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Middle Tenn. St. vs Sam Houston St. Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 68-67
34-34 34-33
Position#179
Record8-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game69.6
vs
Position#69
Record8-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game76.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Middle Tenn. St. v Sam Houston St.
07 Jan 2027
MIDD v SAM
upcoming
04 Jan 2026
MIDD68
SAM 67
22 Feb 2025
MIDD74
SAM 70
13 Jan 2024
MIDD51
SAM 60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Middle Tenn. St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sam Houston St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#6
L
61-86
61
86
-25
A19/11
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
90-87
90
87
+3
H24/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
79-92
79
92
-13
H24/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
62-72
62
72
-10
A25/11
NCAA
UAB
#99
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H02/12
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
62-83
62
83
-21
H07/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H18/12
NCAA
Cumberland University (TN)
#409
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H21/12
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
60-69
60
69
-9
A30/12
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
88-51
88
51
+37
H03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-36
31-50
43-40
47-47
41-49
38-43
34-28
28-44
32-33
44-28
31-35
31-48
40-31
28-36
30-35
44-23
28-33
32-36
39-22
49-29
144.6Avg total
72.0Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)77.469.6147.0+7.862%
Season at home (9)82.967.3150.2+15.678%
Season away (4)65.074.8139.8-9.825%
Last 10 (10)72.072.6144.6-0.650%
Last 5 (5)70.465.6136.0+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)67.679.3146.9-11.714%
vs Similar (13)73.571.2144.8+2.362%
vs Weaker (8)84.164.2148.4+19.9100%
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sam Houston St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#148
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H20/11
NCAA
Schreiner Mountaineers
#635
W
105-54
105
54
+51
H22/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
84-81
84
81
+3
A26/11
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
94-68
94
68
+26
A29/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
83-93
83
93
-10
A03/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
82-70
82
70
+12
A06/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
W
85-75
85
75
+10
A18/12
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
78-87
78
87
-9
A21/12
NCAA
CBS Ambassadors
#681
W
117-57
117
57
+60
H28/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
91-102
91
102
-11
A02/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-32
41-38
47-23
58-31
38-34
46-47
37-40
57-28
44-37
39-56
43-29
39-41
46-37
39-38
28-48
50-39
59-21
58-36
49-42
42-60
165.4Avg total
89.7Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)88.376.8165.2+11.562%
Season at home (4)98.860.0158.8+38.8100%
Season away (9)83.784.3168.0-0.744%
Last 10 (10)89.775.7165.4+14.070%
Last 5 (5)90.678.2168.8+12.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)67.271.9139.1-4.722%
vs Similar (11)77.977.2155.1+0.755%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)87.481.2168.6+6.150%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +0.6+0.61st half: +8.5+8.52nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +5.5+5.5
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +0.6+0.61st half: +8.5+8.52nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +5.5+5.5
Middle Tenn. St.Sam Houston St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#6
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A19/11
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H24/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H24/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A25/11
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H02/12
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H07/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H18/12
NCAA
Cumberland University (TN)
#409
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H21/12
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A30/12
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H03/01
NCAA
69.0Avg total
34.8Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.633.470.1+3.250%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.133.171.2+4.956%-
Last 30 away (12)34.533.968.4+0.642%-
Last 10 (10)34.834.269.0+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)33.631.264.8+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)34.436.370.7-1.929%-
vs Similar (13)35.033.768.7+1.346%-
vs Weaker (8)40.629.169.8+11.575%-
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sam Houston St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#148
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H20/11
NCAA
Schreiner Mountaineers
#635
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H22/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A26/11
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A29/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A03/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A06/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A18/12
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A21/12
NCAA
CBS Ambassadors
#681
W
59-21
59
21
+38
H28/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A02/01
NCAA
77.1Avg total
42.8Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.634.171.8+3.553%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.831.971.8+7.962%-
Last 30 away (17)35.935.871.8+0.147%-
Last 10 (10)42.834.377.1+8.580%-
Last 5 (5)45.035.480.4+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.033.866.8-0.833%-
vs Similar (11)37.134.771.8+2.445%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)42.135.677.8+6.575%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Middle Tenn. St. wins
2
Sam Houston St. wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26HLouisiana Tech88-51
30/12/25AHouston60-69
21/12/25HCumberland University (TN)74-58
18/12/25HKennesaw State68-67
07/12/25HBelmont62-83
02/12/25HUAB76-61
25/11/25AMcNeese State62-72
24/11/25HGeorge Washington79-92
24/11/25HMurray State90-87
19/11/25AMichigan61-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/26AWestern Kentucky91-102
28/12/25HCBS Ambassadors117-57
21/12/25ANew Mexico State78-87
18/12/25AOregon State85-75
06/12/25ATexas Southern82-70
03/12/25AOklahoma State83-93
29/11/25AIdaho94-68
26/11/25AIdaho State84-81
22/11/25HSchreiner Mountaineers105-54
20/11/25HWyoming78-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW62%
HomeWLWWW78%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1394
Win %62%78%25%
Points / game77.482.965.0
Allowed / game69.667.374.8
Point differential+7.8+15.6-9.8
Avg total147.0150.2139.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%56%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sam Houston St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL62%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1349
Win %62%100%44%
Points / game88.398.883.7
Allowed / game76.860.084.3
Point differential+11.5+38.8-0.7
Avg total165.2158.8168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty1310377%81.568.1+13.5
2 New Mexico State129375%77.467.3+10.1
3 Kennesaw State138562%91.876.5+15.3
4 Louisiana Tech138562%70.258.5+11.6
5 Sam Houston St.138562%88.376.8+11.5
6 Florida International138562%88.279.2+8.9
7 Middle Tenn. St.138562%77.469.6+7.8
8 Western Kentucky138562%84.578.0+6.5
9 Missouri State138562%73.868.5+5.2
10 Jacksonville State137654%74.363.6+10.7
11 UTEP134931%70.372.1-1.8
12 Delaware134931%66.172.2-6.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Middle Tenn. St.343468
Sam Houston St.343367
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