PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Minas vs Vasco Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 07 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 76-69
22-15 19-23 16-19 19-12
Position#1
Record26-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game71.5
Minas 🏆
Brazil
vs
Vasco
Brazil
Position#7
Record18-13
FormWWLWW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game75.7
BrazilNBB· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2024-25
Meetings · Minas v Vasco
21 Dec 2025
MINA71
VASC59
14 May 2025
MINA83
VASC63
12 May 2025
MINA86
VASC76
07 Apr 2025
MINA76
VASC69
13 Jan 2024
MINA81
VASC61
31 Oct 2018
MINA93
VASC65
07 Nov 2017
MINA82
VASC81
10 Nov 2016
MINA83
VASC85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vasco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Cearense
#17
W
92-86
92
86
+6
84avg 77
A28/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
79-77
79
77
+2
69avg 77
A03/03
NBB
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
L
60-67
60
67
-7
47avg 77
A08/03
Champions League Americas
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
W
79-70
79
70
+9
70avg 77
H12/03
Champions League Americas
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
L
74-79
74
79
-5
66avg 77
H13/03
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#3
W
94-70
94
70
+24
94avg 77
H19/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
88-70
88
70
+18
88avg 77
H26/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
92-81
92
81
+11
93avg 77
H29/03
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
77-63
77
63
+14
72avg 77
A01/04
NBB
Pato
#14
W
75-72
75
72
+3
66avg 77
A03/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
23-18
27-21
26-26
22-29
16-13
25-14
16-21
17-17
16-20
19-14
8-16
28-23
11-16
20-14
20-17
21-32
19-10
10-23
24-14
27-23
20-15
22-21
25-11
28-17
22-18
18-17
20-18
24-23
22-17
27-20
19-21
20-25
29-13
11-9
17-16
21-15
12-17
17-20
25-20
154.5Avg total
81.0Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)82.771.5154.2+11.187%
Season at home (15)84.169.6153.7+14.593%
Season away (15)81.273.5154.7+7.780%
Last 10 (10)81.073.5154.5+7.580%
Last 5 (5)85.271.2156.4+14.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)61.064.0125.0-3.00%
vs Similar (3)82.367.0149.3+15.3100%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)80.372.8153.0+7.580%
This opponent (Vasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#1
L
73-92
73
92
-19
63avg 72
A26/01
Super 8
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
82-88
82
88
-6
76avg 72
A04/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
71-84
71
84
-13
65avg 72
A06/02
NBB
Pato
#14
W
98-86
98
86
+12
104avg 72
H14/02
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
104-82
104
82
+22
114avg 72
H28/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
88-78
88
78
+10
90avg 72
H08/03
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
80-66
80
66
+14
77avg 72
H13/03
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
78-84
78
84
-6
72avg 72
A27/03
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
78-66
78
66
+12
80avg 72
H01/04
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
79-77
79
77
+2
68avg 72
A05/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-29
17-14
20-20
12-29
18-26
16-11
27-24
21-27
26-23
10-13
20-26
15-22
18-19
29-24
29-21
22-22
20-20
27-25
24-21
33-16
23-15
18-16
31-17
16-30
18-20
23-13
19-19
20-14
19-16
22-16
15-29
22-23
14-19
24-12
20-16
20-19
20-11
20-29
19-26
20-11
163.4Avg total
83.1Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)77.375.7152.9+1.658%
Season at home (17)78.874.4153.1+4.465%
Season away (14)75.477.3152.7-1.950%
Last 10 (10)83.180.3163.4+2.860%
Last 5 (5)80.674.2154.8+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)76.078.7154.7-2.733%
vs Similar (18)79.378.3157.6+1.061%
vs Weaker (8)77.872.9150.6+4.962%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -1.2-1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -1.2-1.2
MinasVasco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#17
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A28/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A03/03
NBB
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A08/03
Champions League Americas
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H12/03
Champions League Americas
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H13/03
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#3
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H19/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H26/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H29/03
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A01/04
NBB
Pato
#14
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A03/04
NBB
79.6Avg total
41.4Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.237.177.3+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.037.278.2+3.861%-
Last 30 away (12)39.036.875.8+2.250%-
Last 10 (10)41.438.279.6+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)45.036.681.6+8.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.025.055.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar (3)44.332.777.0+11.7100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)40.338.078.3+2.252%-
This opponent (Vasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#1
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A26/01
Super 8
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A04/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A06/02
NBB
Pato
#14
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H14/02
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H28/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H08/03
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H13/03
NBB
Flamengo
#3
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A27/03
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H01/04
NBB
Brasilia
#6
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A05/04
NBB
77.7Avg total
40.6Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.836.172.9+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.935.873.6+2.169%-
Last 30 away (14)35.636.572.1-0.929%-
Last 10 (10)40.637.177.7+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)40.233.473.6+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)35.335.771.0-0.367%-
vs Similar (18)37.436.874.2+0.650%-
vs Weaker (8)35.533.869.2+1.850%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.519.2
52.6%
50.9%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.0
33.7%
33.0%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.011.6
72.5%
72.7%11.6
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.818.6
58.5%
50.9%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.5
32.9%
33.0%25.5
🏀 Free throws25.619.4
75.8%
72.7%19.4
They take 57.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
WWWWWLWLWW
Vasco
WWLWWWWLLL
#1
League position
#7
+10.4
Net rating
+3.7
111.2
Offensive rating
109.3
100.7
Defensive rating
105.5
51.7%
Effective FG%
54.4%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
17.7%
Turnover %
19.3%
37.1%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.44
33.7%
3-point %
32.9%
58.9%
Assist %
71.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 109.3Defence100.7 · 105.5Shooting51.7% · 54.4%3-point %33.7% · 32.9%Ball care17.7% · 19.3%Off. rebounds37.1% · 25.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.44Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Minas   ■ Vasco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Minas wins
3
Vasco wins
DateGameScore
09/12/24Vasco v Minas81-64
13/01/24Minas v Vasco81-61
23/10/23Vasco v Minas60-72
04/02/19Vasco v Minas81-92
31/10/18Minas v Vasco93-65
23/01/18Vasco v Minas70-54
07/11/17Minas v Vasco82-81
26/01/17Vasco v Minas75-87
10/11/16Minas v Vasco83-85 OT
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/25APato75-72
01/04/25ABrasilia77-63
29/03/25HUniao Corinthians92-81
26/03/25HCaxias do Sul88-70
19/03/25HFlamengo94-70
13/03/25HInstituto de Cordoba74-79
12/03/25HInstituto de Cordoba79-70
08/03/25AInstituto de Cordoba60-67
03/03/25AUnifacisa79-77
28/02/25ACearense92-86
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25ABrasilia79-77
01/04/25HPaulistano78-66
27/03/25AFlamengo78-84
13/03/25HBotafogo80-66
08/03/25HSao Paulo88-78
28/02/25HMogi104-82
14/02/25HPato98-86
06/02/25AUniao Corinthians71-84
04/02/25ACaxias do Sul82-88
26/01/25AFlamengo73-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW87%
HomeLWWWW93%
AwayWWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %87%93%80%
Points / game82.784.181.2
Allowed / game71.569.673.5
Point differential+11.1+14.5+7.7
Avg total154.2153.7154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+63%73%53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Vasco
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW58%
HomeWWWWW65%
AwayLLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %58%65%50%
Points / game77.378.875.4
Allowed / game75.774.477.3
Point differential+1.6+4.4-1.9
Avg total152.9153.1152.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%41%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas3026487%82.771.5+11.1
2 Flamengo3124777%84.375.1+9.2
3 Franca3122971%84.275.9+8.3
4 Brasilia31191261%81.779.8+1.8
5 Vasco31181358%77.375.7+1.6
6 Bauru31181358%78.578.3+0.3
7 Pinheiros30161453%76.675.5+1.1
8 Uniao Corinthians30161453%78.279.4-1.2
9 Sao Jose31161552%78.378.0+0.4
10 Unifacisa31151648%75.275.3-0.1
11 Corinthians Paulista30141647%80.479.2+1.2
12 Paulistano32141844%78.176.5+1.6
13 Pato32122038%81.483.3-1.9
14 Sao Paulo32112134%76.280.1-4.0
15 Caxias do Sul30102033%73.780.7-7.1
16 Mogi31102132%73.880.8-7.0
17 Botafogo3192229%73.581.6-8.0
18 Cearense3182326%71.678.4-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas2219161976
Vasco1523191269
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.