PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 16 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 132-119
32-38 33-38 28-22 39-21
Position#1
Record27-16
FormLWWLL
Points / game111.8
Allowed / game110.9
vs
Position#24
Record23-21
FormWWLLL
Points / game115.4
Allowed / game115.9
USANBA
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Indiana Pacers
20 Mar 2027
MIL v IND
upcoming
26 Oct 2026
MIL110
IND102
15 Mar 2026
MIL134
IND123
06 Feb 2026
MIL105
IND99
27 Apr 2025
MIL103
IND129
25 Apr 2025
MIL117
IND101
15 Mar 2025
MIL126
IND119
22 Nov 2024
MIL129
IND117
30 Apr 2024
MIL115
IND92
23 Apr 2024
MIL108
IND125
21 Apr 2024
MIL109
IND94
01 Jan 2024
MIL113
IND122
13 Dec 2023
MIL140
IND126
16 Mar 2023
MIL123
IND139
16 Jan 2023
MIL132
IND119
15 Feb 2022
MIL128
IND119
15 Dec 2021
MIL114
IND99
22 Mar 2021
MIL140
IND113
03 Feb 2021
MIL130
IND110
04 Mar 2020
MIL119
IND100
22 Dec 2019
MIL117
IND89
07 Mar 2019
MIL117
IND98
19 Oct 2018
MIL118
IND101
02 Mar 2018
MIL96
IND103
03 Jan 2018
MIL122
IND101
10 Mar 2017
MIL99
IND85
03 Nov 2016
MIL125
IND107
13 Apr 2016
MIL92
IND97
02 Mar 2016
MIL99
IND104
26 Mar 2015
MIL111
IND107
02 Jan 2015
MIL91
IND94
09 Apr 2014
MIL102
IND104
22 Feb 2014
MIL100
IND110
18 Dec 2012
MIL98
IND93
14 Nov 2012
MIL99
IND85
14 Apr 2012
MIL99
IND105
24 Mar 2012
MIL104
IND125
12 Feb 2011
MIL97
IND103
08 Dec 2010
MIL97
IND95
14 Mar 2010
MIL98
IND94
06 Feb 2010
MIL93
IND81
11 Feb 2009
MIL122
IND110
13 Dec 2008
MIL121
IND103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana Pacers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
113-119 OT
113
119
-6
92avg 106
A29/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
123-114
123
114
+9
123avg 106
H31/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
95-118
95
118
-23
78avg 106
H02/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
123-113
123
113
+10
115avg 106
H04/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
104-101 OT
104
101
+3
108avg 106
A05/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
L
109-138
109
138
-29
99avg 106
H07/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
111-107
111
107
+4
106avg 106
A10/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
114-105
114
105
+9
110avg 106
A12/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
102-108
102
108
-6
87avg 106
A13/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
95-111
95
111
-16
82avg 106
A14/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-28
23-29
27-22
24-27
33-34
17-27
39-22
34-31
17-34
33-34
20-20
25-30
32-28
29-21
29-36
33-28
13-12
26-26
24-21
34-38
28-51
32-33
27-28
22-26
22-22
24-29
27-27
38-29
39-19
28-27
22-36
25-23
23-14
22-31
28-33
29-30
20-28
25-25
26-24
24-34
222.3Avg total
108.9Scored
113.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)111.8110.9222.7+0.963%
Season at home (21)117.1110.6227.7+6.576%
Season away (22)106.7111.2217.9-4.550%
Last 10 (10)108.9113.4222.3-4.550%
Last 5 (5)106.2113.8220.0-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (22)112.8113.9226.7-1.055%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)109.4109.0218.4+0.462%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPacers
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
129-114
129
114
+15
126avg 107
H28/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
135-126
135
126
+9
130avg 107
H30/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
131-130
131
130
+1
124avg 107
H31/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
122-114
122
114
+8
115avg 107
H03/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
126-129 OT
126
129
-3
120avg 107
A05/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
108-99
108
99
+9
99avg 107
H07/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
116-111
116
111
+5
107avg 107
H08/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
113-119
113
119
-6
104avg 107
A12/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
111-113
111
113
-2
97avg 107
H14/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
112-130
112
130
-18
97avg 107
H15/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-27
34-27
32-32
33-28
29-34
35-34
35-28
36-30
32-22
30-33
31-38
38-37
29-33
37-24
25-33
31-24
28-27
33-39
23-31
36-23
26-29
28-26
27-27
27-17
15-27
32-18
26-34
43-32
21-37
20-25
40-33
32-24
27-36
31-19
31-29
22-29
28-36
24-32
27-29
33-33
238.8Avg total
120.3Scored
118.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)115.4115.9231.3-0.552%
Season at home (24)117.9115.0232.8+2.962%
Season away (20)112.4117.1229.5-4.740%
Last 10 (10)120.3118.5238.8+1.860%
Last 5 (5)112.0114.4226.4-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)115.6118.8234.5-3.246%
vs Similar (17)114.2114.5228.7-0.253%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +5.4+5.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +5.4+5.4
Milwaukee BucksIndiana Pacers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A29/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H31/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
50-68
50
68
-18
H02/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
61-49
61
49
+12
H04/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A05/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
L
60-84
60
84
-24
H07/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A10/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
67-46
67
46
+21
A12/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A13/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A14/01
NBA
107.0Avg total
51.8Scored
55.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.156.2111.3-1.153%-
Last 30 at home (13)59.861.2121.0-1.362%-
Last 30 away (17)51.552.4103.9-0.947%-
Last 10 (10)51.855.2107.0-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)52.655.8108.4-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (22)54.756.2110.9-1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)56.256.1112.4+0.162%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H28/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
64-68
64
68
-4
H30/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
62-55
62
55
+7
H31/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
66-57
66
57
+9
H03/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
61-66
61
66
-5
A05/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H07/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H08/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
41-62
41
62
-21
A12/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
58-55
58
55
+3
H14/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
52-68
52
68
-16
H15/01
NBA
115.4Avg total
56.9Scored
58.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.957.6114.6-0.740%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.356.7115.0+1.653%-
Last 30 away (13)55.258.8114.0-3.723%-
Last 10 (10)56.958.5115.4-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)50.457.0107.4-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)57.258.2115.5-1.038%-
vs Similar (17)56.757.2113.9-0.541%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 108.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers47.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.823.3
49.8%
54.5%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.115.8
34.3%
35.8%47.4
🏀 Free throws20.714.9
72.0%
78.1%14.9
They take 92.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 46.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 120.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.230.9
54.0%
54.5%61.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.611.9
34.4%
35.8%35.7
🏀 Free throws26.822.8
85.1%
78.1%22.8
They take 91.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LLWWLWWLWL
Indiana Pacers
LLLWWLWWWW
#1
League position
#24
-4.4
Net rating
+1.7
105.4
Offensive rating
115.5
109.8
Defensive rating
113.8
50.6%
Effective FG%
53.1%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
14.4%
Turnover %
11.9%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
23.3%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.3%
3-point %
34.4%
61.6%
Assist %
61.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.4 · 115.5Defence109.8 · 113.8Shooting50.6% · 53.1%3-point %34.3% · 34.4%Ball care14.4% · 11.9%Off. rebounds27.4% · 23.3%Free throws0.22 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Indiana Pacers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Milwaukee Bucks wins
1
Indiana Pacers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/23AMiami Heat95-111
13/01/23AMiami Heat102-108
12/01/23AAtlanta Hawks114-105
10/01/23ANew York Knicks111-107
07/01/23HCharlotte Hornets109-138
05/01/23AToronto Raptors104-101 OT
04/01/23HWashington Wizards123-113
02/01/23HWashington Wizards95-118
31/12/22HMinnesota Timberwolves123-114
29/12/22AChicago Bulls113-119 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/23HMemphis Grizzlies112-130
14/01/23HAtlanta Hawks111-113
12/01/23ANew York Knicks113-119
08/01/23HCharlotte Hornets116-111
07/01/23HPortland Trail Blazers108-99
05/01/23APhiladelphia 76ers126-129 OT
03/01/23HToronto Raptors122-114
31/12/22HLos Angeles Clippers131-130
30/12/22HCleveland Cavaliers135-126
28/12/22HAtlanta Hawks129-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL63%
HomeWWLWL76%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432122
Win %63%76%50%
Points / game111.8117.1106.7
Allowed / game110.9110.6111.2
Point differential+0.9+6.5-4.5
Avg total222.7227.7217.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%52%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)33% (3)83% (6)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Indiana Pacers
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL52%
HomeWWWLL62%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442420
Win %52%62%40%
Points / game115.4117.9112.4
Allowed / game115.9115.0117.1
Point differential-0.5+2.9-4.7
Avg total231.3232.8229.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%21%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)40% (10)75% (4)
Overtime %2%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics45331273%118.8112.3+6.5
2 Denver Nuggets43301370%117.0113.1+4.0
3 Memphis Grizzlies42291369%117.1111.8+5.4
4 Brooklyn Nets42271564%113.9110.6+3.3
5 Philadelphia 76ers43271663%113.8110.2+3.6
6 Milwaukee Bucks43271663%111.8110.9+0.9
7 Cleveland Cavaliers44271761%111.5107.0+4.5
8 New Orleans Pelicans43261760%117.3113.3+4.1
9 Sacramento Kings42241857%120.0117.0+3.0
10 New York Knicks44251957%114.1111.1+3.0
11 Miami Heat44242055%108.8108.5+0.3
12 Dallas Mavericks45242153%112.7112.3+0.4
13 Indiana Pacers44232152%115.4115.9-0.5
14 Los Angeles Clippers45232251%109.4109.9-0.6
15 Minnesota Timberwolves44222250%114.8115.2-0.4
16 Portland Trail Blazers43212249%113.3112.6+0.7
17 Golden State Warriors43212249%117.3117.9-0.6
18 Atlanta Hawks43212249%114.9115.9-1.0
19 Utah Jazz46222448%117.4116.7+0.7
20 Phoenix Suns44212348%112.7111.6+1.1
21 Oklahoma City Thunder44212348%116.8116.0+0.8
22 Chicago Bulls44202445%114.5115.2-0.6
23 Toronto Raptors43192444%111.8111.5+0.3
24 Los Angeles Lakers43192444%116.5117.7-1.2
25 Washington Wizards43182542%111.7113.1-1.4
26 Orlando Magic44162836%110.5114.3-3.8
27 San Antonio Spurs44133130%112.6121.7-9.1
28 Detroit Pistons47123526%112.1119.5-7.4
29 Charlotte Hornets45113424%112.2118.9-6.8
30 Houston Rockets43103323%109.1117.0-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks32332839132
Indiana Pacers38382221119
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.