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Minas vs Corinthians Paulista Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 12 May 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 81-92
22-20 22-25 12-24 25-23
Position#3
Record33-12
FormWWLWL
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game83.1
vs
Position#6
Record32-13
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game80.0
BrazilNBBNBB - Quarter-finals· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2025-26
Meetings · Minas v Corinthians Paulista
12 May 2026
MINA81
CORI92
04 May 2026
MINA90
CORI100
18 Oct 2025
MINA83
CORI81
13 Feb 2025
MINA63
CORI72
30 Mar 2024
MINA91
CORI73
28 Mar 2023
MINA88
CORI86
23 Jan 2023
MINA90
CORI105
12 Feb 2022
MINA91
CORI88
14 Dec 2020
MINA20
CORI0
21 Dec 2019
MINA83
CORI82
25 Nov 2018
MINA72
CORI69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Corinthians Paulista winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#16
W
106-71
106
71
+35
109avg 81
A09/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
77-80
77
80
-3
69avg 81
H12/04
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
87-56
87
56
+31
92avg 81
H14/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
99-94
99
94
+5
88avg 81
H21/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
81-97
81
97
-16
73avg 81
A24/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
101-74
101
74
+27
97avg 81
A26/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
103-93
103
93
+10
102avg 81
H29/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
90-100
90
100
-10
81avg 81
H04/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
97-91
97
91
+6
100avg 81
A07/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
97-103
97
103
-6
95avg 81
A09/05
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-28
32-15
23-14
23-14
13-17
22-21
19-27
23-15
25-9
24-21
24-15
14-11
23-16
33-38
24-22
19-18
21-31
29-12
18-22
13-32
25-9
27-28
29-16
20-21
24-16
19-27
27-15
33-35
23-27
29-26
15-25
23-22
28-19
14-23
32-22
23-27
31-31
20-21
27-27
19-24
179.7Avg total
93.8Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)89.283.1172.2+6.173%
Season at home (22)87.980.7168.6+7.182%
Season away (23)90.485.3175.7+5.165%
Last 10 (10)93.885.9179.7+7.960%
Last 5 (5)97.692.2189.8+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)88.095.8183.8-7.820%
vs Similar ◀ (7)91.095.1186.1-4.143%
vs Weaker (18)92.381.1173.4+11.383%
This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Corinthians PaulistaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulista
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
L
80-84
80
84
-4
80avg 83
H09/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
92-86
92
86
+6
85avg 83
A15/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
92-79
92
79
+13
99avg 83
A17/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
88-78
88
78
+10
88avg 83
H21/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
69-79
69
79
-10
63avg 83
A24/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
76-73
76
73
+3
67avg 83
A26/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
81-71
81
71
+10
76avg 83
H29/04
NBB
Minas
#3
W
100-90
100
90
+10
91avg 83
A04/05
NBB
Minas
#3
L
91-97
91
97
-6
76avg 83
H07/05
NBB
Minas
#3
W
103-97
103
97
+6
98avg 83
H09/05
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
22-14
21-26
21-22
20-28
27-18
23-16
22-24
18-14
26-23
30-24
18-18
25-17
24-17
19-19
20-25
21-17
13-25
13-20
22-17
19-19
15-19
21-20
21-15
19-19
24-15
15-15
23-22
27-23
26-29
25-15
22-23
19-28
23-14
22-32
27-23
31-31
21-20
27-27
24-19
170.6Avg total
87.2Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)85.480.0165.5+5.471%
Season at home (23)87.078.4165.3+8.678%
Season away (22)83.981.7165.6+2.164%
Last 10 (10)87.283.4170.6+3.870%
Last 5 (5)90.285.6175.8+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.391.3173.7-9.033%
vs Similar ◀ (16)85.984.8170.7+1.256%
vs Weaker (11)90.377.1167.4+13.2100%
This opponent (Minas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +1.2+1.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +1.2+1.2
MinasCorinthians Paulista
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#16
W
60-43
60
43
+17
A09/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H12/04
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H14/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H21/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A24/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A26/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H29/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H04/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A07/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A09/05
NBB
92.5Avg total
49.0Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.444.892.2+2.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.142.388.4+3.753%-
Last 30 away (15)48.747.396.1+1.440%-
Last 10 (10)49.043.592.5+5.550%-
Last 5 (5)48.045.493.4+2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.648.690.2-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)47.150.197.3-3.014%-
vs Weaker (18)49.141.790.8+7.472%-
This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Corinthians PaulistaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H09/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A15/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A17/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H21/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A24/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A26/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H29/04
NBB
Minas
#3
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A04/05
NBB
Minas
#3
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H07/05
NBB
Minas
#3
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H09/05
NBB
84.8Avg total
43.6Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.640.584.1+3.070%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.539.984.4+4.669%-
Last 30 away (14)42.541.283.7+1.371%-
Last 10 (10)43.641.284.8+2.470%-
Last 5 (5)44.843.488.2+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.750.794.3-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)43.641.484.9+2.262%-
vs Weaker (11)43.536.580.1+7.0100%-
This opponent (Minas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 93.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.822.2
57.2%
52.2%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.010.7
34.5%
32.5%32.1
🏀 Free throws23.617.3
73.3%
72.8%17.3
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Corinthians Paulistatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Corinthians Paulista: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.918.6
53.3%
52.2%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.612.0
38.0%
32.5%36.0
🏀 Free throws18.214.0
76.9%
72.8%14.0
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
LWLWWLWWLW
Corinthians Paulista
WLWWWLWWWL
#3
League position
#6
+8.6
Net rating
+5.1
101.9
Offensive rating
100.1
93.4
Defensive rating
95.1
54.8%
Effective FG%
55.0%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
14.2%
Turnover %
12.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.5%
3-point %
38.0%
64.7%
Assist %
71.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence101.9 · 100.1Defence93.4 · 95.1Shooting54.8% · 55.0%3-point %34.5% · 38.0%Ball care14.2% · 12.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Minas   ■ Corinthians Paulista
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Minas wins
4
Corinthians Paulista wins
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/26ACorinthians Paulista97-103
07/05/26ACorinthians Paulista97-91
04/05/26HCorinthians Paulista90-100
29/04/26HCruzeiro103-93
26/04/26ACruzeiro101-74
24/04/26ACruzeiro81-97
21/04/26HCruzeiro99-94
14/04/26HCearense87-56
12/04/26HUnifacisa77-80
09/04/26ABotafogo106-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/26HMinas103-97
07/05/26HMinas91-97
04/05/26AMinas100-90
29/04/26HUnifacisa81-71
26/04/26AUnifacisa76-73
24/04/26AUnifacisa69-79
21/04/26HUnifacisa88-78
17/04/26ACaxias do Sul92-79
15/04/26AUniao Corinthians92-86
09/04/26HPaulistano80-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL73%
HomeLWWWL82%
AwayWLWWL65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452223
Win %73%82%65%
Points / game89.287.990.4
Allowed / game83.180.785.3
Point differential+6.1+7.1+5.1
Avg total172.2168.6175.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%32%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (14)67% (9)80% (5)
Overtime %7%9%4%
Corinthians Paulista
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW71%
HomeLWWLW78%
AwayWWLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452322
Win %71%78%64%
Points / game85.487.083.9
Allowed / game80.078.481.7
Point differential+5.4+8.6+2.1
Avg total165.5165.3165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%61%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)33% (3)67% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca4437784%90.876.8+14.0
2 Pinheiros4436882%85.974.9+11.0
3 Brasilia45331273%80.872.4+8.4
4 Minas45331273%89.283.1+6.1
5 Flamengo45321371%87.979.1+8.8
6 Corinthians Paulista45321371%85.480.0+5.4
7 Paulistano45271860%82.678.6+4.0
8 Mogi44251957%76.672.8+3.9
9 Sao Jose41221954%81.380.4+0.9
10 Bauru42222052%80.679.9+0.7
11 Unifacisa42212150%81.080.3+0.8
12 Uniao Corinthians42202248%79.983.1-3.2
13 Caxias do Sul42182443%73.476.2-2.9
14 Cruzeiro42142833%81.186.4-5.3
15 Rio Claro41122929%78.985.8-7.0
16 Botafogo41103124%73.684.1-10.5
17 Pato3873118%71.980.8-8.9
18 Osasco3873118%76.187.8-11.8
19 Cearense3873118%76.288.9-12.7
20 Vasco3863216%71.581.4-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas2222122581
Corinthians Paulista2025242392
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