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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Indiana Pacers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 127-109
23-20 34-35 38-23 32-31
Position#4
Record18-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game113.0
Allowed / game105.7
Minnesota Timberwolves 🏆
USA
vs
Indiana Pacers
USA
Position#17
Record11-10
FormLWWLL
Points / game128.5
Allowed / game127.0
USANBA· Target Center (Minneapolis)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Indiana Pacers
26 Feb 2027
MIN v IND
upcoming
26 Oct 2025
MIN114
IND110
17 Mar 2025
MIN130
IND132
16 Dec 2023
MIN127
IND109
07 Dec 2022
MIN121
IND115
29 Nov 2021
MIN100
IND98
17 Feb 2021
MIN128
IND134
15 Jan 2020
MIN99
IND104
22 Oct 2018
MIN101
IND91
24 Oct 2017
MIN107
IND130
26 Jan 2017
MIN103
IND109
26 Dec 2015
MIN88
IND102
21 Dec 2014
MIN96
IND100
19 Feb 2014
MIN104
IND91
09 Nov 2012
MIN96
IND94
01 Feb 2012
MIN99
IND109
09 Mar 2011
MIN101
IND75
08 Jan 2010
MIN116
IND109
20 Feb 2009
MIN105
IND112
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana Pacers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
112-99
112
99
+13
107avg 108
H23/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
111-124
111
124
-13
107avg 108
H25/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
119-97
119
97
+22
120avg 108
A26/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
106-103
106
103
+3
100avg 108
H29/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
101-90
101
90
+11
94avg 108
H01/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
123-117
123
117
+6
118avg 108
A02/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
102-94
102
94
+8
96avg 108
H07/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
127-103
127
103
+24
130avg 108
A09/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
107-121
107
121
-14
99avg 108
A12/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
119-101
119
101
+18
115avg 108
A15/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-20
20-29
34-30
21-20
31-38
33-32
15-22
32-32
31-26
29-17
30-23
29-31
19-29
34-32
23-17
30-25
20-23
29-24
35-19
17-24
30-23
32-36
26-28
35-30
25-22
21-31
25-18
31-23
33-31
27-24
38-24
29-24
29-29
23-30
34-31
21-31
26-30
33-30
28-22
32-19
217.6Avg total
112.7Scored
104.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)113.0105.7218.7+7.378%
Season at home (11)111.399.5210.7+11.891%
Season away (12)114.6111.4226.0+3.267%
Last 10 (10)112.7104.9217.6+7.880%
Last 5 (5)115.6107.2222.8+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)106.8113.3220.2-6.533%
vs Similar ◀ (13)113.2106.2219.4+6.977%
vs Weaker (11)112.4104.0216.4+8.473%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPacers
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#14
L
116-128
116
128
-12
100avg 111
H19/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
157-152
157
152
+5
150avg 111
A22/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
L
131-132
131
132
-1
125avg 111
H23/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
136-113
136
113
+23
120avg 111
H25/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
L
110-114
110
114
-4
102avg 111
H28/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
132-142
132
142
-10
117avg 111
A01/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
144-129
144
129
+15
146avg 111
A03/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
131-123
131
123
+8
130avg 111
A12/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
126-140
126
140
-14
115avg 111
A14/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
123-137
123
137
-14
111avg 111
A16/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-42
23-36
34-29
38-21
34-40
39-46
46-28
38-38
35-27
30-41
36-32
30-32
33-26
28-37
36-33
39-17
34-30
26-35
23-18
27-31
38-33
35-31
27-33
32-45
25-31
40-34
41-33
38-31
33-36
33-25
32-32
33-30
33-36
30-34
31-31
32-39
37-30
18-39
32-39
36-29
261.6Avg total
130.6Scored
131.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)128.5127.0255.5+1.552%
Season at home (11)127.1119.4246.5+7.755%
Season away (10)130.0135.4265.4-5.450%
Last 10 (10)130.6131.0261.6-0.440%
Last 5 (5)131.2134.2265.4-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)118.7132.9251.6-14.129%
vs Similar ◀ (11)125.6129.5255.2-3.945%
vs Weaker (12)130.1123.2253.3+6.850%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +3.0+3.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +3.0+3.0
Minnesota TimberwolvesIndiana Pacers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H23/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
64-70
64
70
-6
H25/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
60-43
60
43
+17
A26/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
53-61
53
61
-8
H29/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H01/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
62-59
62
59
+3
A02/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H07/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
60-55
60
55
+5
A09/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A12/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
59-60
59
60
-1
A15/12
NBA
111.8Avg total
56.2Scored
55.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.155.0111.2+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.053.0109.0+3.057%-
Last 30 away (16)56.256.8113.1-0.644%-
Last 10 (10)56.255.6111.8+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)55.857.2113.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)49.255.8105.0-6.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)57.855.3113.2+2.554%-
vs Weaker (11)57.954.3112.2+3.673%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#14
L
44-78
44
78
-34
H19/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A22/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
L
65-68
65
68
-3
H23/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
61-63
61
63
-2
H25/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
L
60-65
60
65
-5
H28/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
73-64
73
64
+9
A01/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
D
65-65
65
65
+0
A03/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
66-61
66
61
+5
A12/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A14/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
55-69
55
69
-14
A16/12
NBA
131.4Avg total
62.5Scored
68.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)63.164.8127.9-1.747%-
Last 30 at home (16)62.463.7126.1-1.344%-
Last 30 away (14)63.966.0129.9-2.150%-
Last 10 (10)62.568.9131.4-6.420%-
Last 5 (5)64.465.8130.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)63.467.0130.4-3.643%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)62.363.0125.3-0.755%-
vs Weaker (12)63.765.1128.8-1.442%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 112.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.027.2
52.3%
54.4%54.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.712.9
38.3%
36.3%38.7
🏀 Free throws24.219.6
81.0%
78.2%19.6
They take 85.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 130.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers70.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.535.3
60.3%
54.4%70.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.813.8
37.5%
36.3%41.4
🏀 Free throws24.218.6
76.9%
78.2%18.6
They take 95.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLWWWWWWLW
Indiana Pacers
LLWWLLWLWL
#4
League position
#17
+7.8
Net rating
-0.4
112.6
Offensive rating
120.0
104.8
Defensive rating
120.4
54.3%
Effective FG%
58.8%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
59.0%
13.8%
Turnover %
12.7%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
24.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.25
38.3%
3-point %
37.5%
65.3%
Assist %
62.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.6 · 120.0Defence104.8 · 120.4Shooting54.3% · 58.8%3-point %38.3% · 37.5%Ball care13.8% · 12.7%Off. rebounds25.8% · 24.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Indiana Pacers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Minnesota Timberwolves wins
5
Indiana Pacers wins
DateGameScore
08/12/22Minnesota Timberwolves v Indiana Pacers121-115
24/11/22Indiana Pacers v Minnesota Timberwolves101-115
13/02/22Indiana Pacers v Minnesota Timberwolves120-129
30/11/21Minnesota Timberwolves v Indiana Pacers100-98
07/04/21Indiana Pacers v Minnesota Timberwolves141-137
18/02/21Minnesota Timberwolves v Indiana Pacers128-134 OT
18/01/20Indiana Pacers v Minnesota Timberwolves116-114
16/01/20Minnesota Timberwolves v Indiana Pacers99-104
01/03/19Indiana Pacers v Minnesota Timberwolves122-115
23/10/18Minnesota Timberwolves v Indiana Pacers101-91
Minnesota Timberwolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/23ADallas Mavericks119-101
12/12/23ANew Orleans Pelicans107-121
09/12/23AMemphis Grizzlies127-103
07/12/23HSan Antonio Spurs102-94
02/12/23ACharlotte Hornets123-117
01/12/23HUtah Jazz101-90
29/11/23HOklahoma City Thunder106-103
26/11/23AMemphis Grizzlies119-97
25/11/23HSacramento Kings111-124
23/11/23HPhiladelphia 76ers112-99
Indiana Pacerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23AWashington Wizards123-137
14/12/23AMilwaukee Bucks126-140
12/12/23ADetroit Pistons131-123
03/12/23AMiami Heat144-129
01/12/23AMiami Heat132-142
28/11/23HPortland Trail Blazers110-114
25/11/23HDetroit Pistons136-113
23/11/23HToronto Raptors131-132
22/11/23AAtlanta Hawks157-152
19/11/23HOrlando Magic116-128

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW78%
HomeWLWWW91%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %78%91%67%
Points / game113.0111.3114.6
Allowed / game105.799.5111.4
Point differential+7.3+11.8+3.2
Avg total218.7210.7226.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%64%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Indiana Pacers
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL52%
HomeWLLWL55%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %52%55%50%
Points / game128.5127.1130.0
Allowed / game127.0119.4135.4
Point differential+1.5+7.7-5.4
Avg total255.5246.5265.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%36%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)40% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics2319483%118.0108.4+9.6
2 Minnesota Timberwolves2318578%113.0105.7+7.3
3 Milwaukee Bucks2317674%123.5118.7+4.8
4 Philadelphia 76ers2518772%122.9111.0+11.9
5 Orlando Magic2416867%113.9109.7+4.2
6 Denver Nuggets2617965%114.6110.5+4.1
7 Oklahoma City Thunder2315865%120.5113.5+7.0
8 Sacramento Kings2214864%116.8116.7+0.1
9 Dallas Mavericks2415962%119.4117.0+2.4
10 New York Knicks2314961%113.8109.0+4.9
11 Houston Rockets2213959%109.5105.1+4.4
12 Los Angeles Clippers24141058%114.4109.5+4.9
13 New Orleans Pelicans24141058%115.4113.0+2.3
14 Miami Heat25141156%112.8111.8+1.0
15 Brooklyn Nets24131154%116.2114.3+2.0
16 Phoenix Suns24131154%115.9114.6+1.3
17 Los Angeles Lakers24131154%113.5114.9-1.4
18 Cleveland Cavaliers26141254%111.1111.2-0.1
19 Indiana Pacers21111052%128.5127.0+1.5
20 Golden State Warriors24101442%115.5115.5-0.1
21 Atlanta Hawks25101540%122.4122.7-0.2
22 Toronto Raptors25101540%112.5114.8-2.3
23 Chicago Bulls26101638%109.7113.5-3.8
24 Utah Jazz2591636%112.0119.8-7.8
25 Charlotte Hornets2471729%111.5121.0-9.5
26 Portland Trail Blazers2361726%106.8113.7-6.9
27 Memphis Grizzlies2461825%106.0112.3-6.3
28 Washington Wizards2442017%116.8126.8-10.0
29 San Antonio Spurs2442017%110.6121.2-10.5
30 Detroit Pistons262248%108.3120.4-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves23343832127
Indiana Pacers20352331109
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