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Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 10 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 109-95
39-24 23-30 14-17 33-24
Position#9
Record42-21
FormLWLWL
Points / game110.6
Allowed / game107.6
vs
Position#2
Record53-11
FormWLWLL
Points / game119.0
Allowed / game107.3
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Milwaukee Bucks
23 Jan 2027
DEN v MIL
upcoming
11 Jan 2026
DEN108
MIL104
26 Mar 2025
DEN127
MIL117
29 Jan 2024
DEN113
MIL107
25 Mar 2023
DEN129
MIL106
26 Nov 2021
DEN109
MIL120
08 Feb 2021
DEN112
MIL125
09 Mar 2020
DEN109
MIL95
11 Nov 2018
DEN114
MIL121
01 Apr 2018
DEN128
MIL125
03 Feb 2017
DEN121
MIL117
11 Nov 2015
DEN103
MIL102
03 Mar 2015
DEN106
MIL95
05 Feb 2014
DEN110
MIL100
05 Feb 2013
DEN112
MIL104
02 Jan 2012
DEN91
MIL86
01 Dec 2010
DEN105
MIL94
20 Mar 2010
DEN97
MIL102
18 Nov 2008
DEN114
MIL105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#17
W
127-120
127
120
+7
130avg 103
H11/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
116-120 OT
116
120
-4
113avg 103
H13/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
L
101-113
101
113
-12
94avg 103
A22/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
128-116
128
116
+12
123avg 103
H23/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
W
115-98
115
98
+17
121avg 103
H26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
103-132
103
132
-29
87avg 103
A29/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
133-118
133
118
+15
137avg 103
H01/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
L
100-116
100
116
-16
94avg 103
H04/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
114-112
114
112
+2
112avg 103
A06/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
102-104
102
104
-2
94avg 103
A08/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-40
23-27
36-26
38-27
31-23
24-38
32-23
24-27
17-27
31-21
29-30
24-35
43-38
30-27
24-22
31-29
29-23
30-23
23-26
33-26
27-37
29-29
23-32
24-34
40-32
33-37
27-27
33-22
25-26
33-23
23-33
19-34
31-34
29-17
20-31
34-30
33-23
28-35
22-27
19-19
228.8Avg total
113.9Scored
114.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (63)110.6107.6218.2+3.167%
Season at home (32)111.4105.6217.0+5.875%
Season away (31)109.9109.5219.4+0.358%
Last 10 (10)113.9114.9228.8-1.050%
Last 5 (5)110.4116.4226.8-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)118.6117.8236.4+0.860%
vs Similar (13)111.2108.7219.8+2.569%
vs Weaker (12)113.6112.1225.7+1.558%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#26
W
126-106
126
106
+20
115avg 115
A21/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
119-98
119
98
+21
126avg 115
H23/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
137-134 OT
137
134
+3
135avg 115
A25/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
108-97
108
97
+11
102avg 115
A26/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
W
133-86
133
86
+47
139avg 115
H29/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
93-85
93
85
+8
89avg 115
A01/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
L
89-105
89
105
-16
77avg 115
A03/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
119-100
119
100
+19
116avg 115
H05/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
103-113
103
113
-10
91avg 115
A07/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
L
131-140
131
140
-9
117avg 115
A08/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-18
38-23
28-30
28-35
31-21
25-29
37-23
26-25
30-25
27-22
38-35
28-41
25-27
25-25
34-19
24-26
31-24
39-23
37-22
26-17
26-20
19-23
25-25
23-17
26-31
26-22
18-28
19-24
36-23
22-33
31-23
30-21
22-19
26-29
28-39
27-26
28-47
31-30
32-25
40-38
222.2Avg total
115.8Scored
106.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (64)119.0107.3226.3+11.783%
Season at home (31)121.7107.0228.8+14.790%
Season away (33)116.5107.6224.1+8.876%
Last 10 (10)115.8106.4222.2+9.470%
Last 5 (5)107.0108.6215.6-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)113.0111.0224.0+2.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)118.8107.7226.5+11.181%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.1+0.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.1+0.1
Denver NuggetsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#17
L
53-67
53
67
-14
H11/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
55-61
55
61
-6
H13/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A22/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H23/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A29/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H01/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H04/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A06/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A08/03
NBA
117.6Avg total
59.6Scored
58.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.656.5113.1+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (13)57.753.2110.8+4.562%-
Last 30 away (17)55.759.1114.8-3.435%-
Last 10 (10)59.658.0117.6+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)61.658.6120.2+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)62.063.0125.0-1.040%-
vs Similar (13)53.355.2108.5-1.831%-
vs Weaker (12)57.855.2113.1+2.667%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#26
W
70-41
70
41
+29
A21/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H23/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A25/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A26/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
W
70-47
70
47
+23
H29/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A01/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A03/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H05/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A07/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
L
59-77
59
77
-18
A08/03
NBA
107.9Avg total
56.5Scored
51.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.653.1111.7+5.570%-
Last 30 at home (13)64.254.2118.3+10.092%-
Last 30 away (17)54.452.2106.6+2.153%-
Last 10 (10)56.551.4107.9+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)52.455.4107.8-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)58.052.7110.7+5.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)58.753.1111.8+5.674%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 113.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.533.1
58.6%
52.3%66.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.6
38.5%
35.7%31.8
🏀 Free throws20.715.9
76.8%
77.2%15.9
They take 84.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 115.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.029.9
57.5%
52.3%59.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.512.8
33.2%
35.7%38.4
🏀 Free throws22.317.6
78.9%
77.2%17.6
They take 90.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Mar 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWLWLWWLLW
Milwaukee Bucks
LLWLWWWWWW
#9
League position
#2
-1.0
Net rating
+8.8
115.6
Offensive rating
108.4
116.6
Defensive rating
99.6
58.3%
Effective FG%
54.3%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
14.7%
Turnover %
14.0%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
19.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.25
38.5%
3-point %
33.2%
64.8%
Assist %
59.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence115.6 · 108.4Defence116.6 · 99.6Shooting58.3% · 54.3%3-point %38.5% · 33.2%Ball care14.7% · 14.0%Off. rebounds24.4% · 19.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Denver Nuggets wins
3
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/20ACleveland Cavaliers102-104
06/03/20ACharlotte Hornets114-112
04/03/20HGolden State Warriors100-116
01/03/20HToronto Raptors133-118
29/02/20ALos Angeles Clippers103-132
26/02/20HDetroit Pistons115-98
23/02/20HMinnesota Timberwolves128-116
22/02/20AOklahoma City Thunder101-113
13/02/20HLos Angeles Lakers116-120 OT
11/02/20HSan Antonio Spurs127-120
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/20APhoenix Suns131-140
07/03/20ALos Angeles Lakers103-113
05/03/20HIndiana Pacers119-100
03/03/20AMiami Heat89-105
01/03/20ACharlotte Hornets93-85
29/02/20HOklahoma City Thunder133-86
26/02/20AToronto Raptors108-97
25/02/20AWashington Wizards137-134 OT
23/02/20HPhiladelphia 76ers119-98
21/02/20ADetroit Pistons126-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL67%
HomeLWWWL75%
AwayWLLWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633231
Win %67%75%58%
Points / game110.6111.4109.9
Allowed / game107.6105.6109.5
Point differential+3.1+5.8+0.3
Avg total218.2217.0219.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%34%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (19)57% (7)58% (12)
Overtime %10%6%13%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL83%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWWLLL76%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games643133
Win %83%90%76%
Points / game119.0121.7116.5
Allowed / game107.3107.0107.6
Point differential+11.7+14.7+8.8
Avg total226.3228.8224.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%61%52%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)60% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %3%3%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks64531183%119.0107.3+11.7
2 Los Angeles Lakers62491379%114.5107.0+7.6
3 Toronto Raptors63451871%113.2106.8+6.4
4 Los Angeles Clippers63432068%116.0109.7+6.2
5 Boston Celtics63422167%113.0106.8+6.2
6 Denver Nuggets63422167%110.6107.6+3.1
7 Utah Jazz63412265%111.3108.0+3.4
8 Miami Heat64412364%112.4108.9+3.5
9 Oklahoma City Thunder64402462%110.8108.3+2.5
10 Houston Rockets63392462%118.1114.4+3.7
11 Indiana Pacers64392561%109.3107.3+2.0
12 Dallas Mavericks65392660%116.5110.4+6.1
13 Philadelphia 76ers64382659%109.4107.4+2.0
14 Memphis Grizzlies64323250%112.6113.6-1.0
15 Brooklyn Nets63293446%110.9111.6-0.7
16 Orlando Magic64293545%106.2107.2-1.1
17 New Orleans Pelicans64283644%116.2117.0-0.8
18 Sacramento Kings64283644%109.0110.9-1.9
19 Portland Trail Blazers65283743%113.5115.4-1.9
20 San Antonio Spurs62263642%113.1115.0-2.0
21 Phoenix Suns64263841%112.7113.8-1.1
22 Washington Wizards63234037%115.5119.7-4.2
23 Charlotte Hornets64224234%102.8109.8-7.0
24 Chicago Bulls64214333%106.8110.0-3.2
25 New York Knicks64204431%105.2111.8-6.6
26 Detroit Pistons65204531%107.3110.6-3.3
27 Atlanta Hawks66204630%111.5119.5-8.0
28 Minnesota Timberwolves63194430%113.3117.6-4.3
29 Cleveland Cavaliers64194530%107.0114.9-7.9
30 Golden State Warriors64154923%106.3114.8-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets39231433109
Milwaukee Bucks2430172495
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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