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Indiana Pacers vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Apr 2016
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 85-101
17-24 19-29 23-18 26-30
Position#11
Record46-38
FormWWWWL
Points / game102.0
Allowed / game100.3
vs
Position#5
Record57-27
FormWWWLW
Points / game102.5
Allowed / game98.1
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Indiana Pacers v Toronto Raptors
18 Mar 2027
IND v TOR
upcoming
28 Feb 2027
IND v TOR
upcoming
14 Jan 2026
IND101
TOR115
15 Nov 2025
IND111
TOR129
26 Feb 2025
IND111
TOR91
26 Feb 2024
IND122
TOR130
22 Nov 2023
IND131
TOR132
02 Jan 2023
IND122
TOR114
12 Nov 2022
IND118
TOR104
26 Nov 2021
IND114
TOR97
30 Oct 2021
IND94
TOR97
25 Jan 2021
IND129
TOR114
24 Jan 2021
IND102
TOR107
07 Feb 2020
IND106
TOR115
23 Dec 2019
IND120
TOR115
23 Jan 2019
IND110
TOR106
15 Mar 2018
IND99
TOR106
24 Nov 2017
IND107
TOR104
04 Apr 2017
IND108
TOR90
29 Apr 2016
IND101
TOR83
23 Apr 2016
IND100
TOR83
21 Apr 2016
IND85
TOR101
17 Mar 2016
IND94
TOR101
14 Dec 2015
IND106
TOR90
16 Mar 2015
IND98
TOR117
27 Jan 2015
IND91
TOR104
07 Jan 2014
IND86
TOR79
08 Nov 2013
IND91
TOR84
08 Feb 2013
IND98
TOR100
13 Nov 2012
IND72
TOR74
09 Apr 2012
IND103
TOR98
31 Jan 2011
IND104
TOR93
06 Dec 2010
IND124
TOR100
02 Feb 2010
IND130
TOR115
11 Jan 2010
IND105
TOR101
08 Apr 2009
IND130
TOR101
16 Jan 2009
IND111
TOR104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana Pacers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPacers
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#20
L
94-114
94
114
-20
83avg 92
H31/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
115-102
115
102
+13
115avg 92
A02/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
92-87
92
87
+5
86avg 92
A03/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
123-109
123
109
+14
120avg 92
H06/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
98-111
98
111
-13
85avg 92
A08/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
129-105
129
105
+24
139avg 92
H10/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
102-90
102
90
+12
99avg 92
H12/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
97-92
97
92
+5
92avg 92
A14/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
100-90
100
90
+10
87avg 92
A16/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
87-98
87
98
-11
73avg 92
A18/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-33
23-24
28-32
15-25
28-28
33-21
13-28
41-25
18-23
36-18
20-24
18-22
36-33
34-28
26-21
27-27
15-20
31-30
20-32
32-29
39-19
30-22
35-31
25-33
29-36
24-18
26-16
23-20
37-20
25-26
16-24
19-22
19-24
24-21
27-22
30-23
16-27
32-26
18-21
21-24
203.5Avg total
103.7Scored
99.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (84)102.0100.3202.2+1.755%
Season at home (41)102.998.9201.8+4.063%
Season away (43)101.0101.7202.7-0.647%
Last 10 (10)103.799.8203.5+3.970%
Last 5 (5)103.095.0198.0+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)107.2103.8211.0+3.550%
vs Similar ◀ (16)97.4102.3199.8-4.938%
vs Weaker (10)104.095.9199.9+8.190%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
99-95
99
95
+4
92avg 92
A02/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
95-102
95
102
-7
83avg 92
A03/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
96-90
96
90
+6
88avg 92
H05/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
87-95
87
95
-8
73avg 92
A08/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
111-98
111
98
+13
106avg 92
H08/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
93-89
93
89
+4
83avg 92
A10/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
122-98
122
98
+24
117avg 92
H12/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
103-96
103
96
+7
97avg 92
A14/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
90-100
90
100
-10
80avg 92
H16/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
98-87
98
87
+11
90avg 92
H18/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
18-30
29-19
25-23
18-26
28-29
20-16
29-31
26-16
30-26
19-17
21-31
20-28
23-19
20-23
24-25
20-15
30-31
32-20
29-32
20-25
34-26
21-18
18-20
32-23
23-38
32-13
35-24
16-26
33-21
29-19
25-30
24-19
21-24
22-27
23-30
27-16
26-32
21-18
24-21
194.4Avg total
99.4Scored
95.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (84)102.598.1200.6+4.468%
Season at home (43)104.498.2202.6+6.377%
Season away (41)100.598.0198.5+2.459%
Last 10 (10)99.495.0194.4+4.470%
Last 5 (5)101.294.0195.2+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)97.5110.5208.0-13.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)101.599.3200.8+2.265%
vs Weaker (11)108.396.9205.2+11.491%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.4-1.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.4-1.4
Indiana PacersToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#20
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H31/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
61-49
61
49
+12
A02/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A03/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
70-61
70
61
+9
H06/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A08/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
69-41
69
41
+28
H10/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H12/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
62-46
62
46
+16
A14/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A16/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A18/04
NBA
105.4Avg total
55.7Scored
49.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.049.4101.4+2.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.249.7102.9+3.553%-
Last 30 away (15)50.849.199.9+1.747%-
Last 10 (10)55.749.7105.4+6.050%-
Last 5 (5)55.047.8102.8+7.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)53.050.2103.2+2.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)49.151.4100.5-2.231%-
vs Weaker (10)56.245.9102.1+10.380%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A02/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A03/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H05/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A08/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H08/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A10/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
L
55-61
55
61
-6
H12/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A14/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H16/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H18/04
NBA
98.9Avg total
49.6Scored
49.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.349.5100.8+1.760%-
Last 30 at home (18)52.550.4102.9+2.167%-
Last 30 away (12)49.448.297.7+1.250%-
Last 10 (10)49.649.398.9+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)51.250.0101.2+1.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)47.058.0105.0-11.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)51.547.198.6+4.471%-
vs Weaker (11)51.651.7103.4-0.155%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 103.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.629.8
50.9%
49.0%59.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.9
38.2%
35.3%26.7
🏀 Free throws22.217.4
78.4%
75.5%17.4
They take 81.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 99.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.528.3
49.2%
49.0%56.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.1
35.1%
35.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws24.418.5
75.8%
75.5%18.5
They take 80.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Apr 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Indiana Pacers
LWWWWLWWWL
Toronto Raptors
WLWWWWLWLW
#11
League position
#5
+4.0
Net rating
+4.7
107.1
Offensive rating
106.5
103.1
Defensive rating
101.8
52.7%
Effective FG%
50.2%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
15.2%
Turnover %
13.8%
24.1%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
38.2%
3-point %
35.1%
59.2%
Assist %
53.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 106.5Defence103.1 · 101.8Shooting52.7% · 50.2%3-point %38.2% · 35.1%Ball care15.2% · 13.8%Off. rebounds24.1% · 26.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Indiana Pacers   ■ Toronto Raptors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Indiana Pacers wins
8
Toronto Raptors wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/16AToronto Raptors87-98
16/04/16AToronto Raptors100-90
14/04/16AMilwaukee Bucks97-92
12/04/16HNew York Knicks102-90
10/04/16HBrooklyn Nets129-105
08/04/16AToronto Raptors98-111
06/04/16HCleveland Cavaliers123-109
03/04/16ANew York Knicks92-87
02/04/16APhiladelphia 76ers115-102
31/03/16HOrlando Magic94-114
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/16HIndiana Pacers98-87
16/04/16HIndiana Pacers90-100
14/04/16ABrooklyn Nets103-96
12/04/16HPhiladelphia 76ers122-98
10/04/16ANew York Knicks93-89
08/04/16HIndiana Pacers111-98
08/04/16AAtlanta Hawks87-95
05/04/16HCharlotte Hornets96-90
03/04/16ASan Antonio Spurs95-102
02/04/16AMemphis Grizzlies99-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana Pacers
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL55%
HomeLLWWW63%
AwayWLWWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844143
Win %55%63%47%
Points / game102.0102.9101.0
Allowed / game100.398.9101.7
Point differential+1.7+4.0-0.6
Avg total202.2201.8202.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%32%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (32)53% (15)53% (17)
Overtime %10%7%12%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW68%
HomeWWWLW77%
AwayWLLWW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844341
Win %68%77%59%
Points / game102.5104.4100.5
Allowed / game98.198.298.0
Point differential+4.4+6.3+2.4
Avg total200.6202.6198.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%35%34%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (25)60% (15)50% (10)
Overtime %5%2%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors8475989%114.8103.8+10.9
2 San Antonio Spurs84691582%103.592.4+11.1
3 Cleveland Cavaliers84592570%104.498.3+6.1
4 Toronto Raptors84572768%102.598.1+4.4
5 Oklahoma City Thunder85572867%110.1102.3+7.8
6 Los Angeles Clippers84552965%104.699.9+4.7
7 Atlanta Hawks84503460%102.798.9+3.7
8 Miami Heat84503460%100.598.4+2.1
9 Boston Celtics84483657%105.3102.3+2.9
10 Charlotte Hornets84483657%103.2101.1+2.1
11 Indiana Pacers84463855%102.0100.3+1.7
12 Detroit Pistons84444052%101.8101.5+0.3
13 Portland Trail Blazers84444052%104.7104.4+0.3
14 Chicago Bulls82424051%101.6103.1-1.5
15 Dallas Mavericks85434251%101.7102.8-1.1
16 Washington Wizards82414150%104.1104.6-0.5
17 Memphis Grizzlies84424250%98.4101.3-2.9
18 Houston Rockets84414349%106.2106.4-0.2
19 Utah Jazz82404249%97.795.9+1.8
20 Orlando Magic82354743%102.1103.7-1.6
21 Sacramento Kings82334940%106.6109.1-2.5
22 Denver Nuggets82334940%101.9105.0-3.1
23 Milwaukee Bucks82334940%99.0103.2-4.2
24 New York Knicks82325039%98.4101.1-2.7
25 New Orleans Pelicans82305237%102.7106.5-3.8
26 Minnesota Timberwolves82295335%102.4106.0-3.5
27 Phoenix Suns82235928%100.9107.5-6.7
28 Brooklyn Nets82216126%98.6106.0-7.4
29 Los Angeles Lakers82176521%97.3106.9-9.6
30 Philadelphia 76ers82107212%97.4107.6-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Indiana Pacers1719232685
Toronto Raptors24291830101
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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