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Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Mar 2016
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 122-101
31-19 34-25 33-26 24-31
Position#8
Record39-29
FormLWLWL
Points / game99.0
Allowed / game97.9
vs
Position#3
Record49-19
FormWWLWW
Points / game103.6
Allowed / game97.5
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Miami Heat v Cleveland Cavaliers
13 Nov 2026
MIA v CLE
upcoming
12 Nov 2025
MIA116
CLE130
10 Nov 2025
MIA140
CLE138
28 Apr 2025
MIA83
CLE138
26 Apr 2025
MIA87
CLE124
29 Jan 2025
MIA106
CLE126
08 Dec 2024
MIA122
CLE113
24 Mar 2024
MIA121
CLE84
08 Dec 2023
MIA99
CLE111
10 Mar 2023
MIA119
CLE115
08 Mar 2023
MIA100
CLE104
11 Mar 2022
MIA117
CLE105
01 Dec 2021
MIA85
CLE111
03 Apr 2021
MIA115
CLE101
16 Mar 2021
MIA113
CLE98
22 Feb 2020
MIA124
CLE105
20 Nov 2019
MIA124
CLE100
08 Mar 2019
MIA126
CLE110
28 Dec 2018
MIA118
CLE94
27 Mar 2018
MIA98
CLE79
10 Apr 2017
MIA124
CLE121
04 Mar 2017
MIA120
CLE92
19 Mar 2016
MIA122
CLE101
05 Dec 2015
MIA99
CLE84
16 Mar 2015
MIA106
CLE92
25 Dec 2014
MIA101
CLE91
14 Dec 2013
MIA114
CLE107
24 Feb 2013
MIA109
CLE105
24 Nov 2012
MIA110
CLE108
07 Feb 2012
MIA107
CLE91
24 Jan 2012
MIA92
CLE85
31 Jan 2011
MIA117
CLE90
15 Dec 2010
MIA101
CLE95
25 Jan 2010
MIA91
CLE92
12 Nov 2009
MIA104
CLE111
02 Mar 2009
MIA100
CLE107
30 Dec 2008
MIA104
CLE95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cleveland Cavaliers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#24
W
98-81
98
81
+17
98avg 91
A29/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
129-111
129
111
+18
132avg 91
H02/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
108-92
108
92
+16
105avg 91
H04/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
112-102
112
102
+10
108avg 91
A05/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
103-98
103
98
+5
95avg 91
H06/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
108-114
108
114
-6
104avg 91
A10/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
118-96
118
96
+22
113avg 91
A12/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
104-112 OT
104
112
-8
85avg 91
A13/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
124-119
124
119
+5
118avg 91
H14/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
106-109
106
109
-3
102avg 91
H17/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
21-20
25-26
29-16
36-30
29-32
30-20
34-29
29-21
28-22
27-25
24-24
40-29
19-20
25-28
28-25
30-25
17-24
22-20
34-29
22-29
32-28
31-23
23-34
23-31
31-27
30-23
34-15
24-28
22-25
25-17
26-27
36-33
28-29
26-29
34-28
29-26
23-28
21-28
33-27
214.4Avg total
111.0Scored
103.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (68)99.097.9196.9+1.157%
Season at home (35)101.798.1199.8+3.763%
Season away (33)96.197.7193.8-1.752%
Last 10 (10)111.0103.4214.4+7.670%
Last 5 (5)112.0110.0222.0+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)95.7112.0207.7-16.30%
vs Similar (17)100.8100.5201.4+0.353%
vs Weaker (10)103.999.3203.2+4.680%
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cleveland CavaliersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCavaliers
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
100-96
100
96
+4
90avg 94
H01/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
108-83
108
83
+25
100avg 94
H05/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
W
120-103
120
103
+17
119avg 94
H06/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
103-106
103
106
-3
100avg 94
H08/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
120-111
120
111
+9
108avg 94
A10/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
120-108
120
108
+12
110avg 94
A11/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
114-90
114
90
+24
110avg 94
A13/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
L
85-94
85
94
-9
68avg 94
A15/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
99-98
99
98
+1
91avg 94
H16/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
109-103
109
103
+6
105avg 94
A18/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
26-24
30-30
26-23
27-23
32-19
24-21
25-20
22-35
33-19
36-29
29-20
25-33
24-25
25-24
29-24
28-25
26-35
35-24
31-27
33-31
31-24
31-27
25-26
21-19
37-22
33-27
23-22
26-28
18-20
22-18
19-28
31-28
26-23
27-17
15-30
27-29
36-25
20-32
26-17
207.0Avg total
107.8Scored
99.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (68)103.697.5201.1+6.172%
Season at home (34)105.898.1203.9+7.682%
Season away (34)101.596.9198.4+4.662%
Last 10 (10)107.899.2207.0+8.680%
Last 5 (5)105.498.6204.0+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)109.9103.1213.0+6.862%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)105.299.7204.9+5.573%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: +1.1+1.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: +1.1+1.1
Miami HeatCleveland Cavaliers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#24
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A29/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H02/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H04/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
59-49
59
49
+10
A05/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H06/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A10/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
54-58
54
58
-4
A12/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A13/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
64-62
64
62
+2
H14/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H17/03
NBA
106.8Avg total
54.2Scored
52.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.050.4100.5-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (12)51.549.3100.8+2.250%-
Last 30 away (18)49.151.2100.2-2.139%-
Last 10 (10)54.252.6106.8+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)54.056.8110.8-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)48.049.797.7-1.733%-
vs Similar (17)49.549.999.4-0.541%-
vs Weaker (10)51.651.5103.1+0.150%-
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cleveland CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H01/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
59-42
59
42
+17
H05/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H06/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H08/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
54-60
54
60
-6
A10/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
64-55
64
55
+9
A11/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
58-41
58
41
+17
A13/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A15/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H16/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
63-54
63
54
+9
A18/03
NBA
105.3Avg total
54.7Scored
50.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.250.2105.5+5.077%-
Last 30 at home (18)54.149.7103.8+4.478%-
Last 30 away (12)56.951.1108.0+5.875%-
Last 10 (10)54.750.6105.3+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)57.249.8107.0+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)55.250.6105.9+4.688%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)55.250.1105.3+5.173%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 111.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers70.2 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.735.1
51.8%
49.0%70.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.96.9
43.4%
35.3%20.7
🏀 Free throws25.420.1
79.1%
75.5%20.1
They take 83.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 15.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 19% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cleveland Cavalierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cleveland Cavaliers: 109.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.327.2
53.0%
49.0%54.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.511.7
36.0%
35.3%35.1
🏀 Free throws24.919.7
79.1%
75.5%19.7
They take 83.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LWLWLWWWWW
Cleveland Cavaliers
WWLWWWLWWW
#8
League position
#3
+7.7
Net rating
+8.3
112.9
Offensive rating
112.3
105.2
Defensive rating
104.0
54.4%
Effective FG%
53.4%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
13.7%
Turnover %
14.1%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
43.4%
3-point %
36.0%
56.2%
Assist %
57.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence112.9 · 112.3Defence105.2 · 104.0Shooting54.4% · 53.4%3-point %43.4% · 36.0%Ball care13.7% · 14.1%Off. rebounds25.9% · 25.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Cleveland Cavaliers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/16HCharlotte Hornets106-109
14/03/16HDenver Nuggets124-119
13/03/16AToronto Raptors104-112 OT
12/03/16AChicago Bulls118-96
10/03/16AMilwaukee Bucks108-114
06/03/16HPhiladelphia 76ers103-98
05/03/16APhiladelphia 76ers112-102
04/03/16HPhoenix Suns108-92
02/03/16HChicago Bulls129-111
29/02/16ANew York Knicks98-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/16AOrlando Magic109-103
16/03/16HDallas Mavericks99-98
15/03/16AUtah Jazz85-94
13/03/16ALos Angeles Clippers114-90
11/03/16ALos Angeles Lakers120-108
10/03/16ASacramento Kings120-111
08/03/16HMemphis Grizzlies103-106
06/03/16HBoston Celtics120-103
05/03/16HWashington Wizards108-83
01/03/16HIndiana Pacers100-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL57%
HomeWWWWL63%
AwayWWLWL52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games683533
Win %57%63%52%
Points / game99.0101.796.1
Allowed / game97.998.197.7
Point differential+1.1+3.7-1.7
Avg total196.9199.8193.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%31%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won82% (17)78% (9)88% (8)
Overtime %7%9%6%
Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW72%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayWWWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games683434
Win %72%82%62%
Points / game103.6105.8101.5
Allowed / game97.598.196.9
Point differential+6.1+7.6+4.6
Avg total201.1203.9198.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (19)78% (9)40% (10)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors6862691%115.9104.4+11.5
2 San Antonio Spurs68581085%104.892.5+12.3
3 Cleveland Cavaliers68491972%103.697.5+6.1
4 Toronto Raptors68472169%103.098.2+4.8
5 Oklahoma City Thunder70482269%110.2103.0+7.2
6 Los Angeles Clippers67432464%104.6100.8+3.9
7 Atlanta Hawks69402958%102.598.8+3.7
8 Miami Heat68392957%99.097.9+1.1
9 Boston Celtics69393057%105.8102.4+3.4
10 Charlotte Hornets69393057%103.1101.0+2.1
11 Memphis Grizzlies69393057%98.9100.5-1.6
12 Indiana Pacers69363352%101.9100.7+1.2
13 Detroit Pistons70363451%102.3101.6+0.7
14 Portland Trail Blazers70363451%104.3103.7+0.6
15 Chicago Bulls67343351%101.8103.1-1.3
16 Houston Rockets69353451%106.3106.9-0.7
17 Dallas Mavericks69343549%102.5103.1-0.6
18 Washington Wizards69343549%103.0104.0-1.0
19 Utah Jazz68333549%98.096.7+1.3
20 Milwaukee Bucks69303943%99.4102.9-3.5
21 Orlando Magic68293943%100.9103.0-2.2
22 Denver Nuggets70294141%102.4104.6-2.2
23 New York Knicks70284240%98.8101.6-2.8
24 Sacramento Kings68264238%106.8109.6-2.9
25 New Orleans Pelicans68254337%103.2106.4-3.2
26 Minnesota Timberwolves69224732%101.7105.7-4.0
27 Brooklyn Nets69195028%98.3104.8-6.5
28 Phoenix Suns69195028%100.2107.7-7.4
29 Los Angeles Lakers69145520%97.7106.6-8.9
30 Philadelphia 76ers6996013%97.1107.6-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat31343324122
Cleveland Cavaliers19252631101
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