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Milwaukee Bucks vs Washington Wizards Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 28 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 00:30
Postponed
Position#1
Record58-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game118.8
Allowed / game107.2
Milwaukee Bucks
USA
vs
Washington Wizards
USA
Position#24
Record26-42
FormLLWLW
Points / game115.2
Allowed / game118.7
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Washington Wizards
22 Mar 2027
MIL v WAS
upcoming
25 Feb 2027
MIL v WAS
upcoming
31 Dec 2025
MIL113
WAS114
22 Oct 2025
MIL133
WAS120
21 Dec 2024
MIL112
WAS101
30 Nov 2024
MIL124
WAS114
24 Nov 2023
MIL131
WAS128
03 Jan 2023
MIL123
WAS113
01 Jan 2023
MIL95
WAS118
24 Mar 2022
MIL114
WAS102
01 Feb 2022
MIL112
WAS98
05 May 2021
MIL135
WAS134
27 Mar 2020
MIL v WAS
upcoming
28 Jan 2020
MIL151
WAS131
06 Feb 2019
MIL148
WAS129
27 Feb 2018
MIL104
WAS107
20 Nov 2017
MIL88
WAS99
08 Jan 2017
MIL101
WAS107
23 Dec 2016
MIL123
WAS96
11 Feb 2016
MIL99
WAS92
30 Oct 2015
MIL113
WAS118
17 Oct 2015
MIL101
WAS105
07 Mar 2015
MIL91
WAS85
22 Nov 2014
MIL100
WAS111
08 Mar 2014
MIL107
WAS114
27 Nov 2013
MIL92
WAS100
11 Feb 2013
MIL90
WAS102
20 Oct 2012
MIL94
WAS102
28 Feb 2012
MIL119
WAS118
30 Dec 2011
MIL102
WAS81
19 Jan 2011
MIL100
WAS87
03 Mar 2010
MIL100
WAS87
23 Dec 2009
MIL97
WAS109
28 Feb 2009
MIL109
WAS93
05 Nov 2008
MIL112
WAS104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Washington Wizards win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
W
119-98
119
98
+21
H23/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
137-134 OT
137
134
+3
A25/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
108-97
108
97
+11
A26/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
W
133-86
133
86
+47
H29/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#23
W
93-85
93
85
+8
A01/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#6
L
89-105
89
105
-16
A03/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
W
119-100
119
100
+19
H05/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
103-113
103
113
-10
A07/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
L
131-140
131
140
-9
A08/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
L
95-109
95
109
-14
A10/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-21
25-29
37-23
26-25
30-25
27-22
38-35
28-41
25-27
25-25
34-19
24-26
31-24
39-23
37-22
26-17
26-20
19-23
25-25
23-17
26-31
26-22
18-28
19-24
36-23
22-33
31-23
30-21
22-19
26-29
28-39
27-26
28-47
31-30
32-25
40-38
24-39
30-23
17-14
24-33
219.4Avg total
112.7Scored
106.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (70)118.8107.2226.0+11.683%
Season at home (33)122.0106.5228.4+15.591%
Season away (37)116.0107.9223.9+8.276%
Last 10 (10)112.7106.7219.4+6.060%
Last 5 (5)107.4113.4220.8-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)113.0111.0224.0+2.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)117.7108.0225.7+9.878%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
117-126
117
126
-9
A24/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
134-137 OT
134
137
-3
H25/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
110-106
110
106
+4
H27/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#11
L
119-129
119
129
-10
A29/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
124-110
124
110
+14
A02/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
126-133
126
133
-7
A04/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
L
104-125
104
125
-21
A05/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
118-112
118
112
+6
H07/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#6
L
89-100
89
100
-11
H08/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#26
W
122-115
122
115
+7
H10/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-35
27-38
27-28
32-25
25-30
22-27
35-38
41-28
31-17
29-30
21-37
29-22
28-31
32-27
21-32
38-39
35-28
28-29
31-19
30-34
23-39
26-37
46-19
31-38
30-37
31-35
18-28
25-25
33-34
31-23
29-18
25-37
23-29
31-28
18-15
17-28
36-31
18-39
33-17
35-28
235.6Avg total
116.3Scored
119.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (68)115.2118.7233.9-3.538%
Season at home (34)114.4115.3229.7-1.047%
Season away (34)116.0122.0238.0-6.029%
Last 10 (10)116.3119.3235.6-3.040%
Last 5 (5)111.8117.0228.8-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)117.5124.4241.9-6.930%
vs Similar (13)111.8113.3225.1-1.554%
vs Weaker (7)119.3117.9237.1+1.457%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.1-0.1
Milwaukee BucksWashington Wizards
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H23/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A25/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A26/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
W
70-47
70
47
+23
H29/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#23
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A01/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#6
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A03/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H05/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A07/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
L
59-77
59
77
-18
A08/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A10/03
NBA
108.4Avg total
54.9Scored
53.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.653.4112.0+5.267%-
Last 30 at home (13)64.254.2118.3+10.092%-
Last 30 away (17)54.352.8107.1+1.547%-
Last 10 (10)54.953.5108.4+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)54.259.2113.4-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)58.052.7110.7+5.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)58.653.5112.1+5.170%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A24/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H25/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
60-47
60
47
+13
H27/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#11
W
60-58
60
58
+2
A29/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
63-57
63
57
+6
A02/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
49-76
49
76
-27
A04/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
L
61-72
61
72
-11
A05/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
64-57
64
57
+7
H07/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#6
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H08/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#26
L
54-70
54
70
-16
H10/03
NBA
119.4Avg total
57.0Scored
62.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.561.5120.0-3.047%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.957.3116.2+1.659%-
Last 30 away (13)57.967.0124.9-9.131%-
Last 10 (10)57.062.4119.4-5.440%-
Last 5 (5)56.466.4122.8-10.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)56.560.8117.3-4.340%-
vs Similar (13)56.861.5118.3-4.838%-
vs Weaker (7)64.662.4127.0+2.171%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 112.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.028.1
56.2%
52.3%56.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.213.3
33.1%
35.7%39.9
🏀 Free throws21.416.6
77.6%
77.2%16.6
They take 90.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 116.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.123.7
47.3%
52.3%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.715.1
42.3%
35.7%45.3
🏀 Free throws28.923.6
81.7%
77.2%23.6
They take 85.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LLLWLWWWWW
Washington Wizards
WLWLLWLWLL
#1
League position
#24
+5.6
Net rating
-2.9
105.4
Offensive rating
111.2
99.8
Defensive rating
114.0
53.3%
Effective FG%
54.0%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
59.2%
14.9%
Turnover %
13.8%
20.1%
Off. rebound %
18.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.1%
3-point %
42.3%
60.6%
Assist %
62.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.4 · 111.2Defence99.8 · 114.0Shooting53.3% · 54.0%3-point %33.1% · 42.3%Ball care14.9% · 13.8%Off. rebounds20.1% · 18.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Washington Wizards
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Milwaukee Bucks wins
3
Washington Wizards wins
DateGameScore
25/02/20Washington Wizards v Milwaukee Bucks134-137 OT
29/01/20Milwaukee Bucks v Washington Wizards151-131
13/10/19Washington Wizards v Milwaukee Bucks108-115
07/02/19Milwaukee Bucks v Washington Wizards148-129
03/02/19Washington Wizards v Milwaukee Bucks115-131
12/01/19Washington Wizards v Milwaukee Bucks113-106
28/02/18Milwaukee Bucks v Washington Wizards104-107
15/01/18Washington Wizards v Milwaukee Bucks95-104
07/01/18Washington Wizards v Milwaukee Bucks103-110
21/11/17Milwaukee Bucks v Washington Wizards88-99
Milwaukee Buckslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/20ADenver Nuggets95-109
08/03/20APhoenix Suns131-140
07/03/20ALos Angeles Lakers103-113
05/03/20HIndiana Pacers119-100
03/03/20AMiami Heat89-105
01/03/20ACharlotte Hornets93-85
29/02/20HOklahoma City Thunder133-86
26/02/20AToronto Raptors108-97
25/02/20AWashington Wizards137-134 OT
23/02/20HPhiladelphia 76ers119-98
Washington Wizardslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/20HNew York Knicks122-115
08/03/20HMiami Heat89-100
07/03/20HAtlanta Hawks118-112
05/03/20APortland Trail Blazers104-125
04/03/20ASacramento Kings126-133
02/03/20AGolden State Warriors124-110
29/02/20AUtah Jazz119-129
27/02/20HBrooklyn Nets110-106
25/02/20HMilwaukee Bucks134-137 OT
24/02/20AChicago Bulls117-126

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL83%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWLLLL76%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games703337
Win %83%91%76%
Points / game118.8122.0116.0
Allowed / game107.2106.5107.9
Point differential+11.6+15.5+8.2
Avg total226.0228.4223.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%64%49%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)60% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %3%3%3%
Washington Wizards
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW38%
HomeLWWLW47%
AwayLLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games683434
Win %38%47%29%
Points / game115.2114.4116.0
Allowed / game118.7115.3122.0
Point differential-3.5-1.0-6.0
Avg total233.9229.7238.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%18%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (12)38% (8)0% (4)
Overtime %4%6%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks70581283%118.8107.2+11.6
2 Los Angeles Lakers69521775%113.7106.6+7.1
3 Toronto Raptors68482071%113.1107.0+6.1
4 Boston Celtics68472169%112.9105.7+7.2
5 Denver Nuggets69472268%110.3106.9+3.4
6 Los Angeles Clippers67442366%115.1109.6+5.5
7 Miami Heat70452564%112.4108.5+3.9
8 Houston Rockets69432662%118.5114.8+3.7
9 Oklahoma City Thunder67412661%110.4108.5+1.9
10 Philadelphia 76ers69422761%109.4106.6+2.8
11 Indiana Pacers69422761%109.9107.6+2.3
12 Utah Jazz68412760%111.2109.1+2.2
13 Dallas Mavericks72423058%115.8109.8+5.9
14 Memphis Grizzlies68333549%112.3113.7-1.5
15 New Orleans Pelicans69333648%116.9117.1-0.2
16 Brooklyn Nets67323548%110.5111.1-0.6
17 Orlando Magic71333846%105.9106.7-0.8
18 Sacramento Kings68303844%109.5111.2-1.7
19 Portland Trail Blazers70304043%113.5115.3-1.9
20 San Antonio Spurs68293943%112.5114.7-2.2
21 Phoenix Suns69284141%112.3113.6-1.3
22 Washington Wizards68264238%115.2118.7-3.5
23 Chicago Bulls70244634%106.9109.8-2.8
24 Charlotte Hornets70244634%102.9109.4-6.5
25 Detroit Pistons71234832%107.1110.8-3.7
26 New York Knicks70224831%105.7112.0-6.3
27 Minnesota Timberwolves68204829%113.1117.7-4.6
28 Atlanta Hawks72215129%110.6119.2-8.5
29 Cleveland Cavaliers68194928%106.2114.8-8.6
30 Golden State Warriors70175324%106.7115.1-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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