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Minas vs Corinthians Paulista Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 63-72
13-15 19-30 15-13 16-14
Position#1
Record18-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game71.2
Minas
Brazil
vs
Corinthians Paulista 🏆
Brazil
Position#8
Record12-12
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game79.5
BrazilNBB· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2024-25
Meetings · Minas v Corinthians Paulista
12 May 2026
MINA81
CORI92
04 May 2026
MINA90
CORI100
18 Oct 2025
MINA83
CORI81
13 Feb 2025
MINA63
CORI72
30 Mar 2024
MINA91
CORI73
28 Mar 2023
MINA88
CORI86
23 Jan 2023
MINA90
CORI105
12 Feb 2022
MINA91
CORI88
14 Dec 2020
MINA20
CORI0
21 Dec 2019
MINA83
CORI82
25 Nov 2018
MINA72
CORI69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Corinthians Paulista winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Franca
#2
W
92-73
92
73
+19
91avg 78
H29/12
NBB
Bigua
#10
W
85-77
85
77
+8
80avg 78
A12/01
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#9
W
80-69
80
69
+11
70avg 78
H13/01
Champions League Americas
Sao Jose
#10
L
88-98
88
98
-10
83avg 78
A20/01
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
79-68
79
68
+11
72avg 78
A22/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#6
W
82-66
82
66
+16
74avg 78
H25/01
Super 8
Brasilia
#3
W
61-58
61
58
+3
55avg 78
H28/01
Super 8
Flamengo
#1
L
61-64
61
64
-3
50avg 78
H01/02
Super 8
Quimsa
#9
W
86-64
86
64
+22
84avg 78
H08/02
Champions League Americas
Bigua
#10
W
81-77
81
77
+4
76avg 78
H10/02
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
28-16
22-15
19-26
25-11
23-21
17-16
20-29
21-21
19-16
28-20
12-12
20-29
21-19
19-31
28-19
23-13
19-21
17-20
20-14
16-24
20-14
25-18
21-10
17-10
18-18
7-15
19-15
13-10
17-15
17-18
14-21
27-20
21-10
18-19
20-15
22-19
19-20
20-21
20-17
150.9Avg total
79.5Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)83.371.2154.6+12.186%
Season at home (10)85.569.2154.7+16.3100%
Season away (11)81.473.1154.5+8.373%
Last 10 (10)79.571.4150.9+8.180%
Last 5 (5)74.265.8140.0+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)61.064.0125.0-3.00%
vs Similar (4)77.570.8148.2+6.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)82.970.5153.4+12.592%
This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Corinthians PaulistaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulista
Date
Competition
Mogi
#16
W
72-70
72
70
+2
60avg 76
A17/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
64-79
64
79
-15
46avg 76
A21/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
79-80
79
80
-1
84avg 76
A23/12
NBB
Pato
#14
W
85-76
85
76
+9
85avg 76
A29/12
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
99-79
99
79
+20
96avg 76
H09/01
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
84-79
84
79
+5
63avg 76
H11/01
NBB
Flamengo
#3
W
95-87
95
87
+8
91avg 76
H17/01
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
70-74
70
74
-4
62avg 76
A22/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
90-66
90
66
+24
96avg 76
A04/02
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
74-65
74
65
+9
72avg 76
H11/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
11-16
18-15
29-18
18-20
20-11
9-28
17-20
29-19
22-25
16-25
12-11
22-19
18-22
23-25
22-10
22-21
29-18
27-20
21-20
24-23
18-16
22-20
20-20
32-28
24-23
15-22
24-14
15-9
14-18
13-21
28-26
22-18
31-14
18-18
19-16
17-22
13-12
19-12
25-19
156.7Avg total
81.2Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)81.179.5160.6+1.550%
Season at home (13)84.184.2168.2-0.146%
Season away (11)77.574.1151.6+3.555%
Last 10 (10)81.275.5156.7+5.770%
Last 5 (5)82.674.2156.8+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)74.282.8157.0-8.640%
vs Similar (14)78.881.9160.7-3.129%
vs Weaker (11)87.677.1164.7+10.573%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +4.3+4.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +4.3+4.3
MinasCorinthians Paulista
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#2
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H29/12
NBB
Bigua
#10
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A12/01
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#9
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H13/01
Champions League Americas
Sao Jose
#10
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A20/01
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A22/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#6
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H25/01
Super 8
Brasilia
#3
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H28/01
Super 8
Flamengo
#1
W
30-25
30
25
+5
H01/02
Super 8
Quimsa
#9
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H08/02
Champions League Americas
Bigua
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H10/02
Champions League Americas
75.5Avg total
41.2Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.434.975.3+5.577%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.135.276.3+5.975%-
Last 30 away (14)39.634.674.1+5.079%-
Last 10 (10)41.234.375.5+6.980%-
Last 5 (5)38.032.070.0+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.025.055.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar (4)40.833.874.5+7.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)41.035.476.3+5.675%-
This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Corinthians PaulistaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mogi
#16
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A17/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A21/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A23/12
NBB
Pato
#14
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A29/12
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H09/01
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H11/01
NBB
Flamengo
#3
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H17/01
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A22/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A04/02
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H11/02
NBB
79.0Avg total
41.5Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.641.583.1+0.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.744.587.2-1.747%-
Last 30 away (15)40.538.579.1+2.060%-
Last 10 (10)41.537.579.0+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)42.036.678.6+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)38.644.082.6-5.440%-
vs Similar (14)40.341.982.2-1.650%-
vs Weaker (11)44.739.884.5+4.964%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.1
49.7%
50.9%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.9
39.1%
33.0%29.7
🏀 Free throws17.711.2
63.3%
72.7%11.2
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Corinthians Paulistatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Corinthians Paulista: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.917.4
52.9%
50.9%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.2
35.3%
33.0%30.6
🏀 Free throws19.414.8
76.3%
72.7%14.8
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
WWLWWWLWWW
Corinthians Paulista
WWLWWWWLLW
#1
League position
#8
+12.3
Net rating
+7.5
107.2
Offensive rating
109.7
94.9
Defensive rating
102.2
53.3%
Effective FG%
52.9%
45.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
18.3%
Turnover %
18.3%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
39.1%
3-point %
35.3%
59.3%
Assist %
65.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 109.7Defence94.9 · 102.2Shooting53.3% · 52.9%3-point %39.1% · 35.3%Ball care18.3% · 18.3%Off. rebounds32.0% · 29.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Minas   ■ Corinthians Paulista
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Minas wins
3
Corinthians Paulista wins
DateGameScore
31/10/24Corinthians Paulista v Minas60-86
30/03/24Minas v Corinthians Paulista91-73
14/12/23Corinthians Paulista v Minas105-96
28/03/23Minas v Corinthians Paulista88-86
23/01/23Minas v Corinthians Paulista90-105
19/12/22Corinthians Paulista v Minas65-94
12/02/22Minas v Corinthians Paulista91-88 OT
11/11/21Corinthians Paulista v Minas65-82
16/03/21Corinthians Paulista v Minas78-65
14/12/20Minas v Corinthians Paulista20-0
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/25HBigua81-77
08/02/25HQuimsa86-64
01/02/25HFlamengo61-64
28/01/25HBrasilia61-58
25/01/25HSao Paulo82-66
22/01/25AMogi79-68
20/01/25ASao Jose88-98
13/01/25HQuimsa80-69
12/01/25ABigua85-77
29/12/24HFranca92-73
Corinthians Paulistalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/25HPaulistano74-65
04/02/25ASao Paulo90-66
22/01/25ABrasilia70-74
17/01/25HFlamengo95-87
11/01/25HBotafogo84-79
09/01/25HVasco99-79
29/12/24APato85-76
23/12/24ACaxias do Sul79-80
21/12/24AUniao Corinthians64-79
17/12/24AMogi72-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW86%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %86%100%73%
Points / game83.385.581.4
Allowed / game71.269.273.1
Point differential+12.1+16.3+8.3
Avg total154.6154.7154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%70%64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Corinthians Paulista
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW50%
HomeLWWWW46%
AwayLLWLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %50%46%55%
Points / game81.184.177.5
Allowed / game79.584.274.1
Point differential+1.5-0.1+3.5
Avg total160.6168.2151.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%15%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)25% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2118386%83.371.2+12.1
2 Flamengo2116576%84.172.8+11.4
3 Brasilia2516964%82.080.4+1.7
4 Uniao Corinthians2314961%78.978.2+0.7
5 Franca2112957%80.978.0+2.9
6 Pinheiros23131057%75.774.6+1.2
7 Bauru23131057%78.679.4-0.9
8 Paulistano23121152%77.574.7+2.8
9 Sao Jose23121152%78.877.0+1.7
10 Corinthians Paulista24121250%81.179.5+1.5
11 Unifacisa24121250%75.574.8+0.7
12 Vasco24121250%74.675.3-0.7
13 Sao Paulo25111444%76.478.6-2.3
14 Pato2491538%81.883.9-2.1
15 Mogi2591636%73.479.3-5.9
16 Caxias do Sul2471729%73.278.8-5.6
17 Cearense2361726%70.277.3-7.2
18 Botafogo2461825%72.881.2-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas1319151663
Corinthians Paulista1530131472
← all games of the day
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