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Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 101-119
30-26 30-33 22-28 19-32
Position#6
Record15-8
FormLWWWW
Points / game120.2
Allowed / game116.9
vs
Position#4
Record17-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game112.7
Allowed / game105.9
USANBA· American Airlines Center (Dallas)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Minnesota Timberwolves
04 Apr 2027
DAL v MIN
upcoming
30 Mar 2026
DAL94
MIN124
28 Jan 2026
DAL105
MIN118
22 Jan 2025
DAL114
MIN115
25 Dec 2024
DAL99
MIN105
28 May 2024
DAL100
MIN105
26 May 2024
DAL116
MIN107
07 Jan 2024
DAL115
MIN108
14 Dec 2023
DAL101
MIN119
13 Feb 2023
DAL121
MIN124
21 Mar 2022
DAL110
MIN108
21 Dec 2021
DAL114
MIN102
08 Feb 2021
DAL127
MIN122
17 Dec 2020
DAL127
MIN129
24 Feb 2020
DAL139
MIN123
04 Dec 2019
DAL121
MIN114
03 Apr 2019
DAL108
MIN110
20 Oct 2018
DAL140
MIN136
30 Mar 2018
DAL92
MIN93
17 Nov 2017
DAL87
MIN111
15 Jan 2017
DAL98
MIN87
28 Feb 2016
DAL128
MIN101
20 Jan 2016
DAL106
MIN94
02 Feb 2015
DAL100
MIN94
15 Nov 2014
DAL131
MIN117
19 Mar 2014
DAL122
MIN123
30 Nov 2013
DAL106
MIN112
14 Jan 2013
DAL113
MIN98
12 Nov 2012
DAL82
MIN90
25 Jan 2012
DAL90
MIN105
24 Mar 2011
DAL104
MIN96
01 Dec 2010
DAL100
MIN86
03 Mar 2010
DAL112
MIN109
05 Feb 2010
DAL108
MIN117
13 Apr 2009
DAL96
MIN94
30 Dec 2008
DAL107
MIN100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
113-129
113
129
-16
101avg 107
H20/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
104-101
104
101
+3
89avg 107
A23/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
88-107
88
107
-19
67avg 107
A26/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
121-115
121
115
+6
110avg 107
H29/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
94-108
94
108
-14
80avg 107
H02/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
120-126
120
126
-6
112avg 107
H03/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
147-97
147
97
+50
146avg 107
H07/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
125-112
125
112
+13
118avg 107
A09/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
120-113
120
113
+7
117avg 107
A12/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
127-125
127
125
+2
119avg 107
H13/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-35
29-35
31-37
17-22
29-25
33-21
29-25
13-30
18-29
27-27
17-23
26-28
29-22
25-28
30-38
37-27
20-28
24-31
28-20
22-29
27-33
29-39
28-35
36-19
40-29
34-22
35-23
38-23
37-22
34-38
26-30
28-22
29-24
38-27
29-28
24-34
34-26
37-35
22-34
34-30
229.2Avg total
115.9Scored
113.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)120.2116.9237.1+3.365%
Season at home (11)122.3117.8240.1+4.564%
Season away (12)118.3116.1234.4+2.267%
Last 10 (10)115.9113.3229.2+2.660%
Last 5 (5)127.8114.6242.4+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)120.0126.0246.0-6.00%
vs Similar ◀ (18)118.6118.7237.3-0.150%
vs Weaker (11)122.6116.3238.9+6.473%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#5
W
117-100
117
100
+17
117avg 108
H21/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
112-99
112
99
+13
107avg 108
H23/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
111-124
111
124
-13
107avg 108
H25/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
119-97
119
97
+22
120avg 108
A26/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
106-103
106
103
+3
100avg 108
H29/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
101-90
101
90
+11
94avg 108
H01/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
123-117
123
117
+6
118avg 108
A02/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
102-94
102
94
+8
96avg 108
H07/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
127-103
127
103
+24
130avg 108
A09/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
107-121
107
121
-14
99avg 108
A12/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-28
27-28
35-19
24-25
37-20
20-29
34-30
21-20
31-38
33-32
15-22
32-32
31-26
29-17
30-23
29-31
19-29
34-32
23-17
30-25
20-23
29-24
35-19
17-24
30-23
32-36
26-28
35-30
25-22
21-31
25-18
31-23
33-31
27-24
38-24
29-24
29-29
23-30
34-31
21-31
217.3Avg total
112.5Scored
104.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)112.7105.9218.6+6.877%
Season at home (11)111.399.5210.7+11.891%
Season away (11)114.2112.4226.5+1.864%
Last 10 (10)112.5104.8217.3+7.780%
Last 5 (5)112.0105.0217.0+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)106.8113.3220.2-6.533%
vs Similar ◀ (13)112.7106.8219.5+5.977%
vs Weaker (11)112.4104.0216.4+8.473%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +6.4+6.4Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.4+0.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +6.4+6.4Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.4+0.4
Dallas MavericksMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H20/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
62-46
62
46
+16
A23/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A26/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H29/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
44-59
44
59
-15
H02/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
56-72
56
72
-16
H03/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
74-51
74
51
+23
H07/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
71-60
71
60
+11
A09/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
67-51
67
51
+16
A12/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
71-61
71
61
+10
H13/12
NBA
118.5Avg total
60.9Scored
57.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.960.2121.1+0.743%-
Last 30 at home (14)60.160.2120.3-0.136%-
Last 30 away (16)61.660.2121.8+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)60.957.6118.5+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)67.859.0126.8+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)56.072.0128.0-16.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)60.459.9120.4+0.544%-
vs Weaker (11)62.059.5121.5+2.545%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#5
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H21/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H23/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
64-70
64
70
-6
H25/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
60-43
60
43
+17
A26/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
53-61
53
61
-8
H29/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H01/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
62-59
62
59
+3
A02/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H07/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
60-55
60
55
+5
A09/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A12/12
NBA
111.3Avg total
56.1Scored
55.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.754.9110.6+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.453.1108.5+2.353%-
Last 30 away (15)56.156.6112.7-0.547%-
Last 10 (10)56.155.2111.3+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)53.854.6108.4-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)49.255.8105.0-6.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)56.954.9111.8+2.054%-
vs Weaker (11)57.954.3112.2+3.673%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 115.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.226.6
54.1%
54.4%53.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.815.2
36.4%
36.3%45.6
🏀 Free throws22.217.1
77.0%
78.2%17.1
They take 91.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 112.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.927.2
53.4%
54.4%54.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.012.6
37.1%
36.3%37.8
🏀 Free throws24.920.3
81.5%
78.2%20.3
They take 84.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
WWWWLLWLWL
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWWWWWWLWW
#6
League position
#4
+2.6
Net rating
+7.7
115.3
Offensive rating
112.6
112.7
Defensive rating
104.9
54.3%
Effective FG%
54.3%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
10.5%
Turnover %
13.7%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.4%
3-point %
37.1%
61.5%
Assist %
65.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence115.3 · 112.6Defence112.7 · 104.9Shooting54.3% · 54.3%3-point %36.4% · 37.1%Ball care10.5% · 13.7%Off. rebounds24.7% · 24.7%Free throws0.24 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/23HLos Angeles Lakers127-125
12/12/23AMemphis Grizzlies120-113
09/12/23APortland Trail Blazers125-112
07/12/23HUtah Jazz147-97
03/12/23HOklahoma City Thunder120-126
02/12/23HMemphis Grizzlies94-108
29/11/23HHouston Rockets121-115
26/11/23ALos Angeles Clippers88-107
23/11/23ALos Angeles Lakers104-101
20/11/23HSacramento Kings113-129
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/23ANew Orleans Pelicans107-121
09/12/23AMemphis Grizzlies127-103
07/12/23HSan Antonio Spurs102-94
02/12/23ACharlotte Hornets123-117
01/12/23HUtah Jazz101-90
29/11/23HOklahoma City Thunder106-103
26/11/23AMemphis Grizzlies119-97
25/11/23HSacramento Kings111-124
23/11/23HPhiladelphia 76ers112-99
21/11/23HNew York Knicks117-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW65%
HomeWLLWW64%
AwayLWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %65%64%67%
Points / game120.2122.3118.3
Allowed / game116.9117.8116.1
Point differential+3.3+4.5+2.2
Avg total237.1240.1234.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%18%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL77%
HomeWLWWW91%
AwayWWWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %77%91%64%
Points / game112.7111.3114.2
Allowed / game105.999.5112.4
Point differential+6.8+11.8+1.8
Avg total218.6210.7226.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%64%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics2218482%117.6108.3+9.3
2 Minnesota Timberwolves2217577%112.7105.9+6.8
3 Milwaukee Bucks2216673%122.5119.0+3.5
4 Philadelphia 76ers2316770%122.3113.1+9.2
5 Orlando Magic2316770%114.0108.9+5.1
6 Oklahoma City Thunder2215768%120.4112.8+7.5
7 Dallas Mavericks2315865%120.2116.9+3.3
8 Denver Nuggets2516964%114.2110.9+3.4
9 Sacramento Kings2113862%116.2116.4-0.1
10 New York Knicks2213959%112.7108.4+4.3
11 Houston Rockets2112957%109.8105.5+4.2
12 Los Angeles Clippers23131057%114.1109.3+4.8
13 Brooklyn Nets23131057%116.9113.9+3.0
14 New Orleans Pelicans23131057%115.5113.3+2.2
15 Phoenix Suns23131057%115.7113.5+2.1
16 Los Angeles Lakers23131057%113.5114.3-0.8
17 Miami Heat25141156%112.8111.8+1.0
18 Indiana Pacers2011955%128.8126.5+2.2
19 Cleveland Cavaliers25131252%110.5110.9-0.4
20 Golden State Warriors23101343%115.6115.3+0.3
21 Toronto Raptors24101442%112.8114.4-1.5
22 Atlanta Hawks2391439%122.5123.3-0.8
23 Chicago Bulls26101638%109.7113.5-3.8
24 Utah Jazz2481633%111.6120.0-8.4
25 Charlotte Hornets2271532%113.0120.8-7.8
26 Portland Trail Blazers2261627%106.5113.3-6.8
27 Memphis Grizzlies2361726%106.4112.7-6.3
28 Washington Wizards2332013%115.9127.0-11.1
29 San Antonio Spurs2332013%109.8121.4-11.6
30 Detroit Pistons242228%108.8119.2-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks30302219101
Minnesota Timberwolves26332832119
← all games of the day
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