.9	-3.6	31%	38%
Last 10 (10)	54.8	56.7	111.5	-1.9	30%	30%
Last 5 (5)	48.8	54.0	102.8	-5.2	20%	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	53.7	62.9	116.6	-9.1	14%	29%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	61.9	60.9	122.8	+0.9	43%	57%
vs Weaker (9)	57.4	57.1	114.6	+0.3	44%	33%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 120.5
Last 30 (30)	55.9	55.5	111.4	+0.4	57%	23%
Last 30 at home (15)	56.6	54.3	110.9	+2.3	60%	20%
Last 30 away (15)	55.3	56.7	112.0	-1.5	53%	27%
Last 10 (10)	60.8	54.6	115.4	+6.2	70%	40%
Last 5 (5)	57.6	52.0	109.6	+5.6	80%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	52.4	53.6	106.1	-1.2	50%	0%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	58.5	57.1	115.6	+1.4	67%	42%
vs Weaker (4)	60.5	57.2	117.8	+3.2	50%	50%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

MIA win + total 235.5

🔒 Pro

CLE win + total 235.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: MIA leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: CLE leads at half

🔒 Pro

Winning margin: close (1-10 points)

🔒 Pro

Winning margin: clear (11-20 points)

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Winning margin: blowout (21+ points)

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
1st half: Over 114.5	71.9%	1.88	WilliamHill 1.91	Betfair 1.91	Marathon Bet 1.87	1xBet 1.87	BetVictor 1.85	+22.8pp	Lost
1st half: Over 114	73.8%	1.82	Marathon Bet 1.82	1xBet 1.82	-	-	-	+22.4pp	Lost
1st half: Over 115	71.1%	1.91	Marathon Bet 1.91	1xBet 1.91	-	-	-	+22.1pp	Lost
1st half: Cleveland Cavaliers over 56	74.1%	1.77	Marathon Bet 1.77	1xBet 1.77	-	-	-	+21.3pp	Won
1st half: Over 113.5	74.5%	1.73	WilliamHill 1.80	1xBet 1.67	-	-	-	+21.0pp	Lost
1st half: Over 111.5	79.5%	1.60	WilliamHill 1.60	-	-	-	-	+21.0pp	Lost
1st half: Over 110.5	81.7%	1.53	WilliamHill 1.53	-	-	-	-	+20.9pp	Won
1st half: Over 112.5	77.0%	1.65	WilliamHill 1.67	1xBet 1.63	-	-	-	+20.8pp	Lost
1st half: Cleveland Cavaliers over 56.5	71.0%	1.85	Marathon Bet 1.85	1xBet 1.85	-	-	-	+20.5pp	Won
Q2: Over 55.5	72.7%	1.73	1xBet 1.73	-	-	-	-	+19.1pp	Lost
Q2: Over 56	71.6%	1.77	Marathon Bet 1.77	1xBet 1.77	-	-	-	+18.8pp	Lost
Cleveland Cavaliers over 114.5	72.4%	1.60	Pinnacle 1.64	1xBet 1.63	WilliamHill 1.62	Betano 1.57	Bet365 1.52	+14.0pp	Won
Cleveland Cavaliers over 111.5	80.2%	1.38	Bet365 1.40	Betano 1.36	-	-	-	+13.8pp	Won
Cleveland Cavaliers over 113.5	75.1%	1.50	Bet365 1.52	Betano 1.47	-	-	-	+13.8pp	Won
Over 232	70.6%	1.60	Bet365 1.60	Marathon Bet 1.60	1xBet 1.60	-	-	+13.4pp	Won
Q1: Over 56.5	70.8%	1.61	1xBet 1.61	-	-	-	-	+13.4pp	Lost
Cleveland Cavaliers over 109.5	84.5%	1.28	Bet365 1.29	Betano 1.27	-	-	-	+13.0pp	Won
Cleveland Cavaliers over 112.5	77.7%	1.41	Betano 1.42	Bet365 1.40	-	-	-	+12.7pp	Won
Over 231.5	71.2%	1.58	Betfair 1.64	WilliamHill 1.60	1xBet 1.59	Marathon Bet 1.57	Bet365 1.57	+12.6pp	Won
Over 231	72.5%	1.54	Bet365 1.55	Marathon Bet 1.54	-	-	-	+12.3pp	Won
Over 229.5	74.8%	1.50	Betfair 1.56	WilliamHill 1.50	1xBet 1.49	Marathon Bet 1.48	Bet365 1.47	+12.1pp	Won
Over 228.5	76.5%	1.45	Betfair 1.51	1xBet 1.44	Marathon Bet 1.44	Betano 1.44	WilliamHill 1.44	+12.0pp	Won
Over 230.5	73.0%	1.53	Betfair 1.60	1xBet 1.54	WilliamHill 1.53	Bet365 1.52	Marathon Bet 1.52	+12.0pp	Won
Cleveland Cavaliers over 110.5	82.4%	1.30	Betano 1.31	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	+12.0pp	Won
Over 226.5	79.8%	1.38	Betfair 1.43	1xBet 1.36	Betano 1.36	-	-	+11.9pp	Won
Over 229	76.1%	1.45	Bet365 1.45	Marathon Bet 1.45	-	-	-	+11.9pp	Won
Over 230	74.3%	1.50	Bet365 1.50	Marathon Bet 1.49	-	-	-	+11.8pp	Won
Over 228	77.8%	1.40	Marathon Bet 1.41	Bet365 1.40	-	-	-	+11.8pp	Won
Over 224.5	82.7%	1.32	Betfair 1.36	1xBet 1.30	Betano 1.30	-	-	+11.6pp	Won
Over 227.5	78.2%	1.41	Betfair 1.49	1xBet 1.40	Marathon Bet 1.40	Betano 1.39	Bet365 1.38	+11.6pp	Won
Over 223.5	84.1%	1.29	Betfair 1.33	1xBet 1.27	Betano 1.27	-	-	+11.6pp	Won
Cleveland Cavaliers over 106.5	89.8%	1.17	Bet365 1.18	Betano 1.16	-	-	-	+11.4pp	Won
Cleveland Cavaliers over 107.5	88.2%	1.19	Bet365 1.20	Betano 1.19	-	-	-	+11.4pp	Won
Over 222.5	85.4%	1.26	Betfair 1.29	1xBet 1.24	Betano 1.24	-	-	+11.3pp	Won
Over 221.5	86.6%	1.23	Betfair 1.26	1xBet 1.22	Betano 1.22	-	-	+11.2pp	Won
Over 225.5	81.3%	1.34	Betfair 1.38	1xBet 1.33	Betano 1.33	Bet365 1.31	-	+11.1pp	Won
Cleveland Cavaliers over 108.5	86.5%	1.21	Betano 1.23	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	+10.7pp	Won
Cleveland Cavaliers over 105.5	91.2%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	Betano 1.14	-	-	-	+10.7pp	Won
Over 219.5	88.9%	1.19	Betfair 1.21	Betano 1.18	1xBet 1.17	-	-	+10.6pp	Won
Over 218.5	89.9%	1.17	Betfair 1.18	1xBet 1.16	Betano 1.16	-	-	+10.0pp	Won
Over 220.5	87.8%	1.20	Betfair 1.23	Betano 1.20	1xBet 1.19	Bet365 1.18	-	+9.9pp	Won
Over 217.5	90.8%	1.15	Betfair 1.16	1xBet 1.14	Betano 1.14	-	-	+9.7pp	Won
Over 216.5	91.7%	1.13	Betfair 1.14	Betano 1.13	1xBet 1.12	-	-	+9.1pp	Won
Cleveland Cavaliers +8	74.4%	1.40	Bet365 1.40	Marathon Bet 1.39	-	-	-	+8.1pp	Lost
Cleveland Cavaliers over 104.5	92.5%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+8.1pp	Won
Cleveland Cavaliers over 103.5	93.6%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+8.1pp	Won
Cleveland Cavaliers +10	79.2%	1.29	Bet365 1.30	Marathon Bet 1.29	-	-	-	+7.8pp	Lost
Cleveland Cavaliers +7.5	72.5%	1.43	BetVictor 1.45	1xBet 1.44	Betano 1.44	Marathon Bet 1.43	Bet365 1.43	+7.5pp	Lost
Over 213.5	94.0%	1.08	1xBet 1.08	Betfair 1.08	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Won
Cleveland Cavaliers +7	71.7%	1.44	Bet365 1.45	Marathon Bet 1.44	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Lost
Cleveland Cavaliers over 101.5	95.5%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Won
Cleveland Cavaliers over 99.5	96.9%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Won
Cleveland Cavaliers over 102.5	94.6%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Won
Cleveland Cavaliers +9	76.9%	1.33	Bet365 1.34	Marathon Bet 1.33	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Lost
Cleveland Cavaliers +8.5	75.1%	1.37	Betano 1.39	1xBet 1.38	Marathon Bet 1.37	Bet365 1.37	Betfair 1.36	+7.3pp	Lost
Cleveland Cavaliers over 100.5	96.2%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
Cleveland Cavaliers over 97.5	97.9%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Over 214.5	93.3%	1.10	Betfair 1.10	1xBet 1.09	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
Cleveland Cavaliers +12.5	83.5%	1.22	Betano 1.23	1xBet 1.22	Bet365 1.22	Betfair 1.20	-	+7.0pp	Won
Cleveland Cavaliers over 96.5	98.5%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
Cleveland Cavaliers +9.5	77.4%	1.32	Betano 1.34	1xBet 1.33	Bet365 1.33	Marathon Bet 1.32	Betfair 1.30	+6.9pp	Lost
Over 215.5	92.5%	1.11	Betfair 1.13	1xBet 1.10	Bet365 1.09	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Cleveland Cavaliers +10.5	79.6%	1.28	Betano 1.30	1xBet 1.29	Marathon Bet 1.28	Bet365 1.28	Betfair 1.25	+6.8pp	Lost
Miami Heat over 109.5	82.5%	1.21	Bet365 1.22	Betano 1.20	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Cleveland Cavaliers over 98.5	97.4%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Miami Heat over 107.5	86.5%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	Betano 1.14	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Won
Miami Heat over 108.5	84.6%	1.17	Bet365 1.18	Betano 1.17	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Won
Cleveland Cavaliers over 95.5	98.7%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Cleveland Cavaliers +27.5	97.9%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Won
Miami Heat over 111.5	77.7%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	Betano 1.28	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Won
Miami Heat over 113.5	72.4%	1.39	Bet365 1.40	Betano 1.38	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Won
Over 210.5	95.7%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
Cleveland Cavaliers +11.5	81.7%	1.24	Betano 1.26	1xBet 1.25	Betfair 1.22	-	-	+6.2pp	Lost
Cleveland Cavaliers +22.5	95.0%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	Betano 1.05	1xBet 1.04	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Cleveland Cavaliers +18.5	91.8%	1.09	Betano 1.10	1xBet 1.08	Betfair 1.08	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Cleveland Cavaliers +17.5	90.7%	1.10	Betano 1.11	1xBet 1.10	Bet365 1.10	Betfair 1.10	-	+6.0pp	Won
Miami Heat over 106.5	88.3%	1.12	Betano 1.12	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Cleveland Cavaliers +13.5	85.3%	1.19	Betano 1.20	1xBet 1.19	Betfair 1.17	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Cleveland Cavaliers +19.5	92.7%	1.08	Betano 1.08	1xBet 1.07	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Cleveland Cavaliers +20.5	93.6%	1.06	Betano 1.07	1xBet 1.06	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Cleveland Cavaliers +21.5	94.4%	1.06	Betano 1.06	1xBet 1.05	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
Miami Heat over 110.5	80.2%	1.23	Betano 1.24	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
Miami Heat over 99.5	96.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Cleveland Cavaliers +14.5	86.8%	1.16	Betano 1.17	1xBet 1.16	Betfair 1.14	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Miami Heat over 98.5	96.9%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Cleveland Cavaliers +15.5	88.3%	1.14	Betano 1.15	1xBet 1.14	Betfair 1.13	-	-	+5.3pp	Won
Miami Heat over 101.5	94.7%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Won
Cleveland Cavaliers +16.5	89.5%	1.12	Betano 1.13	1xBet 1.12	Betfair 1.11	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Miami Heat over 97.5	97.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Miami Heat over 112.5	75.1%	1.31	Betano 1.33	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Miami Heat over 100.5	95.5%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Miami Heat over 103.5	92.6%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Miami Heat over 105.5	89.9%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Miami Heat over 102.5	93.7%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Miami Heat over 104.5	91.3%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Q1: Miami Heat or Cleveland Cavaliers	95.4%	1.01	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Miami Heat under 140.5	94.2%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Q2: Miami Heat or Cleveland Cavaliers	95.1%	1.01	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Miami Heat +22.5	93.7%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+2.6pp	Won
Miami Heat under 139.5	93.4%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+2.3pp	Won
Overtime: no	93.4%	1.02	WilliamHill 1.03	1xBet 1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	+1.8pp	Won
Miami Heat under 138.5	92.4%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Won
Miami Heat +19.5	90.9%	1.05	Betano 1.06	1xBet 1.04	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
Miami Heat +18.5	89.8%	1.06	Betano 1.06	1xBet 1.05	-	-	-	+1.2pp	Won
Miami Heat under 136.5	89.7%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+1.0pp	Won
Miami Heat under 137.5	91.1%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+0.9pp	Won
Cleveland Cavaliers under 138.5	91.8%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+0.6pp	Won
Miami Heat +16.5	87.1%	1.08	1xBet 1.08	Betano 1.08	-	-	-	+0.4pp	Won
Miami Heat under 132.5	83.3%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+0.2pp	Lost
Miami Heat +17.5	88.5%	1.06	Betano 1.07	1xBet 1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	+0.2pp	Won
Miami Heat under 134.5	86.8%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+0.1pp	Won
Miami Heat +15.5	85.6%	1.09	1xBet 1.09	Betano 1.09	-	-	-	-0.1pp	Won
Miami Heat under 135.5	88.2%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	-0.5pp	Won
Miami Heat under 130.5	78.8%	1.15	Bet365 1.16	Betano 1.14	-	-	-	-0.5pp	Lost
Cleveland Cavaliers under 137.5	90.4%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	-0.8pp	Won
Miami Heat under 131.5	81.1%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	Betano 1.12	-	-	-	-1.1pp	Lost
Miami Heat under 133.5	85.0%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-1.6pp	Won
Miami Heat +14.5	83.9%	1.09	1xBet 1.10	Betano 1.10	Betfair 1.08	-	-	-1.7pp	Won
Cleveland Cavaliers under 136.5	88.9%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	-1.9pp	Won
Miami Heat under 129.5	76.5%	1.17	Betano 1.17	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-2.1pp	Lost
Miami Heat under 128.5	74.3%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	Betano 1.20	-	-	-	-2.3pp	Lost
Miami Heat +13.5	82.1%	1.12	1xBet 1.12	Betano 1.12	Betfair 1.11	-	-	-2.3pp	Won
Miami Heat under 127.5	71.6%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	Betano 1.23	-	-	-	-2.7pp	Lost
Miami Heat +12.5	80.1%	1.13	1xBet 1.14	Betano 1.14	Betfair 1.13	Bet365 1.12	-	-2.8pp	Won
Cleveland Cavaliers under 135.5	87.3%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	-2.9pp	Won
Cleveland Cavaliers under 134.5	85.6%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	-3.1pp	Won
Miami Heat +11.5	78.0%	1.15	1xBet 1.16	Betano 1.16	Betfair 1.14	-	-	-3.4pp	Won
Miami Heat +10.5	75.7%	1.18	1xBet 1.19	Betano 1.19	Betfair 1.17	-	-	-3.7pp	Won
Miami Heat +9.5	73.2%	1.21	1xBet 1.22	Betano 1.22	Betfair 1.20	-	-	-3.7pp	Won
Miami Heat +8.5	70.6%	1.24	1xBet 1.25	Betano 1.25	Betfair 1.22	-	-	-4.9pp	Won
Cleveland Cavaliers under 133.5	83.5%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	-5.2pp	Won
Cleveland Cavaliers under 132.5	81.3%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-5.4pp	Won
Under 260.5	83.2%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	-5.5pp	Won
Under 258.5	80.6%	1.08	1xBet 1.09	Betfair 1.08	-	-	-	-6.2pp	Won
Cleveland Cavaliers under 130.5	76.8%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	-6.3pp	Won
Under 257.5	79.3%	1.10	1xBet 1.11	Betfair 1.10	-	-	-	-6.5pp	Won
Under 256.5	77.7%	1.12	Betano 1.13	1xBet 1.12	Betfair 1.11	-	-	-6.7pp	Won
Under 255.5	76.5%	1.12	1xBet 1.14	Betano 1.13	Betfair 1.13	Bet365 1.10	-	-6.7pp	Won
Under 254.5	74.8%	1.15	1xBet 1.15	Betfair 1.15	Betano 1.14	-	-	-7.2pp	Won
Under 253.5	73.2%	1.17	1xBet 1.17	Betfair 1.17	Betano 1.16	-	-	-7.2pp	Lost
Cleveland Cavaliers under 129.5	74.3%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	Betano 1.12	-	-	-	-7.5pp	Won
Cleveland Cavaliers under 128.5	71.6%	1.15	Bet365 1.16	Betano 1.15	-	-	-	-7.6pp	Won
Cleveland Cavaliers under 131.5	79.1%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-7.6pp	Won
Under 252.5	71.4%	1.18	1xBet 1.19	Betano 1.18	Betfair 1.18	-	-	-8.1pp	Lost

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 118.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers59.4 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game

47%

35%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	53.1	29.7	55.9%	54.0%	59.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	38.8	13.6	35.1%	35.1%	40.8
🏀 Free throws	25.1	18.7	74.5%	77.3%	18.7

They take 91.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Cleveland Cavalierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cleveland Cavaliers: 109.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀35%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 35% of the points

🏀 Free throws21.4 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game

47%

35%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.9	24.9	54.2%	54.0%	49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	38.0	12.6	33.2%	35.1%	37.8
🏀 Free throws	29.3	21.4	73.0%	77.3%	21.4

They take 83.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	50.5	28.0	55.4%	54.0%	56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	41.8	16.3	39.0%	35.1%	48.9
🏀 Free throws	19.0	14.5	76.3%	77.3%	14.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	53.7	29.0	54.0%	54.0%	58.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	36.4	13.2	36.3%	35.1%	39.6
🏀 Free throws	24.1	18.1	75.1%	77.3%	18.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	52.4	29.6	56.5%	54.0%	59.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	39.2	13.8	35.1%	35.1%	41.3
🏀 Free throws	25.7	20.3	78.9%	77.3%	20.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	47.2	27.4	57.9%	54.0%	54.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	37.5	12.8	34.2%	35.1%	38.5
🏀 Free throws	27.3	20.6	75.3%	77.3%	20.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	53.4	29.7	55.7%	54.0%	59.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	38.6	14.8	38.3%	35.1%	44.4
🏀 Free throws	22.4	17.8	79.3%	77.3%	17.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	53.9	28.2	52.4%	54.0%	56.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	34.9	13.2	37.9%	35.1%	39.6
🏀 Free throws	23.8	18.2	76.4%	77.3%	18.2

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Miami Heat

WWLWLWWLLL

Cleveland Cavaliers

WLLWLLWLWW

#15

League position

#17

-0.5

Net rating

-6.4

111.7

Offensive rating

104.8

112.2

Defensive rating

111.2

54.5%

Effective FG%

52.2%

56.8%

Opp. effective FG%

54.2%

11.9%

Turnover %

16.0%

19.3%

Off. rebound %

19.9%

0.27

Free-throw rate

0.35

35.1%

3-point %

33.2%

66.3%

Assist %

61.3%

50%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Miami Heat ■ Cleveland Cavaliers

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Miami Heat wins

Cleveland Cavaliers wins

Date	Game	Score
27/03/26	Cleveland Cavaliers v Miami Heat	149-128
25/03/26	Cleveland Cavaliers v Miami Heat	103-120
13/11/25	Miami Heat v Cleveland Cavaliers	116-130
11/11/25	Miami Heat v Cleveland Cavaliers	140-138 OT
28/04/25	Miami Heat v Cleveland Cavaliers	83-138
26/04/25	Miami Heat v Cleveland Cavaliers	87-124
23/04/25	Cleveland Cavaliers v Miami Heat	121-112
20/04/25	Cleveland Cavaliers v Miami Heat	121-100
06/03/25	Cleveland Cavaliers v Miami Heat	112-107
30/01/25	Miami Heat v Cleveland Cavaliers	106-126

Miami Heatlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/11/26	A	Utah Jazz	115-109
09/11/26	A	Sacramento Kings	114-108
06/11/26	A	Golden State Warriors	100-120
05/11/26	A	Los Angeles Clippers	117-116 OT
03/11/26	A	Los Angeles Lakers	117-138
31/10/26	H	Indiana Pacers	145-125
28/10/26	A	Atlanta Hawks	129-117
26/10/26	H	Dallas Mavericks	109-113
24/10/26	A	Charlotte Hornets	110-115
24/10/26	H	Detroit Pistons	111-128

Cleveland Cavalierslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/11/26	A	New York Knicks	115-107
10/11/26	A	Charlotte Hornets	112-124
08/11/26	H	New York Knicks	97-109
07/11/26	H	Philadelphia 76ers	119-95
05/11/26	A	Oklahoma City Thunder	116-124
03/11/26	H	Oklahoma City Thunder	112-117
01/11/26	A	Milwaukee Bucks	136-111
30/10/26	A	Atlanta Hawks	111-114
28/10/26	H	Washington Wizards	121-111
26/10/26	H	Minnesota Timberwolves	127-125 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat

NBA 2026-27

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	45%
Home	LLLW	25%
Away	LWLWW	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	4	7
Win %	45%	25%	57%
Points / game	115.7	117.8	114.6
Allowed / game	120.0	124.2	117.6
Point differential	-4.3	-6.5	-3.0
Avg total	235.7	242.0	232.1
Over 235.5	45%	75%	29%
Win by 10+	18%	25%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	0% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	9%	0%	14%

Cleveland Cavaliers

NBA 2026-27

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	50%
Home	WWLWL	67%
Away	LWLLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	50%	67%	33%
Points / game	116.4	116.8	116.0
Allowed / game	114.3	113.0	115.7
Point differential	+2.1	+3.8	+0.3
Avg total	230.8	229.8	231.7
Over 235.5	42%	33%	50%
Win by 10+	25%	33%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	67% (3)	0% (1)
Overtime %	8%	17%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Los Angeles Lakers	13	11	2	85%	122.2	114.2	+7.9
2	Boston Celtics	12	10	2	83%	114.2	103.1	+11.2
3	San Antonio Spurs	12	10	2	83%	119.2	108.0	+11.2
4	Philadelphia 76ers	13	10	3	77%	111.2	109.4	+1.8
5	Minnesota Timberwolves	12	9	3	75%	119.3	105.9	+13.4
6	Houston Rockets	12	9	3	75%	115.4	106.5	+8.9
7	Detroit Pistons	11	8	3	73%	115.5	107.8	+7.7
8	Portland Trail Blazers	11	8	3	73%	119.5	112.3	+7.3
9	Golden State Warriors	12	8	4	67%	119.3	111.5	+7.8
10	Oklahoma City Thunder	12	8	4	67%	111.1	106.9	+4.2
11	Memphis Grizzlies	11	7	4	64%	117.9	111.9	+6.0
12	Denver Nuggets	10	6	4	60%	114.5	113.3	+1.2
13	Atlanta Hawks	12	7	5	58%	118.2	116.2	+2.1
14	Dallas Mavericks	12	7	5	58%	113.2	112.2	+1.0
15	New York Knicks	12	6	6	50%	109.8	103.7	+6.1
16	Cleveland Cavaliers	12	6	6	50%	116.4	114.3	+2.1
17	Miami Heat	11	5	6	45%	115.7	120.0	-4.3
18	Phoenix Suns	11	5	6	45%	111.7	116.1	-4.4
19	Toronto Raptors	12	5	7	42%	114.2	112.8	+1.4
20	Orlando Magic	12	5	7	42%	108.3	112.8	-4.4
21	Indiana Pacers	13	5	8	38%	111.2	113.2	-2.1
22	New Orleans Pelicans	12	4	8	33%	116.9	124.2	-7.3
23	Charlotte Hornets	12	4	8	33%	98.6	109.6	-11.0
24	Washington Wizards	13	4	9	31%	110.0	115.8	-5.8
25	Brooklyn Nets	11	3	8	27%	110.2	115.3	-5.1
26	Los Angeles Clippers	10	2	8	20%	112.2	118.1	-5.9
27	Chicago Bulls	10	1	9	10%	113.3	128.8	-15.5
28	Sacramento Kings	11	1	10	9%	108.3	121.0	-12.7
29	Utah Jazz	12	1	11	8%	106.6	118.1	-11.5
30	Milwaukee Bucks	13	1	12	8%	106.2	120.2	-14.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Miami Heat	29	25	38	41	133
Cleveland Cavaliers	27	30	34	30	121

← all games of the day

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Total points distribution

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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