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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 106-103
19-29 34-32 23-17 30-25
Position#4
Record12-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game113.4
Allowed / game106.4
vs
Position#2
Record11-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game119.6
Allowed / game111.2
USANBA· Target Center (Minneapolis)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Oklahoma City Thunder
28 Mar 2027
MIN v OKC
upcoming
25 Dec 2026
MIN v OKC
upcoming
29 Jan 2026
MIN123
OKC111
19 Dec 2025
MIN112
OKC107
26 May 2025
MIN126
OKC128
24 May 2025
MIN143
OKC101
23 Feb 2025
MIN123
OKC130
13 Feb 2025
MIN116
OKC101
20 Jan 2024
MIN97
OKC102
28 Nov 2023
MIN106
OKC103
14 Apr 2023
MIN120
OKC95
03 Dec 2022
MIN128
OKC135
19 Oct 2022
MIN115
OKC108
09 Mar 2022
MIN132
OKC102
05 Jan 2022
MIN98
OKC90
22 Mar 2021
MIN103
OKC112
25 Jan 2020
MIN104
OKC113
13 Jan 2020
MIN104
OKC117
07 Apr 2019
MIN126
OKC132
05 Mar 2019
MIN131
OKC120
10 Jan 2018
MIN104
OKC88
27 Oct 2017
MIN119
OKC116
11 Apr 2017
MIN98
OKC100
13 Jan 2017
MIN96
OKC86
27 Jan 2016
MIN123
OKC126
12 Jan 2016
MIN96
OKC101
15 Apr 2015
MIN113
OKC138
12 Dec 2014
MIN92
OKC111
04 Jan 2014
MIN111
OKC115
01 Nov 2013
MIN100
OKC81
29 Mar 2013
MIN101
OKC93
20 Dec 2012
MIN99
OKC93
14 Apr 2012
MIN110
OKC115
26 Dec 2011
MIN100
OKC104
26 Jan 2011
MIN117
OKC118
08 Dec 2010
MIN103
OKC111
21 Feb 2010
MIN107
OKC109
20 Jan 2010
MIN92
OKC94
22 Mar 2009
MIN90
OKC97
07 Jan 2009
MIN129
OKC87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
122-101
122
101
+21
125avg 108
H09/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
117-110
117
110
+7
112avg 108
A11/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
116-110
116
110
+6
115avg 108
A13/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
104-101
104
101
+3
98avg 108
A15/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
115-133
115
133
-18
99avg 108
A16/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
121-120
121
120
+1
117avg 108
A19/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
117-100
117
100
+17
117avg 108
H21/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
112-99
112
99
+13
107avg 108
H23/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
111-124
111
124
-13
107avg 108
H25/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
119-97
119
97
+22
120avg 108
A26/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
44-20
25-24
25-33
22-27
34-27
34-19
27-37
29-31
25-20
35-22
27-37
22-30
32-29
22-24
28-18
29-35
25-41
28-34
33-23
27-35
32-29
26-31
36-25
31-28
27-28
35-19
24-25
37-20
20-29
34-30
21-20
31-38
33-32
15-22
32-32
31-26
29-17
30-23
29-31
224.9Avg total
115.4Scored
109.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)113.4106.4219.8+7.075%
Season at home (8)114.4100.9215.2+13.588%
Season away (8)112.4111.9224.2+0.562%
Last 10 (10)115.4109.5224.9+5.980%
Last 5 (5)116.0108.0224.0+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)106.8113.3220.2-6.533%
vs Similar ◀ (16)112.1107.4219.5+4.869%
vs Weaker (8)116.8108.9225.6+7.962%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
126-117
126
117
+9
120avg 108
H07/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
128-120
128
120
+8
121avg 108
H09/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
98-105
98
105
-7
86avg 108
A11/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
111-99
111
99
+12
101avg 108
A13/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
123-87
123
87
+36
121avg 108
H15/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
128-109
128
109
+19
127avg 108
A17/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
130-123 OT
130
123
+7
122avg 108
A19/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
134-91
134
91
+43
138avg 108
A20/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
116-102
116
102
+14
115avg 108
H23/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
123-127
123
127
-4
109avg 108
H25/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-28
29-22
38-27
30-40
36-29
34-28
29-30
29-33
20-34
22-19
28-22
28-30
29-29
25-30
26-27
31-13
28-25
30-23
33-18
32-21
39-24
28-36
27-25
34-24
33-31
18-30
34-26
32-30
33-21
43-22
25-23
33-25
26-14
24-25
34-38
32-25
31-29
30-36
21-28
41-34
229.7Avg total
121.7Scored
108.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)119.6111.2230.8+8.369%
Season at home (9)120.0116.0236.0+4.056%
Season away (7)119.0105.1224.1+13.986%
Last 10 (10)121.7108.0229.7+13.780%
Last 5 (5)126.2110.4236.6+15.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)111.0116.8227.8-5.842%
vs Weaker (18)121.6112.1233.7+9.472%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +4.7+4.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +4.7+4.7
Minnesota TimberwolvesOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
72-44
72
44
+28
H09/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A11/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A13/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A15/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
54-76
54
76
-22
A16/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
59-64
59
64
-5
A19/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H21/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H23/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
64-70
64
70
-6
H25/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
60-43
60
43
+17
A26/11
NBA
115.4Avg total
58.8Scored
56.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.255.0112.2+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.953.4111.2+4.564%-
Last 30 away (16)56.656.5113.1+0.144%-
Last 10 (10)58.856.6115.4+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)59.656.4116.0+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)49.255.8105.0-6.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)57.654.1111.6+3.562%-
vs Weaker (8)62.556.4118.9+6.175%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
58-50
58
50
+8
H07/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
70-57
70
57
+13
H09/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A11/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A13/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H15/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
67-60
67
60
+7
A17/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
51-61
51
61
-10
A19/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
76-43
76
43
+33
A20/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H23/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H25/11
NBA
112.2Avg total
58.7Scored
53.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.456.9115.3+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.656.2113.8+1.450%-
Last 30 away (16)59.157.5116.6+1.650%-
Last 10 (10)58.753.5112.2+5.260%-
Last 5 (5)61.053.6114.6+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)56.259.9116.2-3.733%-
vs Weaker (18)59.854.9114.7+4.961%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 115.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.630.1
57.2%
54.4%60.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.011.4
36.8%
36.3%34.2
🏀 Free throws26.521.0
79.2%
78.2%21.0
They take 83.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 121.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.830.5
54.7%
54.4%61.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.213.4
41.6%
36.3%40.2
🏀 Free throws23.520.5
87.2%
78.2%20.5
They take 88.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLWWWLWWWW
Oklahoma City Thunder
LWWWWWWLWW
#4
League position
#2
+5.8
Net rating
+13.5
114.1
Offensive rating
119.6
108.2
Defensive rating
106.1
56.5%
Effective FG%
57.5%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
14.3%
Turnover %
11.8%
23.7%
Off. rebound %
22.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.8%
3-point %
41.6%
63.6%
Assist %
60.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence114.1 · 119.6Defence108.2 · 106.1Shooting56.5% · 57.5%3-point %36.8% · 41.6%Ball care14.3% · 11.8%Off. rebounds23.7% · 22.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/23AMemphis Grizzlies119-97
25/11/23HSacramento Kings111-124
23/11/23HPhiladelphia 76ers112-99
21/11/23HNew York Knicks117-100
19/11/23ANew Orleans Pelicans121-120
16/11/23APhoenix Suns115-133
15/11/23AGolden State Warriors104-101
13/11/23AGolden State Warriors116-110
11/11/23ASan Antonio Spurs117-110
09/11/23HNew Orleans Pelicans122-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/23HPhiladelphia 76ers123-127
23/11/23HChicago Bulls116-102
20/11/23APortland Trail Blazers134-91
19/11/23AGolden State Warriors130-123 OT
17/11/23AGolden State Warriors128-109
15/11/23HSan Antonio Spurs123-87
13/11/23APhoenix Suns111-99
11/11/23ASacramento Kings98-105
09/11/23HCleveland Cavaliers128-120
07/11/23HAtlanta Hawks126-117

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayWWLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %75%88%62%
Points / game113.4114.4112.4
Allowed / game106.4100.9111.9
Point differential+7.0+13.5+0.5
Avg total219.8215.2224.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%75%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL69%
HomeWWWWL56%
AwayLWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %69%56%86%
Points / game119.6120.0119.0
Allowed / game111.2116.0105.1
Point differential+8.3+4.0+13.9
Avg total230.8236.0224.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%33%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %6%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics1814478%116.3106.7+9.6
2 Minnesota Timberwolves1612475%113.4106.4+7.0
3 Milwaukee Bucks1813572%120.9117.8+3.1
4 Philadelphia 76ers1712571%120.5111.8+8.8
5 Orlando Magic1712571%112.6107.4+5.3
6 Oklahoma City Thunder1611569%119.6111.2+8.3
7 Denver Nuggets1812667%113.1108.9+4.1
8 Phoenix Suns1711665%117.1113.2+3.9
9 Dallas Mavericks1610662%119.4118.3+1.1
10 Sacramento Kings159660%115.5115.3+0.2
11 New York Knicks1710759%110.0105.1+4.9
12 Houston Rockets148657%109.6104.4+5.3
13 Indiana Pacers169756%127.6124.8+2.9
14 Miami Heat1810856%110.6109.1+1.5
15 Cleveland Cavaliers1810856%111.7112.2-0.4
16 Los Angeles Lakers1810856%111.8113.7-1.8
17 Brooklyn Nets179853%115.3113.9+1.4
18 New Orleans Pelicans189950%112.8112.9-0.1
19 Atlanta Hawks178947%122.5121.5+0.9
20 Golden State Warriors178947%114.2114.0+0.2
21 Toronto Raptors1881044%111.4112.6-1.1
22 Los Angeles Clippers167944%111.8108.4+3.3
23 Utah Jazz1761135%114.2120.6-6.4
24 Charlotte Hornets1651131%112.7121.8-9.1
25 Portland Trail Blazers1751229%104.8112.5-7.7
26 Chicago Bulls1951426%106.2112.8-6.7
27 Memphis Grizzlies1631319%105.6114.1-8.4
28 Washington Wizards1731418%116.1124.0-7.9
29 San Antonio Spurs1731418%110.5123.4-12.9
30 Detroit Pistons1721512%109.6117.7-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves19342330106
Oklahoma City Thunder29321725103
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