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Milwaukee Bucks vs Washington Wizards Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 123-113
32-28 29-21 29-36 33-28
Position#1
Record23-13
FormLLLWL
Points / game112.4
Allowed / game110.7
vs
Position#23
Record17-21
FormWWWWW
Points / game112.1
Allowed / game112.4
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Washington Wizards
22 Mar 2027
MIL v WAS
upcoming
25 Feb 2027
MIL v WAS
upcoming
31 Dec 2025
MIL113
WAS114
22 Oct 2025
MIL133
WAS120
21 Dec 2024
MIL112
WAS101
30 Nov 2024
MIL124
WAS114
24 Nov 2023
MIL131
WAS128
03 Jan 2023
MIL123
WAS113
01 Jan 2023
MIL95
WAS118
24 Mar 2022
MIL114
WAS102
01 Feb 2022
MIL112
WAS98
05 May 2021
MIL135
WAS134
27 Mar 2020
MIL v WAS
upcoming
28 Jan 2020
MIL151
WAS131
06 Feb 2019
MIL148
WAS129
27 Feb 2018
MIL104
WAS107
20 Nov 2017
MIL88
WAS99
08 Jan 2017
MIL101
WAS107
23 Dec 2016
MIL123
WAS96
11 Feb 2016
MIL99
WAS92
30 Oct 2015
MIL113
WAS118
07 Mar 2015
MIL91
WAS85
22 Nov 2014
MIL100
WAS111
08 Mar 2014
MIL107
WAS114
27 Nov 2013
MIL92
WAS100
11 Feb 2013
MIL90
WAS102
28 Feb 2012
MIL119
WAS118
30 Dec 2011
MIL102
WAS81
19 Jan 2011
MIL100
WAS87
03 Mar 2010
MIL100
WAS87
23 Dec 2009
MIL97
WAS109
28 Feb 2009
MIL109
WAS93
05 Nov 2008
MIL112
WAS104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
128-111
128
111
+17
129avg 106
H14/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
101-142
101
142
-41
80avg 106
A16/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
123-97
123
97
+26
126avg 106
H18/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
128-119
128
119
+9
127avg 106
A20/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
106-114
106
114
-8
98avg 106
A22/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
100-118
100
118
-18
88avg 106
A24/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
118-139
118
139
-21
108avg 106
A25/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
113-119 OT
113
119
-6
92avg 106
A29/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
123-114
123
114
+9
123avg 106
H31/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
95-118
95
118
-23
78avg 106
H02/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-27
26-25
31-25
33-34
18-33
23-37
30-47
30-25
27-22
29-25
36-36
31-14
30-27
36-34
34-29
28-29
20-35
22-25
35-33
29-21
29-36
18-24
28-25
25-33
28-36
33-26
25-38
32-39
32-28
23-29
27-22
24-27
33-34
17-27
39-22
34-31
17-34
33-34
20-20
25-30
232.6Avg total
113.5Scored
119.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)112.4110.7223.1+1.864%
Season at home (19)117.2109.0226.2+8.279%
Season away (17)107.1112.6219.7-5.547%
Last 10 (10)113.5119.1232.6-5.640%
Last 5 (5)109.8121.6231.4-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (22)114.5115.4229.9-0.955%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)106.5102.9209.4+3.662%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
128-141
128
141
-13
120avg 104
A15/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
93-102
93
102
-9
83avg 104
A17/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
117-119
117
119
-2
107avg 104
A19/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
113-110
113
110
+3
104avg 104
A21/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
112-120
112
120
-8
104avg 104
A23/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
125-111
125
111
+14
121avg 104
A24/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
116-111
116
111
+5
103avg 104
H28/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
127-102
127
102
+25
129avg 104
H29/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
119-100
119
100
+19
131avg 104
A31/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
118-95
118
95
+23
118avg 104
A02/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-38
36-34
28-30
33-39
28-20
29-30
18-22
18-30
29-30
23-36
36-21
29-32
27-30
26-18
27-30
33-32
27-30
39-30
24-33
22-27
28-27
40-23
34-33
23-28
32-30
35-26
27-29
22-26
36-21
28-34
29-29
34-18
27-20
29-27
42-26
21-27
34-17
34-33
20-20
30-25
227.9Avg total
116.8Scored
111.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)112.1112.4224.6-0.345%
Season at home (17)112.7112.1224.8+0.659%
Season away (21)111.6112.7224.3-1.133%
Last 10 (10)116.8111.1227.9+5.760%
Last 5 (5)121.0103.8224.8+17.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)113.7112.0225.7+1.750%
vs Similar (21)112.5113.9226.3-1.438%
vs Weaker (3)110.0106.3216.3+3.767%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.9-1.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.9-1.9
Milwaukee BucksWashington Wizards
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
64-52
64
52
+12
H14/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
41-70
41
70
-29
A16/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H18/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
66-61
66
61
+5
A20/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
42-60
42
60
-18
A22/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
47-60
47
60
-13
A24/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
61-62
61
62
-1
A25/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A29/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H31/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
50-68
50
68
-18
H02/01
NBA
113.0Avg total
53.2Scored
59.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.156.6112.7-0.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.358.9118.2+0.464%-
Last 30 away (16)53.354.6107.9-1.250%-
Last 10 (10)53.259.8113.0-6.630%-
Last 5 (5)52.661.6114.2-9.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (22)56.958.2115.1-1.355%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)53.952.1106.0+1.862%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A15/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A17/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
52-66
52
66
-14
A19/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A21/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
66-60
66
60
+6
A23/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
68-50
68
50
+18
A24/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
67-56
67
56
+11
H28/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
64-55
64
55
+9
H29/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
56-47
56
47
+9
A31/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
68-50
68
50
+18
A02/01
NBA
117.2Avg total
61.8Scored
55.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.358.7117.0-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (13)60.859.5120.2+1.362%-
Last 30 away (17)56.458.1114.5-1.741%-
Last 10 (10)61.855.4117.2+6.480%-
Last 5 (5)64.651.6116.2+13.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)59.259.7118.8-0.550%-
vs Similar (21)58.658.4117.0+0.252%-
vs Weaker (3)54.759.0113.7-4.333%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 113.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.528.2
55.8%
54.5%56.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.212.7
32.4%
35.8%38.1
🏀 Free throws25.219.0
75.4%
78.1%19.0
They take 89.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 116.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.233.2
60.1%
54.5%66.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.410.7
35.2%
35.8%32.1
🏀 Free throws23.818.3
76.9%
78.1%18.3
They take 85.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LWLLLLWWLW
Washington Wizards
WWWWWLWLLL
#1
League position
#23
-5.4
Net rating
+5.6
109.4
Offensive rating
114.8
114.8
Defensive rating
109.2
52.7%
Effective FG%
57.5%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
15.8%
Turnover %
13.3%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
20.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.4%
3-point %
35.2%
54.8%
Assist %
59.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.4 · 114.8Defence114.8 · 109.2Shooting52.7% · 57.5%3-point %32.4% · 35.2%Ball care15.8% · 13.3%Off. rebounds29.6% · 20.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Washington Wizards
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/23HWashington Wizards95-118
31/12/22HMinnesota Timberwolves123-114
29/12/22AChicago Bulls113-119 OT
25/12/22ABoston Celtics118-139
24/12/22ABrooklyn Nets100-118
22/12/22ACleveland Cavaliers106-114
20/12/22ANew Orleans Pelicans128-119
18/12/22HUtah Jazz123-97
16/12/22AMemphis Grizzlies101-142
14/12/22HGolden State Warriors128-111
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/23AMilwaukee Bucks118-95
31/12/22AOrlando Magic119-100
29/12/22HPhoenix Suns127-102
28/12/22HPhiladelphia 76ers116-111
24/12/22ASacramento Kings125-111
23/12/22AUtah Jazz112-120
21/12/22APhoenix Suns113-110
19/12/22ALos Angeles Lakers117-119
17/12/22ALos Angeles Clippers93-102
15/12/22ADenver Nuggets128-141

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL64%
HomeWWWWL79%
AwayWLLLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361917
Win %64%79%47%
Points / game112.4117.2107.1
Allowed / game110.7109.0112.6
Point differential+1.8+8.2-5.5
Avg total223.1226.2219.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%53%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Washington Wizards
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW45%
HomeLLLWW59%
AwayWLWWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381721
Win %45%59%33%
Points / game112.1112.7111.6
Allowed / game112.4112.1112.7
Point differential-0.3+0.6-1.1
Avg total224.6224.8224.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%24%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)80% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %5%6%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics37261170%118.6112.4+6.3
2 Brooklyn Nets37251268%115.2110.8+4.4
3 Denver Nuggets37241365%116.4114.5+1.9
4 Memphis Grizzlies36231364%115.4111.1+4.3
5 Milwaukee Bucks36231364%112.4110.7+1.8
6 Cleveland Cavaliers38241463%112.1106.9+5.2
7 New Orleans Pelicans37231462%117.4113.0+4.5
8 Philadelphia 76ers36221461%112.1108.2+3.9
9 Dallas Mavericks38221658%112.6110.3+2.3
10 Indiana Pacers38211755%115.6115.8-0.2
11 Sacramento Kings35191654%118.0116.7+1.3
12 Los Angeles Clippers39211854%109.5109.4+0.1
13 Portland Trail Blazers36191753%112.9112.0+0.9
14 New York Knicks38201853%114.1111.3+2.8
15 Phoenix Suns38201853%114.2111.7+2.5
16 Golden State Warriors38201853%117.1117.5-0.4
17 Miami Heat38201853%109.0109.4-0.4
18 Utah Jazz39192049%117.3116.6+0.7
19 Atlanta Hawks37172046%115.2116.2-1.0
20 Washington Wizards38172145%112.1112.4-0.3
21 Minnesota Timberwolves38172145%114.7115.8-1.1
22 Toronto Raptors37162143%111.4111.5-0.1
23 Chicago Bulls37162143%114.3115.6-1.3
24 Los Angeles Lakers37162143%116.1117.6-1.5
25 Oklahoma City Thunder36152142%115.2116.8-1.6
26 Orlando Magic37132435%109.8113.9-4.2
27 San Antonio Spurs37122532%111.6121.0-9.4
28 Houston Rockets37102727%109.3115.7-6.4
29 Charlotte Hornets38102826%111.4118.1-6.7
30 Detroit Pistons40103025%111.6118.9-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks32292933123
Washington Wizards28213628113
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