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Michigan State vs Samford Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 83-75
38-28 45-47
Position#17
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game66.5
vs
Position#61
Record4-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game97.6
Allowed / game75.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samford winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#86
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H07/03
NCAA
Indiana
#153
L
64-65
64
65
-1
A10/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H14/03
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
62-67
62
67
-5
A15/03
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#130
W
69-51
69
51
+18
A21/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
69-85
69
85
-16
A23/03
NCAA
Monmouth
#299
W
81-57
81
57
+24
H05/11
NCAA
Niagara
#315
W
96-60
96
60
+36
H08/11
NCAA
Kansas
#114
L
69-77
69
77
-8
H12/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H16/11
NCAA
1H
2H
20-25
33-24
29-34
35-31
32-34
45-33
27-34
35-33
31-24
38-27
31-40
38-45
38-27
43-30
46-39
50-21
24-30
45-47
43-43
43-29
137.6Avg total
72.6Scored
65.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.066.5149.5+16.575%
Season at home (4)83.066.5149.5+16.575%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.665.0137.6+7.660%
Last 5 (5)80.270.2150.4+10.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.076.8149.8-3.825%
vs Similar ◀ (15)69.765.9135.7+3.860%
vs Weaker (11)81.363.5144.8+17.782%
This opponent (Samford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Citadel
#311
W
92-80
92
80
+12
H02/03
NCAA
Mercer
#223
W
70-57
70
57
+13
H09/03
NCAA
Furman
#191
W
84-77
84
77
+7
H10/03
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H11/03
NCAA
Kansas
#63
L
89-93
89
93
-4
A22/03
NCAA
Mississippi Coll.
#558
W
100-58
100
58
+42
H05/11
NCAA
Cornell
#113
L
86-88
86
88
-2
A08/11
NCAA
Rhodes Lynx
#630
W
108-52
108
52
+56
H13/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#56
W
97-96 OT
97
96
+1
A16/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
W
97-82
97
82
+15
H17/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-37
53-43
37-28
33-29
34-28
50-49
40-38
36-31
38-48
51-45
41-20
59-38
39-50
47-38
59-26
49-26
56-37
32-51
51-32
46-50
165.1Avg total
89.9Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)97.675.2172.8+22.480%
Season at home (3)101.764.0165.7+37.7100%
Season away (2)91.592.0183.5-0.550%
Last 10 (10)89.975.2165.1+14.780%
Last 5 (5)97.675.2172.8+22.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)86.579.2165.8+7.275%
vs Weaker (26)86.473.5159.8+12.985%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -0.9-0.91st half: +9.0+9.02nd half2nd half: +8.5+8.52nd half: +5.6+5.6
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -0.9-0.91st half: +9.0+9.02nd half2nd half: +8.5+8.52nd half: +5.6+5.6
Michigan StateSamford
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#86
L
20-25
20
25
-5
H07/03
NCAA
Indiana
#153
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A10/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H14/03
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A15/03
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#130
W
31-24
31
24
+7
A21/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A23/03
NCAA
Monmouth
#299
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H05/11
NCAA
Niagara
#315
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H08/11
NCAA
Kansas
#114
L
24-30
24
30
-6
H12/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H16/11
NCAA
65.1Avg total
32.1Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.731.967.6+3.857%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.629.666.2+7.067%-
Last 30 away (12)34.335.269.6-0.942%-
Last 10 (10)32.133.065.1-0.930%-
Last 5 (5)36.435.872.2+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.236.570.8-2.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)34.031.665.6+2.460%-
vs Weaker (11)38.530.569.1+8.064%-
This opponent (Samford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Citadel
#311
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H02/03
NCAA
Mercer
#223
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H09/03
NCAA
Furman
#191
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H10/03
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H11/03
NCAA
Kansas
#63
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A22/03
NCAA
Mississippi Coll.
#558
W
41-20
41
20
+21
H05/11
NCAA
Cornell
#113
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A08/11
NCAA
Rhodes Lynx
#630
W
59-26
59
26
+33
H13/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#56
W
56-37
56
37
+19
A16/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H17/11
NCAA
77.8Avg total
43.4Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.733.375.0+8.483%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.432.576.9+11.9100%-
Last 30 away (14)38.634.372.9+4.464%-
Last 10 (10)43.434.477.8+9.080%-
Last 5 (5)49.233.082.2+16.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)42.536.278.8+6.275%-
vs Weaker (26)41.632.974.5+8.785%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Michigan State wins
0
Samford wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/24HBowling Green86-72
12/11/24HKansas69-77
08/11/24HNiagara96-60
05/11/24HMonmouth81-57
23/03/24ANorth Carolina69-85
21/03/24AMississippi St.69-51
15/03/24APurdue62-67
14/03/24HMinnesota77-67
10/03/24AIndiana64-65
07/03/24HNorthwestern53-49
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/24HTexas Southern97-82
16/11/24ANorth Alabama97-96 OT
13/11/24HRhodes Lynx108-52
08/11/24ACornell86-88
05/11/24HMississippi Coll.100-58
22/03/24AKansas89-93
11/03/24HEast Tennessee St76-69
10/03/24HFurman84-77
09/03/24HMercer70-57
02/03/24HCitadel92-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWWLW75%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %75%75%-
Points / game83.083.0-
Allowed / game66.566.5-
Point differential+16.5+16.5-
Avg total149.5149.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Samford
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game97.6101.791.5
Allowed / game75.264.092.0
Point differential+22.4+37.7-0.5
Avg total172.8165.7183.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %20%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penn State440100%97.261.5+35.8
2 Illinois330100%89.359.7+29.7
3 Indiana330100%85.762.3+23.3
4 Oregon440100%83.063.8+19.2
5 Wisconsin550100%88.271.2+17.0
6 Rutgers330100%82.766.0+16.7
7 Iowa440100%87.571.0+16.5
8 Purdue440100%85.271.2+14.0
9 Maryland54180%86.253.8+32.4
10 Minnesota54180%63.255.6+7.6
11 UCLA43175%76.251.8+24.5
12 Michigan43175%85.264.0+21.2
13 Ohio State43175%76.256.8+19.5
14 Michigan State43175%83.066.5+16.5
15 Northwestern43175%76.562.2+14.2
16 Nebraska43175%77.565.5+12.0
17 USC43175%79.071.5+7.5
18 Washington32167%68.768.3+0.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman440100%83.264.0+19.2
2 Samford54180%97.675.2+22.4
3 NC Greensboro32167%80.066.3+13.7
4 VMI64267%80.069.2+10.8
5 Citadel53260%74.462.6+11.8
6 Mercer42250%89.066.8+22.2
7 Western Carolina42250%80.568.5+12.0
8 East Tennessee St42250%75.565.8+9.8
9 Chattanooga Mocs52340%69.874.8-5.0
10 Wofford41325%71.073.2-2.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State384583
Samford284775
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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