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Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 02 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 113-122
32-25 30-31 26-28 25-38
Position#8
Record23-7
FormWWLWW
Points / game124.5
Allowed / game118.5
vs
Position#17
Record15-14
FormLLWWW
Points / game126.7
Allowed / game125.4
USANBA· Fiserv Forum (Milwaukee)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Indiana Pacers
20 Mar 2027
MIL v IND
upcoming
26 Oct 2026
MIL110
IND102
15 Mar 2026
MIL134
IND123
06 Feb 2026
MIL105
IND99
27 Apr 2025
MIL103
IND129
25 Apr 2025
MIL117
IND101
15 Mar 2025
MIL126
IND119
22 Nov 2024
MIL129
IND117
30 Apr 2024
MIL115
IND92
23 Apr 2024
MIL108
IND125
21 Apr 2024
MIL109
IND94
01 Jan 2024
MIL113
IND122
13 Dec 2023
MIL140
IND126
16 Mar 2023
MIL123
IND139
16 Jan 2023
MIL132
IND119
15 Feb 2022
MIL128
IND119
15 Dec 2021
MIL114
IND99
22 Mar 2021
MIL140
IND113
03 Feb 2021
MIL130
IND110
04 Mar 2020
MIL119
IND100
22 Dec 2019
MIL117
IND89
07 Mar 2019
MIL117
IND98
19 Oct 2018
MIL118
IND101
02 Mar 2018
MIL96
IND103
03 Jan 2018
MIL122
IND101
10 Mar 2017
MIL99
IND85
03 Nov 2016
MIL125
IND107
13 Apr 2016
MIL92
IND97
02 Mar 2016
MIL99
IND104
26 Mar 2015
MIL111
IND107
02 Jan 2015
MIL91
IND94
09 Apr 2014
MIL102
IND104
22 Feb 2014
MIL100
IND110
18 Dec 2012
MIL98
IND93
14 Nov 2012
MIL99
IND85
14 Apr 2012
MIL99
IND105
24 Mar 2012
MIL104
IND125
12 Feb 2011
MIL97
IND103
08 Dec 2010
MIL97
IND95
14 Mar 2010
MIL98
IND94
06 Feb 2010
MIL93
IND81
11 Feb 2009
MIL122
IND110
13 Dec 2008
MIL121
IND103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana Pacers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
133-129 OT
133
129
+4
135avg 114
H12/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
140-126
140
126
+14
133avg 114
H14/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
146-114
146
114
+32
144avg 114
H16/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
128-119
128
119
+9
121avg 114
H18/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
132-119
132
119
+13
124avg 114
H20/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
118-114
118
114
+4
112avg 114
H22/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
130-111
130
111
+19
127avg 114
A23/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
122-129
122
129
-7
112avg 114
A25/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
144-122
144
122
+22
149avg 114
A28/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
119-111
119
111
+8
118avg 114
A30/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-32
37-33
17-24
27-29
36-33
34-30
31-31
39-32
43-20
38-36
33-27
32-31
33-28
38-32
29-31
28-28
44-26
28-33
35-26
25-34
28-31
31-25
32-26
27-32
36-27
26-27
38-33
30-24
27-36
24-26
36-36
35-31
32-31
34-28
34-33
44-30
31-37
21-22
40-21
27-31
250.6Avg total
131.2Scored
119.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)124.5118.5243.0+5.977%
Season at home (16)124.9117.9242.8+6.994%
Season away (14)124.0119.2243.2+4.857%
Last 10 (10)131.2119.4250.6+11.890%
Last 5 (5)126.6117.4244.0+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)116.0119.0235.0-3.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)122.2118.2240.4+4.075%
vs Weaker (13)127.9118.9246.8+9.085%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPacers
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
126-140
126
140
-14
115avg 112
A14/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
123-137
123
137
-14
111avg 112
A16/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
109-127
109
127
-18
100avg 112
A17/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
127-151
127
151
-24
122avg 112
H19/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
144-113
144
113
+31
152avg 112
H21/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
103-116
103
116
-13
94avg 112
A22/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
110-117
110
117
-7
104avg 112
H24/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
123-117
123
117
+6
124avg 112
A27/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
120-104
120
104
+16
119avg 112
A29/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
140-126
140
126
+14
144avg 112
H31/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-36
30-34
31-31
32-39
37-30
18-39
32-39
36-29
20-23
35-34
23-38
31-32
38-37
28-40
28-37
33-37
31-29
40-31
36-26
37-27
22-35
34-23
21-28
26-30
27-36
32-37
33-20
18-24
33-33
31-34
37-23
22-27
37-31
26-21
22-25
35-27
32-27
32-35
41-30
35-34
247.3Avg total
122.5Scored
124.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)126.7125.4252.1+1.252%
Season at home (15)127.9121.3249.3+6.653%
Season away (14)125.4129.9255.2-4.550%
Last 10 (10)122.5124.8247.3-2.340%
Last 5 (5)119.2116.0235.2+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)122.5145.5268.0-23.050%
vs Similar ◀ (14)125.5128.1253.6-2.650%
vs Weaker (14)129.5120.7250.2+8.857%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
Milwaukee BucksIndiana Pacers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H12/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H14/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
81-56
81
56
+25
H16/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H18/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
72-59
72
59
+13
H20/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
59-56
59
56
+3
H22/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
62-54
62
54
+8
A23/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
51-62
51
62
-11
A25/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
66-59
66
59
+7
A28/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A30/12
NBA
125.1Avg total
65.8Scored
59.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.959.2120.1+1.863%-
Last 30 at home (16)63.458.1121.6+5.381%-
Last 30 away (14)58.160.4118.4-2.343%-
Last 10 (10)65.859.3125.1+6.580%-
Last 5 (5)58.058.0116.0+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)53.067.0120.0-14.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)60.157.5117.6+2.669%-
vs Weaker (13)62.560.6123.2+1.962%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A14/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
55-69
55
69
-14
A16/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A17/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
66-77
66
77
-11
H19/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H21/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A22/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
59-73
59
73
-14
H24/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
64-67
64
67
-3
A27/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
63-52
63
52
+11
A29/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
64-62
64
62
+2
H31/12
NBA
126.1Avg total
61.6Scored
64.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)63.264.1127.3-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)63.563.7127.2-0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)62.964.5127.3-1.640%-
Last 10 (10)61.664.5126.1-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)61.262.4123.6-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)63.573.0136.5-9.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)62.364.1126.4-1.943%-
vs Weaker (14)64.162.7126.8+1.450%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 131.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws24.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.231.4
60.2%
54.4%62.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.214.7
38.5%
36.3%44.1
🏀 Free throws30.024.3
81.0%
78.2%24.3
They take 90.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 122.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.329.7
57.9%
54.4%59.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.315.6
40.7%
36.3%46.8
🏀 Free throws20.316.3
80.3%
78.2%16.3
They take 89.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WWLWWWWWWW
Indiana Pacers
WWWLLWLLLL
#8
League position
#17
+11.1
Net rating
-2.2
123.4
Offensive rating
118.6
112.3
Defensive rating
120.9
59.1%
Effective FG%
59.3%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
57.5%
11.9%
Turnover %
14.5%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.23
38.5%
3-point %
40.7%
62.5%
Assist %
70.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence123.4 · 118.6Defence112.3 · 120.9Shooting59.1% · 59.3%3-point %38.5% · 40.7%Ball care11.9% · 14.5%Off. rebounds25.5% · 25.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Indiana Pacers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Milwaukee Bucks wins
2
Indiana Pacers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23ACleveland Cavaliers119-111
28/12/23ABrooklyn Nets144-122
25/12/23ANew York Knicks122-129
23/12/23ANew York Knicks130-111
22/12/23HOrlando Magic118-114
20/12/23HSan Antonio Spurs132-119
18/12/23HHouston Rockets128-119
16/12/23HDetroit Pistons146-114
14/12/23HIndiana Pacers140-126
12/12/23HChicago Bulls133-129 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/23HNew York Knicks140-126
29/12/23AChicago Bulls120-104
27/12/23AHouston Rockets123-117
24/12/23HOrlando Magic110-117
22/12/23AMemphis Grizzlies103-116
21/12/23HCharlotte Hornets144-113
19/12/23HLos Angeles Clippers127-151
17/12/23AMinnesota Timberwolves109-127
16/12/23AWashington Wizards123-137
14/12/23AMilwaukee Bucks126-140

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW77%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayLWLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %77%94%57%
Points / game124.5124.9124.0
Allowed / game118.5117.9119.2
Point differential+5.9+6.9+4.8
Avg total243.0242.8243.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%25%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)100% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %7%6%7%
Indiana Pacers
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW52%
HomeLLWLW53%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %52%53%50%
Points / game126.7127.9125.4
Allowed / game125.4121.3129.9
Point differential+1.2+6.6-4.5
Avg total252.1249.3255.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%40%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)40% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics3126584%121.0109.9+11.2
2 Milwaukee Bucks3023777%124.5118.5+5.9
3 Minnesota Timberwolves3224875%113.0107.5+5.5
4 Oklahoma City Thunder3122971%121.3112.7+8.5
5 Philadelphia 76ers32221069%121.0110.9+10.1
6 Denver Nuggets34231168%115.3110.3+5.0
7 Sacramento Kings30191163%117.6116.4+1.1
8 Los Angeles Clippers31191261%116.6112.2+4.4
9 Orlando Magic32191359%112.8110.7+2.2
10 Miami Heat32191359%113.3111.7+1.6
11 New Orleans Pelicans31181358%116.5112.2+4.3
12 Dallas Mavericks33191458%119.2117.8+1.4
13 New York Knicks32181456%115.0112.7+2.4
14 Phoenix Suns31171455%115.8114.6+1.2
15 Cleveland Cavaliers33181555%112.3112.4-0.1
16 Indiana Pacers29151452%126.7125.4+1.2
17 Houston Rockets30151550%112.3109.7+2.6
18 Golden State Warriors32151747%116.8116.3+0.5
19 Los Angeles Lakers32151747%113.9115.9-2.0
20 Brooklyn Nets33151845%115.6116.4-0.8
21 Chicago Bulls34151944%109.9112.0-2.1
22 Utah Jazz33141942%113.4118.8-5.4
23 Atlanta Hawks32131941%122.2122.7-0.5
24 Toronto Raptors33132039%114.0115.2-1.2
25 Memphis Grizzlies32102231%106.8113.8-7.1
26 Portland Trail Blazers3192229%109.4115.2-5.8
27 Charlotte Hornets3072323%110.6121.4-10.9
28 Washington Wizards3262619%116.7126.2-9.5
29 San Antonio Spurs3252716%111.3123.3-12.0
30 Detroit Pistons323299%110.3121.2-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks32302625113
Indiana Pacers25312838122
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