Minas vs Corinthians Paulista Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Mar 2023

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 88-86

20-26 23-18 19-21 26-21

Position#4

Record19-8

FormWWWLW

Points / game86.3

Allowed / game78.3

Minas 🏆

Corinthians Paulista

Position#9

Record15-13

FormLLLLW

Points / game81.0

Allowed / game79.4

NBB

Other2022-23

Meetings · Minas v Corinthians Paulista

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Corinthians Paulista winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caxias do Sul

#11

63-80

-17

A10/02

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

82-78

A12/02

NBB

Cerrado

#17

99-70

+29

H15/02

NBB

Brasilia

#15

110-79

110

+31

H17/02

NBB

Flamengo

78-79

-1

A01/03

NBB

Libertadores

98-78

+20

H04/03

Champions League Americas

Libertadores

93-84

A09/03

Champions League Americas

Sao Paulo

87-76

+11

H14/03

NBB

Franca

90-94

-4

A21/03

NBB

Rio Claro

#16

97-79

+18

A23/03

NBB

16-15

13-31

12-15

22-19

25-17

22-19

16-18

19-24

39-17

24-17

20-16

16-20

32-15

28-21

19-24

31-19

23-19

14-23

20-20

21-17

28-13

20-21

23-17

27-27

28-15

28-21

14-29

23-19

21-19

22-14

17-25

27-18

24-28

21-25

25-19

20-22

18-20

31-18

22-24

26-17

169.4Avg total

89.7Scored

79.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	86.3	78.3	164.6	+8.0	70%
Season at home (13)	86.7	73.6	160.3	+13.1	85%
Season away (14)	86.0	82.6	168.6	+3.4	57%
Last 10 (10)	89.7	79.7	169.4	+10.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	93.0	82.2	175.2	+10.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	84.0	86.5	170.5	-2.5	0%
vs Similar (5)	76.0	78.2	154.2	-2.2	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	91.8	77.1	169.0	+14.7	82%

This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Corinthians Paulista Brazil

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Franca

72-80

-8

A25/01

Super 8

Paulistano

82-81

A31/01

NBB

Rio Claro

#16

97-77

+20

A07/02

NBB

Franca

92-103

103

-11

A09/02

NBB

Pato

#12

102-78

102

+24

H15/02

NBB

Unifacisa

66-68

-2

H02/03

NBB

Cearense

#14

84-85

-1

H04/03

NBB

Bauru

63-75

-12

A09/03

NBB

Pinheiros

69-78

-9

A11/03

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

82-78

H24/03

NBB

20-16

24-28

14-16

14-20

25-30

25-25

20-20

12-6

24-13

23-20

22-20

28-24

18-31

24-24

25-30

25-18

24-24

25-23

36-12

17-19

21-22

16-19

13-13

16-14

15-14

14-26

27-22

28-23

19-13

6-24

20-16

18-22

22-19

16-25

14-16

17-18

14-29

20-13

26-17

22-19

161.2Avg total

80.9Scored

80.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	81.0	79.4	160.4	+1.6	54%
Season at home (13)	79.7	77.5	157.2	+2.2	54%
Season away (15)	82.1	81.1	163.2	+1.1	53%
Last 10 (10)	80.9	80.3	161.2	+0.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	72.8	76.8	149.6	-4.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	73.0	84.4	157.4	-11.4	10%
vs Similar (8)	78.4	74.4	152.8	+4.0	62%
vs Weaker (11)	89.4	78.6	168.0	+10.7	82%

This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

MinasCorinthians Paulista

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	18.7	40.8	+3.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	17.2	38.8	+4.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.5	20.0	42.5	+2.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.4	17.8	43.2	+7.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	19.0	42.8	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.5	23.5	47.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.2	20.6	38.8	-2.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	22.6	17.6	40.2	+5.0	68%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.5	19.6	38.2	-1.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.9	19.5	41.4	+2.4	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	21.1	41.3	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.4	37.6	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	18.4	21.7	40.1	-3.3	30%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.9	18.9	39.8	+2.0	62%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.6	17.5	39.2	+4.1	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.4	19.5	42.8	+3.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.9	18.9	41.9	+4.0	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.8	19.9	43.7	+3.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	21.0	43.3	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	19.8	44.2	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	24.0	41.5	-6.5	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.2	16.8	37.0	+3.4	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	24.9	19.4	44.3	+5.5	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	20.5	39.6	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.3	18.5	36.8	-0.2	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.8	22.0	41.8	-2.2	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	22.7	42.0	-3.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.4	21.4	35.8	-7.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	15.6	22.1	37.7	-6.5	20%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.9	18.6	37.5	+0.2	25%	-
vs Weaker (11)	22.0	20.6	42.6	+1.4	73%	-

MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caxias do Sul

#11

29-46

-17

A10/02

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

47-36

+11

A12/02

NBB

Cerrado

#17

63-34

+29

H15/02

NBB

Brasilia

#15

60-36

+24

H17/02

NBB

Flamengo

37-42

-5

A01/03

NBB

Libertadores

48-34

+14

H04/03

Champions League Americas

Libertadores

56-36

+20

A09/03

Champions League Americas

Sao Paulo

43-33

+10

H14/03

NBB

Franca

45-53

-8

A21/03

NBB

Rio Claro

#16

49-38

+11

A23/03

NBB

86.5Avg total

47.7Scored

38.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.4	38.2	83.6	+7.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.5	36.1	80.6	+8.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	46.2	39.9	86.2	+6.3	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.7	38.8	86.5	+8.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.2	38.8	87.0	+9.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	41.0	47.5	88.5	-6.5	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	38.4	37.4	75.8	+1.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	47.5	37.0	84.5	+10.5	73%	-

This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Corinthians PaulistaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Franca

44-44

A25/01

Super 8

Paulistano

50-55

-5

A31/01

NBB

Rio Claro

#16

47-33

+14

A07/02

NBB

Franca

42-55

-13

A09/02

NBB

Pato

#12

49-47

H15/02

NBB

Unifacisa

37-41

-4

H02/03

NBB

Cearense

#14

29-40

-11

H04/03

NBB

Bauru

25-37

-12

A09/03

NBB

Pinheiros

38-44

-6

A11/03

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

34-42

-8

H24/03

NBB

83.3Avg total

39.5Scored

43.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	40.0	79.6	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	36.8	38.1	74.9	-1.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	41.6	41.5	83.2	+0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	43.8	83.3	-4.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.6	40.8	73.4	-8.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	34.0	43.8	77.8	-9.8	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	39.8	37.5	77.2	+2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	43.6	38.2	81.8	+5.5	73%	-

This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.9	40.9	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.8	17.4	39.1	+4.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	22.2	42.4	-1.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	20.7	39.5	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	22.8	43.0	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.5	19.5	42.0	+3.0	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.8	21.8	40.6	-3.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.4	19.2	40.6	+2.1	55%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	19.3	41.1	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.3	19.8	43.1	+3.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.7	18.9	39.6	+1.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	18.2	39.9	+3.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	16.8	36.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	20.9	20.6	41.5	+0.3	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.6	19.2	38.9	+0.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (11)	23.8	18.1	41.9	+5.7	82%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	20.6	42.3	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.2	21.3	43.5	+0.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	20.0	41.2	+1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	20.2	43.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	20.6	45.2	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.5	19.5	40.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.8	19.0	37.8	-0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	22.2	20.7	42.9	+1.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	20.3	40.0	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.5	19.7	39.2	-0.2	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.9	20.7	40.6	-0.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	18.3	38.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.2	39.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	18.1	20.0	38.1	-1.9	40%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.0	17.6	36.6	+1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.0	21.8	42.8	-0.8	55%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.7	40.5	83.2	+2.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.0	38.6	82.6	+5.4	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.5	42.2	83.7	-0.7	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.0	40.9	82.9	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	43.4	88.2	+1.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	43.0	39.0	82.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Similar (5)	37.6	40.8	78.4	-3.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	43.6	39.9	83.5	+3.7	68%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	39.6	81.2	+2.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.8	39.5	82.3	+3.4	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	40.6	39.6	80.3	+1.0	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	36.5	77.9	+4.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	36.0	76.2	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	39.0	40.6	79.6	-1.6	30%	-
vs Similar (8)	38.6	36.9	75.5	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	44.8	39.9	84.7	+4.9	55%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Minas wins

Corinthians Paulista wins

Date	Game	Score
23/01/23	Minas v Corinthians Paulista	90-105
19/12/22	Corinthians Paulista v Minas	65-94
12/02/22	Minas v Corinthians Paulista	91-88 OT
11/11/21	Corinthians Paulista v Minas	65-82
16/03/21	Corinthians Paulista v Minas	78-65
14/12/20	Minas v Corinthians Paulista	20-0
14/03/20	Corinthians Paulista v Minas	70-77
21/12/19	Minas v Corinthians Paulista	83-82
08/01/19	Corinthians Paulista v Minas	97-82
25/11/18	Minas v Corinthians Paulista	72-69

Minaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/03/23	A	Rio Claro	97-79
21/03/23	A	Franca	90-94
14/03/23	H	Sao Paulo	87-76
09/03/23	A	Libertadores	93-84
04/03/23	H	Libertadores	98-78
01/03/23	A	Flamengo	78-79
17/02/23	H	Brasilia	110-79
15/02/23	H	Cerrado	99-70
12/02/23	A	Uniao Corinthians	82-78
10/02/23	A	Caxias do Sul	63-80

Corinthians Paulistalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/03/23	H	Uniao Corinthians	82-78
11/03/23	A	Pinheiros	69-78
09/03/23	A	Bauru	63-75
04/03/23	H	Cearense	84-85
02/03/23	H	Unifacisa	66-68
15/02/23	H	Pato	102-78
09/02/23	A	Franca	92-103
07/02/23	A	Rio Claro	97-77
31/01/23	A	Paulistano	82-81
25/01/23	A	Franca	72-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas

NBB 2022-23

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	70%
Home	WWWWW	85%
Away	LWLLW	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	13	14
Win %	70%	85%	57%
Points / game	86.3	86.7	86.0
Allowed / game	78.3	73.6	82.6
Point differential	+8.0	+13.1	+3.4
Avg total	164.6	160.3	168.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	41%	38%	43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	67% (3)	33% (3)
Overtime %	7%	8%	7%

Corinthians Paulista

NBB 2022-23

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	54%
Home	LWLLW	54%
Away	WWLLL	53%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	13	15
Win %	54%	54%	53%
Points / game	81.0	79.7	82.1
Allowed / game	79.4	77.5	81.1
Point differential	+1.6	+2.2	+1.1
Avg total	160.4	157.2	163.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	23%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	70% (10)	57% (7)	100% (3)
Overtime %	4%	0%	7%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Franca	28	28	0	100%	90.2	77.8	+12.4
2	Flamengo	28	25	3	89%	84.8	69.0	+15.9
3	Sao Paulo	28	21	7	75%	86.9	78.9	+8.0
4	Minas	27	19	8	70%	86.3	78.3	+8.0
5	Paulistano	28	19	9	68%	77.0	72.5	+4.5
6	Pinheiros	29	18	11	62%	80.9	77.8	+3.1
7	Bauru	29	16	13	55%	77.5	71.5	+6.0
8	Corinthians Paulista	28	15	13	54%	81.0	79.4	+1.6
9	Sao Jose	29	13	16	45%	80.5	82.2	-1.7
10	Unifacisa	29	13	16	45%	78.1	80.6	-2.5
11	Caxias do Sul	27	11	16	41%	74.0	76.3	-2.3
12	Uniao Corinthians	28	9	19	32%	78.9	82.2	-3.3
13	Cearense	29	8	21	28%	73.2	83.8	-10.6
14	Brasilia	27	7	20	26%	79.0	86.6	-7.6
15	Pato	29	7	22	24%	76.3	84.9	-8.7
16	Rio Claro	28	6	22	21%	75.7	87.7	-12.0
17	Cerrado	27	4	23	15%	81.6	92.4	-10.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Minas	20	23	19	26	88
Corinthians Paulista	26	18	21	21	86

← all games of the day

Minas vs Corinthians Paulista Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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