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Middle Tenn. St. vs Sam Houston St. Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 08 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 00:30
Scheduled
Position#138
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game76.2
vs
Position#226
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game85.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Middle Tenn. St. v Sam Houston St.
07 Jan 2027
MIDD v SAM
upcoming
04 Jan 2026
MIDD68
SAM 67
22 Feb 2025
MIDD74
SAM 70
13 Jan 2024
MIDD51
SAM 60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Middle Tenn. St. win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Sam Houston St. win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware
#326
W
78-66
78
66
+12
H21/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H27/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
86-85 OT
86
85
+1
H28/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
73-67
73
67
+6
A06/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
75-63
75
63
+12
A07/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A12/03
NCAA
Fisk
#476
W
117-73
117
73
+44
H02/11
NCAA
Kansas
#10
L
45-89
45
89
-44
A07/11
NCAA
Evansville
#230
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H11/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#223
W
88-75
88
75
+13
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-20
47-46
34-26
43-41
36-42
40-34
33-34
40-33
37-27
38-36
25-39
44-41
52-32
65-41
14-36
31-53
27-20
46-48
50-32
38-43
151.4Avg total
78.1Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.876.2157.0+4.575%
Season at home (3)92.772.0164.7+20.7100%
Season away (1)45.089.0134.0-44.00%
Last 10 (10)78.173.3151.4+4.880%
Last 5 (5)78.477.0155.4+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)65.677.0142.6-11.433%
vs Similar ◀ (14)74.670.9145.5+3.657%
vs Weaker (6)85.574.3159.8+11.267%
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sam Houston St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#232
W
100-67
100
67
+33
H27/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
86-81
86
81
+5
H28/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A06/03
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A07/03
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H12/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H13/03
NCAA
Alabama
#46
L
74-96
74
96
-22
A04/11
NCAA
Howard Payne
#502
W
102-59
102
59
+43
H07/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#186
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H12/11
NCAA
Illinois
#85
L
86-108
86
108
-22
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
50-31
50-36
43-34
43-47
33-33
47-50
31-41
41-38
37-26
32-35
37-31
36-48
29-40
45-56
53-23
49-36
41-35
44-42
40-45
46-63
161.7Avg total
82.7Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.885.0171.8+1.850%
Season at home (2)93.568.0161.5+25.5100%
Season away (2)80.0102.0182.0-22.00%
Last 10 (10)82.779.0161.7+3.750%
Last 5 (5)84.083.8167.8+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.793.7175.3-12.033%
vs Similar ◀ (9)79.477.8157.2+1.756%
vs Weaker (18)82.771.7154.4+11.072%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: -1.8-1.8
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: -1.8-1.8
Middle Tenn. St.Sam Houston St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware
#326
W
31-20
31
20
+11
H21/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H27/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H28/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A06/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A07/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A12/03
NCAA
Fisk
#476
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H02/11
NCAA
Kansas
#10
L
14-36
14
36
-22
A07/11
NCAA
Evansville
#230
W
27-20
27
20
+7
H11/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#223
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H14/11
NCAA
64.7Avg total
33.9Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.633.668.3+1.043%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.231.967.1+3.450%-
Last 30 away (14)33.935.669.6-1.736%-
Last 10 (10)33.930.864.7+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)33.631.865.4+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)31.937.068.9-5.122%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)35.133.268.3+1.936%-
vs Weaker (6)38.529.367.8+9.2100%-
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sam Houston St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#232
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H27/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H28/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A06/03
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A07/03
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H12/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H13/03
NCAA
Alabama
#46
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A04/11
NCAA
Howard Payne
#502
W
53-23
53
23
+30
H07/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#186
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H12/11
NCAA
Illinois
#85
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A14/11
NCAA
73.3Avg total
39.4Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.533.472.9+6.173%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.329.871.1+11.593%-
Last 30 away (15)37.737.074.7+0.753%-
Last 10 (10)39.433.973.3+5.560%-
Last 5 (5)40.034.874.8+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.740.076.7-3.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)36.833.870.6+3.078%-
vs Weaker (18)41.332.173.4+9.278%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Middle Tenn. St. wins
3
Sam Houston St. wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HSoutheast Missouri State88-75
11/11/26HEvansville73-68
07/11/26AKansas45-89
02/11/26HFisk117-73
12/03/26ALouisiana Tech69-80
07/03/26AMissouri State75-63
06/03/26AFlorida International73-67
28/02/26HNew Mexico State86-85 OT
27/02/26HUTEP77-67
21/02/26HDelaware78-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AIllinois86-108
12/11/26HPepperdine85-77
07/11/26HHoward Payne102-59
04/11/26AAlabama74-96
13/03/26HKennesaw State73-79
12/03/26HNew Mexico State69-61
07/03/26ALiberty72-79
06/03/26ADelaware80-83
28/02/26HMissouri State86-81
27/02/26HFlorida International100-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game80.892.745.0
Allowed / game76.272.089.0
Point differential+4.5+20.7-44.0
Avg total157.0164.7134.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sam Houston St.
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game86.893.580.0
Allowed / game85.068.0102.0
Point differential+1.8+25.5-22.0
Avg total171.8161.5182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kennesaw State440100%95.564.8+30.8
2 Missouri State330100%85.361.3+24.0
3 Florida International330100%91.771.0+20.7
4 Western Kentucky43175%84.263.5+20.8
5 Middle Tenn. St.43175%80.876.2+4.5
6 Liberty32167%81.364.0+17.3
7 UTEP32167%71.767.3+4.3
8 Delaware42250%73.561.5+12.0
9 Louisiana Tech42250%69.863.2+6.5
10 Jacksonville State42250%80.075.5+4.5
11 Sam Houston St.42250%86.885.0+1.8
12 New Mexico State31233%66.378.3-12.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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