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Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 10 Apr 2017
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 124-121 (OT)
24-37 32-23 24-31 28-17 16-13
Position#13
Record39-41
FormLLWLW
Points / game102.8
Allowed / game101.9
vs
Position#4
Record51-29
FormWWWLL
Points / game110.5
Allowed / game107.1
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Miami Heat v Cleveland Cavaliers
13 Nov 2026
MIA v CLE
upcoming
12 Nov 2025
MIA116
CLE130
10 Nov 2025
MIA140
CLE138
28 Apr 2025
MIA83
CLE138
26 Apr 2025
MIA87
CLE124
29 Jan 2025
MIA106
CLE126
08 Dec 2024
MIA122
CLE113
24 Mar 2024
MIA121
CLE84
08 Dec 2023
MIA99
CLE111
10 Mar 2023
MIA119
CLE115
08 Mar 2023
MIA100
CLE104
11 Mar 2022
MIA117
CLE105
01 Dec 2021
MIA85
CLE111
03 Apr 2021
MIA115
CLE101
16 Mar 2021
MIA113
CLE98
22 Feb 2020
MIA124
CLE105
20 Nov 2019
MIA124
CLE100
08 Mar 2019
MIA126
CLE110
28 Dec 2018
MIA118
CLE94
27 Mar 2018
MIA98
CLE79
10 Apr 2017
MIA124
CLE121
04 Mar 2017
MIA120
CLE92
19 Mar 2016
MIA122
CLE101
05 Dec 2015
MIA99
CLE84
16 Mar 2015
MIA106
CLE92
25 Dec 2014
MIA101
CLE91
14 Dec 2013
MIA114
CLE107
24 Feb 2013
MIA109
CLE105
24 Nov 2012
MIA110
CLE108
07 Feb 2012
MIA107
CLE91
24 Jan 2012
MIA92
CLE85
31 Jan 2011
MIA117
CLE90
15 Dec 2010
MIA101
CLE95
25 Jan 2010
MIA91
CLE92
12 Nov 2009
MIA104
CLE111
02 Mar 2009
MIA100
CLE107
30 Dec 2008
MIA104
CLE95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cleveland Cavaliers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
112-97
112
97
+15
96avg 92
H21/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
84-101
84
101
-17
68avg 92
H23/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
108-112
108
112
-4
92avg 92
A26/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
97-96
97
96
+1
88avg 92
A28/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
105-88
105
88
+17
93avg 92
A29/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
L
94-98
94
98
-4
79avg 92
H01/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
L
113-116
113
116
-3
106avg 92
H02/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
112-99
112
99
+13
105avg 92
A05/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
94-96
94
96
-2
79avg 92
A07/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
106-103
106
103
+3
94avg 92
A08/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
36-20
25-17
28-34
33-23
14-22
21-30
16-26
27-22
31-31
17-32
33-27
24-24
31-26
23-19
19-27
24-22
25-19
28-27
28-20
29-33
26-26
20-18
19-21
30-37
28-31
29-25
26-23
27-23
25-28
34-22
26-26
19-26
24-27
22-17
29-26
28-29
24-23
26-22
28-29
203.1Avg total
102.5Scored
100.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (80)102.8101.9204.7+1.049%
Season at home (39)105.9102.1208.0+3.954%
Season away (41)99.9101.7201.6-1.844%
Last 10 (10)102.5100.6203.1+1.950%
Last 5 (5)103.8102.4206.2+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)117.0109.0226.0+8.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (20)106.4101.0207.4+5.565%
vs Weaker (9)109.3102.8212.1+6.656%
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cleveland CavaliersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCavaliers
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
112-105
112
105
+7
113avg 101
A24/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
115-127
115
127
-12
104avg 101
H25/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
74-103
74
103
-29
60avg 101
A28/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
93-99
93
99
-6
85avg 101
A31/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
122-105
122
105
+17
118avg 101
H31/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
135-130 OT
135
130
+5
132avg 101
H02/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
122-102
122
102
+20
122avg 101
H04/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
114-91
114
91
+23
105avg 101
A06/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
100-114
100
114
-14
92avg 101
H07/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
125-126 OT
125
126
-1
119avg 101
A09/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-31
26-22
31-32
22-20
26-40
35-31
30-25
24-31
18-28
22-36
18-17
16-22
28-22
22-19
21-37
22-21
32-29
38-23
34-25
18-28
26-27
34-26
23-24
21-27
28-31
25-24
43-20
26-27
19-20
38-22
33-24
24-25
19-21
31-31
28-31
22-31
38-21
27-25
28-21
18-44
221.4Avg total
111.2Scored
110.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (80)110.5107.1217.6+3.564%
Season at home (40)113.5104.7218.2+8.878%
Season away (40)107.6109.4217.0-1.850%
Last 10 (10)111.2110.2221.4+1.050%
Last 5 (5)119.2112.6231.8+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)102.5108.9211.4-6.531%
vs Weaker (17)116.6110.4227.1+6.271%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -6.3-6.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -6.3-6.3
Miami HeatCleveland Cavaliers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H21/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H23/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
58-53
58
53
+5
A26/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A28/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A29/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H01/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
L
58-68
58
68
-10
H02/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A05/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A07/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A08/04
NBA
104.6Avg total
52.8Scored
51.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.051.9107.9+4.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.651.9109.5+5.657%-
Last 30 away (16)54.751.8106.5+2.956%-
Last 10 (10)52.851.8104.6+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)52.056.6108.6-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)58.045.0103.0+13.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)56.252.1108.3+4.160%-
vs Weaker (9)55.352.1107.4+3.244%-
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cleveland CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
59-53
59
53
+6
A24/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
61-71
61
71
-10
H25/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
40-64
40
64
-24
A28/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A31/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
70-52
70
52
+18
H31/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H02/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
53-55
53
55
-2
H04/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
57-42
57
42
+15
A06/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H07/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
65-46
65
46
+19
A09/04
NBA
109.4Avg total
56.5Scored
52.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.154.8111.9+2.363%-
Last 30 at home (13)58.253.8112.1+4.469%-
Last 30 away (17)56.255.5111.7+0.659%-
Last 10 (10)56.552.9109.4+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)57.049.6106.6+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)52.856.8109.6-3.954%-
vs Weaker (17)60.353.3113.6+7.071%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 102.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.327.9
47.9%
50.2%55.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.8
36.8%
35.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws23.817.3
72.7%
77.0%17.3
They take 84.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cleveland Cavalierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cleveland Cavaliers: 111.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.929.5
55.8%
50.2%59.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.712.3
36.5%
35.7%36.9
🏀 Free throws20.515.3
74.6%
77.0%15.3
They take 86.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Apr 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WLWLLWWLLW
Cleveland Cavaliers
LLWWWWLLLW
#13
League position
#4
+2.0
Net rating
+1.0
105.5
Offensive rating
111.9
103.5
Defensive rating
110.9
50.2%
Effective FG%
55.4%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
13.2%
Turnover %
12.8%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
21.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
36.8%
3-point %
36.5%
52.3%
Assist %
60.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 111.9Defence103.5 · 110.9Shooting50.2% · 55.4%3-point %36.8% · 36.5%Ball care13.2% · 12.8%Off. rebounds24.9% · 21.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Cleveland Cavaliers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/17AWashington Wizards106-103
07/04/17AToronto Raptors94-96
05/04/17ACharlotte Hornets112-99
02/04/17HDenver Nuggets113-116
01/04/17HNew York Knicks94-98
29/03/17ANew York Knicks105-88
28/03/17ADetroit Pistons97-96
26/03/17ABoston Celtics108-112
23/03/17HToronto Raptors84-101
21/03/17HPhoenix Suns112-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/17AAtlanta Hawks125-126 OT
07/04/17HAtlanta Hawks100-114
06/04/17ABoston Celtics114-91
04/04/17HOrlando Magic122-102
02/04/17HIndiana Pacers135-130 OT
31/03/17HPhiladelphia 76ers122-105
31/03/17AChicago Bulls93-99
28/03/17ASan Antonio Spurs74-103
25/03/17HWashington Wizards115-127
24/03/17ACharlotte Hornets112-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW49%
HomeLWLLL54%
AwayWWWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games803941
Win %49%54%44%
Points / game102.8105.999.9
Allowed / game101.9102.1101.7
Point differential+0.9+3.9-1.8
Avg total204.7208.0201.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%33%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won41% (22)25% (8)50% (14)
Overtime %2%5%0%
Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL64%
HomeLWWWL78%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games804040
Win %64%78%50%
Points / game110.5113.5107.6
Allowed / game107.1104.7109.4
Point differential+3.5+8.8-1.8
Avg total217.6218.2217.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%45%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (19)50% (6)62% (13)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors80661482%116.2104.4+11.8
2 San Antonio Spurs80611976%105.598.1+7.4
3 Houston Rockets80542668%115.5109.3+6.2
4 Cleveland Cavaliers80512964%110.5107.1+3.5
5 Boston Celtics80512964%107.9105.5+2.4
6 Toronto Raptors81503162%107.0102.9+4.1
7 Utah Jazz80493161%100.796.7+3.9
8 Los Angeles Clippers80493161%108.4104.6+3.8
9 Washington Wizards80483260%109.3107.4+1.9
10 Oklahoma City Thunder80463457%106.7105.9+0.8
11 Memphis Grizzlies81433853%100.6100.0+0.6
12 Atlanta Hawks80423852%103.4104.4-1.0
13 Milwaukee Bucks80413951%103.9104.0-0.1
14 Indiana Pacers81414051%105.1105.6-0.4
15 Portland Trail Blazers80404050%108.2108.7-0.5
16 Miami Heat80394149%102.8101.9+0.9
17 Chicago Bulls80394149%102.5103.2-0.6
18 Denver Nuggets80384248%111.8111.5+0.2
19 Detroit Pistons80374346%101.2102.3-1.1
20 Charlotte Hornets80364445%105.6104.9+0.7
21 New Orleans Pelicans80334741%104.5106.5-2.0
22 Dallas Mavericks80324840%98.0100.8-2.9
23 Minnesota Timberwolves80314939%105.5106.6-1.1
24 Sacramento Kings80314939%102.6106.6-4.0
25 New York Knicks81305137%104.2108.0-3.7
26 Orlando Magic80285235%101.2107.5-6.2
27 Philadelphia 76ers81285335%102.3108.1-5.8
28 Los Angeles Lakers80255531%104.7111.7-7.0
29 Phoenix Suns81245730%107.7113.1-5.4
30 Brooklyn Nets80206025%106.2112.5-6.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Miami Heat2432242816124
Cleveland Cavaliers3723311713121
← all games of the day
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