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Middle Tenn. St. vs Liberty Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 65-81
29-43 36-38
Position#179
Record11-8
FormLWLWL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game70.1
vs
Position#26
Record17-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game67.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Middle Tenn. St. v Liberty
29 Jan 2026
MIDD65
LIBE81
06 Mar 2025
MIDD81
LIBE86
05 Mar 2024
MIDD69
LIBE61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Middle Tenn. St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Liberty winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kennesaw State
#113
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H18/12
NCAA
Cumberland University (TN)
#409
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H21/12
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
60-69
60
69
-9
A30/12
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
88-51
88
51
+37
H03/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H04/01
NCAA
UTEP
#307
L
80-83 OT
80
83
-3
A09/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
59-55
59
55
+4
A11/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
58-59
58
59
-1
A15/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
90-87 OT
90
87
+3
H17/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
58-75
58
75
-17
A24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-31
28-36
30-35
44-23
28-33
32-36
39-22
49-29
34-34
34-33
44-37
29-36
29-29
30-26
40-21
18-38
38-36
30-32
34-39
24-36
137.4Avg total
70.3Scored
67.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)74.770.1144.7+4.658%
Season at home (11)82.269.1151.3+13.182%
Season away (8)64.471.4135.8-7.025%
Last 10 (10)70.367.1137.4+3.260%
Last 5 (5)69.071.8140.8-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)67.677.8145.4-10.125%
vs Similar (13)73.970.8144.8+3.169%
vs Weaker (7)86.466.4152.9+20.086%
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dayton
#65
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A20/12
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
97-94 OT
97
94
+3
A28/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H03/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H04/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
72-56
72
56
+16
A09/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
82-74
82
74
+8
A10/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
73-71
73
71
+2
H15/01
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H17/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
76-69
76
69
+7
A22/01
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
67-51
67
51
+16
H24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-33
35-28
41-33
41-49
46-33
35-40
27-27
51-42
34-27
38-29
34-33
48-41
46-29
27-42
41-38
39-31
35-32
41-37
34-28
33-23
145.7Avg total
77.0Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)79.467.2146.6+12.285%
Season at home (12)84.163.2147.2+20.992%
Season away (8)72.473.2145.6-0.975%
Last 10 (10)77.068.7145.7+8.3100%
Last 5 (5)75.666.8142.4+8.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)72.670.3142.9+2.278%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)79.966.4146.2+13.586%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: +5.4+5.42nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +2.6+2.6
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: +5.4+5.42nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +2.6+2.6
Middle Tenn. St.Liberty
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kennesaw State
#113
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H18/12
NCAA
Cumberland University (TN)
#409
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H21/12
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A30/12
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H03/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H04/01
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A09/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A11/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
40-21
40
21
+19
A15/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H17/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A24/01
NCAA
67.3Avg total
35.6Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.633.070.6+4.653%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.333.572.8+5.859%-
Last 30 away (13)35.532.367.8+3.246%-
Last 10 (10)35.631.767.3+3.950%-
Last 5 (5)37.032.469.4+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)34.436.070.4-1.625%-
vs Similar (13)36.232.368.5+3.846%-
vs Weaker (7)43.729.172.9+14.6100%-
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dayton
#65
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A20/12
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A28/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H03/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H04/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A09/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A10/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H15/01
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H17/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A22/01
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H24/01
NCAA
68.0Avg total
36.7Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.831.068.8+6.877%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.328.668.9+11.789%-
Last 30 away (12)34.034.768.7-0.758%-
Last 10 (10)36.731.368.0+5.480%-
Last 5 (5)38.032.070.0+6.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)34.433.768.1+0.856%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)39.229.969.1+9.386%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Middle Tenn. St. wins
3
Liberty wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26AJacksonville State58-75
17/01/26HMissouri State90-87 OT
15/01/26ALouisiana Tech58-59
11/01/26ANew Mexico State59-55
09/01/26AUTEP80-83 OT
04/01/26HSam Houston St.68-67
03/01/26HLouisiana Tech88-51
30/12/25AHouston60-69
21/12/25HCumberland University (TN)74-58
18/12/25HKennesaw State68-67
Libertylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26HDelaware67-51
22/01/26AWestern Kentucky76-69
17/01/26HUTEP80-69
15/01/26HNew Mexico State73-71
10/01/26ASam Houston St.82-74
09/01/26ALouisiana Tech72-56
04/01/26HJacksonville State78-69
03/01/26HKennesaw State81-73
28/12/25AFlorida International97-94 OT
20/12/25ADayton64-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL58%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayLLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %58%82%25%
Points / game74.782.264.4
Allowed / game70.169.171.4
Point differential+4.6+13.1-7.0
Avg total144.7151.3135.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%45%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)100% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %11%9%12%
Liberty
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW85%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %85%92%75%
Points / game79.484.172.4
Allowed / game67.263.273.2
Point differential+12.2+20.9-0.9
Avg total146.6147.2145.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%67%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %5%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2017385%79.467.2+12.2
2 Sam Houston St.2114767%83.873.8+10.0
3 Kennesaw State2113862%87.077.0+10.0
4 Louisiana Tech2012860%68.561.2+7.2
5 Middle Tenn. St.1911858%74.770.1+4.6
6 Missouri State2112957%75.472.5+2.9
7 Jacksonville State2011955%73.366.3+7.0
8 New Mexico State2011955%76.570.0+6.6
9 Western Kentucky21111052%78.375.5+2.8
10 Florida International21101148%82.878.5+4.3
11 UTEP2171433%69.372.3-3.0
12 Delaware2061430%65.871.5-5.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Middle Tenn. St.293665
Liberty433881
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