PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 120-92
35-35 32-16 34-24 19-17
Position#13
Record28-34
FormWWLWL
Points / game101.9
Allowed / game102.1
vs
Position#4
Record42-18
FormWLWLW
Points / game111.3
Allowed / game106.3
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Miami Heat v Cleveland Cavaliers
13 Nov 2026
MIA v CLE
upcoming
12 Nov 2025
MIA116
CLE130
10 Nov 2025
MIA140
CLE138
28 Apr 2025
MIA83
CLE138
26 Apr 2025
MIA87
CLE124
29 Jan 2025
MIA106
CLE126
08 Dec 2024
MIA122
CLE113
24 Mar 2024
MIA121
CLE84
08 Dec 2023
MIA99
CLE111
10 Mar 2023
MIA119
CLE115
08 Mar 2023
MIA100
CLE104
11 Mar 2022
MIA117
CLE105
01 Dec 2021
MIA85
CLE111
03 Apr 2021
MIA115
CLE101
16 Mar 2021
MIA113
CLE98
22 Feb 2020
MIA124
CLE105
20 Nov 2019
MIA124
CLE100
08 Mar 2019
MIA126
CLE110
28 Dec 2018
MIA118
CLE94
27 Mar 2018
MIA98
CLE79
10 Apr 2017
MIA124
CLE121
04 Mar 2017
MIA120
CLE92
19 Mar 2016
MIA122
CLE101
05 Dec 2015
MIA99
CLE84
16 Mar 2015
MIA106
CLE92
25 Dec 2014
MIA101
CLE91
14 Dec 2013
MIA114
CLE107
24 Feb 2013
MIA109
CLE105
24 Nov 2012
MIA110
CLE108
07 Feb 2012
MIA107
CLE91
24 Jan 2012
MIA92
CLE85
31 Jan 2011
MIA117
CLE90
15 Dec 2010
MIA101
CLE95
25 Jan 2010
MIA91
CLE92
12 Nov 2009
MIA104
CLE111
02 Mar 2009
MIA100
CLE107
30 Dec 2008
MIA104
CLE95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cleveland Cavaliers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
106-88
106
88
+18
100avg 93
A09/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
108-99
108
99
+9
93avg 93
A11/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
109-117
109
117
-8
98avg 93
A12/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
107-116
107
116
-9
91avg 93
H14/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
117-109
117
109
+8
114avg 93
A16/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
108-90
108
90
+18
102avg 93
A25/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
113-95
113
95
+18
108avg 93
H26/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
89-96
89
96
-7
80avg 93
A28/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
125-98
125
98
+27
117avg 93
H02/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
99-110
99
110
-11
85avg 93
A04/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-15
27-29
26-19
25-25
20-22
29-31
25-19
34-27
27-27
21-27
28-30
33-33
28-36
29-24
30-27
20-29
34-28
24-17
30-28
29-36
25-24
38-25
24-17
21-24
18-23
35-31
30-25
30-16
31-22
23-33
15-23
20-18
37-27
27-17
24-30
37-24
25-33
28-27
20-25
26-25
209.9Avg total
108.1Scored
101.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (62)101.9102.1204.0-0.245%
Season at home (29)105.1101.9207.0+3.352%
Season away (33)99.1102.3201.4-3.239%
Last 10 (10)108.1101.8209.9+6.360%
Last 5 (5)106.897.8204.6+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)106.5105.2211.8+1.275%
vs Similar ◀ (15)103.999.1203.1+4.860%
vs Weaker (11)107.5106.5214.1+1.055%
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cleveland CavaliersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCavaliers
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
132-117
132
117
+15
127avg 101
A09/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
109-118
109
118
-9
93avg 101
A10/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
125-109
125
109
+16
126avg 101
H12/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
116-108
116
108
+8
111avg 101
A15/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
113-104
113
104
+9
106avg 101
H16/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
119-104
119
104
+15
118avg 101
H24/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
99-117
99
117
-18
93avg 101
H26/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
102-95
102
95
+7
102avg 101
H28/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
99-103
99
103
-4
82avg 101
A02/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
135-130
135
130
+5
130avg 101
A04/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-36
32-27
40-18
35-36
21-29
36-26
25-31
27-32
28-33
31-22
33-23
33-31
26-30
43-31
24-32
23-15
28-32
29-22
26-26
30-24
34-33
35-18
18-28
32-25
22-23
34-32
20-34
23-28
27-25
25-25
25-23
25-22
26-20
24-29
21-25
28-29
39-33
38-27
29-28
29-42
225.4Avg total
114.9Scored
110.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (60)111.3106.3217.6+5.070%
Season at home (32)113.4103.9217.3+9.481%
Season away (28)108.9109.0217.9-0.057%
Last 10 (10)114.9110.5225.4+4.470%
Last 5 (5)110.8109.8220.6+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)91.0126.0217.0-35.00%
vs Similar ◀ (9)114.7111.2225.9+3.456%
vs Weaker (20)112.5108.0220.6+4.570%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +6.8+6.8Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +0.1+0.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +6.8+6.8Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +0.1+0.1
Miami HeatCleveland Cavaliers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A09/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A11/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A12/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H14/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A16/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
63-49
63
49
+14
A25/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H26/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A28/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
64-44
64
44
+20
H02/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A04/03
NBA
107.2Avg total
55.4Scored
51.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.053.2108.3+1.847%-
Last 30 at home (12)56.852.0108.8+4.858%-
Last 30 away (18)53.854.1107.9-0.239%-
Last 10 (10)55.451.8107.2+3.640%-
Last 5 (5)57.452.4109.8+5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)52.849.8102.5+3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)54.852.3107.1+2.553%-
vs Weaker (11)56.255.8112.0+0.436%-
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cleveland CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#16
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A09/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
57-55
57
55
+2
A10/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
59-55
59
55
+4
H12/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A15/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H16/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
69-51
69
51
+18
H24/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
56-55
56
55
+1
H26/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H28/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A02/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
77-60
77
60
+17
A04/03
NBA
115.6Avg total
60.3Scored
55.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.653.8110.4+2.870%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.451.6107.9+4.886%-
Last 30 away (16)56.955.8112.6+1.156%-
Last 10 (10)60.355.3115.6+5.090%-
Last 5 (5)60.853.0113.8+7.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.078.0127.0-29.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)57.154.7111.8+2.478%-
vs Weaker (20)56.852.2109.0+4.670%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 108.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.229.9
51.4%
50.2%59.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.4
36.0%
35.7%31.2
🏀 Free throws22.117.1
77.4%
77.0%17.1
They take 87.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cleveland Cavalierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cleveland Cavaliers: 114.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.226.9
55.8%
50.2%53.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.714.6
42.1%
35.7%43.8
🏀 Free throws21.717.3
79.7%
77.0%17.3
They take 82.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LWLWWWLLWW
Cleveland Cavaliers
WLWLWWWWLW
#13
League position
#4
+6.4
Net rating
+4.5
110.2
Offensive rating
117.1
103.7
Defensive rating
112.6
52.2%
Effective FG%
58.9%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
13.8%
Turnover %
12.5%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
17.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.0%
3-point %
42.1%
52.9%
Assist %
58.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 117.1Defence103.7 · 112.6Shooting52.2% · 58.9%3-point %36.0% · 42.1%Ball care13.8% · 12.5%Off. rebounds26.7% · 17.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Cleveland Cavaliers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Miami Heat wins
4
Cleveland Cavaliers wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/17AOrlando Magic99-110
02/03/17HPhiladelphia 76ers125-98
28/02/17ADallas Mavericks89-96
26/02/17HIndiana Pacers113-95
25/02/17AAtlanta Hawks108-90
16/02/17AHouston Rockets117-109
14/02/17HOrlando Magic107-116
12/02/17APhiladelphia 76ers109-117
11/02/17ABrooklyn Nets108-99
09/02/17AMilwaukee Bucks106-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/17AAtlanta Hawks135-130
02/03/17ABoston Celtics99-103
28/02/17HMilwaukee Bucks102-95
26/02/17HChicago Bulls99-117
24/02/17HNew York Knicks119-104
16/02/17HIndiana Pacers113-104
15/02/17AMinnesota Timberwolves116-108
12/02/17HDenver Nuggets125-109
10/02/17AOklahoma City Thunder109-118
09/02/17AIndiana Pacers132-117

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL45%
HomeWWLWW52%
AwayLWWLL39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games622933
Win %45%52%39%
Points / game101.9105.199.1
Allowed / game102.1101.9102.3
Point differential-0.2+3.3-3.2
Avg total204.0207.0201.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%31%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (15)33% (6)56% (9)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW70%
HomeWWWLW81%
AwayWLWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games603228
Win %70%81%57%
Points / game111.3113.4108.9
Allowed / game106.3103.9109.0
Point differential+5.0+9.4-0.0
Avg total217.6217.3217.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%47%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (14)40% (5)78% (9)
Overtime %7%6%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors61501182%117.5105.3+12.2
2 San Antonio Spurs60471378%106.798.3+8.3
3 Cleveland Cavaliers60421870%111.3106.3+5.0
4 Houston Rockets62431969%115.1108.3+6.9
5 Boston Celtics62402265%108.0105.4+2.6
6 Utah Jazz62382461%100.496.0+4.3
7 Washington Wizards60362460%107.8105.5+2.4
8 Toronto Raptors62372560%108.1104.1+4.1
9 Los Angeles Clippers61362559%107.9105.1+2.8
10 Memphis Grizzlies62362658%101.299.8+1.4
11 Oklahoma City Thunder62352756%106.4106.2+0.2
12 Atlanta Hawks61342756%103.8104.6-0.8
13 Chicago Bulls61313051%102.8103.1-0.4
14 Indiana Pacers61313051%105.3106.2-0.9
15 Detroit Pistons62303248%102.0102.2-0.2
16 Denver Nuggets61283346%110.8111.4-0.6
17 Miami Heat62283445%101.9102.1-0.2
18 Milwaukee Bucks60273345%105.2105.2-0.1
19 Charlotte Hornets61263543%104.8104.6+0.1
20 Portland Trail Blazers60253542%107.5110.2-2.6
21 Minnesota Timberwolves61253641%105.1105.2-0.1
22 Dallas Mavericks61253641%97.899.8-2.0
23 Sacramento Kings61253641%102.6105.5-2.9
24 New York Knicks62253740%105.7108.7-3.0
25 New Orleans Pelicans62243839%103.1106.5-3.4
26 Orlando Magic62233937%99.7105.7-6.0
27 Philadelphia 76ers62233937%101.8107.8-6.0
28 Phoenix Suns62204232%107.5112.6-5.1
29 Los Angeles Lakers62194331%104.0110.9-6.9
30 Brooklyn Nets60105017%105.3114.2-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat35323419120
Cleveland Cavaliers3516241792
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.