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Milwaukee Bucks vs Charlotte Hornets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 122-121
24-38 27-22 36-31 35-30
Position#21
Record14-20
FormWLWWL
Points / game113.0
Allowed / game115.9
vs
Position#14
Record11-22
FormLWWLL
Points / game115.8
Allowed / game118.9
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Charlotte Hornets
02 Apr 2027
MIL v CHA
upcoming
03 Jan 2027
MIL v CHA
upcoming
02 Jan 2026
MIL122
CHA121
14 Nov 2025
MIL147
CHA134
23 Nov 2024
MIL125
CHA119
27 Feb 2024
MIL123
CHA85
09 Feb 2024
MIL120
CHA84
31 Jan 2023
MIL124
CHA115
06 Jan 2023
MIL109
CHA138
28 Feb 2022
MIL130
CHA106
01 Dec 2021
MIL127
CHA125
09 Apr 2021
MIL119
CHA127
30 Nov 2019
MIL137
CHA96
09 Mar 2019
MIL131
CHA114
25 Jan 2019
MIL108
CHA99
22 Dec 2017
MIL109
CHA104
23 Oct 2017
MIL103
CHA94
10 Apr 2017
MIL89
CHA79
26 Oct 2016
MIL96
CHA107
26 Mar 2016
MIL91
CHA115
19 Feb 2016
MIL95
CHA98
23 Dec 2014
MIL101
CHA108
16 Mar 2014
MIL92
CHA101
23 Nov 2013
MIL72
CHA96
01 Apr 2013
MIL131
CHA102
07 Dec 2012
MIL108
CHA93
06 Apr 2012
MIL95
CHA90
27 Nov 2010
MIL104
CHA101
30 Oct 2010
MIL98
CHA88
20 Feb 2010
MIL93
CHA88
20 Nov 2009
MIL95
CHA88
02 Jan 2009
MIL103
CHA75
05 Dec 2008
MIL101
CHA96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Charlotte Hornets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
112-124
112
124
-12
99avg 107
A07/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
116-101
116
101
+15
118avg 107
H12/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
82-127
82
127
-45
70avg 107
A14/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
105-111
105
111
-6
97avg 107
H19/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
100-103
100
103
-3
96avg 107
A22/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
111-94
111
94
+17
106avg 107
A24/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
104-125
104
125
-21
94avg 107
A27/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
112-103
112
103
+9
105avg 107
A28/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
123-113
123
113
+10
116avg 107
A30/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
113-114
113
114
-1
105avg 107
H01/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-29
34-32
25-30
31-33
29-35
31-32
27-13
29-21
25-37
23-28
23-34
11-28
25-31
28-26
23-26
29-28
29-23
31-25
15-27
25-28
26-20
33-24
27-24
25-26
35-25
15-35
33-32
21-33
28-26
26-24
31-30
27-23
25-26
38-40
32-23
28-24
32-30
30-35
26-21
25-28
219.3Avg total
107.8Scored
111.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)113.0115.9228.9-2.941%
Season at home (17)116.9116.4233.2+0.547%
Season away (17)109.2115.4224.6-6.235%
Last 10 (10)107.8111.5219.3-3.740%
Last 5 (5)112.6109.8222.4+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)110.4116.3226.7-5.926%
vs Similar (9)113.0113.6226.6-0.667%
vs Weaker (2)119.5121.5241.0-2.00%
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHornets
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
106-115
106
115
-9
100avg 101
H07/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
126-129
126
129
-3
114avg 101
H13/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
119-111 OT
119
111
+8
112avg 101
A14/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
133-126
133
126
+7
132avg 101
H19/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
86-112
86
112
-26
71avg 101
A21/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
132-139
132
139
-7
124avg 101
A23/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
126-109
126
109
+17
126avg 101
H24/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
120-105
120
105
+15
114avg 101
A27/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
113-123
113
123
-10
105avg 101
H30/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
125-132
125
132
-7
120avg 101
H31/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-34
24-23
23-30
25-28
29-33
32-22
31-34
34-40
33-29
24-18
31-32
23-32
37-32
43-37
27-26
26-31
27-33
18-22
27-24
14-33
36-33
27-37
32-34
37-35
24-31
38-34
30-25
34-19
38-28
19-20
39-29
24-28
26-25
40-38
23-32
24-28
30-30
34-39
36-29
25-34
238.7Avg total
118.6Scored
120.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)115.8118.9234.7-3.233%
Season at home (17)116.4118.6235.0-2.241%
Season away (16)115.1119.3234.4-4.225%
Last 10 (10)118.6120.1238.7-1.540%
Last 5 (5)123.2121.6244.8+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.0109.0205.0-13.00%
vs Similar (18)111.8119.1230.8-7.328%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)119.7119.8239.5-0.136%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -4.2-4.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -4.2-4.2
Milwaukee BucksCharlotte Hornets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
56-61
56
61
-5
A07/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
60-67
60
67
-7
H12/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
48-65
48
65
-17
A14/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
53-57
53
57
-4
H19/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
60-48
60
48
+12
A22/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
59-44
59
44
+15
A24/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
50-60
50
60
-10
A27/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A28/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A30/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H01/01
NBA
114.8Avg total
56.5Scored
58.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.059.4115.5-3.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.461.1117.5-4.740%-
Last 30 away (15)55.757.8113.5-2.140%-
Last 10 (10)56.558.3114.8-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)57.657.0114.6+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)54.660.8115.5-6.226%-
vs Similar (9)57.256.0113.2+1.267%-
vs Weaker (2)64.061.5125.5+2.550%-
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H07/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
61-55
61
55
+6
H13/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A14/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H19/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A21/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A23/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H24/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
57-48
57
48
+9
A27/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
66-63
66
63
+3
H30/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
64-69
64
69
-5
H31/12
NBA
121.1Avg total
61.3Scored
59.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.159.8118.9-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (16)60.860.7121.5+0.150%-
Last 30 away (14)57.158.9115.9-1.836%-
Last 10 (10)61.359.8121.1+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)62.463.0125.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)52.055.0107.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (18)57.259.8117.0-2.739%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)62.860.3123.1+2.555%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 107.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.625.6
53.8%
54.8%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.213.4
37.0%
35.8%40.2
🏀 Free throws21.416.4
76.6%
78.1%16.4
They take 83.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Charlotte Hornetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Charlotte Hornets: 118.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers53.1 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.724.9
51.1%
54.8%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.317.7
40.9%
35.8%53.1
🏀 Free throws20.615.7
76.2%
78.1%15.7
They take 92.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LWWLWLLLWL
Charlotte Hornets
LLWWLLWWLL
#21
League position
#14
-3.7
Net rating
-1.5
108.7
Offensive rating
116.2
112.5
Defensive rating
117.7
54.5%
Effective FG%
55.9%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
15.1%
Turnover %
13.6%
21.6%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.22
37.0%
3-point %
40.9%
60.8%
Assist %
68.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.7 · 116.2Defence112.5 · 117.7Shooting54.5% · 55.9%3-point %37.0% · 40.9%Ball care15.1% · 13.6%Off. rebounds21.6% · 29.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Charlotte Hornets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/26HWashington Wizards113-114
30/12/25ACharlotte Hornets123-113
28/12/25AChicago Bulls112-103
27/12/25AMemphis Grizzlies104-125
24/12/25AIndiana Pacers111-94
22/12/25AMinnesota Timberwolves100-103
19/12/25HToronto Raptors105-111
14/12/25ABrooklyn Nets82-127
12/12/25HBoston Celtics116-101
07/12/25ADetroit Pistons112-124
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/25HGolden State Warriors125-132
30/12/25HMilwaukee Bucks113-123
27/12/25AOrlando Magic120-105
24/12/25HWashington Wizards126-109
23/12/25ACleveland Cavaliers132-139
21/12/25ADetroit Pistons86-112
19/12/25HAtlanta Hawks133-126
14/12/25ACleveland Cavaliers119-111 OT
13/12/25HChicago Bulls126-129
07/12/25HDenver Nuggets106-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL41%
HomeWLWLL47%
AwayLWLWW35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %41%47%35%
Points / game113.0116.9109.2
Allowed / game115.9116.4115.4
Point differential-2.9+0.5-6.2
Avg total228.9233.2224.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%41%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)33% (3)33% (6)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Charlotte Hornets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL33%
HomeLWWLL41%
AwayWWLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %33%41%25%
Points / game115.8116.4115.1
Allowed / game118.9118.6119.3
Point differential-3.2-2.2-4.2
Avg total234.7235.0234.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%24%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (1)0% (4)
Overtime %9%6%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder3228488%122.1108.0+14.1
2 Detroit Pistons3425974%118.9112.8+6.1
3 San Antonio Spurs3223972%119.9114.2+5.8
4 Houston Rockets31211068%120.5111.5+9.1
5 Denver Nuggets34231168%124.6117.9+6.8
6 Los Angeles Lakers30201067%116.8116.8+0.0
7 New York Knicks32211166%120.2114.8+5.5
8 Boston Celtics33211264%117.0110.6+6.4
9 Minnesota Timberwolves34211362%118.8114.6+4.2
10 Phoenix Suns32191359%115.9113.0+2.9
11 Toronto Raptors34201459%114.2112.4+1.8
12 Miami Heat33191458%121.3117.4+3.9
13 Orlando Magic32181456%116.5114.6+1.9
14 Philadelphia 76ers32181456%116.6116.0+0.6
15 Cleveland Cavaliers36201656%119.4116.9+2.6
16 Golden State Warriors34181653%115.6113.4+2.1
17 Chicago Bulls33161748%118.8122.3-3.5
18 Atlanta Hawks36171947%119.0119.5-0.5
19 Memphis Grizzlies33151845%115.9116.5-0.7
20 Milwaukee Bucks34142041%113.0115.9-2.9
21 Portland Trail Blazers34142041%116.2120.2-4.1
22 Los Angeles Clippers33122136%112.3113.6-1.3
23 Utah Jazz33122136%119.8126.8-7.0
24 Dallas Mavericks35122334%113.6117.9-4.3
25 Charlotte Hornets33112233%115.8118.9-3.2
26 Brooklyn Nets32102231%108.9114.2-5.3
27 Washington Wizards3392427%113.4123.9-10.5
28 Sacramento Kings3482624%110.9122.3-11.4
29 New Orleans Pelicans3582723%115.6123.1-7.5
30 Indiana Pacers3562917%110.1119.3-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks24273635122
Charlotte Hornets38223130121
← all games of the day
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