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Minas vs Vasco Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 81-61
22-8 15-16 22-17 22-20
Position#3
Record17-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game72.8
Minas 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#4
Record13-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game70.3
BrazilNBB· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2023-24
Meetings · Minas v Vasco
21 Dec 2025
MINA71
VASC59
14 May 2025
MINA83
VASC63
12 May 2025
MINA86
VASC76
07 Apr 2025
MINA76
VASC69
13 Jan 2024
MINA81
VASC61
31 Oct 2018
MINA93
VASC65
07 Nov 2017
MINA82
VASC81
10 Nov 2016
MINA83
VASC85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vasco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Cearense
#8
W
93-88 OT
93
88
+5
no box
H01/12
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
67-68
67
68
-1
63avg 84
H06/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
96-105
96
105
-9
93avg 84
A14/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
91-61
91
61
+30
90avg 84
A16/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
91-71
91
71
+20
95avg 84
H20/12
NBB
Pato
#12
W
84-75
84
75
+9
86avg 84
H22/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
84-55
84
55
+29
82avg 84
H27/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
95-71
95
71
+24
100avg 84
H29/12
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
89-52
89
52
+37
94avg 84
H08/01
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
86-78
86
78
+8
84avg 84
H11/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-9
19-17
17-26
21-30
23-20
13-26
17-10
14-12
27-20
24-28
19-35
26-22
31-21
22-15
22-13
16-12
22-10
34-22
15-21
20-18
23-20
23-14
16-27
22-14
17-22
26-14
23-4
18-15
26-14
26-14
19-14
24-29
26-5
21-12
25-18
17-17
21-19
28-18
23-22
14-19
160.0Avg total
87.6Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)85.572.8158.3+12.885%
Season at home (11)85.872.8158.6+13.082%
Season away (9)85.272.8158.0+12.489%
Last 10 (10)87.672.4160.0+15.280%
Last 5 (5)87.666.2153.8+21.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)92.895.8188.6-3.040%
vs Similar (8)77.676.1153.8+1.562%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)86.372.2158.5+14.188%
This opponent (Vasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
L
71-83
71
83
-12
59avg 72
A27/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
67-58
67
58
+9
66avg 72
H02/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
64-77
64
77
-13
56avg 72
H04/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
75-70
75
70
+5
75avg 72
A09/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
76-70
76
70
+6
76avg 72
A11/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
67-73
67
73
-6
67avg 72
A13/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
81-71
81
71
+10
92avg 72
H18/12
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
81-75
81
75
+6
78avg 72
H23/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
80-78
80
78
+2
73avg 72
A27/12
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
79-84
79
84
-5
71avg 72
A08/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
17-21
19-24
20-18
15-16
15-9
13-17
24-16
15-19
11-26
21-15
17-17
24-20
22-9
15-21
14-20
20-20
18-17
20-24
18-9
23-19
13-21
16-13
15-20
17-20
22-15
22-12
20-24
21-21
24-22
16-16
20-16
14-24
22-17
26-18
18-19
20-17
16-24
21-21
22-22
148.0Avg total
74.1Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)74.070.3144.3+3.768%
Season at home (9)71.367.6138.9+3.867%
Season away (10)76.472.7149.1+3.770%
Last 10 (10)74.173.9148.0+0.260%
Last 5 (5)77.676.2153.8+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)73.187.6160.7-14.50%
vs Similar (7)75.972.1148.0+3.786%
vs Weaker (8)75.966.1142.0+9.888%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +8.1+8.1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.7+0.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +8.1+8.1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.7+0.7
MinasVasco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#8
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H01/12
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H06/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A14/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A16/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
56-32
56
32
+24
H20/12
NBB
Pato
#12
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H22/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H27/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
52-28
52
28
+24
H29/12
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
47-17
47
17
+30
H08/01
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H11/01
NBB
81.7Avg total
47.7Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.237.382.5+7.973%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.135.380.4+9.881%-
Last 30 away (14)45.439.685.0+5.764%-
Last 10 (10)47.734.081.7+13.790%-
Last 5 (5)47.430.477.8+17.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)49.647.697.2+2.040%-
vs Similar (8)40.635.676.2+5.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)46.135.181.2+10.982%-
This opponent (Vasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A27/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
30-25
30
25
+5
H02/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
26-45
26
45
-19
H04/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A09/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A11/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A13/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H18/12
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H23/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A27/12
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A08/01
NBB
74.1Avg total
36.4Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.139.276.3-2.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.039.574.5-4.550%-
Last 30 away (16)38.939.077.9-0.144%-
Last 10 (10)36.437.774.1-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.440.078.4-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)36.043.879.8-7.820%-
vs Similar (7)38.035.973.9+2.171%-
vs Weaker (8)38.433.672.0+4.875%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.919.3
55.3%
51.8%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.8
39.0%
33.9%32.4
🏀 Free throws21.715.4
71.0%
72.6%15.4
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.416.0
51.0%
51.8%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.4
34.8%
33.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws17.013.0
76.5%
72.6%13.0
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
WWWWWWWLLW
Vasco
LWWWLWWLWL
#3
League position
#4
+21.6
Net rating
+0.1
116.5
Offensive rating
100.8
94.9
Defensive rating
100.7
56.7%
Effective FG%
51.5%
44.6%
Opp. effective FG%
46.5%
17.4%
Turnover %
23.2%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.29
39.0%
3-point %
34.8%
72.8%
Assist %
76.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence116.5 · 100.8Defence94.9 · 100.7Shooting56.7% · 51.5%3-point %39.0% · 34.8%Ball care17.4% · 23.2%Off. rebounds33.1% · 29.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Minas   ■ Vasco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Minas wins
2
Vasco wins
DateGameScore
23/10/23Vasco v Minas60-72
04/02/19Vasco v Minas81-92
31/10/18Minas v Vasco93-65
23/01/18Vasco v Minas70-54
07/11/17Minas v Vasco82-81
26/01/17Vasco v Minas75-87
10/11/16Minas v Vasco83-85 OT
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/24HFlamengo86-78
08/01/24HBotafogo89-52
29/12/23HUniao Corinthians95-71
27/12/23HCaxias do Sul84-55
22/12/23HPato84-75
20/12/23HBrasilia91-71
16/12/23APinheiros91-61
14/12/23ACorinthians Paulista96-105
06/12/23HCerrado67-68
01/12/23HCearense93-88 OT
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/24AFlamengo79-84
27/12/23ACorinthians Paulista80-78
23/12/23HCearense81-75
18/12/23HUnifacisa81-71
13/12/23APinheiros67-73
11/12/23APaulistano76-70
09/12/23ASao Paulo75-70
04/12/23HFranca64-77
02/12/23HBauru67-58
27/11/23ASao Jose71-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW85%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayWWWLW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %85%82%89%
Points / game85.585.885.2
Allowed / game72.872.872.8
Point differential+12.8+13.0+12.4
Avg total158.3158.6158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%45%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %5%9%0%
Vasco
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL68%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayWWLWL70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %68%67%70%
Points / game74.071.376.4
Allowed / game70.367.672.7
Point differential+3.7+3.8+3.7
Avg total144.3138.9149.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%22%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %5%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2017385%85.572.8+12.8
2 Flamengo2117481%84.575.3+9.2
3 Franca2016480%87.575.8+11.6
4 Unifacisa1913668%83.078.3+4.7
5 Vasco1913668%74.070.3+3.7
6 Paulistano2013765%74.271.8+2.4
7 Bauru2012860%78.877.2+1.7
8 Sao Jose1911858%79.574.7+4.8
9 Cearense1910953%77.976.1+1.8
10 Pato21101148%76.677.8-1.2
11 Corinthians Paulista1981142%79.881.4-1.6
12 Pinheiros1981142%76.478.8-2.5
13 Sao Paulo2291341%77.480.9-3.5
14 Caxias do Sul1961332%72.279.2-6.9
15 Botafogo1961332%77.084.9-7.9
16 Uniao Corinthians1961332%71.980.5-8.5
17 Cerrado1951426%73.875.7-1.9
18 Mogi1931616%73.379.7-6.4
19 Brasilia1931616%70.784.8-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas2215222281
Vasco816172061
← all games of the day
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