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Minas vs Vasco Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 12 May 2025
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 86-76
18-11 20-16 20-30 28-19
Position#1
Record33-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game70.8
Minas 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#7
Record21-18
FormWWLWL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game76.9
BrazilNBBNBB - Quarter-finals· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2024-25
Meetings · Minas v Vasco
21 Dec 2025
MINA71
VASC59
14 May 2025
MINA83
VASC63
12 May 2025
MINA86
VASC76
07 Apr 2025
MINA76
VASC69
13 Jan 2024
MINA81
VASC61
31 Oct 2018
MINA93
VASC65
07 Nov 2017
MINA82
VASC81
10 Nov 2016
MINA83
VASC85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vasco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#6
W
77-63
77
63
+14
72avg 76
A01/04
NBB
Pato
#14
W
75-72
75
72
+3
66avg 76
A03/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
76-69
76
69
+7
66avg 76
H07/04
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
97-59
97
59
+38
98avg 76
H09/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
67-71
67
71
-4
59avg 76
A12/04
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
76-66
76
66
+10
74avg 76
A14/04
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
85-72
85
72
+13
79avg 76
A26/04
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
88-65
88
65
+23
91avg 76
H29/04
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
76-57
76
57
+19
70avg 76
H01/05
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
90-86
90
86
+4
79avg 76
A09/05
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
29-13
11-9
17-16
21-15
12-17
17-20
25-20
22-15
19-23
16-19
19-12
22-21
21-5
31-22
23-11
11-16
16-11
16-25
24-19
13-17
23-21
21-13
19-15
22-20
17-15
22-14
24-23
22-21
23-14
24-13
19-17
17-22
21-12
18-13
20-10
25-13
14-27
25-20
26-26
148.7Avg total
80.7Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)82.570.8153.3+11.787%
Season at home (19)84.268.1152.3+16.195%
Season away (19)80.873.5154.4+7.379%
Last 10 (10)80.768.0148.7+12.790%
Last 5 (5)83.069.2152.2+13.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)61.064.0125.0-3.00%
vs Similar (3)82.367.0149.3+15.3100%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)80.171.8151.9+8.480%
This opponent (Vasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#12
W
78-66
78
66
+12
80avg 73
H01/04
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
79-77
79
77
+2
68avg 73
A05/04
NBB
Minas
#1
L
69-76
69
76
-7
64avg 73
A07/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
66-91
66
91
-25
66avg 73
A10/04
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
69-75
69
75
-6
56avg 73
A17/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
85-75
85
75
+10
81avg 73
A23/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
89-83
89
83
+6
89avg 73
H26/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
78-81
78
81
-3
80avg 73
H28/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
88-83
88
83
+5
84avg 73
A02/05
NBB
Minas
#1
L
86-90
86
90
-4
81avg 73
H09/05
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
24-12
20-16
20-19
20-11
20-29
19-26
20-11
15-22
23-19
19-16
12-19
15-18
11-21
21-20
19-32
11-28
17-18
18-13
23-16
17-16
25-14
18-26
25-19
25-19
24-18
23-25
17-21
17-17
17-20
21-23
23-21
29-28
25-19
20-18
14-18
13-25
27-14
20-25
26-26
158.4Avg total
78.7Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)77.676.9154.5+0.654%
Season at home (20)79.675.9155.5+3.760%
Season away (19)75.478.0153.4-2.647%
Last 10 (10)78.779.7158.4-1.050%
Last 5 (5)85.282.4167.6+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)74.882.2157.0-7.317%
vs Similar (19)80.579.6160.1+0.963%
vs Weaker (4)85.277.5162.8+7.875%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: -0.3-0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: -0.3-0.3
MinasVasco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#6
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A01/04
NBB
Pato
#14
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A03/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H07/04
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H09/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A12/04
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A14/04
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A26/04
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H29/04
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H01/05
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A09/05
NBB
73.3Avg total
39.0Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.935.975.8+4.060%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.835.376.1+5.572%-
Last 30 away (12)38.736.875.5+1.842%-
Last 10 (10)39.034.373.3+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)39.436.475.8+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.025.055.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar (3)44.332.777.0+11.7100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)40.036.676.6+3.356%-
This opponent (Vasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#12
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H01/04
NBB
Brasilia
#6
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A05/04
NBB
Minas
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A07/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A10/04
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A17/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A23/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H26/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H28/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A02/05
NBB
Minas
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H09/05
NBB
77.6Avg total
38.9Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.338.276.4+0.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.136.475.6+2.775%-
Last 30 away (14)37.340.177.4-2.929%-
Last 10 (10)38.938.777.6+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)43.838.081.8+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)35.037.772.7-2.750%-
vs Similar (19)38.738.477.1+0.453%-
vs Weaker (4)40.236.877.0+3.575%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.318.0
51.0%
50.9%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.1
36.2%
33.0%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.313.4
73.2%
72.7%13.4
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.416.0
51.0%
50.9%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.610.5
36.7%
33.0%31.5
🏀 Free throws19.414.0
72.2%
72.7%14.0
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
WWWWWLWWWW
Vasco
LWLWWLLLWW
#1
League position
#7
+17.1
Net rating
-1.9
109.3
Offensive rating
103.9
92.2
Defensive rating
105.8
52.5%
Effective FG%
52.9%
43.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
17.8%
Turnover %
18.4%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
22.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.2%
3-point %
36.7%
56.6%
Assist %
71.3%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.3 · 103.9Defence92.2 · 105.8Shooting52.5% · 52.9%3-point %36.2% · 36.7%Ball care17.8% · 18.4%Off. rebounds30.4% · 22.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Minas   ■ Vasco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Minas wins
2
Vasco wins
DateGameScore
09/05/25Vasco v Minas86-90
07/04/25Minas v Vasco76-69
09/12/24Vasco v Minas81-64
13/01/24Minas v Vasco81-61
23/10/23Vasco v Minas60-72
04/02/19Vasco v Minas81-92
31/10/18Minas v Vasco93-65
23/01/18Vasco v Minas70-54
07/11/17Minas v Vasco82-81
26/01/17Vasco v Minas75-87
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/25AVasco90-86
01/05/25HMogi76-57
29/04/25HMogi88-65
26/04/25AMogi85-72
14/04/25APaulistano76-66
12/04/25ASao Paulo67-71
09/04/25HBotafogo97-59
07/04/25HVasco76-69
03/04/25APato75-72
01/04/25ABrasilia77-63
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/25HMinas86-90
02/05/25ASao Jose88-83
28/04/25HSao Jose78-81
26/04/25HSao Jose89-83
23/04/25ASao Jose85-75
17/04/25ABauru69-75
10/04/25AFranca66-91
07/04/25AMinas69-76
05/04/25ABrasilia79-77
01/04/25HPaulistano78-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW87%
HomeWWWWW95%
AwayWLWWW79%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %87%95%79%
Points / game82.584.280.8
Allowed / game70.868.173.5
Point differential+11.7+16.1+7.3
Avg total153.3152.3154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+63%74%53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (2)80% (5)
Overtime %3%0%5%
Vasco
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL54%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayLLLWW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392019
Win %54%60%47%
Points / game77.679.675.4
Allowed / game76.975.978.0
Point differential+0.6+3.7-2.6
Avg total154.5155.5153.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%35%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)33% (6)67% (6)
Overtime %3%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas3833587%82.570.8+11.7
2 Flamengo3930977%84.975.5+9.4
3 Franca3829976%85.475.9+9.5
4 Bauru40231757%79.077.7+1.4
5 Pinheiros40221855%76.574.5+2.0
6 Vasco39211854%77.676.9+0.6
7 Brasilia38201853%79.979.6+0.3
8 Corinthians Paulista39201951%82.180.5+1.6
9 Uniao Corinthians38191950%78.780.9-2.1
10 Sao Jose38182047%78.478.8-0.4
11 Unifacisa39182146%74.775.3-0.6
12 Paulistano39172244%76.876.4+0.5
13 Sao Paulo39162341%76.379.1-2.8
14 Pato37132435%81.384.2-2.9
15 Caxias do Sul38122632%73.681.5-7.9
16 Mogi37112630%73.781.3-7.6
17 Cearense34102429%72.178.0-5.9
18 Botafogo34102429%73.182.1-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas1820202886
Vasco1116301976
← all games of the day
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