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Minas vs Pato Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 97-70
30-19 22-19 23-14 22-18
Position#1
Record12-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game68.3
Minas 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#14
Record5-7
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game80.9
BrazilNBB· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2024-25
Meetings · Minas v Pato
27 Oct 2026
MINA86
PATO65
21 Jan 2026
MINA75
PATO67
05 Dec 2024
MINA97
PATO70
22 Dec 2023
MINA84
PATO75
31 Mar 2023
MINA82
PATO90
05 Nov 2021
MINA79
PATO67
12 Nov 2020
MINA76
PATO54
15 Jan 2020
MINA86
PATO76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
W
91-64
91
64
+27
85avg 82
H21/10
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
91-61
91
61
+30
89avg 82
H24/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
77-67
77
67
+10
70avg 82
A29/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
86-60
86
60
+26
86avg 82
A31/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
86-64
86
64
+22
93avg 82
H07/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
78-76
78
76
+2
74avg 82
H11/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
89-71
89
71
+18
88avg 82
A14/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
78-58
78
58
+20
75avg 82
A16/11
NBB
Flamengo
#3
W
81-70
81
70
+11
74avg 82
A30/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
95-68
95
68
+27
103avg 82
A02/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
28-14
25-17
22-11
21-14
17-24
24-10
29-13
18-17
26-12
17-20
16-18
21-14
20-18
14-11
31-17
25-10
24-10
21-16
16-28
19-19
22-20
19-27
18-10
18-24
27-18
27-13
17-16
17-16
22-10
21-19
18-13
19-21
17-14
21-23
24-12
25-13
21-19
20-20
29-16
151.1Avg total
85.2Scored
65.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)83.468.3151.7+15.192%
Season at home (5)84.066.2150.2+17.8100%
Season away (8)83.069.6152.6+13.488%
Last 10 (10)85.265.9151.1+19.3100%
Last 5 (5)84.268.6152.8+15.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)77.380.1157.4-2.943%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)85.771.2156.9+14.591%
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#13
L
81-88
81
88
-7
70avg 72
H17/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
89-60
89
60
+29
86avg 72
H22/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
85-77
85
77
+8
77avg 72
H25/10
NBB
Franca
#2
L
70-93
70
93
-23
54avg 72
A28/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
80-81
80
81
-1
74avg 72
A31/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
70-81
70
81
-11
64avg 72
A02/11
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
76-84
76
84
-8
64avg 72
H12/11
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
66-65
66
65
+1
62avg 72
H17/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
98-78
98
78
+20
100avg 72
H28/11
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
103-110 OT
103
110
-7
88avg 72
H03/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-23
16-22
25-19
10-24
23-11
25-15
21-19
20-15
17-22
21-9
14-27
33-19
21-19
14-27
14-26
21-21
16-15
26-19
19-28
19-19
22-22
19-21
19-19
10-19
13-22
12-20
29-25
22-17
15-15
21-20
12-9
18-21
27-20
20-11
25-14
26-33
28-29
23-26
25-24
22-19
163.5Avg total
81.8Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.280.9162.1+0.242%
Season at home (7)85.480.3165.7+5.157%
Season away (5)75.281.8157.0-6.620%
Last 10 (10)81.881.7163.5+0.140%
Last 5 (5)82.683.6166.2-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)80.287.6167.8-7.333%
vs Similar (15)77.080.0157.0-3.033%
vs Weaker (6)89.576.8166.3+12.783%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +6.5+6.5Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +6.6+6.6Q4: -0.6-0.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +6.5+6.5Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +6.6+6.6Q4: -0.6-0.6
MinasPato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H21/10
NBB
Mogi
#16
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H24/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A29/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A31/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
49-20
49
20
+29
H07/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H11/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A14/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A16/11
NBB
Flamengo
#3
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A30/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A02/12
NBB
75.2Avg total
42.3Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.435.375.8+5.177%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.833.874.6+6.977%-
Last 30 away (17)40.236.576.6+3.776%-
Last 10 (10)42.332.975.2+9.490%-
Last 5 (5)41.434.876.2+6.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)35.937.973.7-2.057%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)41.834.676.4+7.383%-
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#13
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H17/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
48-26
48
26
+22
H22/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H25/10
NBB
Franca
#2
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A28/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A31/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A02/11
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
25-42
25
42
-17
H12/11
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H17/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H28/11
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
51-55
51
55
-4
H03/12
NBB
79.7Avg total
40.9Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.840.080.8+0.857%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.039.181.1+2.967%-
Last 30 away (12)39.041.480.4-2.442%-
Last 10 (10)40.938.879.7+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)40.041.281.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)40.843.884.6-3.044%-
vs Similar (15)38.439.678.0-1.247%-
vs Weaker (6)46.835.582.3+11.3100%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.822.6
55.4%
50.9%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.99.3
38.9%
33.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws15.511.1
71.6%
72.7%11.1
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.717.6
50.7%
50.9%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.711.2
37.7%
33.0%33.6
🏀 Free throws17.212.6
73.3%
72.7%12.6
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
WWWWWWWWWW
Pato
LWWLLLLWWL
#1
League position
#14
+25.7
Net rating
+0.9
114.6
Offensive rating
107.5
88.8
Defensive rating
106.6
56.5%
Effective FG%
53.4%
43.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
19.2%
Turnover %
18.5%
36.3%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.27
38.9%
3-point %
37.7%
58.3%
Assist %
52.4%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.6 · 107.5Defence88.8 · 106.6Shooting56.5% · 53.4%3-point %38.9% · 37.7%Ball care19.2% · 18.5%Off. rebounds36.3% · 27.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)100% · 40%
■ Minas   ■ Pato
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Minas wins
1
Pato wins
DateGameScore
05/04/24Pato v Minas69-77
22/12/23Minas v Pato84-75
31/03/23Minas v Pato82-90
21/12/22Pato v Minas74-88
06/02/22Pato v Minas70-101
05/11/21Minas v Pato79-67
14/02/21Pato v Minas67-83
12/11/20Minas v Pato76-54
15/01/20Minas v Pato86-76
24/10/19Pato v Minas62-80
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/24ABotafogo95-68
30/11/24AFlamengo81-70
16/11/24ACaxias do Sul78-58
14/11/24AUniao Corinthians89-71
11/11/24HUnifacisa78-76
07/11/24HCearense86-64
31/10/24ACorinthians Paulista86-60
29/10/24APinheiros77-67
24/10/24HMogi91-61
21/10/24HSao Jose91-64
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/24HFlamengo103-110 OT
28/11/24HBotafogo98-78
17/11/24HPaulistano66-65
12/11/24HVasco76-84
02/11/24AUniao Corinthians70-81
31/10/24ACaxias do Sul80-81
28/10/24AFranca70-93
25/10/24HUnifacisa85-77
22/10/24HCearense89-60
17/10/24HSao Paulo81-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %92%100%88%
Points / game83.484.083.0
Allowed / game68.366.269.6
Point differential+15.1+17.8+13.4
Avg total151.7150.2152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%60%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%12%
Pato
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL42%
HomeWLWWL57%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %42%57%20%
Points / game81.285.475.2
Allowed / game80.980.381.8
Point differential+0.2+5.1-6.6
Avg total162.1165.7157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas1312192%83.468.3+15.1
2 Flamengo1411379%82.770.1+12.6
3 Bauru129375%78.176.2+1.9
4 Brasilia118373%81.578.8+2.6
5 Sao Paulo117464%78.977.6+1.3
6 Vasco127558%72.669.9+2.7
7 Pinheiros127558%73.671.8+1.8
8 Uniao Corinthians116555%79.381.1-1.8
9 Franca137654%79.578.0+1.5
10 Sao Jose136746%75.776.2-0.5
11 Pato125742%81.280.9+0.2
12 Paulistano124833%75.273.9+1.2
13 Corinthians Paulista124833%80.482.6-2.2
14 Unifacisa124833%74.978.5-3.6
15 Botafogo134931%70.378.6-8.3
16 Mogi134931%70.479.4-9.0
17 Caxias do Sul123925%69.576.8-7.3
18 Cearense1221017%67.177.2-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas3022232297
Pato1919141870
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