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Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 89-100
23-29 31-28 18-15 17-28
Position#24
Record23-39
FormLWLLW
Points / game115.9
Allowed / game120.0
vs
Position#7
Record40-23
FormWWWWL
Points / game112.6
Allowed / game109.2
USANBA· Capital One Arena
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Miami Heat
17 Feb 2027
WAS v MIA
upcoming
10 Feb 2027
WAS v MIA
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
WAS117
MIA140
08 Feb 2026
WAS101
MIA132
31 Mar 2025
WAS94
MIA120
02 Nov 2024
WAS98
MIA118
31 Mar 2024
WAS107
MIA119
02 Feb 2024
WAS102
MIA110
07 Apr 2023
WAS114
MIA108
18 Nov 2022
WAS107
MIA106
07 Feb 2022
WAS100
MIA121
20 Nov 2021
WAS103
MIA100
09 Jan 2021
WAS124
MIA128
08 Mar 2020
WAS89
MIA100
30 Dec 2019
WAS123
MIA105
23 Mar 2019
WAS108
MIA113
18 Oct 2018
WAS112
MIA113
06 Mar 2018
WAS117
MIA113
17 Nov 2017
WAS88
MIA91
08 Apr 2017
WAS103
MIA106
19 Nov 2016
WAS111
MIA114
20 Jan 2016
WAS106
MIA87
03 Jan 2016
WAS75
MIA97
06 Mar 2015
WAS99
MIA97
01 Dec 2014
WAS107
MIA86
14 Apr 2014
WAS114
MIA93
15 Jan 2014
WAS114
MIA97
10 Apr 2013
WAS98
MIA103
04 Dec 2012
WAS105
MIA101
26 Apr 2012
WAS104
MIA70
10 Feb 2012
WAS89
MIA106
30 Mar 2011
WAS107
MIA123
18 Dec 2010
WAS94
MIA95
22 Jan 2010
WAS88
MIA112
04 Nov 2009
WAS89
MIA93
04 Apr 2009
WAS104
MIA118
18 Nov 2008
WAS87
MIA94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#25
W
114-96
114
96
+18
105avg 105
A13/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
108-113
108
113
-5
88avg 105
H22/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
117-126
117
126
-9
112avg 105
A24/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
L
134-137 OT
134
137
-3
120avg 105
H25/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
110-106
110
106
+4
93avg 105
H27/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
119-129
119
129
-10
103avg 105
A29/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
124-110
124
110
+14
115avg 105
A02/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
126-133
126
133
-7
119avg 105
A04/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
104-125
104
125
-21
88avg 105
A05/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
W
118-112
118
112
+6
113avg 105
H07/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
21-26
31-23
37-23
41-32
25-29
21-20
21-32
31-35
27-38
27-28
32-25
25-30
22-27
35-38
41-28
31-17
29-30
21-37
29-22
28-31
32-27
21-32
38-39
35-28
28-29
31-19
30-34
23-39
26-37
46-19
31-38
30-37
31-35
18-28
25-25
33-34
31-23
29-18
25-37
236.1Avg total
117.4Scored
118.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (62)115.9120.0236.0-4.137%
Season at home (30)115.7116.2231.9-0.650%
Season away (32)116.2123.6239.8-7.425%
Last 10 (10)117.4118.7236.1-1.340%
Last 5 (5)118.2121.8240.0-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)120.7127.1247.8-6.433%
vs Similar (21)112.9115.6228.4-2.748%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#8
L
101-116
101
116
-15
85avg 106
A13/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
L
124-129
124
129
-5
114avg 106
A21/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
124-105
124
105
+19
123avg 106
H23/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
119-125 OT
119
125
-6
115avg 106
A25/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
L
126-129
126
129
-3
126avg 106
H27/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
W
126-118
126
118
+8
124avg 106
H29/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
116-113
116
113
+3
108avg 106
H01/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
W
105-89
105
89
+16
100avg 106
H03/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
116-113
116
113
+3
116avg 106
H05/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
104-110
104
110
-6
96avg 106
A07/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-25
24-22
22-32
27-37
36-32
28-31
33-27
27-39
38-32
44-20
24-26
18-27
29-21
39-35
31-24
12-31
28-29
32-28
34-38
32-34
31-31
32-24
25-38
38-25
24-27
33-22
34-31
25-33
31-26
22-26
28-18
24-19
30-26
30-29
28-29
28-29
26-32
25-33
23-24
30-21
230.8Avg total
116.1Scored
114.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (63)112.6109.2221.8+3.363%
Season at home (31)117.0107.0224.1+10.087%
Season away (32)108.2111.4219.6-3.141%
Last 10 (10)116.1114.7230.8+1.450%
Last 5 (5)113.4108.6222.0+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)105.089.0194.0+16.0100%
vs Similar (12)110.5109.0219.5+1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)114.8112.6227.5+2.253%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -3.4-3.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -3.4-3.4
Washington WizardsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#25
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A13/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H22/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A24/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H25/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
60-47
60
47
+13
H27/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
60-58
60
58
+2
A29/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
63-57
63
57
+6
A02/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
49-76
49
76
-27
A04/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
61-72
61
72
-11
A05/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
W
64-57
64
57
+7
H07/03
NBA
118.2Avg total
57.4Scored
60.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.861.5120.3-2.847%-
Last 30 at home (17)59.457.4116.8+2.159%-
Last 30 away (13)57.967.0124.9-9.131%-
Last 10 (10)57.460.8118.2-3.450%-
Last 5 (5)59.464.0123.4-4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)56.861.2118.0-4.444%-
vs Similar (21)59.661.7121.3-2.048%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#8
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A13/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
W
64-63
64
63
+1
A21/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
82-52
82
52
+30
H23/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
68-56
68
56
+12
A25/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H27/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
W
63-55
63
55
+8
H29/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H01/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H03/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H05/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
51-65
51
65
-14
A07/03
NBA
116.1Avg total
61.0Scored
55.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.453.2111.7+5.273%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.752.0110.7+6.780%-
Last 30 away (15)58.154.5112.6+3.767%-
Last 10 (10)61.055.1116.1+5.990%-
Last 5 (5)56.855.2112.0+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)53.052.0105.0+1.0100%-
vs Similar (12)55.253.0108.2+2.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)61.053.5114.5+7.576%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 117.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.627.1
48.7%
52.3%54.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.013.7
40.3%
35.7%41.1
🏀 Free throws27.922.1
79.2%
77.2%22.1
They take 89.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 116.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.925.5
52.1%
52.3%51.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.115.0
40.4%
35.7%45.0
🏀 Free throws26.120.1
77.0%
77.2%20.1
They take 86.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
WLLWLWLLLW
Miami Heat
LWWWWLLWLL
#24
League position
#7
-1.2
Net rating
+1.4
110.6
Offensive rating
113.0
111.8
Defensive rating
111.7
53.2%
Effective FG%
55.8%
57.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
13.1%
Turnover %
12.3%
20.3%
Off. rebound %
18.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
40.3%
3-point %
40.4%
60.8%
Assist %
70.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.6 · 113.0Defence111.8 · 111.7Shooting53.2% · 55.8%3-point %40.3% · 40.4%Ball care13.1% · 12.3%Off. rebounds20.3% · 18.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Washington Wizards wins
7
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/20HAtlanta Hawks118-112
05/03/20APortland Trail Blazers104-125
04/03/20ASacramento Kings126-133
02/03/20AGolden State Warriors124-110
29/02/20AUtah Jazz119-129
27/02/20HBrooklyn Nets110-106
25/02/20HMilwaukee Bucks134-137 OT
24/02/20AChicago Bulls117-126
22/02/20HCleveland Cavaliers108-113
13/02/20ANew York Knicks114-96
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/20ANew Orleans Pelicans104-110
05/03/20HOrlando Magic116-113
03/03/20HMilwaukee Bucks105-89
01/03/20HBrooklyn Nets116-113
29/02/20HDallas Mavericks126-118
27/02/20HMinnesota Timberwolves126-129
25/02/20ACleveland Cavaliers119-125 OT
23/02/20HCleveland Cavaliers124-105
21/02/20AAtlanta Hawks124-129
13/02/20AUtah Jazz101-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW37%
HomeWLLWW50%
AwayLLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games623032
Win %37%50%25%
Points / game115.9115.7116.2
Allowed / game120.0116.2123.6
Point differential-4.1-0.6-7.4
Avg total236.0231.9239.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%20%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won27% (11)43% (7)0% (4)
Overtime %5%7%3%
Miami Heat
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL63%
HomeLWWWW87%
AwayWLLLL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633132
Win %63%87%41%
Points / game112.6117.0108.2
Allowed / game109.2107.0111.4
Point differential+3.3+10.0-3.1
Avg total221.8224.1219.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%45%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won63% (19)73% (11)50% (8)
Overtime %14%16%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks64531183%119.0107.3+11.7
2 Los Angeles Lakers62491379%114.5107.0+7.6
3 Toronto Raptors62441871%113.1106.7+6.4
4 Los Angeles Clippers63432068%116.0109.7+6.2
5 Boston Celtics63422167%113.0106.8+6.2
6 Denver Nuggets63422167%110.6107.6+3.1
7 Utah Jazz63412265%111.3108.0+3.4
8 Miami Heat63402363%112.6109.2+3.3
9 Houston Rockets62392363%118.3114.2+4.1
10 Oklahoma City Thunder64402462%110.8108.3+2.5
11 Dallas Mavericks64392561%116.6110.4+6.3
12 Indiana Pacers63382560%109.3107.3+2.0
13 Philadelphia 76ers64382659%109.4107.4+2.0
14 Memphis Grizzlies64323250%112.6113.6-1.0
15 Brooklyn Nets63293446%110.9111.6-0.7
16 Orlando Magic63283544%105.8107.2-1.4
17 Sacramento Kings63283544%108.9110.8-1.9
18 New Orleans Pelicans64283644%116.2117.0-0.8
19 Portland Trail Blazers65283743%113.5115.4-1.9
20 San Antonio Spurs61263543%112.8114.7-1.9
21 Phoenix Suns64263841%112.7113.8-1.1
22 Washington Wizards62233937%115.9120.0-4.1
23 Charlotte Hornets63224135%102.2109.3-7.1
24 Chicago Bulls64214333%106.8110.0-3.2
25 Detroit Pistons64204431%107.6110.8-3.2
26 Minnesota Timberwolves63194430%113.3117.6-4.3
27 New York Knicks63194430%105.3112.3-6.9
28 Atlanta Hawks65194629%111.0119.2-8.2
29 Cleveland Cavaliers63184529%106.6114.7-8.1
30 Golden State Warriors64154923%106.3114.8-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Washington Wizards2331181789
Miami Heat29281528100
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