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Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 102-94
25-22 21-31 25-18 31-23
Position#4
Record15-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game112.8
Allowed / game105.9
vs
Position#26
Record3-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game111.5
Allowed / game123.9
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v San Antonio Spurs
18 Feb 2027
MIN v SAS
upcoming
03 Jan 2027
MIN v SAS
upcoming
15 May 2026
MIN109
SAS139
10 May 2026
MIN114
SAS109
08 May 2026
MIN108
SAS115
11 Jan 2026
MIN104
SAS103
30 Nov 2025
MIN125
SAS112
09 Mar 2025
MIN141
SAS124
29 Dec 2024
MIN112
SAS110
27 Feb 2024
MIN114
SAS105
06 Dec 2023
MIN102
SAS94
26 Oct 2022
MIN134
SAS122
24 Oct 2022
MIN106
SAS115
07 Apr 2022
MIN127
SAS121
18 Nov 2021
MIN115
SAS90
10 Jan 2021
MIN96
SAS88
09 Jan 2021
MIN122
SAS125
26 Mar 2020
MIN v SAS
upcoming
13 Nov 2019
MIN129
SAS114
18 Jan 2019
MIN113
SAS116
28 Nov 2018
MIN128
SAS89
15 Nov 2017
MIN98
SAS86
21 Mar 2017
MIN93
SAS100
06 Dec 2016
MIN91
SAS105
08 Mar 2016
MIN91
SAS116
23 Dec 2015
MIN83
SAS108
10 Jan 2015
MIN93
SAS108
21 Nov 2014
MIN92
SAS121
08 Apr 2014
MIN110
SAS91
12 Mar 2013
MIN107
SAS83
06 Feb 2013
MIN94
SAS104
27 Jan 2012
MIN87
SAS79
02 Jan 2012
MIN106
SAS96
11 Jan 2011
MIN96
SAS107
24 Nov 2010
MIN109
SAS113
12 Mar 2010
MIN85
SAS103
12 Dec 2008
MIN86
SAS98
05 Nov 2008
MIN125
SAS129
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Antonio Spurs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
104-101
104
101
+3
98avg 108
A15/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
115-133
115
133
-18
99avg 108
A16/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
121-120
121
120
+1
117avg 108
A19/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
117-100
117
100
+17
117avg 108
H21/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
112-99
112
99
+13
107avg 108
H23/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
111-124
111
124
-13
107avg 108
H25/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
119-97
119
97
+22
120avg 108
A26/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
106-103
106
103
+3
100avg 108
H29/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
101-90
101
90
+11
94avg 108
H01/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
123-117
123
117
+6
118avg 108
A02/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-30
32-29
22-24
28-18
29-35
25-41
28-34
33-23
27-35
32-29
26-31
36-25
31-28
27-28
35-19
24-25
37-20
20-29
34-30
21-20
31-38
33-32
15-22
32-32
31-26
29-17
30-23
29-31
19-29
34-32
23-17
30-25
20-23
29-24
35-19
17-24
30-23
32-36
26-28
35-30
221.3Avg total
112.9Scored
108.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)112.8105.9218.7+6.979%
Season at home (10)112.2100.0212.2+12.290%
Season away (9)113.6112.4226.0+1.167%
Last 10 (10)112.9108.4221.3+4.580%
Last 5 (5)112.0106.2218.2+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)106.8113.3220.2-6.533%
vs Similar (14)112.1105.4217.6+6.779%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)115.8107.8223.6+8.070%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#18
L
113-118
113
118
-5
115avg 105
H13/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
87-123
87
123
-36
73avg 105
A15/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
120-129
120
129
-9
115avg 105
H18/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
108-120
108
120
-12
100avg 105
H19/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
99-124
99
124
-25
91avg 105
H21/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
102-109
102
109
-7
92avg 105
H23/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
112-118
112
118
-6
102avg 105
A25/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
120-132
120
132
-12
111avg 105
A27/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
L
135-137
135
137
-2
138avg 105
H01/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
106-121
106
121
-15
101avg 105
A02/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-15
24-35
31-32
29-36
25-28
23-30
18-33
21-32
31-29
31-33
32-33
26-34
35-26
33-25
26-36
14-33
27-33
28-33
22-25
22-33
14-26
34-28
22-28
32-27
35-32
20-27
26-27
31-32
35-39
25-33
24-35
36-25
35-26
31-36
39-39
30-36
31-32
30-31
20-26
25-32
233.3Avg total
110.2Scored
123.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)111.5123.9235.5-12.416%
Season at home (10)114.8122.5237.3-7.710%
Season away (9)107.9125.6233.4-17.722%
Last 10 (10)110.2123.1233.3-12.90%
Last 5 (5)115.0123.4238.4-8.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)114.5126.4241.0-11.923%
vs Similar (2)112.0121.5233.5-9.50%
vs Weaker (2)103.588.0191.5+15.5100%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -5.4-5.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -5.4-5.4
Minnesota TimberwolvesSan Antonio Spurs
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A15/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
54-76
54
76
-22
A16/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
59-64
59
64
-5
A19/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H21/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H23/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
64-70
64
70
-6
H25/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
60-43
60
43
+17
A26/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
53-61
53
61
-8
H29/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H01/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
62-59
62
59
+3
A02/12
NBA
115.4Avg total
57.0Scored
58.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.955.2112.1+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.553.3109.8+3.160%-
Last 30 away (15)57.357.1114.5+0.247%-
Last 10 (10)57.058.4115.4-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)57.656.0113.6+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)49.255.8105.0-6.70%-
vs Similar (14)57.254.6111.9+2.657%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)61.155.7116.8+5.480%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#18
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H13/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
48-58
48
58
-10
A15/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
D
62-62
62
62
+0
H18/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
68-51
68
51
+17
H19/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
55-66
55
66
-11
H21/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H23/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
55-59
55
59
-4
A25/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
60-72
60
72
-12
A27/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H01/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A02/12
NBA
117.3Avg total
57.6Scored
59.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.059.7117.7-1.637%-
Last 30 at home (13)59.958.2118.2+1.746%-
Last 30 away (17)56.660.8117.4-4.229%-
Last 10 (10)57.659.7117.3-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)58.062.0120.0-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)57.962.4120.3-4.527%-
vs Similar (2)61.043.0104.0+18.0100%-
vs Weaker (2)56.541.097.5+15.5100%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 112.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.828.1
54.2%
54.4%56.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.811.8
37.1%
36.3%35.4
🏀 Free throws25.921.3
82.2%
78.2%21.3
They take 83.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 110.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.526.5
51.5%
54.4%53.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.013.9
35.6%
36.3%41.7
🏀 Free throws18.515.5
83.8%
78.2%15.5
They take 90.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWWWLWWWLW
San Antonio Spurs
LLLLLLLLLL
#4
League position
#26
+4.5
Net rating
-12.3
113.5
Offensive rating
105.3
108.9
Defensive rating
117.6
54.8%
Effective FG%
52.3%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
57.0%
13.8%
Turnover %
16.5%
23.7%
Off. rebound %
24.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.20
37.1%
3-point %
35.6%
64.4%
Assist %
72.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence113.5 · 105.3Defence108.9 · 117.6Shooting54.8% · 52.3%3-point %37.1% · 35.6%Ball care13.8% · 16.5%Off. rebounds23.7% · 24.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)80% · 0%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ San Antonio Spurs
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23ACharlotte Hornets123-117
01/12/23HUtah Jazz101-90
29/11/23HOklahoma City Thunder106-103
26/11/23AMemphis Grizzlies119-97
25/11/23HSacramento Kings111-124
23/11/23HPhiladelphia 76ers112-99
21/11/23HNew York Knicks117-100
19/11/23ANew Orleans Pelicans121-120
16/11/23APhoenix Suns115-133
15/11/23AGolden State Warriors104-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23ANew Orleans Pelicans106-121
01/12/23HAtlanta Hawks135-137
27/11/23ADenver Nuggets120-132
25/11/23AGolden State Warriors112-118
23/11/23HLos Angeles Clippers102-109
21/11/23HLos Angeles Clippers99-124
19/11/23HMemphis Grizzlies108-120
18/11/23HSacramento Kings120-129
15/11/23AOklahoma City Thunder87-123
13/11/23HMiami Heat113-118

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW79%
HomeWWLWW90%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %79%90%67%
Points / game112.8112.2113.6
Allowed / game105.9100.0112.4
Point differential+6.9+12.2+1.1
Avg total218.7212.2226.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%70%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %5%10%0%
San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL16%
HomeLLLLL10%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %16%10%22%
Points / game111.5114.8107.9
Allowed / game123.9122.5125.6
Point differential-12.4-7.7-17.7
Avg total235.5237.3233.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics1915479%116.7107.4+9.4
2 Minnesota Timberwolves1915479%112.8105.9+6.9
3 Milwaukee Bucks2014670%121.1118.1+3.0
4 Oklahoma City Thunder1913668%119.7111.4+8.4
5 Denver Nuggets2114767%114.5110.4+4.1
6 Orlando Magic2114767%114.1110.5+3.6
7 Philadelphia 76ers2013765%120.7113.8+6.9
8 New York Knicks1912763%110.9105.5+5.4
9 Sacramento Kings1811761%116.5116.7-0.2
10 Phoenix Suns2012860%116.2113.2+2.9
11 Dallas Mavericks1911858%118.2118.0+0.2
12 Cleveland Cavaliers2112957%111.3111.1+0.1
13 Los Angeles Lakers2112957%112.5113.5-1.0
14 Indiana Pacers1810856%128.8125.9+2.8
15 Miami Heat2011955%113.1112.0+1.1
16 Brooklyn Nets1910953%116.7114.0+2.7
17 New Orleans Pelicans21111052%114.0113.2+0.8
18 Los Angeles Clippers1991047%112.9109.7+3.3
19 Atlanta Hawks1991047%123.2122.8+0.4
20 Houston Rockets178947%110.1107.2+2.8
21 Golden State Warriors2091145%114.8114.5+0.3
22 Toronto Raptors2091145%111.2112.5-1.3
23 Utah Jazz2071335%112.0118.5-6.4
24 Chicago Bulls2171433%107.7113.1-5.4
25 Charlotte Hornets1861233%113.8122.2-8.3
26 Portland Trail Blazers1961332%105.2111.9-6.7
27 Memphis Grizzlies2061430%106.4111.4-5.0
28 San Antonio Spurs1931616%111.5123.9-12.4
29 Washington Wizards2031715%117.2125.4-8.2
30 Detroit Pistons2121910%108.8118.0-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves25212531102
San Antonio Spurs2231182394
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