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Purdue vs Michigan State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 67-62
34-27 33-35
Position#8
Record28-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game70.2
Purdue 🏆
USA
vs
Michigan State
USA
Position#154
Record19-13
FormLLWLW
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game65.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Purdue v Michigan State
26 Feb 2026
PURD74
MICH76
15 Mar 2024
PURD67
MICH62
02 Mar 2024
PURD80
MICH74
29 Jan 2023
PURD77
MICH61
12 Mar 2022
PURD75
MICH70
16 Feb 2021
PURD75
MICH65
12 Jan 2020
PURD71
MICH42
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Purdue winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PurdueUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#86
W
105-96 OT
105
96
+9
H31/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A04/02
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H11/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H16/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A18/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
96-68
96
68
+28
H23/02
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
84-76
84
76
+8
A25/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
80-74
80
74
+6
H03/03
NCAA
Illinois
#27
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A06/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H10/03
NCAA
1H
2H
47-39
34-42
34-32
41-37
37-25
42-34
35-43
49-33
30-35
39-38
52-33
44-35
47-36
37-40
38-35
42-39
34-40
43-31
44-33
34-37
155.9Avg total
82.7Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)84.270.2154.4+14.090%
Season at home (19)88.869.5158.4+19.3100%
Season away (12)76.871.3148.2+5.575%
Last 10 (10)82.773.2155.9+9.590%
Last 5 (5)83.071.8154.8+11.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)80.570.0150.5+10.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)84.571.3155.9+13.288%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#163
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A07/02
NCAA
Illinois
#27
W
88-80
88
80
+8
H10/02
NCAA
Penn State
#216
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A14/02
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
73-63
73
63
+10
A18/02
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
71-78
71
78
-7
H21/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H25/02
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A03/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H07/03
NCAA
Indiana
#153
L
64-65
64
65
-1
A10/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H14/03
NCAA
1H
2H
32-27
24-32
44-41
44-39
45-31
35-41
39-37
34-26
33-45
38-33
32-22
25-38
35-38
39-42
20-25
33-24
29-34
35-31
32-34
45-33
136.6Avg total
69.3Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)73.565.9139.4+7.659%
Season at home (22)75.763.4139.0+12.373%
Season away (10)68.671.5140.1-2.930%
Last 10 (10)69.367.3136.6+2.050%
Last 5 (5)65.064.2129.2+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)73.575.8149.2-2.225%
vs Similar (17)69.367.0136.3+2.353%
vs Weaker (9)81.059.7140.7+21.389%
This opponent (Purdue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +3.9+3.92nd half: +1.3+1.3
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +3.9+3.92nd half: +1.3+1.3
PurdueMichigan State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
PurdueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#86
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H31/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A04/02
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H11/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H16/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A18/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H23/02
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A25/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H03/03
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A06/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H10/03
NCAA
74.9Avg total
39.8Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.332.273.6+9.177%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.732.376.0+11.483%-
Last 30 away (12)37.832.269.9+5.667%-
Last 10 (10)39.835.174.9+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)43.035.478.4+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)38.734.272.8+4.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)42.031.873.8+10.283%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#163
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A07/02
NCAA
Illinois
#27
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H10/02
NCAA
Penn State
#216
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A14/02
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A18/02
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H21/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H25/02
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A03/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
20-25
20
25
-5
H07/03
NCAA
Indiana
#153
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A10/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H14/03
NCAA
67.5Avg total
34.1Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.230.265.5+5.060%-
Last 30 at home (20)35.027.662.5+7.465%-
Last 30 away (10)35.735.671.3+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)34.133.467.5+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)29.630.660.2-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)32.235.868.0-3.525%-
vs Similar (17)33.731.865.5+1.959%-
vs Weaker (9)39.424.964.3+14.678%-
This opponent (Purdue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Purdue wins
1
Michigan State wins
DateGameScore
03/03/24Purdue v Michigan State80-74
29/01/23Purdue v Michigan State77-61
16/01/23Michigan State v Purdue63-64
12/03/22Purdue v Michigan State75-70
26/02/22Michigan State v Purdue68-65
17/02/21Purdue v Michigan State75-65
09/01/21Michigan State v Purdue54-55
12/01/20Purdue v Michigan State71-42
Purduelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24HWisconsin78-70
06/03/24AIllinois77-71
03/03/24HMichigan State80-74
25/02/24AMichigan84-76
23/02/24HRutgers96-68
18/02/24AOhio State69-73
16/02/24HMinnesota84-76
11/02/24HIndiana79-59
04/02/24AWisconsin75-69
31/01/24HNorthwestern105-96 OT
Michigan Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/24HMinnesota77-67
10/03/24AIndiana64-65
07/03/24HNorthwestern53-49
03/03/24APurdue74-80
25/02/24HOhio State57-60
21/02/24HIowa71-78
18/02/24AMichigan73-63
14/02/24APenn State80-72
10/02/24HIllinois88-80
07/02/24AMinnesota56-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Purdue
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311912
Win %90%100%75%
Points / game84.288.876.8
Allowed / game70.269.571.3
Point differential+14.0+19.3+5.5
Avg total154.4158.4148.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%58%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %6%5%8%
Michigan State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW59%
HomeWLLWW73%
AwayLWWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games322210
Win %59%73%30%
Points / game73.575.768.6
Allowed / game65.963.471.5
Point differential+7.6+12.3-2.9
Avg total139.4139.0140.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%59%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue3128390%84.270.2+14.0
2 Illinois3123874%83.972.9+11.0
3 Nebraska3122971%76.869.3+7.5
4 Northwestern31211068%74.169.0+5.1
5 Oregon32211166%75.672.4+3.2
6 Ohio State32201262%74.969.2+5.7
7 Wisconsin32201262%74.869.3+5.5
8 Michigan State32191359%73.565.9+7.6
9 Indiana32191359%72.573.7-1.2
10 Iowa32181456%82.979.0+3.9
11 Minnesota32181456%75.471.8+3.7
12 Washington32171553%80.677.1+3.5
13 Maryland33161748%69.065.9+3.2
14 Penn State33161748%75.173.4+1.7
15 UCLA33161748%66.065.5+0.5
16 Rutgers32151747%65.466.5-1.2
17 USC33151845%74.174.3-0.2
18 Michigan3282425%72.979.0-6.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Purdue343367
Michigan State273562
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