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Michigan vs Purdue Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#163
Record2-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game74.3
vs
Position#126
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game69.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Michigan v Purdue
08 Jan 2027
MICH v PURD
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
MICH72
PURD80
14 Mar 2025
MICH86
PURD68
11 Feb 2025
MICH75
PURD73
25 Feb 2024
MICH76
PURD84
26 Jan 2023
MICH70
PURD75
10 Feb 2022
MICH82
PURD58
09 Jan 2020
MICH84
PURD78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Purdue win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#31
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H15/03
NCAA
Howard
#55
W
101-80
101
80
+21
H19/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
W
95-72
95
72
+23
H21/03
NCAA
Alabama
#48
W
90-77
90
77
+13
H27/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
95-62
95
62
+33
H29/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
W
91-73
91
73
+18
A05/04
NCAA
Uconn
#11
W
69-63
69
63
+6
H07/04
NCAA
Oakland
#344
W
84-68
84
68
+16
H02/11
NCAA
Uconn
#30
L
77-85
77
85
-8
H07/11
NCAA
Marquette
#146
W
84-70
84
70
+14
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-38
34-42
50-46
51-34
48-39
47-33
47-49
43-28
48-26
47-36
48-32
43-41
33-29
36-34
47-36
37-32
30-43
47-42
35-27
49-43
158.8Avg total
85.8Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.774.3156.0+7.367%
Season at home (3)81.774.3156.0+7.367%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.873.0158.8+12.880%
Last 5 (5)81.071.8152.8+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)80.577.5158.0+3.050%
vs Similar ◀ (4)83.270.8154.0+12.575%
vs Weaker (24)82.870.9153.7+11.992%
This opponent (Purdue) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PurdueUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#73
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A14/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A15/03
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
104-71
104
71
+33
H20/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H22/03
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
79-77
79
77
+2
H26/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
64-79
64
79
-15
A29/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#272
W
78-72
78
72
+6
H03/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#165
L
80-83 OT
80
83
-3
H06/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#300
W
76-59
76
59
+17
H10/11
NCAA
Ohio
#170
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-27
39-39
38-38
42-34
45-33
59-38
38-40
41-29
39-35
40-42
38-31
26-48
36-33
42-39
32-20
26-38
36-28
40-31
37-28
43-34
150.3Avg total
79.3Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.569.0147.5+9.575%
Season at home (4)78.569.0147.5+9.575%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.371.0150.3+8.380%
Last 5 (5)75.671.0146.6+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.780.7155.3-6.033%
vs Similar ◀ (9)77.869.8147.6+8.078%
vs Weaker (18)80.872.2152.9+8.672%
This opponent (Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: +6.0+6.02nd half2nd half: +6.9+6.92nd half: +2.6+2.6
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: +6.0+6.02nd half2nd half: +6.9+6.92nd half: +2.6+2.6
MichiganPurdue
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#31
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H15/03
NCAA
Howard
#55
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H19/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H21/03
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H27/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
48-26
48
26
+22
H29/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A05/04
NCAA
Uconn
#11
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H07/04
NCAA
Oakland
#344
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H02/11
NCAA
Uconn
#30
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H07/11
NCAA
Marquette
#146
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H12/11
NCAA
78.9Avg total
42.4Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.334.674.9+5.770%-
Last 30 at home (19)40.635.476.1+5.274%-
Last 30 away (11)39.733.373.0+6.564%-
Last 10 (10)42.436.578.9+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)38.633.472.0+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.535.067.5-2.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)41.834.276.0+7.575%-
vs Weaker (24)40.734.775.4+6.071%-
This opponent (Purdue) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PurdueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#73
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A14/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A15/03
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H20/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H22/03
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H26/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A29/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#272
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H03/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#165
W
32-20
32
20
+12
H06/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#300
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H10/11
NCAA
Ohio
#170
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H14/11
NCAA
68.6Avg total
37.3Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.333.271.4+5.170%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.534.273.8+5.376%-
Last 30 away (13)36.631.868.4+4.862%-
Last 10 (10)37.331.368.6+6.080%-
Last 5 (5)35.828.063.8+7.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.039.075.0-3.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)37.831.969.7+5.978%-
vs Weaker (18)38.932.871.7+6.172%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Michigan wins
6
Purdue wins
DateGameScore
15/03/26Michigan v Purdue72-80
17/02/26Purdue v Michigan80-91
15/03/25Michigan v Purdue86-68
12/02/25Michigan v Purdue75-73
25/01/25Purdue v Michigan91-64
25/02/24Michigan v Purdue76-84
24/01/24Purdue v Michigan99-67
27/01/23Michigan v Purdue70-75
11/02/22Michigan v Purdue82-58
05/02/22Purdue v Michigan82-76
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HMarquette84-70
07/11/26HUconn77-85
02/11/26HOakland84-68
07/04/26HUconn69-63
05/04/26AArizona91-73
29/03/26HTennessee95-62
27/03/26HAlabama90-77
21/03/26HSt. Louis Billikens95-72
19/03/26HHoward101-80
15/03/26HPurdue72-80
Purduelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HOhio80-62
10/11/26HIllinois State76-59
06/11/26HValparaiso80-83 OT
03/11/26HGonzaga78-72
29/03/26AArizona64-79
26/03/26HTexas79-77
22/03/26HMiami (FL)79-69
20/03/26HQueens Royals104-71
15/03/26AMichigan80-72
14/03/26AUCLA73-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWLW67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game81.781.7-
Allowed / game74.374.3-
Point differential+7.3+7.3-
Avg total156.0156.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Purdue
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWLWW75%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %75%75%-
Points / game78.578.5-
Allowed / game69.069.0-
Point differential+9.5+9.5-
Avg total147.5147.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %25%25%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA330100%101.358.3+43.0
2 Nebraska330100%89.060.7+28.3
3 Rutgers330100%84.756.3+28.3
4 Michigan State440100%93.066.2+26.8
5 Oregon330100%95.068.7+26.3
6 Indiana440100%89.068.0+21.0
7 Wisconsin330100%79.058.0+21.0
8 Minnesota440100%78.858.5+20.2
9 USC330100%88.371.3+17.0
10 Washington220100%83.570.0+13.5
11 Illinois43175%104.571.2+33.2
12 Purdue43175%78.569.0+9.5
13 Northwestern43175%70.861.8+9.0
14 Iowa32167%85.064.7+20.3
15 Michigan32167%81.774.3+7.3
16 Penn State53260%77.675.6+2.0
17 Ohio State42250%81.079.2+1.8
18 Maryland31233%84.380.0+4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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